GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and strategy behind it:
---
Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Descending Channel Pattern:
Price is moving within a descending channel (downward sloping resistance and support lines).
The red arrows mark previous rejections from the upper boundary of the channel.
2. Supply Zone / Resistance Area:
Highlighted in yellow, the price has entered a supply zone (between 3,412.00 and 3,440.42), historically where selling pressure has emerged.
The analysis suggests sellers may dominate again in this zone.
3. Price Action Projection:
Expected to reject from the supply zone, possibly forming a lower high.
Price is projected to break the short-term upward trendline, then fall sharply.
4. Target Points:
First target: 3,206.96 – likely aligned with a minor support level or Fibonacci retracement.
Second target: 3,085.56 – near the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. EMA 200 (3,238.55):
Price is currently above the 200 EMA, but the projection anticipates a breakdown below it, confirming further bearish sentiment.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 67.56, near overbought territory, suggesting limited upside and a possible correction.
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Between 3,412 – 3,440 (supply zone)
Confirmation: Rejection at the trendline + RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 3,206.96
TP2: 3,085.56
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,440.42 (channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Risk Management Note:
Ensure stop-loss is placed above the resistance zone (e.g., around 3,450) to mitigate false breakouts. Monitor fundamentals like upcoming US economic data, as they can heavily impact gold.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD MONDAY RANGE IS IN PLAYCurrently, price is trading within Monday’s range. I expect it to first target the Monday midpoint, followed by a potential move toward the Monday low. If price breaks below the midpoint but then reclaims it, I may consider closing the position manually. My invalidation level for this trade is a break above Monday’s high.
This setup is one of my favorite strategies—when price remains inside Monday’s range, I like to trade it as a "ping-pong" setup until proven wrong. The chart should make the idea clear, but feel free to ask if you have any questions. Follow for more trading setups and insights
GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis – Head & Shoulders & Target📌 Overview:
Today’s GOLD market presented an excellent educational setup using the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) methodology. We identified a Head & Shoulder reversal pattern, volume contraction at a key zone, a Major Break of Structure (BOS), and finally, a clear shift in market structure leading to a strong bullish move.
Let’s break it down step-by-step:
🧠 1. Head & Shoulders Pattern – The Early Reversal Signal
The pattern started forming around May 26–28, a classic Head & Shoulders that signaled potential exhaustion of the downtrend:
Left Shoulder: Price attempted to rise but failed to break previous highs.
Head: Sellers pushed to form a deeper low, forming the head.
Right Shoulder: Buyers entered again at the previous demand, creating a higher low than the head—indicating weakening bearish momentum.
🟦 The neckline was drawn across the swing highs. Once broken, it confirmed the reversal.
📍Significance: This pattern formed inside a strong SR Interchange Zone, where support turned resistance and vice versa—adding confluence.
🛠 2. Major Break of Structure (BOS) – Confirmation of Trend Shift
After forming the right shoulder, price decisively broke above the neckline and previous highs—this was the Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This is critical in MMC because:
It signals the end of the accumulation or manipulation phase.
It confirms that smart money has taken control and is pushing price in the new direction.
BOS acts as an entry trigger for traders using structure-based strategies.
💥 A strong bullish candle closed above the BOS level, showing aggressive buying.
📉 3. Volume Contraction – Smart Money Behavior
Between May 31 and June 2, we observed a tight consolidation at the previous resistance zone (now support).
Volume was contracting, forming a compression zone—a common sign of liquidity buildup by institutional players.
🧠 Why is this important?
Low volume ranges typically lead to high-volume breakouts.
This is the “accumulation before expansion” phase.
Smart money often accumulates orders here before a major move.
When price broke out of this compression, it did so with high momentum—validating this theory.
🔄 4. Structure Shifting – New Bullish Market Cycle
Following the BOS and breakout from volume contraction, price aggressively shifted its structure:
Higher highs and higher lows started forming.
Price invalidated bearish order blocks and respected bullish zones.
A new bullish market cycle under MMC began unfolding.
🚀 Price is now headed toward the Next Reversal Zone (around $3,460–$3,470), where we expect significant reaction.
🔍 5. Key Levels Explained
🔵 SR Interchange (~$3,280): This acted as a strong base for the Head & Shoulder formation. A key demand zone if price retraces.
🟦 Volume Contraction Zone (~$3,330–$3,350): Launchpad for the bullish impulse.
🟥 Next Reversal Zone (~$3,460–$3,470): A likely profit-taking or short-term reversal zone. Watch for bearish setups or consolidation here.
🎯 Strategy Insights (Based on MMC)
Entry Opportunity: After BOS + Retest of neckline or volume contraction zone.
Risk Management: Stop loss just below the previous low or reversal zone.
Target Zones: Next Reversal Zone or Fibonacci extensions depending on strategy.
📈 Conclusion
This GOLD chart is a textbook example of how technical confluences create high-probability setups:
✅ Head & Shoulder at demand
✅ Break of structure confirms reversal
✅ Volume contraction signals smart money entry
✅ Bullish expansion shows structure shift
🔔 Final Thought:
Watch closely how price reacts around the Next Reversal Zone. If bearish price action appears, it may provide a short-term reversal or retracement trade. Otherwise, a clean break above could signal the continuation of the bullish leg.
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction...
The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news.
On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns...
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325
Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265
Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,237.46
1st Support: 3,239.71
1st Resistance: 3,415.22
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLDThis looks interesting .So i how i decided to take this trade is soley based on higher time frame confluence ,Like the h4 ,Price left a wick to the down side which would only indicate liquity to me in an up-ward trading structure .When you break it down to M15 ,it makes sense.
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Bearih Reversal Zone )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bearish Reversal : 3362
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
Today's gold price: short again after falling below 3300Today's gold price: short again after falling below 3300
This will be my last participation in the market this week and my last belief.
Sell: 3295-3300
Stop loss: 3325
Target: 3250-3220-3200
The repeated fluctuations in the past two days are really heartbreaking. Even as a professional trader, I feel exhausted.
This week is another dull week. Trump's changes in instructions caught people off guard.
But trading is like this, always back and forth, and many times, we can't fully control it, but are controlled by it.
In order to seize as many time periods as possible that can control the fluctuations in gold prices, I often maintain a rhythm, trade only a few signals a day, and only trade in specific time periods that I can understand.
And strictly control stop loss and take profit, and use one month's data to calculate all my profits and losses.
After talking about mentality, let's analyze the price of gold:
Fundamental core:
Policy repetition and risk aversion
The US federal court ruled to suspend Trump's tariff policy, but the federal appeals court subsequently agreed to suspend the implementation of the ruling. Policy uncertainty leads to fluctuations in market risk aversion demand.
The White House said it would explore other legal ways to levy taxes, which exacerbated expectations of policy chaos and strengthened the attributes of gold as a safe-haven hedge tool.
Economic data and Fed policy
Weak employment data: As of the week ending May 24, the number of first-time unemployment claims in the United States surged by 14,000 to 240,000 (expected to be 230,000), suggesting a weak labor market and the probability of a rate cut in September rose to 84.4%.
Minutes of the Fed meeting: Keep interest rates unchanged, but acknowledge the risk of stagflation with "inflation and unemployment coexisting", and policy differences have intensified.
Geopolitical risks and long-term support
The situation in the Middle East (Israel may attack Iran's nuclear facilities) and the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine have limited the decline in gold prices due to geopolitical premiums.
Central banks around the world have strong demand for gold purchases: China's gold imports in April hit an 11-month high. In 2024, global central banks will purchase more than 1,000 tons of gold, which will support gold prices in the long term.
2. Key technical points
Support level:
Short-term: 3280-3290 (4-hour Bollinger band middle track + psychological barrier).
Medium-term: 3250 (50-day moving average, if it falls below, it may fall to 3217).
Resistance level:
Short-term: 3335-3340 (previous high pressure area).
Breakthrough target: 3350 (opening the channel to 3400).
Key events:
US core PCE data for April: If inflation is lower than expected (previous value 2.8%), expectations of interest rate cuts will increase, which is good for gold; if it exceeds expectations, gold prices may fall below 3250 points.
Sudden change in geopolitical situation: Israel's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities may cause the gold price to surge 5% in a single day, breaking through 3,400 points.
gold 4 hour = 3angel pattern do you see 3angel pattern? i put buystop on last high (sl always last low) and sellstop in last low
i predict gold back to 3000 area
let see GOLD FUTURES DAILY and AC indicator show us :if last low break , downtrend will start
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
#GOLD Buy 3272 - 3260#GOLD Buy 3272 - 3260
Stoploss 3236
Breakeven 3272.5 pips
TakeProfit 1: 3274
TakeProfit 2: 3282
TakeProfit 3: 3296
TakeProfit 4: 3308
TakeProfit 5: 3320
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️ FDT
Wed 28 May 25' 09 PM EST
XAUUSD selling pressure Current XAUUSD (Gold) Bias: SELL
Sell Below: 3365/64
Targets: 3350 → 3340/3330
Resistance: 3375–3378
Support: 3350/40/30
Why SELL?
1. Price Rejection at Resistance: Gold failed to break above the 3390–3395 resistance zone, showing strong selling pressure.
2. Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows are forming—a classic bearish pattern.
3. Stronger Dollar/Yields: If U.S. dollar strength or bond yields rise, gold usually drops as it's less attractive compared to interest-bearing assets.
4. Technical Indicators: Indicators like RSI and MACD on the 1H/4H charts are showing bearish divergence or downward momentum.
Conclusion: As long as gold stays below 3395–3394, the bias is bearish. Best strategy: look for sell entries near resistance, target 3335 and 3330
Let me know if you want live chart analysis or signals.
XAUUSD: Bouncing off a former Resistance now turned Support.Gold is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.013, MACD = 32.440, ADX = 32.924) as it made a much needed pullback to test the former LH trendline. This is a Resistance turned Support trendline and as the 4H MA50 holds, we expect the breakout to extend to +7.39% from the bottom. TP = 3,485.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Upcoming price outlook for goldGiven the unsuccessful attempt to break the 3367 level, we anticipate a price correction down to lower levels.
XAUUSD Analysis – 1H TimeframeGold is currently reacting to key resistance zones, and we are watching for signs of either rejection or breakout.
🔴 1H FVG Resistance Zones:
3408 – 3425
3386 – 3400
If price fails to break through these levels with momentum, we may see a downward move toward lower demand areas.
🔵 1H FVG Support Zones:
3323 – 3336
3276 – 3290
3242 – 3256
3152 – 3166
🟢 4H Order Block Support:
3100 – 3130
🟢 Daily POC (Developing POC):
3185 – 3200
📍 If price shows weakness here, we expect a retracement to the mentioned FVG or OB zones.
📍 At those levels, with the right confirmation (candle pattern or personal trigger), we’ll look for buy opportunities.
Your ideas?
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025“Compression in Premium: Is Gold Building for the Drop?”
👋 traders — let’s prepare the battlefield.
Gold continues to range inside a tight compression box just under the May High. The current daily structure is showing clear signs of distribution inside premium, with multiple failed attempts to break higher. Each upside wick has been absorbed near 3328–3350, and price is now hovering just above key support near EMA50 + PNL (3228–3232).
This setup is classic: lower highs + equal lows + trapped liquidity = imminent breakout. We now anticipate either a clean breakdown below support, or one final inducement wick before the move begins.
🔹 Daily Structure Breakdown
Structure Element Status
Market Bias 📉 Bearish short-term (distribution signs)
Trend Sideways in premium, LH forming
Current Price ~3289 USD
April ATH 3500 (untouched since)
Last CHoCH/BOS BOS confirmed early May → bullish, but no follow-through
Current Setup Range-bound inside lower high, testing OB support
🔹 Refined Daily Zones
📍 Zone Type Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3328 – 3342 Daily supply + previous bearish wick zone. Watch for rejection or inducement spike.
🔹 Key Support Zone 3232 – 3228 PNL + EMA50 cluster. Critical line — a clean break opens downside continuation.
🔹 Demand Block 3190 – 3180 Micro OB from May low. If support fails, this is the next magnet.
🔻 Breakdown Target 3044 Unfilled imbalance + clean demand zone from April breakout leg.
🔹 EMA & Momentum Check
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Still aligned bullish
⚠️ Price is sitting on top of EMA50 → breakdown threat if today's candle closes below 3228
RSI likely showing divergence — lower highs in price, weakening momentum
🔹 Daily Bias & Scenarios
📉 Bearish Bias below 3328
✅ Compression inside premium = expect breakout
🎯 Target 1: 3190 | 🎯 Target 2: 3044
❗ Bullish continuation only valid above 3342 with strong PA
🧠 Strategy Plan for Monday:
Sell Setup:
If price retests 3328–3342 early → watch for rejection → short toward 3190
Breakdown Setup:
Clean close below 3228 → open short continuation toward 3180
Buy Setup:
Only valid on deep retracement into 3180 with strong rejection + M15 structure shift
OR bullish breakout and hold above 3342 → target retest of May high
💬 Final Thoughts from GoldFxMinds:
Gold is compressing just below premium rejection — exactly where smart money distribution begins. This is not the moment to long blindly. Let the market show its hand — either break support, or spike into one final trap before dropping.
Trade with structure. Not emotion.
💡 Found this helpful?
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper-entry updates, refined zones, and structured trade planning
💬 Drop a LIKE if you’re prepared to let the trap trigger before you react
👇 Comment below: Will gold hold 3228 or flush into 3190 this week?
Let’s start June with clarity and control.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD RISE Up 3400!After a strong increase of 1000 pips a day, gold is now recovering to the 3340 3345 area to complete wave 4. Here we can consider buying gold above 3400. Good luck and safe trading!
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
—
GOOD LUCK
persaxu
XAU/USD selling below 3364 or Buy next impulseI believe this is a corrective move ,since 5th wave leg rejected from 0.707.
so, planning to sell below 3364 and holding till 3340.
if 5th wave extends then it won't break 3364 and sustains.
Im on sell side
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 02.06.2025Huge push up on Gold on market open due to Russia - Ukraine war tension.
Option 1: Gold rejects from CMP and drops lower towards $3,270.
Option 2: If Gold closes bullish above $3,330 then $3,370 is the next major bullish target.
Which scenario do you find more likely?
June 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Bullish momentum is weakening. Bulls must reclaim 3365 to regain control.
Watch 3350 closely — if it holds, bullish strength remains. If it breaks, consider short setups on pullbacks to resistance.
Today’s key zone to monitor: 3366–3350–3332.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3435 – Resistance
• 3415 – Resistance
• 3398–3400 – Psychological resistance zone
• 3385 – Intraday key resistance
• 3365 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3332 – Support
• 3323 – Critical support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📉 Macro Strategy:
1. SELL if price breaks below 3344 → watch 3332, then 3323 and 3310
2. BUY if price holds above 3365 → watch 3370, then 3379, 3385, and 3392
👍 Curious how I enter trades and place stops?
Tap boost to let me know there’s interest — I might do a dedicated post explaining my approach.
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
