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XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025 a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
XAUUSD Weekly Long Term Gold Prices— Bearish Reversal Targets $2,746.58 Amid Fed Uncertainty - Gold fell 2.66% last week, closing at $2,858.14—its first weekly decline in over two months. A stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over delayed Fed rate cuts fueled selling pressure, while global trade tensions failed to lift safe-haven demand for bullion. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.3% in January, with core PCE up 2.6% year-over-year, slightly lower than December’s 2.7%. While markets still price in a 79% chance of a June rate cut, the Fed’s cautious approach has dimmed gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Trade Tensions Boost Dollar, Not Gold - Despite rising global trade risks, investors sought refuge in the U.S. dollar rather than gold. The dollar index climbed nearly 0.9%, hitting a two-week high after President Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports. The stronger dollar made gold more expensive for foreign buyers, further pressuring demand. More Downside Before a Rebound! - Gold remains fundamentally strong due to central bank demand, inflation risks, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, technical signals suggest a deeper pullback. A break below $2,832.72 would confirm a bearish reversal, targeting $2,746.58 in the coming weeks. - A meaningful rebound may require softer U.S. economic data, a more dovish Fed, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Until then, gold could stay under pressure as investors favor cash and the dollar over bullion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
Xauusd next move can break 2901 trendline? XAUUSD GOLD update | H4 Timeframe 🙌 - This Analysis is based on educational purposes - In chart we set the Resistance level at 2930- 2931.00 level in previous week market rejected several times - Currently market is at 2909.50 point - Trendline which shows the region observation point and it will be play as a decision path 2901.987 ● Bullish Scenario: if market can't break the level and closed the H4 candles above from this trendline and observation point we will set our target at 2930.00 if its break furthermore 2954.00 ● Bearish Scenario: if market able to break our observation/trendline point then we wil expect first target at 2894 - 2881 - 2859 We will provide more confirmations ❗️ #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by professionaltradersfx
GOLD sell target in new week As of March 9, 2025, gold is trading at approximately $2,919.80 per troy ounce. Forecasts for the upcoming week (March 10–14, 2025) suggest a potential decline in gold prices. Predictions indicate that gold may reach around $2,789 on March 12 and $2,784 on March 13, with a slight rebound to $2,825 by March 14. Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have experienced a slight decline recently, with spot gold falling by 0.1% to $2,892.00 per ounce on March 4, 2025. Given these projections and technical insights, setting sell targets at $2,860 and $2,850 for the upcoming week aligns with the anticipated market trend. However, it's essential to consider that gold's long-term outlook remains bullish, with forecasts predicting prices could reach $3,265 in 2025 and $3,805 in 2026. Please note that market conditions can change rapidly, and it's advisable to stay updated with the latest analyses and forecasts before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SadarExplore
Weekly Review – Week 10, Prepping for Week 11### **Weekly Review – Week 10, Prepping for Week 11** #### **Market Context: Higher Time Frames Still Bullish, But Short-Term Consolidation** - **Quarterly:** Q1 2025 remains in expansion mode, continuing the pattern of higher highs and higher lows over the last six quarters. Price is currently trading above Q4 2024, which acted as a stall candle—reinforcing that the **higher time frames remain in a bullish breakout phase**. - **Monthly:** February followed through with **bullish momentum**, closing above January’s high. However, the long wick to the upside signals **rejection of higher prices**. - **Monthly imbalance at 2780**, aligning with **October 2024's STH-HH at 2790**—a key **Point of Interest (POI)** for long setups if price retraces. #### **Weekly Chart: Defined Range & Potential for Deeper Pullback** - **Week 10 printed an inside bar**, following Week 9’s engulfing move—**creating both a swing high and swing low**. - **Weekly Equilibrium at 2745** – Optimal long positions may form below this level, providing a **higher probability setup in discount pricing**. - Given the defined range, this supports a case for **short-term shorts**, with **long setups likely to emerge at lower levels**. #### **Daily Chart: Expansion, Consolidation, Breakdown – Is 2830 Weak?** - **Recent Structure:** Price expanded, consolidated, and then broke down, forming a **swing low at 2830**. - This swing low **failed to push higher and take out 2955**, which would have confirmed continued bullish structure. - **Daily consolidation zone at 2935-2940** was the origin of the last **bearish expansion**. If price revisits this area, it becomes a **prime shorting opportunity**, targeting a break of 2830. - A break below **2830 confirms short-term bearish control**, increasing the probability of a move toward **weekly range equilibrium at 2750**. --- ### **Trading Plan for the Week Ahead** 🔹 **Short Bias Above Recent Swing High at 2930** - Looking for shorts within the **Daily Bearish POI (2935-2940)**. - If price rejects and moves down, **targets = 2830**, with potential for an extended move into **weekly equilibrium at 2750**. 🔹 **Longs Not Off the Table – But Caution Needed** - **Higher time frames remain bullish**, so we are not married to short positions. - If price shows **strong buying interest we will re-evaluate. 🔹 **Key Events to Watch in Week 11** - **CPI on Wednesday** and **PPI on Thursday** – These could be **major catalysts for volatility**. - **Post-NFP reaction was muted**, so we anticipate **stronger price moves following economic data this week**. --- ### **Execution Mindset: Trade the Plan, Stay in Control** 🚨 **No Bias Marriages – We Execute, Then Evaluate** - Every position is **planned, executed, and then reviewed**. - **If a setup fails, we adjust. If a setup succeeds, we analyze why.** 🎯 **Focus for March:** - **Refining the scaling-in model**—balancing profit-taking while managing drawdowns. - **Strengthening market structure analysis** across multiple time frames. - **Sticking to daily swing trades** at key reversal points (springs & upthrusts on lower time frames). 🔹 **Let’s see what price prints. We trade what we see, not what we expect.** #WeeklyReview #Trading #XAUUSD #PriceAction #HandDrawnCharts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PipsnPaper
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of ​​2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of ​​2910-2900. Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
Gold Extends Three-Day Rally Amid Economic Weakness, Trade UncerGold has posted three consecutive sessions of gains this week as markets react to a combination of weak economic data, prolonged trade tensions, and resurging geopolitical risks. U.S Economic Data Signals Slowdown The latest U.S economic reports continue to point toward a weakening outlook. February’s ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came in at just 77,000, significantly below expectations of 141,000 and the prior month’s 186,000. This suggests a cooling labor market, raising concerns about the pace of economic growth. Meanwhile, the S&P Global Services PMI exceeded forecasts but remains insufficient to restore confidence in a sustained economic recovery. Trade Tensions Remain a Market Headwind A temporary relief came as President Trump announced a delay in tariffs on imported automobiles from Mexico and Canada. However, this reprieve is short-lived, with tariffs set to be reassessed on April 2, leaving uncertainty in place. Furthermore, unresolved trade tensions with China continue to weigh on market sentiment, keeping investors cautious and supporting safe-haven demand for gold. Geopolitical Risks Drive Safe-Haven Flows On the geopolitical front, tensions have escalated following the U.S. decision to halt military aid to Ukraine. At the same time, NATO has reinforced its military presence and reaffirmed support for Ukraine, increasing investor fears of a potential conflict escalation. These developments have further fueled demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical instability. Market Focus Shifts to Key Economic Data As the week progresses, investors will closely monitor upcoming economic reports, particularly the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate. These data releases could have a significant impact on gold’s trajectory and broader financial markets. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may reinforce expectations of economic slowdown, strengthening gold’s bullish momentum, while a robust reading could temper the metal’s gains. Gold’s recent rally underscores its resilience as a safe-haven asset amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. The short-term outlook remains bullish, with market dynamics favoring continued strength unless a significant shift in economic conditions or policy direction emerges.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by thtinh
XAUUSD GOLD Idea H2 Gold has shown a strong bullish reversal after breaking structure and retesting the key demand zone around 2880. The price has now flipped previous resistance into support, confirming bullish momentum. If we see a successful retest of the 2920 zone, we could expect a push towards 2955. Key Levels: ✅ Support: 2880 ✅ Resistance: 2920 → 2955 📈 Bullish bias as long as structure holds. Let’s see if buyers step in! Trading involve High Risk This Is Not Financial advice trade at your own risk..
TVC:GOLDLong
by HAAADY
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – March 4, 2025Gold’s Bullish Momentum Aims for a New All-Time High By Brokerir Current Market Overview Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $2,906, showing a slight retracement of -0.18% in today's session. The precious metal has recently rebounded from a significant support level near $2,846, triggering a strong bullish momentum. Given the macroeconomic outlook and technical structure, there is an increasing probability of gold breaking its previous all-time high (ATH) and targeting the $3,020 level in the coming weeks. Key Technical Analysis 1. Price Structure & Trend Gold has been in a strong uptrend since early February, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Recent buy signals on the chart confirm renewed bullish interest after a corrective phase. The price has successfully broken above short-term resistance at $2,906, suggesting further upside potential. If gold maintains momentum, a push toward $3,020 is likely, a level that aligns with historical resistance and Fibonacci extensions. 2. Supertrend Indicator The Supertrend (10, hl2, 3) flipped bullish again after the price bounced from the $2,846 support. The latest buy signal further strengthens the case for continued upside. A sustained hold above $2,905 would solidify the bullish trend. 3. MACD Analysis The MACD histogram has started printing higher bars, indicating a potential bullish crossover. The MACD line is turning upward from negative territory, hinting at increasing buying pressure. This momentum shift supports the idea that gold has room to extend higher. Fundamental Drivers Supporting Gold’s Upside Global Economic Uncertainty: Investors are shifting towards gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability. Central Bank Policies: The potential for rate cuts in the second half of 2025 could weaken the USD, driving gold prices higher. Geopolitical Tensions: Any escalation in global tensions typically boosts demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Outlook & Trading Strategy With technical indicators aligning for a bullish continuation, gold is likely to break its previous ATH and move towards $3,020. Traders should watch for: ✅ A daily close above $2,906 to confirm bullish strength. ✅ A break above $2,920 for a stronger push toward $3,020. ✅ A potential pullback to $2,880-$2,890 as a re-entry zone before further upside. Conclusion Gold remains well-positioned for further gains, with $3,020 as the next major target. The bullish momentum, supported by technical signals and macroeconomic conditions, suggests traders should maintain a long bias while managing risk accordingly. By Brokerir
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SasanHATAM