GOLDCFD trade ideas
Bait. Trigger. Collapse!🎯 XAUUSD 1H – Anticipating the Upside Fakeout Before the Real Drop
📉 Trade Breakdown:
Gold is consolidating just beneath a 1H supply zone (3344–3356), forming the classic structure for a liquidity trap. The expectation: price fakes out to the upside, taps the supply zone, and then reverses with a clean bearish move toward 3207. This isn’t just a technical setup — it’s fundamentally fueled by a blowout NFP report.
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📍 Key Technical Confluences:
• 🔸 1H supply zone: 3344–3356 (clean bearish reaction)
• 🔸 Consolidation beneath supply = energy buildup
• 🔸 Likely upside fakeout into supply → then rejection
• 🔸 Equal lows + inefficiency below = target-rich zone
• 🔸 3207 = next major demand / clean target
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📰 Fundamental Fuel:
• 🔹 NFP came in strong (206K vs. expected ~190K)
• 🔹 Dollar surged, yields rebounded → gold dropped
• 🔹 Rate cut hopes fading = bullish for USD, bearish for XAU/USD
• 🔹 Market is now adjusting expectations → selling gold aggressively
• 🔹 Gold already fell post-NFP, but this pullback into supply gives sellers a second entry
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📈 Execution Plan:
• Entry: After upside sweep into 3344–3356 with M15–H1 rejection
• Stop Loss: Above 3356 (supply invalidation)
• Take Profit: 3207 (clean structure + news-driven momentum)
• Optional sniper trigger: Wick rejection during NY session or USD news spike
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🧠 Mindset:
This setup is time-sensitive. It’s not just about structure — it’s about who’s trapped and what the market believes post-NFP. Don’t chase candles. Wait for the manipulation to finish — then strike with precision.
“Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
-Quil Lavish
GOLD Bulls Winning ! 560 Pips and Still Aiming for +2500 Pips ! 📊 GOLD XAU/USD — Trendline Play in Action!
My plan from yesterday played out perfectly: price bounced from $3274 to $3334 — that’s +560 Pips banked so far! 💙
But this is only the start of the bigger move — I’m still targeting a 2500 Pips upside on this bullish leg.
✅ Technical Bias:
Price is respecting the main ascending trendline perfectly.
Demand zone at 3220 – 3270 held as expected.
Next resistances: 3385, 3433, 3500, then 3553 as extended target.
✅ Fundamental Bias:
The market is still pricing in more Fed rate cuts, which keeps the upside for gold alive.
📢 If you like clear setups that deliver:
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XAUUSD – Clear Sideways Movement in a Narrow Price ChannelXAUUSD is moving within a parallel price channel, fluctuating between the 3,320–3,345 zone. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are running flat and close together, indicating a balanced market with no strong momentum in either direction.
Recent highs and lows have formed within a narrow range, reflecting indecision from both buyers and sellers. The latest bounce also stalled at the channel resistance, lacking the strength to break out.
As long as price remains below 3,345 and above 3,320, the sideways trend is likely to continue. During this phase, a range-trading strategy is preferred – selling near the top, buying near the bottom – while waiting for a clear breakout to determine the next directional move.
Gold Bullish Structure - Awaiting A RetestThat inverted head and shoulders pattern on is what is still giving me the confidence that the bulls will soon take over this market with a high probability of new All Time Highs.
At the moment however, I am patiently aways the possibility of a retest to the H4 demand zone as indicated by the downward pointing arrow. The bullish move might only happen in ful swing next week.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.8%X1:
#XAUUSD/#GOLD Long Trades
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.8%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Gold trend remains bullishThe investment market will not simply move in the expected direction. The road to success is tortuous. Once it goes in the opposite direction, it will lose direction and enter a cycle. The same is true for the market. The trend is certain, but it will never simply move in the predetermined direction. There will be twists and turns during the period that will shake people's hearts. At this time, you need a good attitude to face it and not be affected by the short-term trend. This is why we have been firmly laying out the bands in the early stage, and the reason for successful profits. Only by keeping the original intention can we succeed. The investment market requires concentration and perseverance, and then to reap profits!
At present, the overall rise of gold remains stable. Although the fluctuation has narrowed compared with yesterday, it has not fallen sharply after touching the previous pressure level, indicating that the support below is still effective. Although affected by the ADP data, the technical pattern still maintains a bullish idea. For prudent operations, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and pay attention to the short-term support area near 3333-3328 below. After retreating to this position and stabilizing, you can continue to arrange long orders, and focus on the support area near 3325-3315. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the bullish rhythm of retreating low and long and following the trend. The upward target looks at the 3355-3360 area. If this area continues to be blocked, consider light positions to arrange short orders, and the target is bearish adjustment. If the market breaks through strongly and stabilizes, it is expected to test the 3370-3380 area. The specific strategy adjustment will be prompted dynamically during the intraday according to the real-time market, and steadily follow the bullish trend to grasp the benefits.
Gold Under Pressure As Dollar StrengthenGold remains under pressure after a false breakout at $3,350, as the dollar's sudden strength dominates the market. Despite Powell's slightly dovish tone, Tuesday's PMI and JOLTs job data favored the dollar, keeping the market in limbo. Technically, gold has established a new range between $3,350 and $3,300. A drop to the lower end of this range could spark short-term buying opportunities. With the ADP numbers on the horizon, the market awaits further cues.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted.
We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday.
Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for.
Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD Struggles Below 3366, Bearish Pressure Remains ActiveXAU/USD Tests Supply Zone – Watching 3365 for Bullish Continuation
Gold is climbing amid global uncertainty and U.S. tariff concerns ahead of the July 9 deadline. But strong resistance is still in play.
The price is now testing the 1H–2H supply zone and has pushed past the pivot (3347–3352). A clear 4H close above 3365 will confirm bullish continuation.
Until then, upside remains capped. If price fails to sustain above 3365, a drop back toward 3328 and 3295 is likely.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3352 – 3365 – 3400
Support: 3328 – 3295 – 3285
Pivot Zone: 3347–3352
I win when I don't postLets see how it goes.
The consolidation that occurred because of the U.S holiday has led to giving buyers more power.
If not, I have a Stop Loss in place. We either win or we lose.
5th wave analysis + Market Structure support zone + Heads & shoulder(4H Timeframe) - we are currently in the right shoulder.
Risk what you can afford to lose
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Buy trade setup:
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🟢 Trade Type: Buy (Long)
Entry Price: 3321
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🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 3330 (9 pips gain)
2. TP2: 3340 (19 pips gain)
3. TP3: 3350 (29 pips gain)
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🔴 Stop Loss:
SL: 3305 (16 pips risk)
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📊 Risk-Reward Ratios:
TP1: ~1:0.56
TP2: ~1:1.19
TP3: ~1:1.81
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✅ Analysis:
The setup shows a moderate risk with potential for compounding gains.
Ensure there's enough momentum or support confirmation at or around 3321.
Your stop loss is fairly tight (16 pips) — consider volatility during news hours (like NFP or Fed announcements).
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Would you like a chart analysis, help with position sizing, or automating this setup (e.g., for MetaTrader/TradingView)?
Gold opening market strategy analysis
💡Message Strategy
In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark.
At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3370
Gold Rebounds from 3250 – But Bears Still in Control1. What happened last week
As you know, I’ve been bearish on Gold all last week long. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, the fact that price couldn’t reclaim the 3400 resistance was a major red flag.
It showed us that the bullish sentiment was fragile, and that downside pressure is just around the corner.
And indeed — Gold sold off. The weekly close below the 3300 level confirmed the weakness.
2. The key question now
Has Gold found a bottom at 3250, or is this just a temporary rebound before another leg down?
3. Why I expect a continuation lower
- The weekly close was under 3300, breaking key support
- 3250 is being tested again — a level touched multiple times since the mid-April ATH
- The current rebound looks corrective, not impulsive
- Resistance levels at 3320 and 3340 are likely to hold as ceilings
- No major catalyst yet to justify a reversal
- This looks like a classic “sell the rally” setup in a weakening trend.
4. Trading plan
The idea is simple: sell the spikes.
If price bounces into 3320–3340, I will look to short again, anticipating a renewed test of the 3250 support zone.
If 3250 breaks — we could see acceleration toward 3200 or lower.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
No need to complicate things. Gold remains vulnerable unless it clears 3340. Until then, the trend is your friend — and that trend points down.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold (XAUUSD) Signals Bullish Trend ResumptionGold (XAUUSD) has exhibited a robust rally since its low on May 15, 2025. The metal formed a five-swing motive sequence that culminated in wave 1 at 3452.50 on June 16, 2025. This five-swing structure, characteristic of an impulsive Elliott Wave pattern, signals potential for further upside. The subsequent pullback in wave 2 appears to have completed at 3246.15, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The internal structure of wave 2 unfolded as a double-three Elliott Wave corrective pattern. Specifically, from the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to 3340.18. A corrective rally in wave ((x)) followed to 3398.35. The final leg, wave ((y)), concluded at 3246.15, marking the completion of wave 2 in the higher-degree structure.
Gold has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. However, to confirm the bullish outlook and eliminate the possibility of a double correction, the price must decisively break above the wave 1 high at 3452.50. From the wave 2 low, wave (i) advanced to 3296.85. A shallow pullback in wave (ii) followed to 3274.41. Wave (iii) then propelled the metal to 3358.02. Based on the current structure, gold is expected to rally further in wave (v) to complete wave ((i)). Subsequently, a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, is anticipated from the June 30 low before the metal resumes its upward trend. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 3246.15 remains intact, gold is poised to extend higher, supported by the impulsive momentum of the ongoing wave 3.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD.. market palced around 3317 18 as day low so far but hour closed above 3323 that was our area.
so keep close our region that is around 3320 to 3323
that is our ultimate region for now and if market hold it in that case we can expect bounce again
NOTE: below 3320 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold accumulates and moves above 3350⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices declined by 0.80% on Thursday after a robust US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report boosted the US Dollar, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the upcoming July meeting. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,332, after reaching an intraday high of $3,365.
June’s employment data significantly outperformed forecasts and even surpassed May’s figures, reinforcing the resilience of the US labor market. Notably, the Unemployment Rate edged closer to the 4% mark, underscoring continued labor market strength. The upbeat report casts doubt on Wednesday’s softer ADP private-sector jobs data, which had shown a 33,000 drop in hiring.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates and recovers around 3350. Friday has no important news and bank holiday in US session, short-term recovery
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3365- 3367 SL 3372
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3311-$3313 SL $3306
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3350
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
#GOLD_05.07.2025#COMBINED FRACTAL THEORY WITH ALMAZOV + FIBO CHANEL MANDELBROT FRACTAL
GOLD TREND LINE BREAKOUT + FIBO ZONE FOR PULLBACK, THIRD WAVE PENDING
fibo spiral #ALMAZOV
Fibonacci projection with golden numbers, A. A. Almazov's course, closing of the bearish trend cycle, reaching reversal levels, for longs
6/7/25 Gold pre market outlook
as price showed a signs of bearishness (1H CHOCH)
short ideas as following:
the price managed to form a bearish flag. Therefore, what I want to see is breaking down the flag with 1H body candle close + Retest the lower trend line (on lower TF like 5M or 15M)
will enter the trade if getting a strong BOS targeting the lower bullish OB
If the price breaks up the flag, what I want to see after visiting the upper bearish OB is 1H body candle close below the bearish OB + Retest OB level on lower TF (5M or 15M) and will enter the trade after forming a strong lower TF choch targeting the lower bullish OB