Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊
At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide.
📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒.
However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻.
🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – June 2–6, 2025“Lower High Locked In – Is Gold Ready to Retrace?”
👋 Hello traders — welcome to a new week with GoldFxMinds.
After weeks of strong bullish momentum, gold finally showed its first real sign of weakness. Price reached a weekly high of 3356 but failed to continue higher toward April’s ATH at 3500, forming a clean Lower High (LH). The weekly candle closed with a long upper wick and bearish body — a strong signal that buyers are losing steam inside the premium zone.
We now shift into a corrective posture, watching closely to see if gold wants to rebalance down into true structure zones.
🔹 Market Context & Structure
📍 Detail Status
Macro Bias Bullish (ATH = 3500, April)
Current Trend Weakening – LH formed last week
Weekly Close 3289, under EMA5
Momentum Shift First rejection after vertical rally
Structure Warning Clean LH under ATH confirms retracement probability
🔹 EMA Overview (5/21/50)
✅ EMA Stack: Bullish
⚠️ Price closed under EMA5 (~3288) = first warning
📍 EMA21 near 3076 — next key level for reaction
🛑 Below EMA21 → full retracement likely toward 3040–3038
🔹 Refined Weekly Zones (Precision-Mapped)
📍 Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3335 – 3348 Last week’s wick area — short-term supply, expect reaction if retested.
🔺 Inducement Zone 3368 – 3405 Unfilled FVG + internal liquidity. Valid only if HH forms.
🔹 Support Zone #1 3112 – 3098 Monthly PNL + OB. Watch for intraday bounce if price flushes.
🔹 Support Zone #2 3062 – 3040 Clean weekly OB + FVG. Strongest buy zone if retracement deepens.
🧭 Under 3040 = next macro structure at 2638 (last HL)
🔹 Weekly Game Plan
If early spike into 3335–3348 → monitor for rejection wick → possible short setup
Break of 3245 (last weekly low) → opens path toward 3110 then 3062
Entry on 3062–3040 → valid only if PA confirms (rejection wick, BOS on LTF)
Continuation long only if 3368–3405 is broken and held → target ATH (3500)
🔚 Summary:
Gold printed a Lower High last week — the first since the macro breakout. That’s a critical signal. With premium already tapped and liquidity cleared above 3300, price may now retrace into real structure, offering better long setups lower.
Let the market come to you. Don’t force buys near distribution zones. Watch the 3110 and 3062 areas — that’s where clean structure begins.
💬 If You Found This Helpful:
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry updates, macro-to-intraday zone breakdowns, and real-time structure shifts
👍 Tap a LIKE if you’re ready to let price come to your level, not your emotions
💭 Comment below: Is this Lower High the start of June’s retracement?
Let’s stay focused and trade with intent.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Loading — Breakout or Breakdown?”
👋 Welcome back traders — let’s decode the H1 battlefield together.
Gold is currently consolidating just under the 3290–3300 magnet, after a slow Friday close. The chart shows clear lower highs and rejection from premium, with multiple CHoCHs confirming bearish intent. However, price hasn’t fully broken below key H1 structure yet, holding just above equilibrium support.
We’re sitting in a coiled market — liquidity has built on both sides. Monday will likely give us the breakout.
🔹 Current Bias
🔻 Bearish bias while under 3308
📉 Structure shows CHoCH → BOS → LH, all under premium
🧭 Price is compressing between 3300 resistance and 3270 support
🔹 Refined Structural Zones (Realistic Width)
🔺 Key Resistance Zones (Upside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔺 Minor OB Rejection 3295 – 3308 Local OB + premium zone → first reaction area
🔺 Inducement Trap 3315 – 3335 Clean liquidity pocket → likely wick spike trap if retested
🔺 Extended Premium Zone 3340 – 3360 Final resistance from May → only valid if HH breaks
🔻 Key Support Zones (Downside)
Zone Price Range Context
🔹 Equilibrium Hold 3270 – 3250 Current floor. If broken, momentum shifts hard down
🔻 CHoCH + FVG Fill 3235 – 3212 BOS zone + inefficiency. Logical sell-side draw
🔵 Discount Demand Zone 3185 – 3160 Last HL + OB. Major reaction zone for swing reentry
🔹 EMA Flow (Momentum Outlook)
❗ Price is below all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) = bearish stacked pressure
EMA100/200 are bending — momentum is confirming bearish tilt
Only a sharp move above 3308 will flip momentum short-term
🧠 Tactical Scenarios for Monday:
🔻 Sell Bias Active:
Rejection from 3295–3308 = possible LH → short down to 3250
Break of 3250 → continuation leg toward 3212 and 3185
🔁 Trap and Flip (Low Probability):
Price breaks above 3308 and holds → possible squeeze into 3335
Confirm with BOS + bullish PA on M15-H1
🔚 Summary:
Gold on H1 is coiled tightly inside mid-premium, and structure is now pointing slightly bearish. If we stay under 3308, the path of least resistance is down. If bulls trap sellers and break above, 3335 becomes the target.
Let price reveal its intent — you trade from clean structure, not from bias.
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📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry levels, bias shifts, and clean trade maps
👍 Like if you're waiting for confirmation before reacting
👇 Comment below: Will we flush into 3212 — or spike 3335 first?
See you in the charts.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025"Premium Exhaustion, CHoCH Confirmed — Is the Reversal Loading?"
👋 What’s up, traders — let’s break down the 4H structure for Monday flow.
The 4H chart shows gold consolidating tightly around equilibrium (~3289) after a failed attempt to reclaim the premium zone. Price created a Lower High (LH) at 3360 and printed multiple CHoCHs + BOS to the downside. We are now seeing short-term distribution inside a narrow range, with supply active around 3296–3302 and liquidity building below.
The market is showing signs of internal weakness: smart money has absorbed buyers in premium, and price is rotating lower, looking for fresh liquidity.
🔹 Market Structure (H4)
Structure Element Level / Detail
Trend Shift Bearish (CHoCH + LH)
Current Price ~3289 (equilibrium)
Major LH 3360
Confirmed CHoCHs Multiple — last seen on May 30
Short-Term Flow Bearish compression toward discount
🔹 Key H4 Zones (Refined)
📍 Zone Name Level (Rounded) Confluence
🔺 H4 Supply Block 3296 – 3302 OB + internal FVG rejection zone — short trigger area if retested
🔺 Final Inducement Trap 3326 – 3340 LH zone — liquidity inducement if price spikes early in the session
🔹 Intraday Support Zone 3274 – 3270 EQ edge – support under current price, bounce or break zone
🔻 Breakout Sell Zone 3244 – 3232 CHoCH/BOS zone → clean sell-side continuation if broken
🔵 Discount Buy Area 3188 – 3172 Deep FVG fill + May structure low → possible long reentry zone
🔹 EMA Flow (5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200)
⚠️ EMA5 crossed under 21 + 50 → short-term bear confirmation
✅ Price is under EMA21 and EMA50 — bearish control
🛑 EMA200 (3172) sits near discount demand → strong reaction likely if reached
🔹 Game Plan for Monday (Execution Bias)
🔻 Sell Setup #1 (Scalp to Swing):
If price retests 3296–3302 → look for bearish PA → short toward 3244
If that breaks → continuation target = 3188
🔺 Buy Setup (Low-Probability Until Reclaim):
Buy only valid below 3188 on strong bullish PA or LTF CHoCH
Aggressive long possible only above 3340, but that invalidates LH
🔚 Summary:
Gold on the 4H is rotating bearish — premium has rejected, CHoCHs confirmed, and EMA structure is rolling over. Price is compressing just under supply, signaling a potential breakdown to clear sell-side liquidity.
Your edge this week lies in patiently waiting for retests of broken structure or rejection from clean OB zones.
💬 If This Helped You:
💡 Drop a LIKE if this gave you clarity on the H4 rotation
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for real-time execution plans and sniper entries
👇 Comment your view: Will 3244 break first — or are we bouncing at 3270?
Let’s stay tactical this week.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025"Momentum Meets Maturity: Gold Faces Its Final Trap?"
🔹 Overview:
Gold has delivered an explosive rally through Q1–Q2 2025, breaking all structural ceilings and printing a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3500 in April. May followed with aggressive bullish continuation, but failed to break that high, closing with a strong body but signs of momentum cooling. We are now trading inside a premium liquidity zone, where retracement becomes increasingly probable.
🔹 Monthly Structure & Bias
🔎 Component Status / Detail
Current Price Range 3285–3310
Market Bias Bullish, but overextended
ATH Confirmed 3500 (April 2025)
May High 3435 – did not break ATH
Structure HH + BOS above 2108 = bullish macro
EMA Trend Full EMA 5/21/50/100/200 bull lock
RSI Likely near overbought (watch June)
🔹 Refined Monthly Zones – GoldFxMinds Precision
📍 Zone Type Key Levels Explanation
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #1 3335 – 3368 First rejection layer inside premium. Previous wick reactions.
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #2 3368 – 3405 Final inducement from May. Ideal for stop hunts and traps.
🔺 ATH Trap Zone 3405 – 3500 Full liquidity cluster around ATH. Extreme caution here.
🔹 Local Monthly Support 3112 – 3098 Minor support below May’s PNL. First reaction floor.
🔹 FVG/OB Buy Zone 3060 – 3038 Valid monthly FVG + OB zone. Stronger confirmation area.
🔵 Macro Swing Support 2638 – 2612 Monthly OB and last HL before the 3000+ breakout. Solid base.
🔵 BOS Origin / HL Base 2592 – 2570 True origin of macro bullish structure. Swing trader interest.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #1 2280 – 2265 Fibonacci 50% of full macro range + EMA50. Potential macro reentry.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #2 2245 – 2212 Liquidity from past accumulation zones (2023–2024).
🔹 Fibonacci Context
Full swing: 1045 (2015 low) → 3500 (ATH April 2025)
Price is now pressing between the 1.618 and 2.0 extension zone, ideal area for macro distribution.
The 50% equilibrium of the macro range sits at ~2240, aligning with EMAs and historical demand.
🔹 Liquidity Analysis
✅ Buy-side liquidity swept at every major milestone: 2108 → 2500 → 3000 → 3300
🎯 Final liquidity pool lies above 3435 into 3500 → this is where many late buyers could be trapped.
💧 Sell-side liquidity sits cleanly around 3110 → 2590 → 2240 — these are the likely draw targets if correction begins.
🔹 Macroeconomic Context (May–June 2025)
📰 Federal Reserve: Markets expect a possible rate cut in Q3, which still supports gold, but with less surprise.
🌍 Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global instability continues to back the gold rally.
🧮 Equity Overextension: Rotation from risk assets to safety could fuel one more push — or trigger a sharp correction.
💹 Inflation Outlook: Any spike in CPI may trigger further bullish flows — but positioning is already saturated.
🔚 Summary – What's Next?
✅ Trend: Still bullish, but at the final stages of maturity
⚠️ Risk: Sharp rejection likely near 3435–3500
📌 Scenarios to watch:
Push into 3435–3500: Final inducement → possible sharp rejection
Break below 3110: Opens path to 3038 or even 2630
Major swing buys only valid around 2638 or 2240, if macro retracement triggers
🧠 GoldFxMinds Final Word:
The monthly chart shows strength, but we are now deep inside premium, under the shadow of a freshly printed ATH. If June opens with a wick or false breakout above 3435, expect a high-probability retracement toward 3110 or deeper.
This is not the time to chase buys blindly — but rather to position smartly at real OBs and FVGs, where structure confirms.
Up again for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a bigger pullback for wave 2 (updated wavecount).
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (blue) up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Today's gold price: long target 3360Today's gold price: long target 3360
On June 2, affected by the trade tensions caused by the Trump administration's substantial increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs, the international gold price rose.
Superimposed war factors: the situation between Russia and Ukraine has re-emerged, Ukraine attacked the Russian airport, and the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks have once again turned to wait-and-see, which is good for gold prices.
Today, focus on the breakthrough of the 3320-3330 range pressure level.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The gold price cycle forms a resonant head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the pattern is close to the end of the pressure range.
Next, focus on the upward breakthrough. Once an effective breakthrough is formed, it means that the tariff issue and the war dispute will be considered to be further fermented.
Then the gold price will most likely hit 3360 points again on Monday.
But we need to be wary of today's gap to prevent the gap from being filled.
Gold trading strategy:
1: The 3300-3310 range is a strong support level. As long as the gold price is above 3300 points, I think we should take the idea of going long at a low price, and the stop loss is set at 3295-3290 points.
2: The 3320-3330 range is a strong pressure point. As long as the gold price is below 3330, I think we should be alert to the possible decline at any time, forming a narrow range of fluctuations, or a sharp decline to fill the gap. Then the advice for trading is to refuse to short, be cautious in shorting, and try to short.
Learn What Time Frame to Trade. Gold Forex Trading Basics
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering how to choose a trading time frame.
In the today's post, I will go through the common time frames, and explain when to apply them.
1m; 5m, 15m Time Frames
These 4 t.f's are very rapid and are primarily applied by scalpers .
If your goal is to catch quick ebbs and flows within a trading session, that is a perfect selection for you.
30m, 1H Time Frame
These 2 are perfectly suited for day traders.
Executing the analysis and opening the trades on these time frames,
you will be able to catch the moves within a trading day.
4h, Daily Time Frames
These time frames are relatively slow .
They are mostly applied by swing traders, who aim to trade the moves that last from several days to several weeks.
Weekly, Monthly Time Frames
These time frames reveal long-term historical perspective and are mostly used by investors and position traders.
If your goal is to look for buy & hold assets, these time frames will help you to make a reasonable decision.
📝When you are choosing a time frame to trade, consider the following factors :
1️⃣ - Time Availability
How much time daily/weekly are you able to sacrifice on trading?
Remember a simple rule: lower is the time frame, more time it requires for management.
2️⃣ - Risk Tolerance
Smaller time frames usually involve higher risk,
while longer-term time frames are considered to be more conservative and stable.
3️⃣ - Your Trading Goals
If you are planning to benefit from short term price fluctuations you should concentrate your attention on lower time frames,
while investing and long-term capital accumulation suite for higher time frames.
Time frame selection is nuanced and a complex topic. However, I believe that these simple rules and factors will help you to correctly choose the one for you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Will gold continue to rise?From the 4-hour chart, as long as the short-term gold market is above 3330, gold is still in a strong bullish trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line near 3330, it will break the trend line, and the subsequent market will most likely form a weak shock pattern. Therefore, the current operation is actually very simple. As long as the 3330 position is not broken, you can rely on the 3330 area to enter the market and do more. Pay attention to the support near yesterday's low of 3333 below, and pay attention to the resistance near 3375-3380 above.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to go long on gold when it falls back to 3345-3347, stop loss at 3335, and target 3360-3370;
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(26-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (26-05-2025)
Current price- 3336
"if Price stays below 3350, then next target is 3326, 3315, 3300 and 3285 and above that 3370 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
GOLD → Retest support before news...FX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase amid a rising dollar. The price is heading towards the liquidity zone, which may support gold. Markets are awaiting PCE data...
Gold is back in the red: PCE inflation and tariff news will decide everything. On Friday morning, gold fell, retreating from its recent rebound from weekly lows of around $3245. The price is under pressure from the strengthening US dollar, which was supported by court rulings on Trump's tariffs, but the situation around tariffs remains tense on all sides...
The focus is on PCE inflation data. A weaker result could weaken the dollar and support gold. Traders remain cautious in anticipation of volatility.
Support levels: 3282, 3270, 3260
Resistance levels: 3325
A retest of 3282-3270 could end in a false breakdown, but only if the fundamental backdrop is against the dollar, which would only support the price of gold. The price is most likely to be stopped by trend support, but no one can rule out the fundamental factor of surprise...
As a target, during a bullish impulse, it is worth considering intermediate highs...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Price Analysis June 3D1 candle confirms strong price increase by breaking the previous selling zone around 3365 and breaking the trendline structure
On the h4 time frame, it shows quite nice price increase waves. On h1, it shows that this morning's Asian session has profit-taking waves from sellers, leading to gold prices worth retesting important support zones.
3353 has reacted once, many zones are considered buying opportunities today. 3332, 3325, 3315 are considered price reactions for long-term BUY signals today, which can push up to 34xx
If 3353 remains stable, Gold will push up to 3390 to react once before touching the daily resistance zone around 3408
Gold Bearish Outlook | Short Opportunity AheadGold has just tested a major resistance zone at $3,390–$3,400 and faced a sharp rejection, forming a possible double top. The price is still respecting the parallel ascending channel, but current momentum suggests a bearish move could be underway.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $3,390 – $3,400 (strong rejection zone)
Support: $3,282 (watch for reaction here)
Channel Structure: Price is still within an ascending channel
📉 Possible Scenarios:
1. Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,340 and sustains momentum, we could see a drop to $3,282 support — a key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
2. Bullish Scenario (less likely short-term):
If bulls regain control, watch for a breakout above $3,400, confirming upside continuation.
💡 Trading Idea:
Currently leaning bearish unless we see a confirmed breakout above resistance. Short setups could be considered on lower timeframes with targets near the support level.
💬 Let me know what you think — will gold break down or bounce back? 👇
👍 Like & follow for more trade ideas and updates!
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #Forex #Commodities
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD)
I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly.
However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce.
Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:).
❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop?
🔍 Reasons to expect more downside:
- Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300.
- The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally.
- Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected.
- And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well.
🧭 Trading Plan
I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged.
Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades.
🚀 Final thought
Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold at Key Rejection Zone: Will the Drop Resume from $3310?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after some consolidation between $3294 and $3302, the price finally began a sharp drop, correcting down to $3245. This area was a key demand zone on lower timeframes, which triggered a rebound, and gold is now trading around $3310. If the price gets rejected from the $3310–$3313 zone, we can expect another potential decline.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Forming a Bulllish Flag- Wacthing for Breakout ConfirmationThis chart shows a potential bullish flag pattern forming on the daily timeframe for Gold Spot (XAU/USD). The pattern is composed of a strong flagpole (an impulsive upward move), followed by a descending consolidation channel, which represents a correction phase.
The price is currently moving within the flag’s range. A breakout above the flag’s resistance trendline would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, potentially targeting levels above 3,500 USD. Until a confirmed breakout occurs, price action may continue to consolidate within the flag structure.
Flagpole: Sharp upward rally from mid-March to mid-April 2025
Correction: Downward sloping parallel channel
Breakout Level: Around 3,300–3,320 USD
Volume: Decreasing during the correction, which aligns with bullish flag behavior
Suggested Action: Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering long positions
This chart is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
XAU/USD) 3 top technical analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key elements and potential price scenarios illustrated. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Key Levels and Zones
Resistance Zone (~3,320–3,330):
Marked with red arrows indicating multiple rejections.
A crucial supply zone that the price failed to break several times.
Support Zone (~3,280–3,290):
Labeled as “nak support level” (likely means "neckline" support in a possible head-and-shoulders structure or just a key level).
Important for bullish structure continuation.
Lower Target Zone (~3,205):
A demand zone if the support fails.
Labeled as another “target point” indicating a bearish projection.
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2. Trend Context
The price was in an upward channel (highlighted as "up trend"), which has now been broken.
EMA 200 (~3,251) is acting as a dynamic support.
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3. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Red/Blue Arrows Up):
If the price holds the “nak support level” and breaks back above resistance (~3,320):
A bullish move toward 3,367 and even 3,435 is expected.
The blue arrow shows a projected upside target of ~105 points.
Bearish Scenario (Black Arrow Down):
If the price breaks below the neckline/support and EMA 200:
A drop toward the 3,205 area is anticipated.
Target aligns with previous structure lows and a clean demand zone.
---
4. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel)
RSI is hovering around neutral (~45–50), offering no strong momentum bias.
Could support either a bounce or a breakdown, depending on upcoming moves.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
This chart presents a conditional trade setup:
Above 3,320: Long toward 3,367–3,435.
Below 3,280–3,250 (and EMA 200): Short toward 3,205.
The market is currently at a decision point, and traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before entering a trade.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BULLS VS BEARS WILL GOLD MATCH ATH?Glossary:
Ged = Bearish scenario
Green = Bullish scenario
POI = Point of interest
ATH = All time high
LQ = Liquidity zone
Gold since the beginning has been moving in a range and break fashion you'll see this across the board, always. A 4hr range is in the process of being formed ideally what wed like to see is for the high to be matched first. That simply would give more confidence for the bears to get in and short the market however now we sit with the though of where will it go first?
preferred bias
Buys to sell, ideally and the most logical outcome is the highs do get matched forming a strong liquidity zone that can be targeted at a future date, as price begins to fall new points of interest can then be formed (since there isn't a lot to target above right now), this will allow the market to have areas it can market when we see the bullish side of this range play out when ever that may be.
Structure
Current structure allows you to get in trades, previous structure allows you to get out of trades use it to your advantage, think. where does the money want to move next where will the banks get the best bang for their buck and most importantly where can we cause traders to LOSE, a trade you win is a trade someone else lost. so long you stick with where the big guys want to go you'll be on the right side
Bullish bias (green)
Key points get broken, imbalance fill, ATH matched (this is where short orders get stacked, future sweep target.
Bearish bias (red)
Area 1 , this is the first key low im looking to break if we see a candle close below continue to area 2, there are traders who WILL get stopped out at zone 1
Area 2 , this is our next key point in structure there will still be traders with open positions here also, again if we see a candle close below this zone continue to monitor for Area 3
Area 3, this may be a final target, however there's still POI's sat below if price shows strong signs of bearish momentum target Areas 4 and below can be open for discussion
Conclusion
personally i would like to see POI's built on the buy side as of right now before we move down simply because the market NEEDS somewhere to move from and to without that it would be erratic.
If you found this helpful be sure to boost this idea, give a like and a follow, consistent charts will be posted on a weekly basis and let me know what you think down in the comment section too :)
Can Gold Break Out? Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup on 15-min📊 XAUUSD 15-min Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming
Gold (XAUUSD) appears to be forming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart. The neckline is observed around the $3296 level, with visible symmetry between the shoulders and the head.
A potential breakout above the neckline could push price toward the estimated target of ~$3329. However, it's important to watch for volume confirmation at the breakout point — volume spikes often add credibility to these patterns.
Support remains near the $3248 level — if price breaks below the head, this pattern would be invalidated.
🟡 Key Levels:
Neckline: $3296
Target: ~$3329 (if neckline breakout holds)
Support: $3248
⚠️ This is an educational chart for technical analysis learning purposes only — not financial advice.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #InverseHeadAndShoulders #Breakout
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 30Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3260
Four-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3280
One-hour chart resistance level 3325, support level below 3290
1-hour chart Bollinger Bands open downward, 4-hour chart RSI (50) neutral, ADX (35) trend momentum weakened, below $3280 will accelerate downward. MACD green column shrinks, RSI (45) neutral to weak, if it fails to break through $3305, the bearish trend will continue. The first target is around 3280.
NY time announced the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in April. Pay attention to the 3280~3320 range, sell high and buy low. After the news data is released, if the data exceeds expectations, the gold price will fall below the 3280 support, or fall to 3250-3245 US dollars, and you can follow the trend to short; if the data is weak, it may hit 3330-3345 US dollars after breaking through 3320.
SELL: 3320near SL: 3325
BUY: 3280near SL: 3275