Trade UpdateGold’s strong bullish momentum has extended from the London session into the US session, invalidating our previous expectations. Our outlook has now shifted decisively to the upside for the yellow metal.
We are targeting an initial move to $3,500, with the potential for a new all-time high beyond that level.
However, we anticipate a short-term pullback to retest the falling trendline — now acting as support — before resuming its upward trajectory.
From the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the update on our 1H chart route map - playing out exactly as analysed.
We started the week with a bearish gap at 3352 being hit, followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3352, which opened up the next level at 3317, also hit perfectly.
Yesterday, we found support above the 3282 retracement level, leading to a solid bounce into 3317. However, there was no EMA5 lock above 3317, and price faced rejection today once again, pushing it back toward 3282.
We are now looking for support to hold above 3282 to give us fresh bounce opportunities and upper Goldturn tests. However, a lock below 3282 will open up lower levels as we move deeper into the retracement range.
We are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, in line with our plan to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups.
We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends.
Remember:
Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Sense of Fear?!
As the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are going today,
Gold shows clear signs of worry.
The market turned bullish after the opening and is currenty
breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily
that we discussed earlier.
To confirm the violation, we will need a daily candle close above that.
As the results of the talks are still unknown, more moves may occur today.
So the today's close will be very important.
Let's patiently wait.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
—
GOOD LUCK
persaxu
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
> 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference)
> 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone
> 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area
> 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level
> 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support
> 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support
> 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low
🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%):
The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket.
This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines:
Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%)
Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support)
: TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement.
: Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup:
Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone.
As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid.
Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
Will Gold drop to 3200 zone next week?🟡 1. What happened last week with Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold began last week by testing the 3350 resistance zone, hinting the end of the correction and the potential for an upside breakout.
However, in the following days, the market reversed aggressively, reaching as low as 3250 on Thursday — a drop of nearly 1000 pips from the local top and resistance zone.
After this sharp fall, Gold bounced back above 3300, retested the 3325–3330 area, but failed once again — closing the week below 3300.
❓ 2. Key question: Has the rebound ended or is it just a deeper trap?
The market has shown a fake-out followed by compression under resistance.
So the real question becomes: Will the 3280–3290 support finally give in, or will bulls defend it again?
________________________________________
🔻 3. Why I expect a continuation to the downside
Here’s what the chart structure tells us:
• Clear lower highs and lower lows — the trend remains bearish
• 3330 has turned into major confluence resistance
• Every bounce is sold, showing fading bullish momentum
• The support at 3280–3290 is being squeezed repeatedly
If 3280 breaks cleanly, price action will likely accelerate downward.
________________________________________
🧭 4. Trading Plan for Next Week
Focus remains on selling rallies, especially if price rises above 3300.
📉 Invalidation: any clean break and hold above 3330
🎯 Target Zones:
• 3250 = Soft target (first reaction zone)
• 3200 = Real target (bearish continuation zone if structure unfolds as expected)
Use structure, not emotion. Let the breakout confirm the plan.
________________________________________
🚀 5. Final thoughts
The price action around 3280 will likely set the tone for next week.
A breakdown here confirms the bearish structure and opens the door to 3250, then 3200.
Until then: sell rallies, manage risk, and wait for the chart to validate your edge.
Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Mind Mapping Breakout – MMC Strategy + Target📍 Overview:
In today's Gold (XAUUSD) 30-minute chart, we’re witnessing a flawless execution of MMC (Mind Mapping Concept) strategy combined with SMC (Smart Money Concept) principles. This is a perfect case study for traders who want to understand how psychology, curve-based support, and structural mapping come together to create a high-probability bullish setup.
🔍 Full Breakdown of the Chart
1. Initial Market Behavior: Liquidity Grab & Structural Shift
The market begins with a bearish drop, clearing liquidity below the previous consolidation.
This is followed by a QFL zone (Quick Flip Level), which acts as a smart money accumulation point.
Shortly after, price rebounds from the SR Interchange zone, where resistance transforms into support—a key MMC signal for upcoming structural shift.
🧠 Key Concept: Smart money often grabs liquidity before making a move. These zones are critical for identifying market reversals.
2. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Trend Logic
The Black Mind Curve is a dynamic support curve, not a traditional trendline. It represents how the market naturally flows, mapping out the collective psychology of buyers.
Price respects this curve multiple times, forming higher lows—each one stronger than the last.
This is where patient MMC traders build their positions, aligning entries with psychological market rhythm.
🔥 Why It Matters: While static lines may break under pressure, dynamic curves breathe with the market, providing more accurate structure support.
3. Structure Mapping – Tracking Market Intentions
Structure Mapping is one of the core MMC techniques—tracking the "story" price action is telling through:
BOS (Break of Structure)
QFL traps
SR interchanges
Internal higher-highs and higher-lows
The Major BOS line indicates a key shift in market direction from bearish to bullish, a confirmation point for trend-followers.
📌 Lesson: Once BOS is confirmed, the probability favors continuation rather than reversal.
4. Ellipse Trap – The Psychological Kill Zone
This blue-highlighted ellipse zone marks where retail traders often get manipulated—buying false breakouts or shorting fake reversals.
Price consolidates inside this ellipse before launching upwards.
MMC refers to this phase as the “After Effect”—where true momentum begins after psychological traps are triggered.
🎯 Insight: Never enter a trade inside the ellipse unless you clearly understand market context—it’s where the market “confuses the masses.”
5. VIP Zone – The High-Probability Entry Window
The VIP zone is a small but powerful price area where risk is minimized, and reward is maximized.
It aligns with the curve, inner structure support, and BOS retest. This is your ideal entry zone, especially for those using curve-based confirmations.
🔑 Pro Tip: This is the sniper entry for MMC traders. Small SL, big reward. Enter after internal confirmation like pin bars or bullish engulfing.
6. Target Zone & Next Reversal Area
After the explosive breakout, price hits the projected target marked clearly on the chart.
The move aligns with prior imbalance zones and market inefficiencies, filling previous gaps.
The market is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone, highlighted in blue—this is where MMC traders start watching for signs of exhaustion.
📉 What to Watch:
Slowing bullish candles
Bearish divergence on RSI or momentum indicators
Sudden spikes in volume with no further upside
📚 Key MMC Concepts in This Chart:
Concept Description
QFL Zone Quick Flip Level; a liquidity trap zone before reversals.
Black Mind Curve Curved support line reflecting psychological market flow.
Structure Mapping Tracking HH/HL and BOS to define clear market bias.
Ellipse Trap Market maker zone used to trap and reverse retail traders.
VIP Entry Zone The safest and most efficient entry after structure confirmation.
Next Reversal Zone Anticipated resistance based on confluence of previous S/R and imbalance.
🧠 Strategic Conclusion:
This analysis perfectly illustrates how combining SMC with MMC enhances your trading edge. It’s not about predicting price, but understanding structure, reading psychology, and entering at high-probability points.
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, using curve-based mapping like the Black Mind Curve gives you a fluid understanding of price, beyond rigid lines and lagging indicators.
💡 Final Thoughts:
📈 Follow the Story, Not the Noise.
📉 Enter Where It Makes Sense, Exit Where Others Get Emotional.
⚡ Use MMC to Read What the Market is Really Saying.
✅ Action Plan:
🔍 Monitor price in the Next Reversal Zone.
📉 Look for exhaustion signals before considering shorts.
🟢 If bullish continuation holds above target zone, next micro-level target would be derived from 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Gold’s Big Heist—Will You Join the Loot or Get Robbed?🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Swing & Scalp Strategy) 🔥
🌟 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🌟
Ready to loot the gold market? 🏆💰 Based on Thief Trading Style analysis (technical + fundamental), here’s how we execute the heist on XAU/USD—escape with profits before the bears trap us!
📈 ENTRY: The Heist Begins!
"Break the Wall!" Wait for RESISTANCE (3370.00) to crack, then strike!
2 Ways to Rob:
✅ Buy Stop above Moving Average (breakout confirmation)
✅ Buy Limit near pullback zones (15m/30m recent swing lows)
Pro Tip: Set a chart alert 🚨—don’t miss the breakout!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot!
"Yo, listen! If you’re buying after breakout, DO NOT set SL until price confirms!
Thief’s SL Rule: Place at recent swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Rebels, beware! 🔥 Your risk, your rules… but don’t cry if the market robs you back!
🎯 TARGET: Escape Like a Pro
Main Take Profit: 3480.00 (or exit early if the market turns shady!)
Scalpers: Only LONG plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the trend & split the loot wisely! 💰
⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing stops = your best friend to protect profits.
💎 WHY THIS HEIST?
XAU/USD Trend: Neutral (but bullish potential! 🐂)
Key Drivers: Geopolitics, COT data, macro trends—do your homework! 🌍📰
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
Like this plan? Smash the Boost Button! 🔥 Helps us steal more profits & share next robbery targets! Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🎯🤝
🎉 Happy Trading, Thieves! May the market favor your loot! �💸
XAUUSD: Analysis and Strategy on June 2Technical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3322
One-hour chart resistance 3360, support below 3322
Analysis of gold news: Gold prices fell last Friday and the US dollar rose. The market digested the latest news on tariff developments, and a weaker inflation report kept hopes of a US interest rate cut alive. After the federal appeals court temporarily restored Trump's tariffs on Thursday, tariffs may once again influence the market this week. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will also give an opening speech at an event, his first speech since meeting with Trump last week. At the same time, several Federal Reserve officials spoke this week. Gold prices may continue to test the middle track of the Bollinger Band near 3300 this week. If geopolitical tensions ease, it is expected to test near 3250.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the 3322 level of the four-hour level, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the 3412 level of the daily level. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3250. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to enter with the trend.
Buy: 3322near SL: 3317
Buy: 3350near SL: 3345
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(26-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (26-05-2025)
Current price- 3336
"if Price stays below 3350, then next target is 3326, 3315, 3300 and 3285 and above that 3370 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Today's gold price: long target 3360Today's gold price: long target 3360
On June 2, affected by the trade tensions caused by the Trump administration's substantial increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs, the international gold price rose.
Superimposed war factors: the situation between Russia and Ukraine has re-emerged, Ukraine attacked the Russian airport, and the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks have once again turned to wait-and-see, which is good for gold prices.
Today, focus on the breakthrough of the 3320-3330 range pressure level.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The gold price cycle forms a resonant head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the pattern is close to the end of the pressure range.
Next, focus on the upward breakthrough. Once an effective breakthrough is formed, it means that the tariff issue and the war dispute will be considered to be further fermented.
Then the gold price will most likely hit 3360 points again on Monday.
But we need to be wary of today's gap to prevent the gap from being filled.
Gold trading strategy:
1: The 3300-3310 range is a strong support level. As long as the gold price is above 3300 points, I think we should take the idea of going long at a low price, and the stop loss is set at 3295-3290 points.
2: The 3320-3330 range is a strong pressure point. As long as the gold price is below 3330, I think we should be alert to the possible decline at any time, forming a narrow range of fluctuations, or a sharp decline to fill the gap. Then the advice for trading is to refuse to short, be cautious in shorting, and try to short.
Gold XAUUSD Weekly forecast 2-6 June 2025Observations:
Price has been respecting a clear descending trendline since late April, with multiple touches and rejections.
A significant supply zone around the 3,330 level aligns with the trendline resistance, increasing confluence for a potential reversal.
The market has formed lower highs consistently, suggesting bearish pressure is building up.
A horizontal demand/support level around 3,125 (previous swing low) is the primary target in case of a bearish breakout.
Volume and structure suggest distribution, further supporting bearish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price retests and rejects the 3,330 resistance level again next week, especially with a wick rejection or bearish engulfing candle:
Expect downside continuation toward 3,125, aligning with a ~1500 pip target.
This move would represent a ~5% drop from current levels.
Trading Plan / Signal:
Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: Between 3,320 – 3,330 (upon bearish confirmation e.g., bearish engulfing or shooting star)
Stop Loss: Above 3,350 (just above trendline and invalidation zone)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,250
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,200
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,150/25
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3+
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and retest above 3,350 would invalidate the setup and may suggest a reversal toward 3,500.
Fundamental Consideration:
No major geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks should occur to maintain this bearish bias. Any high-impact news could cause volatility, so monitor the economic calendar closely.
Please follow, like, comment and share.
XAUUSD - Key Inflection Point AheadLooking at this gold spot chart, the precious metal appears to be consolidating within a defined range after experiencing significant volatility throughout May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the marked support zone around $3,250-$3,260, following a recent pullback from higher levels. Given the technical setup and the proximity to this key support area, there's a strong probability that gold will retest this support zone in the coming sessions. This retest will be critical in determining the next directional move - if the support holds and buyers step in, we could see a bounce back toward the upside targeting previous resistance levels, potentially challenging the recent highs. However, if the support fails to hold under selling pressure, gold could continue its downward trajectory, opening the door for further declines toward lower support levels. The market's reaction at this support zone will likely dictate whether the current consolidation resolves bullishly or bearishly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youAnalysis of the Original Text: Drivers of Gold Price and Logic of Bull-Bear Game
I. Fed Policy Expectations: The Core Catalyst for Short-Term Volatility
1.The Game Between Internal Divergence and Market ExpectationsThe divergence within the Fed on the path of interest rate cuts reflects uncertainties in monetary policy:
- Dovish camp (Daly): Explicitly supports two rate cuts by the end of 2025, conveying a loose tendency, which is bullish for gold (precious metals generally benefit from low-interest-rate environments).
- Hawkish camp (Logan): Emphasizes data dependency, implying a high threshold for rate cuts, which may suppress market speculative sentiment.Currently, market expectations for a rate cut in June are extremely low (2.2%), but the probability of a rate cut in September exceeds 80%, reflecting the market's preference for a "delayed easing" logic. This divergence in expectations may lead to short-term volatility in gold prices while maintaining an upward central trend in the long term.
2.The "Watershed" Role of Nonfarm Payroll DataThe May nonfarm payroll data to be released on June 6 is a key factor for short-term pricing:
- If the data is weak (new jobs <150,000 + slow wage growth): It will strengthen market concerns about an economic slowdown, and expectations for rate cuts may heat up ahead of schedule, pushing gold prices above the $3,320 resistance level (corresponding to a technical breakout point for changed Fed policy expectations).
- If the data is strong (new jobs >200,000): It may delay rate cut expectations and trigger short-term selling, with gold prices possibly falling to $3,250 (corresponding to the previous support level and the cost range of the People's Bank of China's gold purchases).Underlying logic: Nonfarm payroll data affects gold through expectations of real interest rates (nominal rates - inflation). Since gold does not generate interest, a decline in real interest rates reduces holding costs, tending to push prices higher.
II. Gold Purchases by the People's Bank of China: A "Safety Cushion" for Long-Term Bulls
1.The Strategic Significance of Sustained Purchases
- As of April 2025, China's gold reserves reached 2,294.51 tons, with net purchases for seven consecutive months, approaching the psychological threshold of 2,300 tons. Such purchases feature a clear "buy-the-dip" strategy, creating dense buying support in the $3,250-$3,300 range and forming technical support (similar to institutional investors' "dollar-cost averaging" strategy to smooth out price fluctuations).
- If gold purchase data continues to show net purchases in May (expected +2 tons), it will signal that "central banks are bullish on gold," potentially attracting follow-on buying (e.g., commercial banks, sovereign funds) and strengthening the long-term upward trend.
2.The Structural Support from the Global Central Bank Gold Buying TideIn Q1 2025, global central banks purchased over 300 tons of gold net, with emerging markets (China, Poland, India, etc.) as the main buyers, reflecting the enhanced strategic value of gold as a reserve asset against the backdrop of de-dollarization. This trend is different from short-term speculation, being long-term and persistent, providing a "bottom-raising" impetus for gold prices, especially during Fed policy vacuums (e.g., June-September).
IV. Conclusion: Consolidation Phase, Focus on "Data Breakthrough" and "Central Bank Allocation"
Gold is currently in a balance between "policy expectation games" and "central bank gold purchase support." The short-term direction depends on the "marginal changes" in nonfarm data, while the long term is driven by global de-dollarization and central bank asset allocation needs. Investors should set observation windows at key levels ($3,250/$3,300/$3,325), dynamically adjust positions by combining macro events and technical signals, and avoid excessive trading in volatile markets.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Loading — Breakout or Breakdown?”
👋 Welcome back traders — let’s decode the H1 battlefield together.
Gold is currently consolidating just under the 3290–3300 magnet, after a slow Friday close. The chart shows clear lower highs and rejection from premium, with multiple CHoCHs confirming bearish intent. However, price hasn’t fully broken below key H1 structure yet, holding just above equilibrium support.
We’re sitting in a coiled market — liquidity has built on both sides. Monday will likely give us the breakout.
🔹 Current Bias
🔻 Bearish bias while under 3308
📉 Structure shows CHoCH → BOS → LH, all under premium
🧭 Price is compressing between 3300 resistance and 3270 support
🔹 Refined Structural Zones (Realistic Width)
🔺 Key Resistance Zones (Upside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔺 Minor OB Rejection 3295 – 3308 Local OB + premium zone → first reaction area
🔺 Inducement Trap 3315 – 3335 Clean liquidity pocket → likely wick spike trap if retested
🔺 Extended Premium Zone 3340 – 3360 Final resistance from May → only valid if HH breaks
🔻 Key Support Zones (Downside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔹 Equilibrium Hold 3270 – 3250 Current floor. If broken, momentum shifts hard down
🔻 CHoCH + FVG Fill 3235 – 3212 BOS zone + inefficiency. Logical sell-side draw
🔵 Discount Demand Zone 3185 – 3160 Last HL + OB. Major reaction zone for swing reentry
🔹 EMA Flow (Momentum Outlook)
❗ Price is below all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) = bearish stacked pressure
EMA100/200 are bending — momentum is confirming bearish tilt
Only a sharp move above 3308 will flip momentum short-term
🧠 Tactical Scenarios for Monday:
🔻 Sell Bias Active:
Rejection from 3295–3308 = possible LH → short down to 3250
Break of 3250 → continuation leg toward 3212 and 3185
🔁 Trap and Flip (Low Probability):
Price breaks above 3308 and holds → possible squeeze into 3335
Confirm with BOS + bullish PA on M15-H1
🔚 Summary:
Gold on H1 is coiled tightly inside mid-premium, and structure is now pointing slightly bearish. If we stay under 3308, the path of least resistance is down. If bulls trap sellers and break above, 3335 becomes the target.
Let price reveal its intent — you trade from clean structure, not from bias.
💬 Was this helpful?
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry levels, bias shifts, and clean trade maps
👍 Like if you're waiting for confirmation before reacting
👇 Comment below: Will we flush into 3212 — or spike 3335 first?
See you in the charts.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025"Premium Exhaustion, CHoCH Confirmed — Is the Reversal Loading?"
👋 What’s up, traders — let’s break down the 4H structure for Monday flow.
The 4H chart shows gold consolidating tightly around equilibrium (~3289) after a failed attempt to reclaim the premium zone. Price created a Lower High (LH) at 3360 and printed multiple CHoCHs + BOS to the downside. We are now seeing short-term distribution inside a narrow range, with supply active around 3296–3302 and liquidity building below.
The market is showing signs of internal weakness: smart money has absorbed buyers in premium, and price is rotating lower, looking for fresh liquidity.
🔹 Market Structure (H4)
Structure Element Level / Detail
Trend Shift Bearish (CHoCH + LH)
Current Price ~3289 (equilibrium)
Major LH 3360
Confirmed CHoCHs Multiple — last seen on May 30
Short-Term Flow Bearish compression toward discount
🔹 Key H4 Zones (Refined)
📍 Zone Name Level (Rounded) Confluence
🔺 H4 Supply Block 3296 – 3302 OB + internal FVG rejection zone — short trigger area if retested
🔺 Final Inducement Trap 3326 – 3340 LH zone — liquidity inducement if price spikes early in the session
🔹 Intraday Support Zone 3274 – 3270 EQ edge – support under current price, bounce or break zone
🔻 Breakout Sell Zone 3244 – 3232 CHoCH/BOS zone → clean sell-side continuation if broken
🔵 Discount Buy Area 3188 – 3172 Deep FVG fill + May structure low → possible long reentry zone
🔹 EMA Flow (5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200)
⚠️ EMA5 crossed under 21 + 50 → short-term bear confirmation
✅ Price is under EMA21 and EMA50 — bearish control
🛑 EMA200 (3172) sits near discount demand → strong reaction likely if reached
🔹 Game Plan for Monday (Execution Bias)
🔻 Sell Setup #1 (Scalp to Swing):
If price retests 3296–3302 → look for bearish PA → short toward 3244
If that breaks → continuation target = 3188
🔺 Buy Setup (Low-Probability Until Reclaim):
Buy only valid below 3188 on strong bullish PA or LTF CHoCH
Aggressive long possible only above 3340, but that invalidates LH
🔚 Summary:
Gold on the 4H is rotating bearish — premium has rejected, CHoCHs confirmed, and EMA structure is rolling over. Price is compressing just under supply, signaling a potential breakdown to clear sell-side liquidity.
Your edge this week lies in patiently waiting for retests of broken structure or rejection from clean OB zones.
💬 If This Helped You:
💡 Drop a LIKE if this gave you clarity on the H4 rotation
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for real-time execution plans and sniper entries
👇 Comment your view: Will 3244 break first — or are we bouncing at 3270?
Let’s stay tactical this week.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – June 2–6, 2025“Lower High Locked In – Is Gold Ready to Retrace?”
👋 Hello traders — welcome to a new week with GoldFxMinds.
After weeks of strong bullish momentum, gold finally showed its first real sign of weakness. Price reached a weekly high of 3356 but failed to continue higher toward April’s ATH at 3500, forming a clean Lower High (LH). The weekly candle closed with a long upper wick and bearish body — a strong signal that buyers are losing steam inside the premium zone.
We now shift into a corrective posture, watching closely to see if gold wants to rebalance down into true structure zones.
🔹 Market Context & Structure
📍 Detail Status
Macro Bias Bullish (ATH = 3500, April)
Current Trend Weakening – LH formed last week
Weekly Close 3289, under EMA5
Momentum Shift First rejection after vertical rally
Structure Warning Clean LH under ATH confirms retracement probability
🔹 EMA Overview (5/21/50)
✅ EMA Stack: Bullish
⚠️ Price closed under EMA5 (~3288) = first warning
📍 EMA21 near 3076 — next key level for reaction
🛑 Below EMA21 → full retracement likely toward 3040–3038
🔹 Refined Weekly Zones (Precision-Mapped)
📍 Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3335 – 3348 Last week’s wick area — short-term supply, expect reaction if retested.
🔺 Inducement Zone 3368 – 3405 Unfilled FVG + internal liquidity. Valid only if HH forms.
🔹 Support Zone #1 3112 – 3098 Monthly PNL + OB. Watch for intraday bounce if price flushes.
🔹 Support Zone #2 3062 – 3040 Clean weekly OB + FVG. Strongest buy zone if retracement deepens.
🧭 Under 3040 = next macro structure at 2638 (last HL)
🔹 Weekly Game Plan
If early spike into 3335–3348 → monitor for rejection wick → possible short setup
Break of 3245 (last weekly low) → opens path toward 3110 then 3062
Entry on 3062–3040 → valid only if PA confirms (rejection wick, BOS on LTF)
Continuation long only if 3368–3405 is broken and held → target ATH (3500)
🔚 Summary:
Gold printed a Lower High last week — the first since the macro breakout. That’s a critical signal. With premium already tapped and liquidity cleared above 3300, price may now retrace into real structure, offering better long setups lower.
Let the market come to you. Don’t force buys near distribution zones. Watch the 3110 and 3062 areas — that’s where clean structure begins.
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💭 Comment below: Is this Lower High the start of June’s retracement?
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— GoldFxMinds