XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Friday, spot gold saw a slight rebound and regained the $3,320 level during the North American trading session. However, it showed a volatile trend throughout the week. The trend for next week remains bullish. The market interprets the US - UK trade agreement as a "hollow agreement". Coupled with Trump's tariff remarks ahead of the upcoming high - level talks among major economies over the weekend, the risk - averse sentiment has heated up again, providing support for the gold price. Pay attention to the support level at $3,300 below. Wait for a pullback to go long.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3300-3320
TP:3340-3360-3400
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD Gold Trade Setup – Buy & Sell Zones | 2H Chart AnalysisThis XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 2-hour chart analysis outlines a short-term swing trading plan using key supply and demand zones. Price has reacted from the Buy Zone (3197–3216) and is showing signs of bullish reversal. The target is the Sell Zone (3347–3363).
✅ Trade Plan:
🔽 Buy Entry:
Zone: 3,197 – 3,216 USD
Trigger: Bullish candle breakout above the falling trendline
Confirmation: Retest of breakout with bullish price action
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3,302 (mid-range level)
TP2: 3,347 (Sell Zone bottom)
TP3: 3,363 (Sell Zone top)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below 3,190 or latest swing low
🔼 Sell Setup (optional):
Zone: 3,347 – 3,363 USD
Look for bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top)
Target retrace back to 3,302 or 3,260 area
XAUUSD Macro & Equity Market Overview:
Global equities are showing signs of fragility following a strong rally, with the S&P 500 down 0.8%, the Nasdaq 100 off 0.9%, and the Dow Jones losing nearly 390 points. Weakness was broad, with Russell 2000 (-1.1%) underperforming, indicating rising risk aversion toward small caps. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) spiked 4.7% to 24.76, reinforcing the shift to defensive positioning.
Key drivers include renewed concerns over Trump’s tariff rhetoric, which hit pharma and trade-sensitive sectors, and an apparent stall in momentum after a multi-session rebound. Fed rate expectations remain a key overhang — traders are waiting for the Federal Reserve’s next move while the U.S. 10Y yield holds above 4.31%, showing sticky long-term inflation expectations. Germany’s political instability adds to risk-off sentiment in Europe.
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Oil (WTI/Brent) – Day Trading Outlook:
Crude oil (WTI) is trading around $58.67, having bounced 4% from recent multi-year lows triggered by OPEC+ supply announcements and economic concerns. The U.S. shale outlook has turned structurally bearish, as noted earlier, with capital expenditure and rig count cuts signaling a near-term production rollover. This underpins a medium-term bullish case.
For intraday traders, today's move matters because oil has recovered above the psychological $58 level, with Brent back at $62.59. Volatility is elevated, and the price action suggests a reversal from oversold conditions. Energy sector ETFs (XLE) were flat despite market-wide weakness, signaling possible rotation back into oil stocks. Watch for upside continuation above $59.50 WTI, with a likely target zone around $61.20–61.80 intraday if risk appetite stabilizes.
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S&P 500 – Day Trading Outlook: Technically Heavy, Breadth Deteriorating
The S&P 500 closed at 5,606, down 43 points, with negative breadth across almost every major sector. The only strength came from Utilities (XLU +1.2%), underscoring a defensive rotation, while Technology (XLK -0.8%), Financials (XLF -0.6%), and Health Care (XLV -2.8%) led to the downside.
Market internals suggest further downside is likely unless bond yields soften or volatility retreats. The S&P 500 is struggling at 5,600–5,640, and intraday resistance sits at 5,630–5,650. A break below 5,585 opens downside toward 5,545–5,500 in the short term.
Key bearish indicators:
High-yield credit (HYG) is flat to negative.
Small-cap underperformance.
U.S. equity factors: value, core, and growth all showing -0.8% to -0.9% performance in every size bucket.
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XAU didnt change from weekend.
The U.S. 10Y and 30Y yields remain above 4.3% and 4.7% respectively, capping gold’s upside, but risk-off sentiment and volatility (VIX > 24) are providing strong tailwinds.
GOLD China’s massive gold purchases carry significant geopolitical implications that reshape global economic and financial power dynamics:
1. Dedollarization and Reduced US Dollar Dominance
China’s aggressive gold accumulation is a core part of its strategy to reduce dependence on the US dollar amid rising geopolitical tensions and economic decoupling. By increasing gold reserves-while sharply cutting US Treasury holdings-China aims to insulate itself from dollar-related risks such as sanctions or asset freezes, as highlighted by the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict experience. This shift undermines the dollar’s global reserve currency status and supports the emergence of a more multipolar currency system.
2. Enhanced Sovereignty and Financial Security
Gold provides China with a tangible, sovereign asset that cannot be frozen or devalued by foreign powers. This strengthens China’s economic autonomy and resilience against external pressures, especially amid ongoing US-China trade conflicts and Taiwan tensions. Physical gold reserves bolster confidence in China’s currency (yuan) and financial system, helping to back efforts to internationalize the yuan and reduce reliance on Western financial infrastructure.
3. Geopolitical Influence and Economic Restructuring
China’s gold market dominance is part of a broader “economic divorce” from the West, reflecting deglobalization trends and the formation of alternative trading and financial systems led by BRICS and allied nations. By controlling significant gold supplies and refining capacity, China gains leverage in global commodity markets and strengthens its geopolitical influence, challenging US-led economic order.
4. Impact on Global Financial Markets and US Economy
China’s gold buying fuels a “virtuous cycle” for itself but a “vicious cycle” for the US: rising gold prices in dollar terms signal dollar weakness, prompting further diversification away from dollar assets, reducing demand for US Treasuries, pushing US bond yields higher, and increasing US borrowing costs. This dynamic pressures US fiscal stability and economic growth.
5. Strategic Resource Control and Long-Term Planning
The recent discovery of a massive gold deposit in China’s Hunan province (over 1,100 tonnes) further strengthens China’s position, potentially boosting reserves by 44% and reducing reliance on imports. This strategic resource control enhances China’s ability to influence global gold supply and pricing, reinforcing its geopolitical and economic ambitions.
Gold Swing Short Trade Setup**Gold Market Analysis: Potential Reversal Formation**
Gold is finally showing strong signs of a potential top formation after an extended bullish run. After weeks of anticipation, yesterday's price action delivered a significant rejection candle at the psychologically important 3500 level, which could indicate the reversal signal we've been waiting for.
It's essential to recognize that in a robust bullish rally, tops can take longer to form than initially expected, as we've observed recently. The market often exhibits both time and price extensions in such conditions. Nevertheless, the rejection at 3500 in conjunction with the current technical setup suggests that we may be seeing a reversal pattern taking shape.
**Trading Perspective:**
From a trading standpoint, I am currently awaiting a confirmation candle (a follow-up to yesterday's rejection) to validate that the top is in place. If we witness follow-through selling pressure today or tomorrow, it could present an excellent swing short opportunity, with the following targets established:
- **Target 1 (TP1):** 3295
- **Target 2 (TP2):** 3250
- **Target 3 (TP3):** 3200
- **Target 4 (TP4):** 3170
- **Target 5 (TP5):** 3070 (psychological support level)
Stay vigilant and ready for potential short opportunities as the market unfolds. Let’s see if the signals align for a successful trade. Happy trading! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,312
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,230
Point of Control (POC):
High-Volume Nodes: Dense cluster near 3,229–3,250 and again around 3,312
Low-Volume Gaps: Noticeable void between 3,260 – 3,290, suggesting possible fast movement zone
b) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Pools:
Order Absorption:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,312 – area of rejection with reduced follow-through
Swing Low (Reversal Support): 3,230 – heavy volume absorption followed by rally
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently shifting bullish after a prolonged downtrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- (early bullish momentum building)
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing Low: 3,230
Retracement Levels:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Turning bullish (CVD rising, ADX > 20, price forming HLs)
b) Notable Patterns:
Reversal Base formed near 3,230 with upward breakout
Forming ascending channel – prices respecting the lower boundary support
Retest of breakout zone (POC + lower trendline) acting as potential launchpad
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,240–3,250 (near lower trendline + POC retest)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,225 (below POC + swing low)
RR: Approx. 1:2.5
b) Bearish Entry (Only if trend reversal confirmed):
Entry Zone: Below 3,225 (loss of POC/VAL with CVD breakdown)
Target: T1: 3,200 (psychological + historical support zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,255 (back above POC)
RR: Approx. 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Use 1–2% capital per trade to manage downside risk
Gold Price Analysis – XAU/USD 4H Chart | Supply Zone Rejection +Gold is currently trading at $3,259, showing signs of rejection from a major supply zone around $3,271 - $3,259, highlighted by LuxAlgo's Visible Range. The price tapped into the high-volume area and faced rejection, signaling potential downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): $3,259 – $3,271
Current Price: $3,259
First Support: $3,200 – price previously reacted here.
Second Support: $2,998 – a significant former resistance turned support.
Major Demand Zone: $2,576 – strong institutional buying area.
Bearish Bias If:
Price fails to reclaim the $3,259-$3,271 zone.
Break and close below $3,200 could trigger a move toward $2,998.
Momentum below $2,998 opens a path toward $2,576, especially if macroeconomic data favors USD strength.
Watch For:
Reaction near $3,200 (potential bounce or continuation).
NFP or major U.S. economic data (highlighted on the chart) that could spike volatility.
Trade Idea: Short-term traders may look for short opportunities if the current supply zone holds. Confirmation would be a bearish candlestick close below $3,200.
Risk Management:
Use tight stops above $3,271 to limit exposure. Monitor macro events closely.
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What do you think – will Gold hold the $3,200 support or break lower? Drop your analysis below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #Forex #Commodities #TradingStrategy #ChartAnalysis
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $2885 level and reached resistance line of channel.
Then it corrected and then continued to move up in channel, but later it dropped to support area.
Price soon rose above $2885 level, making a fake breakout and after retesting this level, continued to grow.
Later Gold reached resistance line of channel and then made correction movement, exiting from channel and entered to pennant.
In pennant pattern, price made upward impulse, breaking $3275 level and at the moment it trades near $3275 level.
I think that Gold can exit from pennant, decline to support area, and then bounce up to $3440
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Lingrid | GOLD Market COMPRESSION: Coiling Up Before BREAKOUTOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a potential triangle pattern after bouncing from support near 3,220, where multiple key levels converge. The price is holding above the short-term upward trend-line, showing signs of compression. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a breakout toward the 3,380 resistance. Until then, the pair remains in a consolidation phase.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,280 – 3,290
Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line
Target: 3,380
Sell trigger: break below 3,280 with confirmation
💡 Risks
Gold remains sensitive to USD news — strong data can limit upside.
A sudden break of the triangle base may shift bias to bearish.
Volatility expected ahead of key macro releases this week.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold 15m – Bearish Zigzag in Progress or a Larger Correction?This analysis presents a bearish short-term setup on XAUUSD (15m) based on a clean Zigzag structure:
Wave A: Impulsive decline
Wave B: Contracting triangle
Wave C: Currently unfolding, with potential targets at 3170–3090
A potential short entry is highlighted within the yellow zone, with invalidation clearly defined above 3248.
If price accelerates lower after confirmation, the trade offers a favorable R:R setup.
If momentum is weak or price breaks above resistance, this count will be invalidated.
Alternative Scenarios:
This may evolve into Wave 3 of a higher-degree Zigzag,
or Wave A of a larger Flat correction if downside persists beyond expectations.
Let me know your thoughts — would you take this short, or do you see something else unfolding?
Gold 15m – Zigzag in Progress or Start of a Larger Correction?This analysis presents a short-term Elliott Wave count on Gold (XAUUSD) in the 15-minute timeframe.
The current structure suggests a standard Zigzag correction (5-3-5) unfolding from the recent high:
Wave A formed a clean 5-wave impulsive decline
Wave B developed as a contracting triangle (A-B-C-D-E)
Wave C appears to be in progress, with projected targets between 3170–3090
🔴 Invalidation level:
A break above 3248 invalidates this scenario and suggests that the correction is either complete or transforming into a different pattern.
🌀 Alternative Scenarios:
If price fails to reverse within the key support zone (3170–3090) or extends much deeper:
We may be witnessing Wave 3 of a higher-degree Zigzag
Or, this drop may be Wave A of a larger Flat correction in development
🗨️ What’s your view?
Do you agree with the Zigzag count?
Or do you expect a deeper, more complex correction to unfold?
Share your take in the comments below 👇
The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate!
After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3260-3270
TP:3230-3240
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Gold Will Fall DownXAU/USD Analysis (4H)
Observations:
- Current price nearing a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone
Trade Idea:
- Expecting a downward push from the FVG zone
- Sell opportunity in Gold
Target:
- 3150
This setup suggests a potential sell signal, with the FVG zone acting as a resistance level. Let's see how the market reacts.
As expected, gold prices continue to fall
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs.
The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now.
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold Stuck in Limbo- Sell Rallies, Ride the DropAfter the explosive rally that pushed Gold up to the 3500 area, the market quickly reversed with a sharp sell-off on April 22–23, dropping almost 2500 pips.
Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase.
Initially, the range was between 3270 and 3370, but since yesterday, the range has started to tighten — a classic sign that a breakout is approaching.
Looking at the structure, we’re dealing with a blow-off top followed by a range with clear support and resistance levels. In this context, I lean toward a downside breakout.
The key support is now at 3300 — and a break below it would likely expose 3270 again.
However, I don’t expect the move to stop there. If 3300 is broken, a continuation toward the 3200 zone becomes very likely.
🔹 Trading Plan:
As long as price stays below the 3360–3370 resistance zone, the strategy is to sell rallies, especially when price approaches the upper boundary of the range. Entries can be taken on rejection candles or confirmation patterns near resistance, with stops just above 3370. If 3300 breaks, watch for continuation setups toward 3200.
Only a sustained breakout above 3370 with strong bullish momentum would invalidate the bearish scenario and call for a reassessment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold depends on GDP numbersTechnical analysis: Gold naturally found Buyers as Buying pressure is evident on the charts from DX on Selling sequence. It is important to note that #3,300.80 is new / old Resistance, which was near Weekly High’s as Price-action could find strong rejection there and deny the Buying response in extension. If broken, Price-action will be calling for #3,327.80 extension once again which represents local Top's for current fractal. I will engage my orders accordingly and wait for suitable entry even though I have closed my order ahead of the final push above the Resistance. However, Gold re-tested and was again rejected on the Hourly 4 chart’s Support keeping the Bullish bias alive. The Engulfing candle Bearish reversal candle on Hourly 1 chart succeeded at rejecting the Price-action and catching already the #32% Fibonacci level. I expect the last Daily chart’s candle to test again the #3,272.80 former Resistance now turned to Support when DX finds the Support zone and engages relief rally.
My position: As mentioned above, Gold is ranging and Scalpers are getting most of the returns out of this Price-action. I will await GDP numbers and only then make my move.
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️