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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 3rd March 2025)Bias: Bearish USD News(Red Folder): -ISM Manufacturing PMI Analysis: -Price closed strong bearish on weekly -Looking for continuation to the downside as no bottom wick on weekly candle -Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 2890 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by HM_fxtrading
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals. Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH. On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish. To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity. In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next: A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history. The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly. Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND . I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST.. But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ... -- GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Long after reborn from daily FVG, waiting for confirmation📌 Idea: The price has already bounced off the daily FVG and started moving upward. On the lower timeframe, an uptrend is forming, but confirmation is still needed. 📍 Two possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Wait for a clear confirmation before entering long. 2️⃣ Wait for a deeper liquidity grab, another bounce, and then enter long. 📈 Entry: after confirmation or additional liquidity sweep. 🎯 Take profit: above the last local high. 🛑 Stop loss: below the last low or under the FVG zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KaraTrade01
What is Confluence ?✅ Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade. Usually these are technical indicators, though sometimes they may be price patterns. It all depends on what you use to plan your trades. A lot of traders fill their charts with dozens of indicators for this reason. They want to find confluence — but oftentimes the result is conflicting signals. This can cause a lapse of confidence and a great deal of confusion. Some traders add more and more signals the less confident they get, and continue to make the problem worse for themselves. ✅ Confluence is very important to increase the chances of winning trades, a trader needs to have at least two factors of confluence to open a trade. When the confluence exists, the trader becomes more confident on his negotiations. ✅ The Factors Of Confluence Are: Higher Time Frame Analysis; Trade during London Open; Trade during New York Open; Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower Time Frame entries; Combine setups; Trade during High Impact News Events. ✅ Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups for confirmation that the HTF analysis will hold the price. HTF Key Levels Are: HTF Order Blocks; HTF Liquidity Pools; HTF Market Structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
Prop Trading - All you need to know !!A proprietary trading firm, often abbreviated as "prop firm," is a financial institution that trades stocks, currencies, options, or other financial instruments with its own capital rather than on behalf of clients. Proprietary trading firms offer several advantages for traders who join their ranks: 1. Access to Capital: One of the most significant advantages of working with a prop firm is access to substantial capital. Prop firms typically provide traders with significant buying power, allowing them to take larger positions in the market than they could with their own funds. This access to capital enables traders to potentially earn higher profits and diversify their trading strategies. 2. Professional Support and Guidance: Many prop firms offer traders access to experienced mentors, coaches, and support staff who can provide guidance, feedback, and assistance. This professional support can be invaluable for traders looking to improve their skills, refine their trading strategies, and navigate volatile market conditions. 3. Risk Management Tools: Prop firms typically have sophisticated risk management systems and tools in place to help traders monitor and manage their exposure to market risks. These systems may include real-time risk analytics, position monitoring, and risk controls that help traders mitigate potential losses and preserve capital. 4. Profit Sharing: Some prop firms operate on a profit-sharing model, where traders receive a share of the profits generated from their trading activities. This arrangement aligns the interests of traders with those of the firm, incentivizing traders to perform well and contribute to the overall success of the firm. Overall, prop firms provide traders with access to capital, technology, support, and learning resources that can help them succeed in the competitive world of trading. By leveraging these advantages, traders can enhance their trading performance, grow their portfolios, and achieve their financial goals.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
CHOCH vs BOS !!WHAT IS BOS ? BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset. To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS. BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move WHAT IS CHOCH? CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
Gold Move to fresh multi-week lows below $2,840Gold stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level in three weeks below $2,840. Gold (XAU/USD) reversed its direction after touching a new record high on Monday and snapped an eight-week winning streak. The near-term technical outlook highlights a buildup of bearish momentum as markets keep a close eye on headlines surrounding the United States (US) President Donald Trump administration’s trade policy ahead of Friday’s highly-anticipated US employment report.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Sanna_Kamilah
Market Structure Identification !!Hello traders! I want to share with you some educational content. ✅ MARKET STRUCTURE . Today we will talk about market structure in the financial markets, market structure is basically the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit. ✅ Types of Market Structure Bearish Market Structure - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl) Bullish Market Structure - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll) Range Market Structure - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating . I hope I was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual structure
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and every pullback presents a buying opportunity within the trend. The best approach at this stage is to wait patiently for a price correction to support levels before entering a buy position. Another strategy is to wait for a break above the recent high and then enter a buy trade on a pullback to the broken level. The bullish trend remains intact, but trade entries should be executed with proper risk management and confirmation signals. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you expect further upside? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
11
Tokyo Session Playbook – Monday, March 4, 2025📅 Session Context: ✅ Friday’s Closing Impact – End-of-week profit-taking & Smart Money positioning ✅ Monday’s Open Setup – Liquidity resets & possible stop hunts ✅ End of Month → New Month Flows – Portfolio rebalancing impact ✅ Trump’s Tariff Policies & Global Risk Sentiment – Risk-on/risk-off flows into gold ✅ Upcoming Key Economic Data – Asian market sentiment will react to global factors Considerations for Tokyo Session 🔹 Fundamental Impact – Economic News & Trump Tariffs Trump’s Tariff Policies → More global uncertainty = Bullish for Gold Chinese Market Reaction → Strong demand from China usually supports Gold US Dollar Strength → If USD weakens, Gold will push higher 🔹 VSA & Market Maker Logic If VSA shows Weak Buying → Expect early liquidity sweep & reversal. If VSA shows Strong Buying → Institutions are preparing for London breakout. Market Makers will likely trap retail traders before big moves. Asia will set the liquidity traps for London & NYC expansion. Tokyo will likely liquidate weak hands before a decisive move during London/NYC. 🔷 Key Technical Levels ✅ POC (Point of Control) → $2,857.44
✅ VAH (Value Area High) → $2,868.00
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) → $2,849.00
✅ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) → $2,853.14 📌 Interpretation: Above VWAP ($2,853) → Tokyo session will try to push price toward $2,868-$2,875 (liquidity grab zone). Below VWAP ($2,853) → Expect a dip into $2,849-$2,832 to clear stop losses before a reversal. 🔷 How Tokyo Will Play the Game Scenario 1: Bullish Play (Strong Gold Demand in Asia) ✅ Trigger: Smart Money absorbs liquidity at $2,849-$2,853 and price holds above VWAP.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Positive Delta & Increasing Bid Volume Absorption at liquidity zones (VAL & VWAP)
✅ Execution Plan: BUY: $2,849 - $2,853 STOP LOSS: Below $2,832 TARGETS: TP1: $2,868 (VAH) TP2: $2,875 (Liquidity Pool) TP3: $2,885 (Breakout Target) 🎯 Why This Works? Asia accumulates long positions before sending price higher in London. Gold demand in Asia is strong due to risk-hedging. Expect a slow grind up before liquidity spikes in London. Scenario 2: Bearish Play (Liquidity Grab Before Reversal) ✅ Trigger: Price spikes to $2,868-$2,875 but rejects with weak buying pressure.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Negative Delta & Sell Imbalances Above VAH Large Orders Absorbing Buys (Liquidity Trap)
✅ Execution Plan: SELL: $2,868 - $2,875 (Fakeout Zone) STOP LOSS: Above $2,885 TARGETS: TP1: $2,853 (VWAP) TP2: $2,849 (VAL) TP3: $2,832 (Deep Reversal Zone) 🎯 Why This Works? Institutions fake the bullish move, trap retail longs, then dump the price. Gold has a history of early session stop-hunts before reversing. High probability of selling pressure before London takes control. Tokyo Session Execution Plan 🔥 Primary Play: BUY THE DIP (Bullish Accumulation Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,849 - $2,853 (If price holds above VWAP)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,832
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,868 TP2: $2,875 TP3: $2,885 🔥 Alternate Play: SHORT THE FAKEOUT (Bearish Rejection Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,868 - $2,875 (If price rejects with weak delta)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,885
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,853 TP2: $2,849 TP3: $2,832
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE