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GOLDCFD trade ideas

buy opportunities The gold spot is currently bearish due to a combination of factors including rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar, which reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, suggesting potential for prolonged higher interest rates to combat inflation, have dampened investor demand for safe-haven assets. Market sentiment has also shifted towards risk-on, with equities and other risk assets gaining ground, further weakening gold's position. As technical indicators show downward momentum and gold prices struggle to hold key support levels, the bearish outlook remains intact in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MRF_Trend
It is hard not to make a profit by trading CPI like thisI have to say that gold is indeed in a bullish pattern at present. After all, gold did not even fall below 3110 during the correction process. However, the current fluctuations are relatively cautious, and we are waiting for the guidance of CPI data, which may exacerbate short-term fluctuations! To be honest, although gold is in a bullish pattern, the resistance above cannot be ignored, especially the 3150-3155 area and the previous high of 3167. It is not ruled out that gold will form a secondary high during the rise and form a double-top structure with the previous high of 3167, so I will not be a radical in the short term and set the target at 3200. In addition, during the CPI data period, it is not ruled out that gold will rise and then fall back, so I do not advocate blindly chasing gold. On the contrary, I will definitely try to short gold in the 3050-3060 area. However, the market's long sentiment is high, and it is not advisable to have too high expectations for the magnitude of the correction in short-term trading. The first retracement target area is: 3105-3095, followed by 3080!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GPTradersHub
My take on Gold. It's a difficult one..This is the read that makes most sense to me. And I have zoomed all the way into 15m, for you to be able to see my thoughts around it all. For that wave down from April 2nd to April 7th to make any sense to me, I have labeled it as W-X-Y to complete (A). At first I had labeled it as a diagonal, but then price should not have retraced as much as it has since April 7th. And I also believed Gold has finished a 5th of a 5th wave, so we need to see some more correction before price head to the upside again. I simply can't read the retracement back up since the April 7th as a A-B-C, and this is why I believe price is just finishing up the A wave (and it might already have) before it goes into the B correction. The initiated wave down (wave B of (B)) I believe will go down to 3,044 - 3,013 level and then finish of the flat with a wave C of (C). This wave C should be able to go to the 3,130 - 3200 level. But as I said, first we spend some days to the downside heading for that 3,044 - 3,013 level. What is your current take on gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheDane
1
Gold & Silver Soar: Trade War RallyAnatomy of a Rally: How US-China Trade Tensions Propelled Gold to Record Highs and Lifted Silver Introduction The global financial landscape is frequently reshaped by geopolitical events, and few have cast as long a shadow in recent memory as the trade tensions between the United States and China. During periods of heightened friction, characterized by escalating tariffs, retaliatory measures, and pervasive economic uncertainty, markets often witness significant shifts in asset allocation. One of the most prominent beneficiaries during such times is gold. This document explores the dynamics behind gold prices reaching record highs amidst a US-China trade war, examining the multifaceted reasons for its ascent and noting the concurrent, significant rise in silver prices, which often move in tandem with the yellow metal due to overlapping market drivers. The US-China Trade War: A Catalyst for Uncertainty The trade conflict between the world's two largest economies represents more than just a dispute over tariffs and trade balances. It embodies a fundamental clash over technology, intellectual property, global influence, and differing economic models. The imposition of tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods creates direct economic consequences: 1. Increased Costs: Businesses face higher import costs, which can be absorbed (reducing profits), passed onto consumers (potentially fueling inflation), or lead to shifts in supply chains (causing disruption and inefficiency). 2. Reduced Trade Flows: Tariffs act as barriers, potentially dampening global trade volumes and impacting export-oriented economies. 3. Economic Growth Concerns: The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies makes businesses hesitant to invest and expand, potentially leading to slower global economic growth or even recessionary fears. 4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies reliant on cross-border supply chains face significant operational challenges, needing to find alternative suppliers or routes, often at higher costs and lower efficiency. 5. Currency Volatility: Trade disputes can lead to fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly involving the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, adding another layer of risk for international businesses and investors. This pervasive uncertainty becomes a powerful driver pushing investors towards assets perceived as safe. Gold: The Quintessential Safe Haven Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset is deeply ingrained in financial history. During times of economic stress, political instability, or market turmoil, investors flock to gold for several key reasons, all amplified by a US-China trade war: 1. Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold is seen as retaining its intrinsic value over the long term. Fears that trade wars could lead to competitive currency devaluations or necessitate inflationary monetary policies (like extensive quantitative easing) make gold particularly attractive. 2. Hedging Against Uncertainty: When the outlook for traditional assets like stocks and bonds becomes cloudy due to geopolitical risks like a trade war, gold offers a perceived refuge. Its price often exhibits a low or negative correlation to equity markets during downturns, making it valuable for portfolio diversification. 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Major international conflicts or tensions invariably add a risk premium to gold prices. A trade war between global superpowers significantly elevates perceived geopolitical risk, prompting safe-haven buying. 4. Weakening US Dollar Potential: While the US dollar itself can act as a safe haven, a protracted trade war could raise questions about the US economic outlook or lead to policies aimed at weakening the dollar to boost exports. Since gold is typically priced in US dollars globally, a weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand and pushing the dollar price higher. 5. Central Bank Demand: In an environment of heightened geopolitical tension and questions surrounding the dominance of the US dollar, central banks (particularly those in emerging markets or nations seeking to reduce reliance on the USD) often increase their gold reserves. This diversification strategy provides a steady source of demand, underpinning prices. A US-China trade conflict could accelerate this trend among various nations. 6. The Mechanics of the Price Surge The record high in gold prices isn't just a passive reaction; it's driven by active market dynamics: • Increased Investor Demand: Retail and institutional investors increase allocations to gold through physical bullion, gold futures contracts, and gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Large inflows into major gold ETFs are often a visible indicator of this heightened demand. • Speculative Activity: Traders in the futures market anticipate further price increases driven by the ongoing trade tensions and safe-haven flows, adding upward momentum. • Sentiment: Market psychology plays a crucial role. As prices rise and news headlines focus on the trade war and gold's rally, a positive feedback loop can emerge, drawing in more buyers afraid of missing out (FOMO). Silver's Ascent: Riding Gold's Coattails and Its Own Merits Silver prices registering a steep rise alongside gold during such a period is a common phenomenon, though its drivers are slightly more complex: 1. Monetary Asset Correlation: Silver, like gold, has a long history as a monetary metal and store of value. It often trades as "poor man's gold," attracting investors seeking safe-haven exposure at a lower price point per ounce. During strong gold rallies driven by macroeconomic fear, silver typically follows suit. 2. Industrial Demand Component: Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications (electronics, solar panels, medical devices). This is a double-edged sword during a trade war. While safe-haven demand pulls prices up, fears of a trade-war-induced global economic slowdown could theoretically dampen industrial demand, potentially capping silver's gains relative to gold. However, in scenarios where safe-haven buying dominates market sentiment, this factor often takes a backseat initially. 3. Higher Volatility: Silver markets are smaller and typically more volatile than gold markets. This means that significant inflows driven by safe-haven sentiment can lead to sharper percentage gains (and potentially sharper losses during corrections) compared to gold. The "steep rise" noted is characteristic of silver's higher beta. 4. Gold-Silver Ratio: Traders often watch the gold-silver ratio (the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold). When this ratio reaches historical extremes, some investors may buy silver, betting that it is undervalued relative to gold and that the ratio will revert closer to its historical mean. A major gold rally can stretch this ratio, triggering such trades and boosting silver demand. Global Trends and Context While the US-China trade war serves as a potent catalyst, it often occurs within a broader context of global trends that can support precious metal prices. These might include accommodative monetary policies from major central banks (low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold), existing geopolitical hotspots beyond the US-China relationship, concerns about sovereign debt levels, or nascent inflationary pressures. The trade war acts as an accelerant, amplifying the impact of these underlying factors on gold and silver. Conclusion The surge of gold prices to record highs during a period marked by an intense US-China trade war is a textbook example of the metal fulfilling its traditional role as a premier safe-haven asset. The conflict breeds deep economic uncertainty, stokes fears of currency devaluation, heightens geopolitical risk perception, and potentially influences central bank reserve policies – all factors that historically drive capital towards gold. The simultaneous sharp rise in silver prices underscores its strong correlation with gold as a monetary asset, benefiting from the same wave of risk aversion, albeit with the added complexity of its industrial demand profile. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors navigating volatile periods, highlighting gold's enduring appeal as a portfolio diversifier and a refuge when storm clouds gather over the global economy, particularly when sparked by friction between major world powers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
XAU/USD Outlook: Gold's Bullish Momentum Strengthens 📌 XAU/USD Analysis: Gold on a Strong Bullish Momentum Amid Economic Optimism 📈💰 ✨ Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently demonstrating significant bullish momentum, driven by improved global economic sentiment. The recent 90-day tariff suspension among major global economies and hints from the recent FOMC meeting about potential rate cuts later this year are fueling investor optimism. 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 3,146 3,162 3,168 🔸 Key Support Levels: 3,096 3,078 3,066 3,052 📈 Moving Averages Analysis: MA 13 (Short-term): Clearly supports bullish momentum, offering buy signals as price sustains above this MA. MA 34 (Medium-term): Supporting bullish sentiment with prices comfortably above. MA 200 (Long-term): Reinforces the robust long-term bullish outlook with price consistently trading above this level. 🚀 Trading Strategy & Recommendations: BUY Strategy (Preferred Scenario): Entry Zone: 3,094 – 3,096 Stop Loss: 3,090 Take Profit Levels: 3,100 | 3,104 | 3,108 | 3,112 | 3,116 | 3,120 SELL Strategy (Cautious Approach): Entry Zone: 3,164 – 3,166 Stop Loss: 3,170 Take Profit Levels: 3,160 | 3,156 | 3,152 | 3,148 | 3,144 | 3,140 🌍 Fundamental Context: Positive Market Sentiment: The global economic outlook has turned favorable due to tariff suspensions and strong performance in equity markets. Interest Rate Outlook: Recent signals from the FOMC regarding possible interest rate cuts are providing further support for gold’s upward trajectory. ⚠️ Risk Management: Emphasize caution when engaging in short positions, given the prevailing bullish conditions. Always implement strict stop-loss measures and maintain risk-to-reward ratios of at least 1:2. Avoid over-leverage and ensure trades are sized appropriately. 💡 Conclusion & Final Thoughts: Gold remains strongly bullish, backed by both technical indicators and a positive fundamental backdrop. Traders are encouraged to focus primarily on buy opportunities near significant support levels and remain alert to potential trend reversals at key resistance zones. 🗨️ Engage with Us: What are your current strategies for gold? Share your insights and views in the comments section below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks. Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain. At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057. Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057 Support levels: 2996, 2981 The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher. The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
Bulls recover, gold prices grow OLD ATH ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) climbs modestly toward the $3,080 mark during early Asian trading on Wednesday, buoyed by renewed safe-haven demand as trade tensions between the United States and China intensify. In a fresh move, US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day delay on new tariffs—set at 10%—for most US trading partners to allow space for negotiations. However, he simultaneously escalated trade friction with Beijing, raising tariffs on Chinese imports to a staggering 125% “effective immediately,” citing China's "lack of respect for global markets." ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The rapid recovery and large fluctuations of gold prices show that the impact of Trump's 90-day tariff postponement news is very strong. The price zone of 3135 and 3167 will be under great selling pressure. There is not much momentum for gold prices to create new ATHs. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3164- 3167 SL 3171 TP1: $3150 TP2: $3140 TP3: $3130 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3074 - $3076 SL $3069 TP1: $3090 TP2: $3105 TP3: $3123 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
5
Gold Breaks $3240, Shorting Opportunity EmergesGold prices have now surged to around $3240, continuing the recent strong upward momentum. Based on the previous trading signal, a long position at $3220 was suggested; however, due to the high volatility, many investors may have missed the opportunity to go long at that level. At this point, with prices approaching $3240, it may be an opportune time to establish short positions, with a target profit around $3225. Please note that this is just personal advice, and actual trading decisions should be made with attention to changes in key price levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Falcon-Trading-Signals
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction! Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144! The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully! Don’t forget to support this analysis! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
GOLD Gold makes a Record High Above $3,200 fueled by Tariff Tensions and Dovish Fed Outlook by federal reserve Gold prices rise fueled by rising safe-haven demand as the US-China trade war escalates and expectations continue to grow for a more tariff coming to balance united states trade imbalance with china . dollar weak appeal is trading below 100 a potential redflag of a weak economy and a boost for EUR,AUD,JPY,CAD,CHF,NZD,GBP investors and gold traders shares optimism after President Trump paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days, while China now faces a 145% levy higher than the previously proposed 125%. The US Dollar continue to sink further after CPI data disappointed, Core CPI and weekly jobless claims (223K) signaled softer economic momentum, reinforcing bets of dovish stance by Fed and a potential rate cut in the coming months. Asian and European stocks trading higher, Wall Street sinking by over 2.5%, indicating growing recession fears. Gold’s surge reflects heightened risk aversion and a flight to safety as markets brace for deeper economic downturn with trump
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 3,113.45. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,137.18 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
BULLISH SENTIMENTSNormally I have different expectations tailored for each trading sessions. When doing my backtesting, I usually study price action as per the sessions. Currently I was anticipating buys for London session. Price might continue with the trend during the NY but being a Friday, I wouldn't want to stay that long in this market. If price doesn't take out the Asian BSL during this session then I won't wait to see what happens in New York session. Safe trading guys and don't over do it.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Tineey_trader
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels: Demand Zone 🔵 Area: 3099.36 – 3110 This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice! Strong support zone! Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️ Around 3125 – 3135 Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation. Target Point 🎯 Level: 3168.17 Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone! Stop Loss ❌ Level: 3099.36 Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down. Trade Idea Summary: Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125 Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36 Target: 🎯 3168.17 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!) What to Watch For: ✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation. ❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007
2