GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD📉Gold Market Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
Current Price: 3324.00
Recent price structure and momentum suggest a potential bearish continuation below key resistance levels.
🔍 Technical View:
Price is consistently trading below the 50-period moving average, signaling short-term weakness.
A series of lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish market structure.
RSI is trending below 50, reflecting fading bullish momentum.
Failure to reclaim the 3355–3345 resistance zone reinforces downside risk.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 3355.00 – 3345.00
Sustained trading below this range may open the door to:
3300.00
3284.00
📉 Major Breakdown Scenario:
A 3-day consecutive close below 3384.00 could confirm a structural shift, exposing gold to a deeper sell-off toward 3200.00.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Gold could hold ahead of the FedUpward pressure from fundamentals and sentiment has been somewhat lower in June so far as trade tension has generally calmed down and stock markets have mostly recovered well from April’s turmoil. Lower volatility is clear from both contracting Bollinger Bands and ATR, which has declined since last month but remains high at around $56.
5 June’s attempt at $3,400 hasn’t been decisively rejected yet, so it’d be quite possible to see the price moving somewhat beyond there intraday in the middle of June, but another vigorous phase of the main uptrend immediately seems less likely. The 100% weekly Fibonacci extension around $3,480 seems like a potentially strong resistance although it’s only been tested once so far on 22 April.
Equally, the area around the equivalent 61.8% Fibo and the 161.8% monthly Fibo extension would probably cap losses unless there’s a strong driver of some sort. That might be a sudden resolution of trade tension or a major hawkish shift by the Fed, both of which seem quite unlikely. Overall, the situation seems to favour short-term traders for now.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Gold rebounds but hits resistance, pulls back Recently, Nonfarm Payroll data dropped significantly and fell short of expectations 📊! Although the Federal Reserve has remained cautious about rate cuts, under the pressure of persistently weak data, it will face mounting pressure from all sides to cut interest rates and rescue the market ⚠️. Gold successfully stabilized and rebounded today after pulling back to test the vicinity of 3333 at its lowest point ✨! Despite currently trading within a range near 3375-3380 and hitting resistance, unable to break higher 📉, there is still room for trading opportunities 💹🚀.
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Daily Analysis: 04‑06‑2025
Spot gold closed yesterday with a 0.8% decline, settling at 3,353, pressured by profit-taking. On the same day, the World Gold Council released data showing that central bank net purchases of gold in April totaled only 12 tons—below both March figures and the 12-month average.
On the other hand, reports indicate that several central banks in Africa are preparing to add gold to their reserves. In the broader market, investor focus is now on the highly anticipated meeting between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week.
Today, attention turns to the U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment data release.
Technical Outlook:
If the upward trend resumes, price targets are seen at 3,380 and 3,400. In the event of a pullback, support levels are located at 3,331 and 3,291.
XAUUSD (gold) 15-minute chartKey Points:
✅ Resistance:
The resistance area is being tested multiple times, but there's no confirmed breakout yet.
✅ Support:
The support area is holding the price for now, with buyers stepping in every time the price drops near it.
✅ Triangle:
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, which usually precedes a breakout — but the direction is still uncertain.
✅ Risk:
Trading before a confirmed breakout is risky, as fakeouts (false breakouts) can trap traders. So it’s better to wait for a clear direction.
💡 Trade Setup:
🕒 Avoid entering trades until there's a confirmed breakout.
📉 If the candle closes below the support line with confirmation, it could be a sell signal.
📈 If the candle closes above the resistance line with confirmation, it could be a buy signal.
⏳ Until then, be patient and let the market decide the direction.
XAU/USD 04 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD surges to hit $3,371 target, continues to aim for $3,400OANDA:XAUUSD rose nearly 3% as US President Trump's tariff threats ratcheted up trade tensions, spurring investor demand for safe-haven assets and sending the dollar sharply lower.
US President Trump said on Friday he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the US to 50% from the current 25% starting June 4. This has once again disrupted international trade, Reuters reported.
A European Commission spokesperson expressed deep regret over the US announcement that it would raise tariffs and said the EU was ready to take countermeasures.
Gold prices surged on Monday to a more than four-week high and continued to rise early this morning (Tuesday, June 3) as geopolitical risks from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated as US President Donald Trump continued to threaten tariffs. Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, adding to jitters in global markets.
Ukraine launched its biggest drone attack since the war against Ukraine on Sunday, targeting a wide swath of Russian air bases on the eve of a second round of direct talks between the two countries. The drones, hidden in trucks, penetrated deep into Russia and hit strategic airfields as far away as eastern Siberia. At the same time, Moscow launched one of its longest drone and missile strikes on Kiev.
In key US data on Monday, the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May showed a contraction in business activity. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May came in at 48.5, down from 48.7 in April, the lowest reading since November.
Investors will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve policymakers this week for clues on the path of U.S. interest rates. Gold tends to benefit in low-interest-rate environments and times of geopolitical tension.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After reaching the target increase at 3,371 USD, gold temporarily decreased slightly but overall it has enough conditions to continue to increase in price towards the next target at 3,400 USD in the coming time.
In the short term, gold also formed an upward price channel, which is noted by the price channel, describing the short-term technical trend. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, RSI is operating above 50, still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
For the day, the main outlook for gold is bullish, any pullbacks that fail to break below the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement should be considered only as a short-term correction, or a fresh buying opportunity.
Finally, the short-term bullish trend for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: 3,326 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
→Take Profit 1 3404
↨
→Take Profit 2 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3324 - 3326⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3320
→Take Profit 1 3332
↨
→Take Profit 2 3338
XAU/USD 10 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD – Gold Hits Supply Wall Again! Is a Drop Incoming?
🔵 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 3,419.97 – Strong Supply Zone, sharp rejections in the past
🔹 3,063.64 – Previous support/resistance flip zone
🟠 2,759.98 – High Demand Zone + Volume Cluster = Potential long entry area
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📌 What the Chart Is Telling Us:
Price just tapped into a major Supply Zone again at the top range
Repeated failure to break above = warning for bulls
Large move likely incoming with clean structure below
Volume profile shows thin support until 3,060 and 2,760
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🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
🔻 Sell Bias near 3,400 zone if price shows reversal candle/engulfing
TP1: 3,063
TP2: 2,760
❌ Invalidation: Strong close above 3,420 with volume
---
📢 Are you bearish on Gold from this supply zone?
💬 Comment your thoughts or setups below!
🔁 Repost for others watching Gold!
✅ Like & follow for more multi-timeframe S&D analysis.
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #Forex #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #GoldAnalysis #SwingTrade #Metals #MacroTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile
XAU/USD 03 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Bulls Back in Control After BreakoutHaving broken triangle resistance stemming from the record highs and cleared horizontal resistance at $3367, things are once again looking bullish for bullion. Add in renewed upward momentum in RSI (14) and a bullish MACD crossover, and the preference remains to buy dips and topside breaks.
$3367 now looms as a key level to build bullish setups around, offering a logical area to establish longs with a stop beneath for protection. It would be preferable to see gold retest and bounce off $3367 before entering the trade.
$3434 screens as an initial upside target, with a clean break likely to put gold on a collision course with the record highs at $3500.
Good luck!
DS
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan — Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Warzone: Will Bears Break Structure or Bulls Reclaim Premium?”
👋 Welcome to the new week, traders. The battlefield is balanced — here’s how we dominate it.
Gold is trading just above equilibrium (3289–3290) after a messy week of premium traps, CHoCHs, and weak bullish continuations. The market has printed clear Lower Highs (LHs) across H1/M15 and failed to reclaim the supply at 3302–3308.
We are now caught in a compression box between M15 OB resistance and discount inefficiency, with liquidity stacked below.
🔹 Current Bias
🎯 Neutral-to-bearish under 3308
🔻 CHoCH + LH formed on both M15 and H1
🧠 Monday will reveal if we break 3270 floor or induce a final trap into premium
🔹 Intraday Structural Zones (Sniper Refined)
🔺 Resistance Zones Above Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔺 First OB Reaction 3296 – 3302 M15 OB + H1 rejection wick — soft inducement
🔺 Final LH Trap 3308 – 3322 Last Lower High + FVG fill + premium supply
🔺 Premium Killzone 3335 – 3355 Upper trap + internal liquidity — only visited if bulls reclaim structure
🔻 Support Zones Below Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔻 EQ Reaction Floor 3274 – 3262 Current support shelf + equilibrium wick lows
🔻 First Breakdown Zone 3248 – 3228 BOS origin + M15 CHoCH + clean liquidity stack
🔵 Swing Reentry Zone 3196 – 3172 M15 demand block + clean OB + deep FVG fill
⚫ Final HTF Demand 3150 – 3130 May HL + strong structure base — ultimate reversal point if dumped
🔹 Execution Plan for Monday
✅ Plan A — Sell Setup (Most Probable)
If price taps 3296–3302 early and rejects → short toward 3262
Confirm with M15 CHoCH + bearish PA
Target 3248 → 3228
Hold partials for extension into 3196 if momentum is clean
🔁 Plan B — Inducement Trap Then Drop
Spike into 3308–3322 → watch for LH rejection or FVG sweep
Sell setup becomes valid only if M15 fails to break structure up
Target remains same: 3262 → 3228
🛑 Invalid Buy Conditions
❌ No buys valid inside 3302–3322 → this is smart money trap zone
✅ Buy only valid if:
Deep discount reaction at 3196–3172, OR
Clean break + BOS above 3322, then hold → reentry toward 3355
📊 EMA Structure (5/21/50/100/200)
❌ EMA5 is under 21 and 50 → bearish
⚠️ Price is hugging EMA100 from below
✅ EMA200 (H1) sits at ~3172 → aligns with deep demand zone
Momentum favors sellers if 3308 holds
🔚 Final Thoughts — Battlefield Summary
Gold is stuck in range-to-distribution structure after failing to reclaim premium. With CHoCHs on all major intraday timeframes, momentum is now tilting bearish. The setup is clean: wait for the retest of structure above, then strike into demand zones where clean inefficiencies remain.
Don’t chase fake breakouts. Let price show its hand near OBs and EQ edges — and execute with clarity.
💬 If You Found This Valuable:
📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for live sniper plans, real zone maps, and execution clarity
💡 Smash a LIKE if you’re ready to wait, not chase
👇 Comment your take: Do we drop to 3228 first — or induce 3315 before the flush?
Trade sharp. Trade with structure.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD Price want to Grow the TopGold prices are currently facing Support around the 3365 level, with a potential correction expected before any further upward movement. While the long-term trend appears bullish, the fundamental backdrop remains mixed, creating uncertainty in market sentiment.
A major focus is the ongoing geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine, particularly following the recent escalation over the weekend. This development has increased safe-haven demand for gold, but market participants remain cautious due to conflicting economic signals and central bank policies.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis