Gold at 3000? I’ll Be WaitingI’m watching the 2995 level closely. If price dips back into this support zone, I’ll be looking for buy entries with at least 200+ pips in mind.
We’ve seen strong bullish moves off this area before, so if price respects it again, I want to be ready. If it breaks through with momentum, no entry – simple.
🛑 Invalid if structure fails beneath support
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Trader's Alert: Gold Potential Top, Signal (Bullish Bitcoin)Gold today is making a strong move after hitting a new All-Time High. The current session is red and has the highest volume since November 2024. This is an early signal that can be interpreted as the top being printed. Very early.
Gold peaking can have a strong significance for us Cryptocurrency traders. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since December 2024. Bitcoin peaked and went sideways with bearish tendencies in December 2024. They have been moving in contrary direction. This can mean that a Gold top would produce a Bitcoin bottom.
The Gold peak can mean a change in market dynamics, all markets. Bullish goes bearish and bearish goes bullish.
Gold is still bullish on the weekly timeframe but with a parabolic rise. A parabolic rise tends to end with a sudden crash. A true parabola.
This is a friendly alert to all Gold traders.
XAUUSD is likely to go down.
Confirmation is needed.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Gold Has Pulled BackGold has been in an uptrend this year, and some dip buyers may see an opportunity in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs and higher lows since January. XAUUSD has dipped to the bottom of that rising channel. Will it become another higher low?
Second, the pullback stabilized near the February high around 2956. That could suggest old resistance has become new support.
Third, stochastics dipped to an oversold condition.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average is rising from below.
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XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Chart Analysis XAUUSD (Gold) Daily Chart Analysis
Current Price:
$3,011.89, up +0.96% today
High: $3,014.23 | Low: $2,978.59
*Technical Overview:
🔹 Trend:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since late 2023.
However, the recent price action shows a pullback after reaching new highs.
🔹 Stochastic RSI:
%K = 4.55, %D = 23.48 → Oversold zone
Indicates potential for a short-term bounce if momentum picks up.
🔹 MACD:
Bearish crossover in progress, histogram turning red.
Suggests short-term bearish pressure, though it's likely a healthy correction within a larger bullish trend.
🎯 Strategy Outlook:
🔸 Short-Term Strategy:
Wait for a bullish confirmation near the $2,975 support zone.
Watch for reversal signals from oversold Stoch RSI.
Consider short-term buys if price stabilizes above $2,980–$3,000.
🔸 Long-Term Strategy:
As long as the price holds above $2,900–$2,950, the overall uptrend remains intact.
Dips could be seen as buying opportunities in the long run.
Use pullbacks to scale in gradually with proper risk management.
*Thoughts :
Gold is currently in a technical pullback but still bullish in the bigger picture. Short-term traders should stay cautious, while long-term bulls can look for dips to buy.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3045
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3109
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3109 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3170
BEARISH TARGETS
3016
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3016 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2987
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2987 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2928 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2857 - 2894
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level.
Technical Outlook:
Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity.
1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence.
Targets:
– TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level
– TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support
$3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation.
Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025):
Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact
Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:
– Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization
– Real yields remain negative across key regions
– Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure
Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility
– Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing
– Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)
– Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises
Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential
– BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution
– Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving
– Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold
Conclusion:
Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback.
$3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside.
Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg.
Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200:
Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Gold Analysis April 7The D1 candle on Friday clearly identified selling pressure and the amount of fomo pushed the price to 2972.
The H4 structure is still showing that the downward force will continue to be maintained when 3054 was rejected by the buyers.
Back to the trading plan The 3018 and 3035 border areas are considered sideways compression borders. If the price breaks 3018, wait for a retest and sell to 3003. If the US session breaks 3003, then push to 2955.
If the 3018 border remains strong, wait for a break of 3035 to BUY to the exchange price zone of 3054. BUY signals for short-term city and are considered to be against the trend at the moment. When the US session fails to break 3055, you can sell and hold long. If it breaks 3055, waiting for 3080 to sell will be safer than fomo to BUY against the trend.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:
🔸 Bearish Scenario:
If the price of gold breaks and closes below the key support level of 3016, it will indicate a strong bearish signal. This breakdown would suggest that selling pressure is increasing, and we could see a continued downward move toward the next support zone. The immediate target in this case would be around 3002, where buyers may attempt to step in. A sustained move below 3002 could open the door for further downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3016 (break level)
Target: 3002/2978
Additional downside possible if 3002 fails to hold
🔸 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance level of 3030, it will signal bullish momentum and a possible continuation of the uptrend. This breakout could trigger buying interest, pushing the price higher toward the next resistance levels at 3052 and 3065. These levels will act as short-term targets for bulls.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3030 (break level)
Bullish targets: 3052 and 3065
Further upside possible if momentum continues above 3065
Gold - Bullish Trend Faces a Break – A Deeper Pullback Incoming?Gold has been enjoying a strong and steady uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel. However, we’ve now seen a break of structure, with price closing below the lower boundary of the channel. This signals that Gold might be in for a short-term pullback, as the market seeks to rebalance before the next potential leg up.
A break of an ascending channel often suggests that bullish momentum is cooling off, at least temporarily. While this doesn’t necessarily mean a full reversal, it does indicate that buyers may be taking profits, allowing the market to correct before continuing higher. This is a normal and healthy phase in an overall bullish market.
Why a Drop to $2960 Makes Sense
One of the key reasons to expect a pullback is the large imbalance zone that remains unfilled below current price levels. Imbalances in the market occur when price moves aggressively in one direction without creating proper structural support on the way up. More often than not, the market likes to come back and fill these inefficiencies before continuing in its primary direction.
In this case, we have an important confluence around the $2960 level, where the unfilled imbalance meets the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (golden pocket). The golden pocket is a high-probability reversal zone, where price tends to react strongly due to the presence of large institutional orders waiting to be executed.
This area becomes even more significant when combined with psychological levels and previous price action support. If Gold pulls back to this level, it could be an optimal entry point for buyers looking to ride the next bullish wave.
What Comes Next?
Once Gold reaches the $2960 region, we will need to watch for strong bullish reactions. If buyers step in aggressively, we could see Gold resume its uptrend and potentially push towards new highs. However, if buyers fail to hold the line at this level, things could get more interesting.
A failed bounce at $2960 would open the door for a deeper correction, possibly extending down to the $2860 - $2900 zone, where we have additional technical support levels. While this is not the primary scenario, it’s important to remain aware of the possibility in case bearish momentum increases.
Final Thoughts
At the moment, Gold is showing early signs of a pullback after breaking out of its ascending channel. The $2960 level is my primary target for this retracement, as it aligns with both the golden pocket and the unfilled imbalance zone. If price reaches this level and reacts bullishly, it could provide a strong buying opportunity before Gold continues its march higher.
However, if $2960 fails to hold, we need to be prepared for a larger move downward before the uptrend resumes. Either way, the next few days will be crucial in determining Gold’s next big move.
__________________________________________
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on our weekly chart ideas, which we have been tracking, as our long term route map.
After completing 3094 target no further body close or ema5 lock above this level. Therefore no further gaps left above and followed with a rejection. We are now looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
We expect the range play between the channel half-line and 3094 and will need a break on either of these levels to determine the next range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Potential ScenariosThis is a technical analysis chart of **XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar)** on a **30-minute timeframe**, published on April 8, 2025. Let's break it down into key components and scenarios:
---
### 📊 **Technical Indicators:**
- **EMA 7 (purple):** 3,005.895
- **EMA 21 (blue):** 3,002.328
- **EMA 50 (yellow):** 3,005.112
Price is currently **around $3,006.665**, just above the 7 EMA and 50 EMA, but very close to all EMAs—indicating potential consolidation or a decision point.
---
### 🧭 **Key Levels:**
#### **Support Zones:**
- **S1 (first support)**: Around 3,000 (yellow shaded zone)
- **S2 (second support)**: Below 2,980
#### **Resistance Zones:**
- **R1 (first resistance)**: Around 3,020
- **R2 (second resistance)**: Around 3,040–3,050
---
Potential Scenarios (Marked with Arrows)
**Bullish Case (Green Path):**
- Price breaks above **R1 (~3,020)**, confirming bullish strength.
- Next target would be **R2 (~3,040–3,050)**.
- Confirmation comes if price remains above EMA levels with increasing volume.
**Bearish Case (Red Paths):**
- Price fails to hold above EMAs and falls below **S1 (~3,000)**.
- Bearish momentum could drive it to **S2 (~2,980)** or even further down.
- Multiple bearish scenarios shown, including:
- False breakout above R1, then reversal.
- Gradual breakdown from current level, testing supports.
📉 **Volume Analysis:**
- Volume spikes align with volatile price moves.
- Recent volume is low, suggesting indecision—possibly waiting for breakout confirmation.
🧠 **Summary & Interpretation:**
- Market is in a **tight range**, trading near key EMAs.
- **Break above 3,020 = Bullish**, targeting 3,040+.
- **Drop below 3,000 = Bearish**, targeting 2,980 and lower.
- Watch for volume increase and EMA crossovers for confirmation.
XAUUSD Analysis Falling Wedge breakout Setup to Target🔍 1. Market Context & Structure
Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline, as evident from the aggressive bearish candles leading into the consolidation phase. Following this downward momentum, the market began to consolidate, forming a Falling Wedge pattern—a bullish reversal structure that often signals an impending upside breakout, especially after a strong bearish trend.
📉 2. Falling Wedge Pattern
The wedge is formed by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, containing price within lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how price is respecting both boundaries, confirming the validity of the pattern.
The pattern also features a series of higher lows, showing a loss of bearish momentum.
🟩 3. Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone: Around $3,035 to $3,045 — This level previously acted as a strong supply zone where price was rejected multiple times.
Support Zone: Around $2,972 to $2,985 — Clearly marked area where buyers stepped in strongly during the sharp pullback.
These levels are critical to observe for any breakout or breakdown confirmation.
📊 4. Trade Plan Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Bias:
Given the falling wedge setup and slowing bearish pressure, the trade idea favors a breakout to the upside.
🔵 Entry Point:
A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary (around $3,030–$3,035), ideally on strong bullish volume.
🎯 Target:
The first take profit level is marked at $3,078.438, aligning with a prior resistance and measured move projection from the wedge’s height.
🔴 Stop Loss:
Positioned just below the most recent swing low and wedge boundary at $3,013.707, offering protection if the breakout fails.
🧠 5. Why This Setup Matters
Wedge patterns are high-probability when they form after a sharp move, as seen here.
Volume confirmation on the breakout would solidify this as a reliable opportunity.
Risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, with a tight stop and a higher projected upside.
🧭 Conclusion
This is a textbook falling wedge breakout scenario. The consolidation after a bearish leg, narrowing price action, and repeated support reactions indicate that bulls are gearing up. If Gold breaks above the wedge with momentum, there’s potential to ride the move toward $3,078. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly.
XAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish MomentumXAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish Momentum in Play
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, currently trading at $3037 after a powerful rejection from the supply zone at $3017. It has successfully broken the previously long-standing resistance at $3033, confirming a potential shift in market sentiment.
With this breakout, I expect gold to continue its upward movement toward the following targets:
TP1: $3065 – where a major trendline resistance is in play.
TP2: $3100 – upon a successful break and close above $3065.
Note: A short-term retracement toward $3026 is possible before the bullish rally resumes.
Stay alert and manage risk accordingly. Price action and structure are favoring the bulls for now.
There's a Time to Trade and a Time to Watch Lately, the market has been in chaos – indices are dropping like there’s no tomorrow, and when it comes to Gold, what used to be a normal fluctuation of 100 pips has now turned into a 500-pip swing. In such a volatile environment, many traders feel compelled to be constantly active, believing that more trades mean more profit. But the truth is, there’s a time to trade and a time to watch.
Conservation of Capital is Essential 💰
The best traders understand that their capital is their lifeline. It’s not about making trades; it’s about making the right trades.
The market doesn’t reward effort; it rewards patience and precision.
Instead of jumping into mediocre setups, learn to appreciate the value of patience .
Every time you enter a trade that doesn’t meet your criteria, you risk your capital unnecessarily. And every loss chips away at your ability to capitalize on the real opportunities when they come. Capital preservation should be your priority.
Focus Only on A+ Signals 📌
Not every setup is worth your time and money. The goal should be to only enter positions that offer a clear edge – signals that you’ve identified as high-probability opportunities through your experience and strategy.
A + setups are those that offer:
• A clear technical pattern or setup you've mastered.
• A favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ideally 3:1 or better.
• Alignment with your overall strategy and market context.
If these criteria aren't met, it’s often better to do nothing. Waiting for the right setup and market conditions is part of the game.
The Power of Doing Nothing 🤫
Inaction is a skill. It requires discipline to avoid the urge to "force" trades. But the market will always be there tomorrow , and so will the opportunities.
By learning to watch rather than trade during uncertain or suboptimal conditions, you avoid unnecessary losses and conserve your capital for when the market truly presents an edge.
Conclusion 🚀
Trading is about quality, not quantity. Respect your capital and recognize that sometimes, the smartest move is to wait. Let the market be clear.
Remember, there’s a time to trade and a time to watch. Master this balance, and you’ll be miles ahead of most traders.
4/11 Gold Trading StrategyFresh High Above 3170 – Momentum Continues, but Chasing Longs Is Risky
Gold delivered a strong one-sided rally yesterday, rising from around 3078 to above 3170, setting a fresh short-term high. While CPI and jobless claims data were modestly bullish, most of the rally occurred before the data release, suggesting that the move was primarily technically driven rather than fundamentally triggered.
As we anticipated yesterday, the price did reach above 3170 , and as clearly stated, we did not recommend chasing long positions at those highs. This view remains unchanged today.
🔍【Technical Insights】
The recovery from 2955 back to 3160+ took just 2 sessions, versus 4 sessions for the prior drop from 3167 — a clear sign of momentum dominance.
The daily chart shows two strong bullish candles, typically a sign of follow-through potential.
However, new highs reached under this structure tend to attract profit-taking and possible pullbacks.
If a technical correction occurs, look to 3143–3128 as a meaningful support zone for long opportunities.
🎯【Today's Gold Trade Setup】
🔻Sell Zone: 3188 – 3215
Look for short entries near resistance after overextension
🔺Buy Zone: 3134 – 3112
Wait for a healthy pullback to consider long positions
🔄Range Zone: 3178 – 3143
Flexible trading range — favor quick in/out trades in the zone
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe:
As the 4CastMachine AI forecasted, the price began its decline towards the $3,000 support.
At the support area of 3000, the up trend line will also prevent further declines.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 2789.95.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
💡 H4 Timeframe:
Gold started its decline when it hit the 3167 resistance.
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 3000 and uptrend line could trigger a resumption of uptrend.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
If the price enters the sell zone with a corrective wave, we will wait for the price to reject from that area.
If we see a price rejection from the sell zone, we can sell.
H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the market trend on the trading chart continued to decline. However, it did not set a new low compared to the previous low point. Instead, the lows gradually showed an upward trend. Today, the crucial price level of 3,025 US dollars requires our close attention. Once it is successfully broken through, the market will continue to make an upward assault on the range between 3,045 and 3,055 US dollars. Overall, the current market is mainly characterized by a washout and sideways movement, and it is still too early for the price to reach its peak. Given the continuous impact of the trade conflicts, this will serve as a powerful factor driving the price of gold to new heights rather than causing the price of gold to collapse.
In particular, we must keep a close eye on the breakthrough of the 3,025 US dollars level. After this price level is broken through, we should focus on the pullback and confirmation movement. If the pullback does not break below this level, we can set the area below 2,980 US dollars as the stop-loss line. Under this premise, we can consider entering the market to go long, with the target set at the range between 3,040 and 3,045 US dollars, so as to capture the profit opportunities brought about by the rebound.
XAUUSD Outlook: Bull or Bear Move Ahead? Manage Risk📊 XAUUSD Market Insight 🌍
Gold is heating up once again, currently testing a tight range between 3080 and 3095. A breakout in either direction could set the tone for the next big move.
🔻 If price breaks below, we may see a slide toward 3060 and 3050—potential areas to watch for bearish momentum.
🔺 However, a strong push above 3095 could spark bullish energy, aiming for short-term targets at 3115 and 3127.
💡 Trade Smart
The market is full of opportunity, but don’t forget: risk management is key. Use proper position sizing, set clear stop-losses, and never overexpose your capital. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let the market come to you. 🧠💼