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GOLDCFD trade ideas

Gold: Sell@3188-3200Gold has continued its strong rally, hitting a new all-time high, with bullish sentiment running extremely hot. However, we must approach this rationally — every new high is usually followed by a technical pullback. Currently, the 3200 level is a significant psychological resistance, as well as a key threshold for short-term bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, the sharp recent rally has shown signs of momentum exhaustion, with clear overbought signals emerging. 📌 Strategy Suggestion: Consider building short positions around the 3188–3200 zone If 3137 is broken, further downside could extend to 3112–3090 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: The larger the rally, the stronger the pullback potential Avoid chasing long positions at these levels to prevent getting trapped at the top Keep position sizes under control and set stop-losses to guard against sudden volatility Wishing everyone smooth trades and solid profits!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
Gold Short Setup: Targeting 3030 & 3015 from 2st Resistance ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3049 after bouncing strongly from the highlighted support zone near 2950. Price is now testing the 2st resistance area, and a rejection here could lead to a bearish move toward the target zone just below. 🔻 XAUUSD Bearish Trade Plan Entry Zone: 3045–3050 1st Target: 3030 2nd Target: 3015 Stop-Loss: Above 3060 (just above recent highs and the edge of the 2nd resistance zone) 🛡️ Why 3060 as Stop-Loss? It's above both the 1st and 2nd resistance zones. If price breaks above 3060 with momentum, it could signal buyers are in control and invalidate the short setup. This gives you about 30–35 pips of risk for a potential 30–35 pips gain to the 1st target, and up to 60–65 pips to the 2nd — offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Gold: From Supercycle to Near-Term Target. What's Next?🧩 Gold is trading at all-time highs, and the key question is: where's the top? In this post, I present a complete picture: from the long-term supercycle to the current structure on the hourly chart, plus a full set of macro and fundamental arguments in favor of continued growth. 1. Grand Supercycle & Supercycle I'm using the Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! chart since 1975, which gives the best long-term volume profile. According to my Elliott Wave interpretation: Waves ① and ② of the Grand Supercycle ended before the 2000s. The Supercycle wave III began in 2000. Key milestones: Wave I of the Supercycle peaked in August 2011 Wave II bottomed in December 2015 This entire period featured accumulation and reaccumulation. Since 2016, the gold market entered an expansion phase, forming Supercycle wave III. We are currently within its first cycle wave, which suggests there's still a long way to go. 📌 The ultimate upside is hard to predict, but the projected path on the chart points to targets in the $8,000–12,000 zone. 2. The Cycle Wave Since 2016: Extended Fifth Starting from 2016, we see a classic 1–2–3–4–5 impulse structure, with the fifth wave showing clear extension — a trait commonly seen in commodity markets. 🔎 Robert Prechter pointed out that in traditional stock markets, it’s usually Wave 3 that gets extended — driven by greed and early confidence in the trend. But in commodity markets like gold, it’s often Wave 5 that gets extended. This is because traders hesitate for a long time and only enter the market in panic, typically during crises, inflationary spikes, or physical shortages. 📌 The primary motivation here is fear, capital preservation, and flight from risk — not profit-seeking. That’s why gold often produces vertical rallies at the end of a trend, within the fifth wave. 📌 In this case, OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD AMEX:GLD becomes a safe-haven of last resort in a world of rising fiat uncertainty. 3. Cup and Handle: A Textbook Bullish Pattern The weekly chart shows a 10-year Cup and Handle pattern (2011–2023). The breakout above the neckline has occurred, projecting a classic target in the $3500–3600 range. 4. 2022–2025 Impulse: More to Come Gold has been in a strong impulsive uptrend since 2022. This move already looks extended, but there is room for more, especially given the structure of subwaves. In the near term (1–2 months), a flat correction in wave (iv) is likely before gold rallies to a new all-time high, potentially forming wave ③ around $3400–3600. After that, expect a period of distribution and range-bound price action. 5. Hourly Chart: Fifth Wave Not Done Yet On the H1 chart, gold has bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and key support. We are likely still inside wave (iv), with a potential final push in wave (v) ahead. Key levels: Support: $2920–2950 Resistance: $3250–3300 📌 A breakout above resistance could trigger a rapid rally. Macro and Fundamental Drivers 🔹 Falling Real Rates in the US 10Y yields are near 4.3%, while CPI inflation remains above 3.2%. This creates a negative real interest rate, historically a strong tailwind for gold. 🔹 Record Central Bank Buying 2023 marked the second consecutive record year for central bank gold purchases. China, India, Turkey, and Singapore are leading the charge. This shift reflects a move away from the USD amid geopolitical tensions. 🔹 Fiat System Stress Concerns over US commercial debt, banking instability, and growing systemic risk have made gold a preferred store of value for both retail and institutional investors. 🔹 Physical Delivery Demand There is growing pressure on the LBMA to deliver physical gold, not just paper claims. Some sovereign and institutional players are demanding real metal delivery. This stresses London vaults and could drive prices higher in a short squeeze scenario. 🔹 US Debt Burden Interest on US debt is expected to surpass $1 trillion in 2024 — a historic high. This challenges the USD’s reserve status and may increase long-term demand for gold. Where Can Gold Go? 🧩 We are witnessing a rare alignment of: ✅ Technical structure ✅ Elliott Wave cycles ✅ Macro tailwinds ✅ Supply stress in physical gold 📌 $3400–3600 is just the beginning. Consolidation may follow, but over the next few years, gold could target $5000 and beyond as this Supercycle wave unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakatrade1_618
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Technical AnalysisAfter a sharp drop and rebound, gold is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level around 3122. The key resistance zone lies between 3163–3167, where a breakout could open the path to 3218 (0.786 Fibo). 🔹 Resistance levels: • 3163 – 0.618 retracement • 3167 – previous swing high • 3218 – 0.786 level & target 🔹 Main Scenario: Breakout above 3163 leads toward 3218 continuation. 🔹 Alternative Scenario: Rejection at 3163 → retrace to 3082 or 3033 before next move. Momentum indicators are bullish but approaching overbought territory.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold/XAUUSD Intraday Move 10.04.2025📊 Market Context After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode. Market currently hovers around $3120 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest. 📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones ✅ Buy Zone 1 – $3095–3100 Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support. Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence. Target: $3,110 (first), $3,120+ (extended). ✅ Buy Zone 2 – 3070-3075 Reason: Previous bottom, possible double bottom scenario forming. Signal to Enter Long: Strong rejection wick / double bottom + volume surge. Target: $3085 first, then trail till $3,100. 🔁 Retest Logic Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close. Ideal scalping trade: Enter on confirmation, small SL, tight TP. ⚠️ Important Notes Avoid entering mid-range trades without pullback confirmation. Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum only if volume supports. Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones. Please follow, like, comment and share to get more analysis daily.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike Market Overview: The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike. The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation. Technical Outlook: Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions. The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend. Key Support Zones: Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored: 3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point. 3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action. 2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest. 2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory. Conclusion: In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions. The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis. Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Will gold fall after its strong rise?As long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the unilateral moving average support, it is an opportunity to go long. The lower support is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060. Therefore, today's gold bullishness is expected to consider 3080 or 3070 points. The rise will still focus on 3130. If it breaks through 3136, consider seeing the high point of 3150. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3136-3155 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3080-3078 support line. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3133-3136 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3080 line; Long order strategy: Long gold pullback near 3078-3080 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3105-3125, break to see 3135 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
XAU/USD) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown Key Elements: 1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH: The price was in a rising channel. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level. The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target Zone: A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG. 4. EMA & RSI: 200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now. RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop. --- Summary of the Idea: Bias: Bearish Trade Plan: Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075). Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections). Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG. Let me know if you’d like help formulating a trade setup or risk management plan based on this. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold's Rollercoaster: From 3167 ATH to 2950 Support–What's Next?Since the beginning of the year, Gold has been on an impressive uptrend, gaining over 5000 pips, culminating with last week's ATH at 3167. As I highlighted throughout last week's analyses, even though we're in a strong uptrend, the price was too far deviated from the mean, making a correction inevitable. ✅ Friday Recap: After testing the resistance zone formed at 3135-3140, Gold dropped hard, closing the week 1000 pips lower from its peak during Friday's session. 📉 Recent Developments: The correction continued yesterday, with Gold recently touching an important confluence support around 2950. 📈 What's Next? I expect an upward movement and resumption of the uptrend, with targets at: • 3050 zone 📌 • 3080 zone 📌 🎯 Plan: Buy dips near support, aiming for the mentioned targets. The analysis would be negated if we see a clear break below 2950. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
XAUUSD Update: Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 🚨 Attention Traders! 🚨 XAUUSD is making waves and breaking through key levels! 🔥 The price is currently battling between 2980 and 2989 — will we see a breakout soon? Bearish Alert: A dip below this range could lead us to targets like 2860 and 2850. ⚠️ Bullish Opportunity: A move above 2989 could trigger buying opportunities, with targets around 3004 and 3027. 🚀 💬 Let’s Talk Strategy! What’s your take on this? Share your insights as we ride this golden wave together and unlock new opportunities! 💰
TVC:GOLD
by ANNA_EXPERT
XAUUSD (Gold) is bearish scenario on Daily until 2,940.00 quote Hello guys and welcome one more time to my detailed yet simple strategies to make profit out of any situation in forex, So, another month, another strategy, in fact, a modified strategy which I hope works better than my other previous 2 trades with simplified strategy. Maybe, it was too simple. Let's go to the chart though. Daily chart is bearish, as I can see so we go to 15 min chart and seek for opportunity to sell. So, from now on the next level to touch is a resistence point from March 25, 2025 which became a sort of support which is 3,070.00 and the next one stronger is 3,058.00. So, let's see what happenes next. You, what do you think?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by 10yearsfxexpert
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3013.90, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 2978.66, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 3055.40, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Gold I Weekly CLS I Liquidity grab, Model 1 I High Risk trade..Trade is not based on the following, but here is thesis I see repeating: Gold is often going in the fear of the something (Tarifs, Recesion) But when it becomes fact - big players take profit. Don't trust me, Check on the charts what gold did in 2008 Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by David_Perk
22
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance. Key Technical Zones: Current Price: $2,985 Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area) Support Targets: TP1: $2,923 TP2: $2,844 TP3: $2,832 (swing low) Bearish Trade Setup: 📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance 📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005 📉 Target Zones: $2,923 – Previous structure support $2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base Technical Confluence: ✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off ✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend ✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000 ✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ultreosforex
Gold’s Bearish Trend vs. Fundamentals –What’s Driving the MarketGold’s Bearish Trend vs. Fundamentals –What’s Driving the Market? Gold has hit our first target, just as we predicted. Some doubted this move, but it happened. The current geopolitical situation is messy, making it hard to judge what’s good or bad right now. One thing is clear—gold seems heavily manipulated. Since Trump’s controversial decisions, other countries have grown wary, and gold’s price has been hesitant to rise. There’s a lot of talk about a U.S. and global recession, partly due to Trump’s tariffs and unpredictable policies. Yet, despite this, gold prices are moving downward. Interestingly, when inflation was at 10% in many countries, gold stayed around $2,000. But as inflation dropped to 5% or lower, gold prices climbed. This feels like manipulation at play. Russia recently announced plans to sell gold between April 5 and May 12. This could flood the market with liquidity and push prices down. However, other Central Banks or Hedge Funds may be also involved in these transactions. Russia might not be acting alone. From a technical perspective, the analysis remains unchanged. After any significant correction, gold could continue to drop further, as shown in the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
6