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XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD – July 14, 2025 – Full Tactical Battle Plan🧠 I. Market Overview & Directional Bias: 📌 Bias: Bullish-Intraday With Potential Trap Today’s price action formed a V-reversal spike low at 3353.75, clearing out stop clusters below FVG and VWAP. Followed by aggressive absorption just under 3358.5 major resistance. Volume divergence shows declining sell pressure with rising absorption on the footprint charts. 📚 Schabacker’s logic: This move resembles a classic “shakeout below support” followed by recovery—setting a trap for late sellers. 🔍 II. Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔥 5m & 15m: Bullish engulfing with wick rejection on VWAP level. Price reclaimed 61.8% Fibo and holding above Golden VWAP Zone at 3357.45. Delta spike showing buyer control with low negative absorption. 🕐 1H: Price broke above prior consolidation range. POC (3357.45) and VWAP holding. Order flow confirms buying strength, but hesitant above 3359.5. ⏳ 4H & Daily: Strong bullish candle on daily session. 4H is showing early signs of imbalance fill and distribution between 3360–3366. VAH = 3365.52 – watch for rejection here. 🎯 III. Key Levels of Interest (All Cairo Time): Type Level Commentary 🔴 Support 3353.75 Spike Low – Stop Hunt 🟠 VWAP 3357.45 Daily VWAP – Golden Zone 🟢 Resistance 3361.91 / 3365.52 Key FVRP Supply, VAH 🟣 Target Extension 3368.60 / 3373.91 Final extension targets 🎭 Market Maker Setup – Liquidity Psychology Friday’s action was pure accumulation under VWAP, followed by stop hunt sweep today at 3353. Current bounce = engineered rally to fill orders at premium. MM likely to: Push into 3361–3366 trap zone. Reject and pull back to VWAP or Breakout above 3366 to trigger Buy Stops (blowoff top), then reverse. 🎓 Schabacker: "Congestion and false breakouts near key levels are traps for emotional traders." This is classic trap anatomy forming. 🧱 IV. Recommended Hedge Plan 🟢 Long Setup Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 TP: 3368.60 SL: 3356.00 Confidence: 78% 🔴 Short Hedge (Trap/Fade Setup) Order Type: Sell Limit Entry: 3365.50 TP: 3353.80 SL: 3369.50 Confidence: 65% 🧠 Long = higher probability. Confluence at VWAP reclaim + absorption + breakout pattern. 💎 Jewel Trade Entry – Today’s Best Setup Entry Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 SL: 3356.00 TP: 3368.60 Time: Between 10:30 – 11:00 Cairo Confidence: 82% Justification: Breakout of micro range. Trapped shorts below VWAP. Buyers absorbing all dips. “False breakdown / true reversal” pattern.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
My B.B.C.This Big Beautiful Chart or B.B.C.™ shows possible extensions for this wave, when extending into all time highs there's not a lot to go on, but the 1.618 fib extension is my go-to. Paired with RSI and trend channels you can start to get an idea of where resistance and pullbacks may be. RSI has bearish divergence so it appears we are losing investor confidence at this price level, upper movement to the next level will require some powerful news like rate cuts or more tariffs. Canada and Mexico produce 330 tonnes of gold annually while the USA produces 160 so these tariffs could very well lift the price even higher like they did with copper
TVC:GOLD
by PoorMemory
GOLD Remains BullishPrice made a HH at 3365, confirming structure shift back to bullish. The last HL is at 3305, making it the protected level for bulls. H4 OB: 3305–3322 (origin of the recent impulsive leg — ideal pullback zone) Supply Zone: 3432–3445 (next unmitigated supply target) Bullish if price pulls into demand zone and holds, expect continuation to 3432+ H1 OB: 3325– 3335 (potential re-entry zone) Watch for reaction on pull back M15 Micro bullish flow is intact; price is consolidating around 3360 Breakout Buy: M15 BOS above 3365 with retest = entry trigger 🟢Entry Zone: 3325– 3335 SL: Below 3305 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3432 TP3: 3445
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dynamic-Dani
Gold #gold god currency Doesn't restore to earthly realm default i.e safe heaven (haven)🌠 RALLY & correction 🪽Trade wars ✒️ Tariffs threat's stocks 🪽Geopolitics war's i.e rising lion ✒️ Loose confidence fiat & bond 🪽 Inflation concern i.eFed talk 🪽 central banks buying gold i.e french bank ✒️ Institution money invested in gold Technical analysis ☄️ H/H $3500 L/L $2828 #intergalactic 💌Trend line Support $3285 $3245 $3120 @gold_pullback $2958 $2828 Rally I $2536 Rally base $2958 Rally II. $2958 to $3500 🔗Swings A trend is over if recent swing is beyond/below previous swing Bullish continuation patterns 🌻$3360 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🍁 #Bullish flag 🏁support $3285 🌻$3450 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🦸 bullish falling 🌠 wedge
TVC:GOLDLong
by bria5
Gold Trade plan 07/07/2025Dear Trader, ✅ Symbol: Gold vs. US Dollar (XAUUSD) ✅ Timeframe: 4H ✅ Date: July 7, 2025 ✅ Technical Overview: 🔹 Price is forming a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. 🔹 A key support zone lies between $3245–3260, marked by the blue area. 🔹 Price has bounced from this zone and the ascending trendline (black), as shown by the red circle. 🔹 Main scenario: A potential bullish bounce toward the upper triangle resistance or even breakout (blue arrow). 🔻 Invalidation Level: $3,244.85 If this level breaks to the downside, the bullish setup will be invalidated, with possible targets at $3200 and $3100. 📉 RSI is currently between 38 and 49, not oversold yet, but near dynamic support. ✍️ Conclusion: Holding above the current support area could trigger an upward move. A break below $3245 would likely lead to further downside. The current price area offers a favorable risk-reward for bullish positions. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by alirezak
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building. 🔍 Key SMC Observations: Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves. Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution. Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270. 📍Trade Setup Idea: Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter. Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level) Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. 🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,805.780, reflecting a decrease of $30.660 (-0.92%). Key levels include a sell price of $3,305.390 and a buy price of $3,305.940. The chart highlights recent volatility with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,344.320. The time frame spans from late June to early July 2025, with the latest data point at 02:41:15 on July 8, 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
XAU/USD – Watching Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Potential LoAfter a strong bullish impulse from the 3,297 zone to the 3,347 high, gold is currently undergoing a technical pullback. 🔍 **Key Levels to Watch:** * 📉 38.2% Fib: **3,327** * ⚖️ 50% Fib: **3,321** (Current area of interest) * 🛡️ 61.8% Fib: **3,315** – strong potential support zone The price is now testing the 50% level. If bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing or breakout candle) appears around the **3,321–3,315** zone, this may present a **high-probability long opportunity**. 🎯 **Trade Idea:** * **Entry Zone:** 3,321 – 3,315 * **Stop Loss:** Below 3,312 * **Target 1:** Retest of 3,347 * **Target 2:** Extension toward 3,355 ⚠️ **Invalidation:** A clear break below 3,312 could open the door for deeper retracement toward the 78.6% level at 3,306.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by saal_eliyahu
XAU/USD 08 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Demand Zones | Break of Structure | Targeting Liquidity Above ✅ Bullish Structure: Price is forming higher lows, confirming a bullish internal structure after sweeping the lower demand zone. 🟦 Key Demand Zones: First Demand Zone: 3,320 – 3,330 (short-term mitigation zone) Second Demand Zone: 3,260 – 3,280 (HTF imbalance + liquidity sweep) 📌 Internal Break of Structure (iBOS): Recent bullish reaction from 3,260 demand created an iBOS above minor highs. Signals accumulation and smart money re-entry. 🔵 Target: 3,447.97 – buy-side liquidity resting above swing highs. --- 🎯 Trade Setup: Buy Entry (Confirmed): 3,325–3,330 Stop Loss: 3,315 Take Profit: 3,447
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 7✅Gold opened weakly during the Asian session today, with prices dropping nearly $40 in early trading—likely due to technical selling pressure from above. The rebound once again failed to break the key 3345 resistance level, which serves as the neckline of the previous “M-top” pattern formed at the 3365 high. This level has become a clear resistance zone. If gold continues to struggle below this line, the short-term trend remains biased toward consolidation with a bearish tone. ✅ 4-Hour Chart Structure: Since retreating from the 3365 high, multiple rebound attempts have been capped around the 3345 area. Last Friday, a second rally failed at the mid-Bollinger Band and closed lower, forming a local double-top pattern. This morning’s rebound to 3342 was again rejected, confirming continued downward pressure in this area. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Structure: After the release of last week's non-farm payrolls data, gold formed a short-term double top. After breaking the neckline, the rebound lacked momentum, reaffirming that sellers dominate near resistance. In the short term, bearish pressure remains in control. ✅ Key Technical Levels: 🔴Short-term Resistance: 3325–3330 🔴Major Resistance Zone: 3345 (M-top neckline) 🔴Strong Resistance: 3365 (M-top peak) 🟢Short-term Support: 3305 🟢Critical Support: 3295 🟢A break below 3295 could open further downside toward 3275 or even 3246 ✅Intraday Trading Strategy: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: Consider layering into short positions around the 3325–3330 area. Stop-loss: 8–10 $ Targets: 3310–3300; if 3300 breaks, watch for a move toward 3295 🔺 Long Position Strategy: If price pulls back and stabilizes around 3295–3298, consider layering into long positions. Stop-loss: 8–10 $ Targets: 3305–3315; if 3315 breaks, look for a move toward 3325 ✅Strategy Summary & Outlook: Gold remains in a broad high-level consolidation phase, with frequent short-term shifts between bullish and bearish sentiment. We recommend a range-trading approach—selling on rallies and buying on dips—while closely monitoring whether the 3345–3350 resistance zone is breached. This key area will likely determine the directional breakout this week. ✅Maintain disciplined risk management, avoid chasing moves, and stay alert to intraday momentum shifts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tsvubifpw0988
GOLD Breakout or Fakeout? Thief’s Guide to Safely Rob the Move!🏆 XAU/USD Master Plan: Loot the Bullish Rally Before the Bearish Trap!💨💰 🌟 Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💸 🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Alert 🔥 Time to execute our gold heist on XAU/USD! Based on technical + fundamental looting tactics, here’s the play: 📈 ENTRY ZONES (4H TIMEFRAME) BUY: Sneak in at Market Maker’s Buy Zone (Pullback Entries Only!). SELL: "The vault’s wide open!"—Ambush bearish traps at risky highs (Red Zone). 🛑 STOP-LOSS (THIEF RULES) Hide your SL at: Past key lows OR nearest swing low (4H). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, & robbery multiplier. 🎯 TARGET: 3525.00 (OR ESCAPE EARTHER!) Scalpers: Long-side only! Trail your SL to lock loot. Swing Thieves: Join forces—big pockets or small, execute the plan! ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY TRAPS! Avoid new trades during news. Use trailing SL to protect stolen profits. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL LOOT LIST (READ BEFORE HEIST!) COT Report, Macro Data, Sentiment Outlook—Link in bi0! 🔗🤙🏻👉🏻👉🏻 Gold’s bullish now… but robbers adapt fast! 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN = STRONGER GANG! Hit 👍 & Share—More boosts = More gold stolen daily! Stay tuned… Next heist drops soon! 🚀🐱‍👤
VELOCITY:GOLD
by Thief_Trader