renderwithme | XAUUSD - GOLD Pre-NFP Technical AnalysisCurrent Market ContextPrice Levels: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,341.79 as of July 4, 2025, with recent price action showing consolidation between $3,300 and $3,400 after a pullback from highs near $3,500.
Recent Performance: Gold rose slightly by 0.27% to $3,335.17 per troy ounce on July 4, supported by positive momentum from trading above the 50-day EMA. However, it has faced resistance near $3,400 and experienced low liquidity due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar amid concerns over U.S. fiscal imbalances (e.g., Trump’s tax-cut bill adding $3.4 trillion to the national debt) and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy. However, short-term volatility is expected due to holiday-thinned liquidity and upcoming economic data
# Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If gold holds above $3,300 and breaks $3,353, it could retest $3,400 and potentially climb toward $3,435–$3,451. A weekly close above $3,400 would negate near-term bearish risks and signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below $3,300 could trigger a deeper correction toward $3,248 (monthly low) or $3,226–$3,203. A drop below $3,203 would challenge the medium-term uptrend, potentially opening the door to $3,150 or lower.
Range-Bound Expectation: Due to low liquidity and pending NFP data, gold may consolidate between $3,320 and $3,340 early next week, with volatility increasing post-NFP
Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Bearish Setup for GoldGold is currently in a retracement phase after breaking below the mid Keltner channel zone. The small upward arrow marks this temporary relief rally, which I anticipate will be short-lived.
Price is testing the lower band of the inner Keltner channel after rejecting from the upper zones. The structure suggests a classic lower high formation before a potential major sell-off, targeting the deeper liquidity zones around $3,218 – $3,160 and possibly $3,080 if momentum accelerates.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📌 Invalidation: A clean break and close above the red resistance block (~$3,320+)
📌 Target Zones: $3,218 → $3,160 → $3,080
🔔 Look for volume drop and wick exhaustion confirming the next leg down.
This retracement may offer one final short entry opportunity before a deeper correction unfolds.
DeGRAM | GOLD around $3350📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the 3 312 pivot where the rising-channel base and July trend-support intersect; successive higher-lows are squeezing price against 3 355—last week’s swing cap and channel median.
● A break of 3 355 completes a 1 : 1 wedge measured to 3 380, and the grey inner rail projects follow-through toward the prior range ceiling at 3 425.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Services prices and falling 2-yr real yields curb USD demand, while IMF data show central-bank gold purchases rising for a third straight month—both underpinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Long 3 330-3 345; confirmed close above 3 355 eyes 3 380 then 3 425. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 312.
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XAUUSD Forming Triangle Pattern – Eyeing Breakout After Wave (e)🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – 3H Chart
Gold is currently forming a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE), with wave (e) in progress. Price is bouncing from a strong buyers’ zone near 3269.60, showing signs of upward pressure.
📊 Current Structure:
Wave count: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e)
Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle
Key support: 3269.60
Resistance zone to watch: 3408.00
📈 Potential Scenario:
If price holds above the buyer’s zone, we can expect a bullish wave (e) push towards the upper trendline at 3408, potentially leading to a breakout continuation.
📍 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose):
Long Setup Valid Above: 3269.60
Target: 3408.00
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3260 (based on your risk profile)
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🧠 Why This Matters?
This triangle setup often leads to strong breakout moves, especially in commodities like gold during fundamental uncertainty or dollar index shifts. The market is compressing — be prepared for the breakout move.
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📢 Follow for more clean Elliott Wave + Price Action setups!
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments. Let’s grow together!
#XAUUSD H4 – Higher Time Frame Analysis
📊 ** #XAUUSD H4 – Higher Time Frame Analysis ** 🕵️♂️
🔍 We drew a **Fibonacci retracement** from **June’s high (3451)** to **low (3246)**, and the **Golden Fibo level (0.618)** comes out to be around **3367**.
🎯 That’s **exactly why** we kept a **safer target at 3366** in our **yesterday’s H1 buy setup** – and it worked perfectly!
✅ Price made a high of **3365.95** before facing solid rejection from that zone.
📉 This area was critical because:
* It was a **Golden Fibo zone** ✨
* There was also a **visible price gap** on the chart ⚠️
🔄 **Current Price Action**:
After forming the day’s low, **price is now attempting to recover**. Let’s watch the H4 candle closely. 🕰️
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📌 **Two Possible Scenarios from Here:**
1️⃣ **Bullish Breakout**
➡️ If H4 candle **closes bullish above 3361**, we may witness a **deeper mitigation** of the **supply zone at 3367–3389**. 🚀
2️⃣ **Bearish Breakdown**
⬇️ If H4 candle **closes bearish below 3334**, then we may revisit the **3300 zone**.
📍 Below 3300, **3289–3276** becomes a potential **buy zone**, **if** price shows **rejection signals**. 💰
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📌 **Stay sharp, follow structure, and let price action guide you.** 🧠💡
🛑 No rush, just execution with precision.
Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move – Is 3390 the Bull Target or a False Breakout Trap?
🧭 Fundamental Outlook
Gold has entered a tight consolidation phase following a wave of high-impact macroeconomic events:
The US House of Representatives has passed Trump's “Super Bill”, raising expectations of increased fiscal spending and long-term inflationary pressures. In theory, this is supportive of gold prices.
However, strong NFP and Unemployment Rate figures released recently have reinforced dollar strength in the short term, suggesting the Fed may delay rate cuts → a temporary headwind for gold.
With Independence Day in the US, liquidity across global markets is expected to drop, increasing the risk of false moves or stop-hunt volatility.
🟡 The lack of immediate upside doesn’t mean bullish momentum has disappeared. Price may simply be building energy before its next leg.
📉 Technical Overview – XAU/USD
Gold has broken out of a minor descending trendline and is now testing a key supply zone around 3344–3345, which could determine the intraday trajectory.
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zones: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390
Support Zones: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298
🟢 Bullish Scenarios (Buy Setups)
📍 Intraday Buy Zone:
3313 – 3311
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350
📍 Deep Pullback Buy Zone:
3304 – 3302
Stop Loss: 3298
Take Profit: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340
These zones are ideal for trend-continuation entries, especially if supported by bullish candles or price action on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenarios (Short-Term Only)
📍 Intraday Sell Zone:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
📍 High-Risk Sell Zone:
3388 – 3390
Stop Loss: 3394
Take Profit: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360
Bearish positions should be reserved for signs of exhaustion or rejection patterns at resistance levels.
🧠 Trading Bias for Today
With limited liquidity due to the US holiday, price may remain trapped in a sideways range between 3320 and 3340. Traders should stay nimble and avoid overexposure.
✅ Primary bias: Buy dips near major support
⚠️ Alternative view: Only short if price confirms reversal at resistance
💬 What’s Your Take on Gold Today?
Will gold break through the 3390 barrier this week?
Or are we looking at one more dip before a true bullish continuation?
👇 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments!
#XAUUSD:First Buy, Then Sell Swing! Big Move In Making! Gold failed to decline further as previously predicted in our analysis. Instead, it continues to exhibit bullish sentiment. The current price trading in a critical region between 3350 and 3360, where significant resistance is observed. We anticipate that the price must pass through this region before it can clearly surpass the 3400 mark.
When this occurs, it is advisable to implement precise risk management strategies while trading gold due to its volatile nature. Additionally, the DXY index is experiencing a decline and currently trading at its all-time low since 1976. This development will likely have a substantial impact on the gold price.
We wish you the best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
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Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
How to accurately grasp gold trading opportunities?Gold rebounded as expected, and fell under pressure at the 3295-3296 line during the European session. This position was the key resistance level for the previous top and bottom conversion, and the range shock pattern continued. In terms of operation, the high-altitude and low-multiple ideas remain unchanged, and we will continue to pay attention to the short opportunities after the rebound.
📉 Operational ideas:
Short orders can be arranged in batches in the 3295-3311 area, and the target is 3280-3270 area;
If the support below 3260-3255 is effective, you can consider taking the opportunity to reverse long orders and participate in short-term.
📌Key position reference:
Upper pressure: 3295, 3311
Lower support: 3278-3275, 3260-3255
Gold strategy idea suggests shorting at 3291-3293, perfectly capturing the rebound high point! Smoothly reached the profit target of 3275, gaining 18pips! If you are not able to flexibly respond to the market in trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading ideas and rhythm in time with the market rhythm, you can pay attention to the bottom notification 🌐 to get more specific operation details and strategy updates. Let us work together to flexibly and steadily pursue more profits in the ever-changing market!
XAU/USD remains subdued beneath 3352, with downward pressure perXAU/USD Below Pivot, Eyes on 3352 for Bullish Clarity
Gold remains pressured under the 3347 pivot and the 3352 resistance, aligning with the 1h–2h supply zone. Despite brief upside attempts, price action still struggles to gain bullish momentum.
A clear 4H close above 3352 is essential to confirm any bullish shift toward 3365. Until then, the sentiment stays bearish, especially with repeated rejections from the pivot and supply zone.
Failure to reclaim 3352-3365 could trigger further downside towards 3320 and 3295, with the support line sitting at 3295.
⸻
Key Levels
Resistance: 3352 · 3365 · 3400
Support: 3320 · 3295 · 3264
Pivot: 3347
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3300 hit perfectly!!!!
We will now look for ema5 cross and lock to confirm a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3300 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3354
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3383
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3239
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3213
3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Risk-Off Trade Unwinds OANDA:XAUUSD endured another challenging week as the Iran-Israel ceasefire continued to diminish safe-haven demand, while robust equity market performance drew capital away from precious metals. The risk-on environment has fundamentally shifted investor priorities, with growth assets overshadowing traditional defensive plays like gold.
The chart reveals gold testing the crucial $3,270 support zone, representing a significant confluence level where the upward trendline intersects with horizontal support. This area has historically provided strong buying interest and serves as a critical inflection point for gold's medium-term direction.
From a broader perspective, the 4H chart shows gold approaching the lower boundary of its established upward channel around $3,250. The pullback from the HH near $3,450 has accelerated through multiple support levels, with the downward trendline acting as dynamic support to any recovery attempts.
A decisive break below the $3,235 - $3,250 support confluence could trigger further selling toward the $3,200 major support zone. However, the long-term upward trendline dating back several months provides substantial technical backing. A successful defense of current levels would likely attract value buyers and could spark a relief rally toward the $3,330-$3,350 resistance area, particularly if geopolitical tensions resurface or equity markets show signs of fatigue.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BREAK THE HIGHI can see gold getting ready to move upside again. If it's in our favour, check the reaction above the price of 3425. it may give other continuation thee above price 3425 to move more upside
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market
Gold non-agricultural layout strategy
💡Message Strategy
Small non-farm data "big surprise"
The ADP employment report released on Wednesday showed that the number of private employment in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first decline since March 2023. Economists surveyed previously expected the number to increase by 100,000 on average.
The ADP employment report showed that the number of private employment in the United States fell for the first time in more than two years in June, indicating that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates as early as September.
Spot gold closed up $18.20 on Wednesday at $3,356.90 per ounce.
Bednarik pointed out that gold has gained upward momentum recently, with a gold price target of $3,373.50 per ounce. The "big surprise" of the ADP data suggests a weak non-farm payrolls report in June.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line was the support line for the rise in the previous month. It fell back very hard last week and turned into suppression. It was tested repeatedly and finally a big Yin hit the lower track of the pattern. However, it started at a low point this week and rose steadily. Now it has returned to the top of the lifeline again. At this point, the space will consider switching again.
2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, with the lifeline 3330 as the dividing line between strength and weakness. Hold here and climb upward step by step.
3. The double lines on the hourly chart formed a dead cross after breaking through and turning into pressure last week, which helped to further increase the volume and fall by more than 100 US dollars. After breaking through and standing on it this time, it turned into support. The double line range is 3332-3342. This area is used as the boundary to switch between the upper and lower spaces. The support line for the bulls to dominate is the upper rail position of 3332, and the support line for the bulls to sweep is the lower rail position of 3316
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3332-3340,SL:3316,Target: 3400
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective**
🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones.
💥 This wasn't just a random bounce.
It was:
- A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH**
- A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones**
- A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel
- And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left
🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at:
- **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill)
- **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target)
- **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal)
🧠 This analysis has not just been correct.
It’s been **respected by the market.**
I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing.
There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline.
We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**.
Like it just did.
— *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭
#SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,389.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take prpofit: 3,294.89
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3318
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
XAUUSD potential Cypher patternOn the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is fluctuating upward in the short term, and bulls have the upper hand. Currently, XAUUSD is expected to continue to rise, and the price may return to above $3,400. When the price reaches around 3,407.8, you can pay attention to the potential bearish Cypher pattern, which is in the previous supply area.
Gold is Ready For The Next Bullish Run- Taking a Long Trade HereAfter a series of bearish structures on 4Hour time frame, which is actually a bullish retracement on higher time frame, Gold has now broke the bearish structure with series of bullish candles which turned the trend from bearish to bullish trend.
After the bullish break of structure, Gold retrace into a fair value price level, formed a swing low plus a bullish price action which further confirmed the bullishness of Gold, which is were I took an entry for a buy long trade.
My target for this trade is for Gold to reach the price level of $3,436 which is a 5.36RR return.
I will be monitoring price and manage my trade accordingly as price move in my direction.
Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.
Bullish rise for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 3,302.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,403.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders!
President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost.
We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential.
Technical Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend.
The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum.
Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500.
This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.