XAU/USD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3365
Support and resistance levels
3428
3404
3389
3340
3325
3301
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3365, consider buying, the first target price is 3389
If the price breaks through 3340, consider selling, the first target price is 3325
GOLDCFD trade ideas
June 6, 2025 XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary:
Yesterday’s close leaned bearish in my view, so today I’m biased toward the downside. However, if price breaks above 3365, I may switch to a bullish plan — buying pullbacks.
Until then, the main strategy is to SELL on pullbacks to resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3415 / 3398–3400 (psychological zone) / 3392 / 3385 / 3370
• Pivot / Bull-Bear Line: 3365
• Support: 3350 / 3344 / 3332 / 3323 / 3300
📉 Macro Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3344 → target 3340, then 3332, 3323, and 3315
• BUY if price holds above 3365 → target 3370, then 3375, 3379, and 3385
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Is the Gold Pullback Building Momentum for the Nonfarm Payrolls?On Thursday, gold continued its strong upward trend, hitting a intraday high near $3,403, fully achieving the expected target. Although the European Central Bank's interest rate hike pushed the US Dollar Index higher, triggering a sharp pullback in gold prices during US trading hours, this correction is more regarded as a profit - taking behavior by bulls rather than a signal of trend reversal. Currently, the key support below remains at the $3,340 level. If the price stabilizes above this level, the overall bullish structure remains solid. Thursday's significant pullback is more like a cleaning action by major capital to address excessive short - term positions. The moving average system at the daily chart level still shows a bullish arrangement, with no obvious signs of turning bearish. Given that the Non - Farm Payrolls data will be released on Friday, it is expected that the market will maintain a volatile consolidation trend before that. On Friday, we need to focus on the guidance of the Non - Farm Payrolls data, and the real - time market strategy will be dynamically adjusted according to the data results.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3340-3350
TP:3370-3380
Ascending triangle on gold: $3,280 or $3,560 next? Gold has climbed following softer-than-expected US economic data, which has strengthened speculation for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. ADP employment figures showed just 37K new jobs, well below the 111K forecast.
President Donald Trump, posting on Truth Social, called on “too slow” Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates immediately.
The repeated tests of the $3,400 level suggest that selling pressure at this zone could be weakening. Lower interest rates tend to support gold prices, as the metal offers no yield. However, a daily close below the recent swing low of $3,280 would undermine the pattern.
Gold rebounds but hits resistance, pulls back Recently, Nonfarm Payroll data dropped significantly and fell short of expectations 📊! Although the Federal Reserve has remained cautious about rate cuts, under the pressure of persistently weak data, it will face mounting pressure from all sides to cut interest rates and rescue the market ⚠️. Gold successfully stabilized and rebounded today after pulling back to test the vicinity of 3333 at its lowest point ✨! Despite currently trading within a range near 3375-3380 and hitting resistance, unable to break higher 📉, there is still room for trading opportunities 💹🚀.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3375-3385
tp:3340-3330
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GOLD - cut n reverse area? short below only#GOLD.. market just reached at his today most expensive region that is around 3345-46 to 3350-51
keep close that region and keep in mind that is our cut n reverse region because below that we can expect a drop towards our tringle neck line.
dont be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
Price-action suitable for aggressive Scalps onlyTechnical analysis: So far so good / Gold is comfortably Trading above #3,352.80 psychological level (Xau-Usd numbers) which is a big psychological benchmark regarding Annual fractal. This is a Technical relief rally and may very well test the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,400.80 psychological mark if Gold closes the market above #3,377.80 Resistance in extension (Higher High's Upper zone break-out). Tough the two MA's formed most recent Golden Cross, which last time brought the Higher High's test, I do expect Buying pressure to stay at least for current week. Hourly 4 chart is still marginally Bearish and Overbought however my indicators are pointing that Gold may extend the relief rally. As expected the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,342.80 Resistance got invalidated to the upside and the #3,352.80 benchmark / representing Short-term Target has been filled instantly. Throughout the session, Gold invalidated the Daily chart's Higher High’s for the first time in #17 sessions and naturally the next Technical pressure point was / is the #3,377.80 Medium-term Resistance as mentioned many times throughout my remarks.
My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds.
6.4 Gold Market6.4 Gold Market
The Trump administration's "steel tariffs" caused gold to surge to around 3390. Yesterday's bottom of the correction touched around 3330. The current trend analysis shows that there are bullish protection actions at 3340 points. Today, you can go long based on 3344 as the support point.
The ADP data will be released tonight. The 4-hour US dollar fell and went out of the five-wave decline. The typical five-wave decline may have to rebound. If the US dollar surges, the gold 3340 support level may not be able to protect.
Today's strategy is still mainly long. However, if it fails to break through 3370 and falls below 3340, then you must pay attention to stop loss.
BUY: around 3350
SL: 3340
TP: 3370-3400
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD | CPI Data in Focus – Key Levels at 3347 and 3318GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains under pressure due to ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, with additional focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to have a strong market impact.
Forecast CPI: 2.5%
Previous CPI: 2.3%
Current Scenario:
If the CPI comes in above 2.5%, it would signal stronger inflation, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. This would pressure gold lower, continuing the downtrend toward 3318, then 3303, and possibly 3292.
Alternative Scenario:
If CPI is below expectations, it would suggest easing inflation and open the door for rate cuts—supportive for gold. In that case, a break above 3347 could lead to 3366, and then 3375.
Support Levels: 3318, 3303, 3292
Resistance Levels: 3347, 3366, 3375
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Find a trading setup to trade. Make sure that you know the exact entry level and stop loss.
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Right-click on a price chart and choose "Trade" and in the appeared menu select "Create New Order".
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gold on short buy#XAUUSD price have been multiple retesting and continuation on bullish, now we expect price to hit 3362-3364 for bearish.
Buy limit at 3342.5, SL 3335, TP 3362-3364.
Above 3349 holds bullish range also.
Above the rectangle 3362-3364 holds bearish reversal.
If H1 closes below 3332 then bearish is active also
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
Htf Levels for gold In this video I look at the Higher term timeframe and mark what I consider to be 2 relevant levels looking forward for the month of June .
At the present we are sitting in the middle of the range but at some point we will break out or down from that range and the levels I have highlighted may be of guidance for gold traders.
In this video I use the Trend based Fib Extension, Tr pocket , vwap and standard fibs.
gold market sideways towards upsidegold market sideways towards upside
what happen first week was a gold rush towards 3400 after a gap on Monday.
when reaches on Thursdays there was a strong 600pip rejections however when gold dip to 3295 of Monday gap. it fulfil coverage of FVG.
and pushes gold back to 3338. from which respecting support at 3302 and pushes back up to 3349 yesterday. and pullback only to 3316.
at the moment the market showing signs of recovery as EQL was formed, HH & HL is present. so potential for gold to retest 3400 is higher.
bias is bullish. however we have 3345-50, 3375, 3340 itself as resistance where current support stands at 3302,312,3316 and 3327.
XAUUSD.market target 3370 entry point 3340stop loss 3330Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 3340
- Target: 3370 (30-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 3330 (10-point risk)
You're expecting XAUUSD (Gold) to rise from 3340 to 3370. Potential reward: 30 points
Potential risk: 10 points
Risk-reward ratio looks favorable! Let's see how it unfolds!
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview
This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements.
Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis
We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top.
Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios:
1 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,950
Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support
Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum
2 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,650
Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle
Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area
Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend.
Bullish Continuation Targets
TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension)
These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles.
Supporting Technicals
RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum
MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe
Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave
Macro Fundamentals & Correlations
Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold
Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold
DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold
Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD
Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum.
Scenario Interactions:
If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050.
If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold.
Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion.
Scenario Interactions:
If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite.
If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets.
A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity.
These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario.
In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance.
From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey.
Conclusion
We present a multi-phased path for gold where:
An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak
A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers
A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond
This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.