GOLDCFD trade ideas
After the gold frenzy, there will soon be a sharp correctionTo be honest, I must admit that I still hold a short position. I think there should be many people holding short positions now, but they are unwilling to admit that they hold short positions because they are losing money.
I think it is not shameful to hold a short position now. Although gold has violently risen to around 3220, from the perspective of trading volume, gold is rising without volume. Without the support of trading volume, gold is destined to usher in a round of correction in the short term.
And I have reason to believe that the accelerated rise of gold is suspected of being manipulated by large institutional funds. There are two purposes. One is to accelerate the rise to attract more retail funds to flow into the market to take over; the other is to raise prices arbitrarily to make it easier to sell. So the faster gold rises, the easier it is to collapse! We first aim at the retracement target: 3150-3130 area,or even 3120.
So for short-term trading, I think we can still continue to short gold, and I am optimistic about the short position of gold! The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Mathematical Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD)Mathematical Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD)
Following up on my two previous analyses (linked here and here ), gold reached the precise $3135 target, accurately identified based on mathematical calculations. The rally was driven by central bank buying and tariff-related actions by Trump.
What’s next?
The levels mentioned below are mathematically derived and extremely reliable. While several paths are possible, I will present the one with the highest probability:
- After a short consolidation at the current price range, I expect a continuation of the bullish move.
- The next key target is $3270, where many sellers may enter the market.
- A possible correction may follow down to $2960 before the next leg up.
- A final rally could bring gold to around $3485, potentially peaking near $3500, but likely not exactly hitting that number.
As always, updates may follow as new data comes in. However, mathematics offers a clear language for interpreting price behavior — so reactions to these levels will be crucial.
*Let me know your thoughts — do you trust the math behind the market?*
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAP UDPATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis – Quantum Trading Mastery
Hello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been diligently tracking and trading. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the current range and key levels we’ve identified.
Recap of Last Week’s Analysis:
Last week, our predictions aligned perfectly with market movements:
* A strong resistance level at 2790 caused a short-term reversal near 2735.
* The FVG acted as dynamic support at 2735, sustaining the bullish momentum.
* The EMA5 crossed and locked above the key level at 2735, solidifying upward movement.
* As predicted, the resistance was broken, leading to a new all-time high of 2817.
Our analysis delivered precise predictions, allowing you to trade confidently and minimize risks.
What’s Next for GOLD This Week?
Key Level: 2735
Bullish Targets:
* TP1: 2877
* TP2: 3018
* TP3: 3160
Bearish Targets:
* 2735
* 2680
* 2595
This week, we have identified two critical GOLDTURN levels at 2735 and 2595. While we anticipate GOLD reaching TP1 at 2877, there may be short-term reversals around these key levels and GOLDTURN zones.
Recommendations:
To better understand the support structure and identify optimal dip-buying opportunities, review our smaller time-frame analyses (daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H). These insights will help you navigate the market with precision, keeping long-term gaps in perspective.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates and insights to keep you informed.
Thank you for your continued support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit as well.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
Waiting for the right Gold setupWe need to watch how gold handles the 3137 level, which is acting as strong resistance. At the moment, it’s neither a buy nor a sell.
For a buy, the upside is too low—the risk-reward ratio isn’t great. For a sell, there’s no confirmation for a short yet.
On both the daily and weekly charts, there’s still no confirmation for either a long or a short. So for now, we observe and wait for a potential setup to form.
If you didn’t participate in this rally, don’t get hung up on it! There have always been and will always be new opportunities to make money in the market. The key is to stick to your plan, look for the best and safest setups—those with high upside and low risk. Learn to wait for your trades. There are days and even weeks when it’s better not to trade. But then, boom—your clear and solid setup appears, and you make money on it.
GoldvsUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, likely illustrating bearish T
Harmonic Pattern (XABCD):
X to A: Initial impulse down.
A to B: Retracement.
B to C: Another downward move.
C to D: Strong bullish leg forming the completion point (D), which signals a potential reversal zone.
Entry Zone:
Highlighted in red around the 3,240 area, suggesting the analyst expects price rejection or reversal here.
Target Zones:
Three horizontal levels marked as “target” align with liquidity zones, indicating areas where price might move towards after reversal due to stop-loss clusters or previous consolidation.
Support and Resistance:
Prior resistance at around 3,045 is now acting as a potential support zone.
Intermediate support and liquidity areas are layered as possible price action reaction zones.
Red Arrow:
Indicates the bearish bias or expected price drop after touching the entry zone.
Analysis Summary:
The chart suggests a short/sell setup at the current highs (around 3,240), with multiple downside targets down to 3,045.17. The harmonic pattern and the marked liquidity zones reinforce this bearish outlook, aiming to capture a retracement or reversal move.
GOLD short-term analysis, continue to buyGold closed yesterday with a daily increase of more than $100. This kind of single-day increase is extremely rare in more than 10 years. With a rise of $200 in two trading days, the market has been extremely crazy. On Thursday, gold hit a new high in the US market. Market sentiment completely followed the tariff war. Technical analysis has become invalid. We can only control risks and reduce positions to operate.
The gold price stood on the middle track and the short-term moving average 5MA, that is, 3030-3040, and the closing price was just above the MA10 daily line. In today's Asian session, gold continued to rise strongly relying on the MA10 daily line, and the current highest has reached 3220. With such a strong impact, the rapid decline of the daily line in three trading days has turned into a bottoming out and rebound. It is still a bull correction to continue to break highs, but because of the impact of the tariff war, the amplitude and time have accelerated. According to the previous large increase, if the bulls continue to be emotional, the next position will be 3300.
Gold has risen strongly, continuously setting new historical highs, and the bulls are strong! At the 4-hour level, the support level has moved up. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, indicating that gold bulls still have the power to rise further. At present, the price of gold has set a new record high, and it is not advisable to rush to chase the rise at this time. The short-term operation strategy can wait for the price to fall back, and after stabilizing below, combine the support level to go long.
Today, the highest price of gold in the Asian session has risen to 3220, and the demand for risk aversion has increased. Most people have a high degree of attention and willingness to buy gold. Judging from the trend of the market, gold has stabilized at the previous high of 3167, and the bullish trend has been continued. The daily increase of gold in the past few days has exceeded 100 US dollars. I believe that the increase in the price of gold today will not be too small, and today's gold is expected to further move towards the 3300 mark. Wait for a correction during the session and go long!
Key points:
First support: 3200, second support: 3185, third support: 3170
First resistance: 3223, second resistance: 3236, third resistance: 3250
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3177-3180, SL: 3168, TP: 3200-3210;
Sell: 3233-3236, SL: 3245, TP: 3210-3200;
Gold Holds Steady Amid Trade Tensions and Rate Cut HopesHello,
Gold edged higher on Tuesday, supported by a weaker dollar and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, despite pressure from rising U.S. Treasury yields. Spot gold rose 0.1% to 2984.16 per ounce by mid-afternoon, while futures settled 0.5% higher at 2990.20.
The 10-year Treasury yield hit a one-week high, dampening gold's appeal. Still, ongoing trade uncertainty and potential U.S. interest rate cuts kept the outlook bullish. A break above 3,055 could open the path to 3130, with stronger resistance near 3272.314, while weakness below 3,000 might push prices down to 2950-2930.
Market anxiety intensified after President Trump’s announcement of a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, fueling safe-haven demand. Gold, up 15% this year, also benefited from a weaker dollar, which makes it cheaper for foreign buyers.
We now await Fed meeting minutes for clues on rate cuts, with a 40% chance priced in for May. Expectations of easing could drive gold prices higher in the near term.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
XAUUSD Entry on break of structure ?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUMO STRATEGY UPDATE — FRIDAY, APRIL 11, 2025XAUMO STRATEGY UPDATE — FRIDAY, APRIL 11, 2025
Breakout confirmed — bulls in full control. MM just swept above $3,200 — now entering overdrive.
We're in the middle of a classic institutional markup phase, triggered by breakout above $3,173 (previous Fib 50% zone). Price now pushing into high-volume inefficiency zone.
STRATEGY PLAN FOR THE DAY:
✅ PRIMARY TRADE SETUP — BUY THE DIP
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: $3,197
SL: $3,183
TP1: $3,215
TP2: $3,228
TP3: $3,261
Confidence: 88%
🧠 Justification: Pullback to Fib 78.6% support + rising trend, perfect for dip buy.
SECONDARY SETUP — MOMENTUM LONG (ONLY IF CLEAN PUSH ABOVE $3,215)
Type: Buy Stop
Entry: $3,216
SL: $3,202
TP1: $3,228
TP2: $3,261
TP3: $3,322
Confidence: 75%
🧠 Justification: Breakout above Fib 100% = next wave up.
//////======////////////======//////
TIMEFRAME SNAPSHOT
//////======////////////======//////
4H / 1D CHART:
RSI climbing above 70 = power move
Fib 100% target at $3,215.41 hit → watch for reaction
Next upside targets =
$3,228 → Fib 61.8% (Extended)
$3,261 → Fib 78.6%
$3,322 → Fib 100%
📌 Bias: Bullish with room to stretch. Profit-taking may kick in near $3,228–$3,261.
15M / 1H ANALYSIS:
Price: $3,205.73
ADX > 50, DI+ dominant = momentum alive
RSI in high 70s = strong, but approaching overbought
Volume increasing with price = healthy breakout
Upper Band of BB expanding → confirming expansion
Key Support Zones:
$3,197 → Fib 78.6%
$3,183 → Fib 61.8%
$3,173 → breakout base
📌 Bias: Bullish continuation unless price breaks back below $3,183.
30-minute candlestick chart on Gold (XAU/USD)Market Structure Labels:
CHoCH: Change of Character – indicates a shift in trend direction.
BOS: Break of Structure – confirms a continuation in trend direction.
Price Zones:
Supply Zone (Red Rectangle): Price area near the 3,114 level, where selling pressure may exist.
Demand Zones (Blue Rectangles): Areas around 3,052 and 2,950 levels where buying pressure may step in.
EQH (Equal Highs): Indicates potential liquidity resting above that high, possibly a target for price.
Weak Low: Marked below 2,950, suggesting it's vulnerable and may be swept.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently at 3,082, up 3.35% for the session.
A recent CHoCH to the upside, followed by a BOS, suggests bullish intent.
The price appears to be pulling back into a smaller demand zone (~3,064–3,052 area).
Forecasted Move (Blue Arrow):
The trader anticipates a short-term dip into the highlighted demand zone.
After tapping into demand, price is expected to bounce and move back up toward the supply zone, potentially testing or breaking the EQH around 3,114.
Trade Setup (Marked Zone):
Entry Zone: Around the demand area (~3,064–3,052).
Target Zone: Toward the top red zone (~3,114).
Risk Zone: Below 3,052.
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
Has the Gold Rally Come to an End?Gold has proven to be an exceptional hedge against the prevailing uncertainty in global markets, with much of this volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and policy unpredictability stemming from the influence of Donald Trump. Amid this backdrop, investors have increasingly sought safety in tangible assets, and gold has emerged as a preferred store of value.
Presently, GOLD has reached a significant technical milestone — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level from the 2015 bear market low — after delivering a remarkable 100% appreciation over the past decade. This confluence of long-term Fibonacci projections and a sharp acceleration in price suggests that gold may be approaching a key inflection point.
Given the speed and magnitude of this recent rally, a period of consolidation or even a short-term pullback appears likely. Traders and long-term holders may begin to lock in profits, especially as valuations in gold become stretched relative to historical norms. The capital generated from this profit-taking could be rotated into other asset classes that are currently oversold or undervalued, potentially igniting a broader rebalancing across financial markets.
In this context, I see gold not only as a barometer of risk sentiment but also as a potential trigger for cross-asset shifts. Should profit-taking in gold accelerate, it could act as a catalyst for renewed interest in equities, commodities, or even emerging markets — areas that may offer more attractive risk-reward profiles at current levels. As such, I’ll be closely watching gold’s price action, not just in isolation, but for the signals it may send about broader market dynamics and capital flows.
XAUUSD: Latest Analysis StrategiesThe main driver of the rally comes from the news that the United States will impose tariffs of up to 104% on imports from China starting Wednesday. This decision has sparked concerns about a potential global economic recession, thereby boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
In addition, the market is expecting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin a rate-cutting cycle soon, with over a 60% chance of it happening as early as May, and a projected five more rate cuts in 2025. This expectation is weakening the USD, further supporting gold prices. Although some Fed officials continue to deliver hawkish signals, concerns that tariffs could increase inflation remain and are putting pressure on the Fed's upcoming policy decisions.
From a technical standpoint, an effort to shift the trend has formed above the resistance of the descending trend channel, and price is now reacting near the key resistance level at 3057. A breakout and price consolidation above 3057 will trigger the continuation of the current upward move. A retest of the previous broken consolidation resistance at 3020 may also occur.
The market structure is fully bullish. A breakout above key resistance or a pullback to support levels will likely lead to the next phase of growth, but if the 3057 level is broken earlier than expected, it could eventually push this metal up to 3110.
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(03-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (03-04-2025)
Current price- 3124
"if Price stays below 3136, then next target is 3113, 3103, 3093 and 3078 and above that 3190 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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XAUUSD Elliott wave opportunityLooking for a buy by leveraging on the reaction of the support trendline.
The aim is to buy on the discounted zones & monitor for TP / Selling opportunities on the roadblock zones ( previous trading range )
This is a MACRO view on XAUUSD combined with elliottwave counting
Gold Price Analysis April 10D1 candle confirms that the buyers have returned to the market with an increase of more than 100 prices. The retest points are considered buying opportunities to break ATH
3100 is a notable point for the Buy signal in this European trading session. Today's trading strategy is quite simple when a strong uptrend has just formed, we will wait for the retest points to 3100-3080-3056 for the BUY signal to break ATH. On the other hand, if gold does not test before, we can Sell Scalp around 3133 again, when it breaks, do not SELL anymore but wait for the retest of 3133 to buy up to 3162.
Have a nice day everyone
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 24th February 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next.
Gold reached an all-time high of $2,954.80 last week. As previously noted, close attention to the movement of the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) was advised. The anticipated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877.
This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the GoldTurn level at $2,875 before potentially bouncing back upward.
The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active GoldTurn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
* EMA5 detachment is still due on weekly chart.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery