Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.
📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips
🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone
❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean
✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce
👁🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
→ Break = bullish reversal
→ Rejection = new short trigger
3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation
3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails
3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news
🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning
🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips
🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325
📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech
📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)
🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI
🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.
🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.
This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.
—
📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.
XAUUSD: 28/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3225-3230
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3330, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3300, and the support level is 3268.
The current price of 3290 is in the oversold rebound stage. Now it will continue to rebound upward after standing firm on the 30-minute/1-hour support. The strength and weakness dividing line focuses on the 3300 line. After breaking through, it confirms the short-term bullish strength and continues to the 3330 resistance zone;
On the contrary, if it falls below 3268-3270, it may accelerate the decline. Focus on the price response of the three positions of 3270 and 3300/3330.
GOLD 45M CHART PATTERNChart Pattern: Descending Triangle
A Descending Triangle has formed on the 45-minute timeframe — a powerful bearish continuation pattern that reflects a battle between weakening buyers and increasingly aggressive sellers.
Key structure:
The triangle narrowed over time, indicating volatility compression and building pressure.
Pattern Psychology: As price continued to compress, sellers consistently undercut each bullish rally. Buyers held the line — until they couldn’t. The break below the support level marked the moment of surrender, triggering a wave of selling pressure and confirming the descending triangle’s bearish bias.
Resistance Level: Around $3,270
Post-breakdown, the previous support zone near $3,253–$3,270 has now become resistance. This level also aligns with:
The descending trendline from the pattern.
The recent retest zone where price attempted to recover but failed to break higher.
This area is now a critical ceiling — unless broken with force, it reinforces the bearish outlook and invalidates any short-term recovery attempts.
Target Point: $3,150
Based on the measured move technique, the target for this descending triangle is calculated by taking the vertical height of the triangle and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
Breakout Point: ~$3,265
Extended Target: With increased bearish momentum and no significant support until next structure, price is projected toward the key psychological and technical level of $3,150
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3343 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: CORRECTIVE Phase after the SurgeOANDA:XAUUSD market initially rallied during the week, reaching the key 3500 level. However, we have a corrective move, showing a bit of profit taking as traders are looking to the tariff noise for direction. The market made a sharp decline resulting in a long-tailed bearish bar on the weekly timeframe, suggesting the price may continue pushing lower toward the 3150 support levels. The price shows similar price action to what we saw at the beginning of this month when a market decline was followed by a week of sideways movement, which then led to continuation of the bullish trend.
I think we might see 2 scenarios to identify the potential endpoint of this corrective move. On the daily timeframe, the price is near the 50% retracement of the bullish swing move, which may be a potential level for continuation. The second scenario is an ABCD pullback where price dips below the 3200 level to find support. In any case, we should react to the price action and how it develops. If the Monday candle gaps up, this potentially indicates that price may move higher. And if we get a gap down, then we can expect a deeper pullback in the market.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly!
After we got the close above 3297, the gap up to 3433 completed exactly as we had analysed. However, without a further close or lock above 3433, the rejection was confirmed with a wick, and price then found support above the channel top, just as we always highlight.
With EMA5 still holding above the channel top, we’re likely to continue seeing support and price action playing above the channel. This opens the door for another retest of 3433. However, if price breaks back inside the channel along with EMA5, the levels inside the channel will reactivate for level-to-level plays.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bearish and bullish possibility The market created a 4h descending triangle and it broke out and retested but now it seems to be creating an ascending triangle pattern below, if the descending triangle plays out we could see the market reach within the weekly fvg at the 3185 area which will present buying opportunities and if the ascending triangle plays out we could reach the 3387 area, overall we just have to wait and react accordingly
The latest trend of the gold market and operation suggestionsAt present, on the daily chart, gold closed with a medium-sized bearish candle. In the early trading session, it directly broke below the crucial defensive level of 3,370, thoroughly opening up the adjustment range. Meanwhile, it triggered the MACD indicator to form a death cross. Now that the gold price has reached a new low, the dominant strategy for the early trading session is still to sell on rallies.
On the 4-hour chart, in today's early trading session, the price directly broke down and smoothly pierced through the support area ranging from 3,270 to 3,260, realizing the transformation between the top and the bottom. At the 1-hour level, not only has it broken below the previous low of 3,260, but the moving averages have also formed a death cross, indicating strong bearish momentum. It is advisable to sell decisively when the gold price rebounds to around 3,270, which is the densely traded area at the lower part of the recent box consolidation. If the rebound fails to even reach the vicinity of 3,260, in an extremely bearish market situation, the downward space for the gold price will be further expanded.
Overall, for short-term trading of gold, the operation strategy should mainly focus on selling on rallies, supplemented by taking light long positions on pullbacks. Pay close attention to the resistance range from 3,235 to 3,245 on the upside, and closely monitor the support levels from 3,200 to 3,190 on the downside.
XAUUSD
sell@3225-3230
tp:3210-3200
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GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionAfter testing a fresh record high around the $3,500 zone, gold made a sharp U-turn, erasing much of its gains and dropping toward the $3,260 support zone.
This reversal came as the US Dollar found fresh strength, following US President Trump’s major backtracking on tariffs against China and the dismissal of Fed Chair Powell.
Markets have since stayed volatile, swinging between "risk-on" and "risk-off" sentiment.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and it is unclear whether buyers or sellers will take control.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrice #TradingPlan #GoldVsDollar #WeekendMarketAnalysis
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
Summary of the Gold Market This WeekThis week, the gold market showed a clear downward trend, with spot gold accumulating a 2.43% decline.👉👉👉
The economic data had a significant impact on the gold market this week. Data released by the US Department of Labor on the 2nd showed that the non - farm payroll employment in the US increased by 177,000 in April, much better than the expected 138,000, and the growth data for the previous two months were revised downwards. The US unemployment rate was 4.2% in April, in line with market expectations. The strong non - farm payroll data reduced the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June. Under normal circumstances, the reduction in the interest rate hike expectation should be bullish for gold. However, the gold market did not rise sharply this time, mainly because the gold price had risen significantly in the early stage and the long - term investors had a strong sentiment of taking profits. At the same time, the relatively good employment data also reflected the resilience of the US economy to a certain extent, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe - haven asset. As a result, the gold price did not show an obvious upward trend immediately after the data was released. Instead, it remained volatile in the short term.
From a technical perspective, although the gold price has declined this week, the futures price still has certain technical advantages in the near term. On the daily chart, although a negative candlestick was recorded this week, the previous upward trend has made the moving average system still show a long - term arrangement. From the perspective of the RSI, the current value is hovering around 50, indicating that the market's long and short forces are temporarily relatively balanced, and neither side has an obvious advantage. Therefore, the gold price has entered a consolidation stage.
With the economic development in Asia and the changes in consumers' demand for gold investment and jewelry, Asia's influence in the global gold market has become increasingly prominent. If the demand in Asia remains strong in the future, it will provide strong support for the gold price. On the contrary, if the demand weakens, it may increase the downward pressure on the gold price.
Looking ahead to next week, the gold market still faces many uncertainties. On the one hand, the continuous changes in economic data and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remain key factors. If the subsequently released data continue to show the resilience of the US economy, it may further reduce the market's expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, thereby suppressing the gold price. On the other hand, any new development in the international trade situation may trigger fluctuations in the market's risk - averse sentiment, thus affecting the supply - demand relationship and price trend of gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Continuation Within Descending ChannelThis chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) trading within a clear descending channel. Price recently broke below a key support level, signaling bearish momentum. A potential retest of the broken support (now resistance) is expected before further downside continuation. The chart outlines two bearish targets: the first around 3,193 and the second near 3,100. If the retest fails and sellers step in, the downtrend is likely to continue toward those targets.
Gold trend picks directionGold fell by 230 USD in a row on the daily line. Currently, 3500 is under short-term pressure. Today, we will focus on the continuity of the decline. It directly rushed from 3288 to 3310 in 5 minutes after opening. Yesterday, it hit the lowest point of 3258 above the 0.5 division of 2956-3500. This position is temporarily supported and rebounded, but whether the adjustment is over is still uncertain. It depends on the intraday closing pattern. If today's closing can stand above the MA5 daily moving average resistance of 3358 again, then there will be signs of the end of the downward adjustment, and the next day must be accompanied by a positive line. Pull up; on the contrary, if it closes below the 5-day MA, then there is a high probability that the 10-day moving average position will continue to decline, and then the 50-division position 3228 is further down, which happens to be the starting point of the big positive on April 16. This is likely to be the end point of this round of adjustment, or there will not be much room to go down, because from the standard wave pattern, it cannot fall below the first wave high, which is 3167, which is also the current middle track; therefore, either 3228 will stabilize on dips, or somewhere in the 3228-3167 area will stabilize, and then finally return to the bullish trend and pull up
The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and has become a key counter-pressure point. As long as it does not stand above it again, it will maintain a downward correction. After breaking 3292 below, the 66-day moving average of 3260 will be the loser or loser; the 1-hour K-line is under pressure from ma10 and ma5 and continues to fall. After yesterday's consolidation and pull-up, the K-line has now re-run above ma10, and the macd has formed a golden cross below the zero axis. This wave of 200 US dollars of rapid decline has almost corrected most of it. If it continues downward for another wave, or with the help of bottom divergence, it will slowly brew a short-term bottom; today's gold rebound focuses on the resistance below 3367, below the extreme middle track of 3380, and it is still bearish if it cannot withstand the pressure. If the strong support of 3260 or 3245-28 is stable, we will start to consider bottom-fishing.
XAUUSD Analysis🟡 XAUUSD Analysis – May 2, 2025
Chart Overview:
Price is reacting near the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (~3262–3275), a key supply area.
A bearish rejection candle is forming at 3264.51, showing resistance.
The projection curve on the chart suggests a potential pullback to the 0.236 (3232.76) or even 0 (3206.26) level.
🧠 Fundamental Catalyst (Today’s NFP):
If the NFP comes out weak (138K or lower) as expected:
USD may weaken → gold could break above 3275 and aim for 3294 or higher.
If NFP beats expectations significantly (e.g., above 200K):
Strong USD → This bearish setup could play out → Gold may drop toward 3232 or 3206.
📉 Signal (Short-term idea):
Bias: Bearish below 3275
Entry: Sell near 3265–3275 (supply zone)
TP1: 3232
TP2: 3206
Gold Technical Analysis Update:(XAUUSD)OANDA:XAUUSD
Not much has changed since my last update—gold remains stuck in the same range-bound, triangle pattern we've been tracking. The price action is definitely tightening, which usually means we're getting closer to a decisive breakout.
Key Levels:
- Support: 3300 is holding firm as a strong support level.
- Resistance: 3350 continues to cap the price as a major resistance, keeping gold within a wide range.
My outlook remains bearish for the short term, especially as gold is still trading below the golden Fibonacci zone (3375-3420). The weekly close also confirmed that sellers remain in control for now.
Today’s monthly close is particularly important and could set the tone for the next move:
- If gold finishes below 3330, this will strengthen the bearish outlook and open the door for a drop towards 3250, 3200, 3150, and even 3070.
- However, a breakout above the triangle and 3350 would force a reassessment of the short-term direction.
For now, I’m waiting for a clear breakout from this range to confirm the next major move.
Personal trade plan:
- I believe we can enter a sell trade here, with targets at 3250/3200/3150/3070.
- My stop loss is set at a 4-hour candle close above 3335.
As always, manage your risk and trade wisely. Good luck, traders! 🏆💰