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Gold in down trend (correction wave )Sell gold 3305-3309, stop loss at 3315 (4-hour candle close above), targeting 3245 (600 pips), risking 100 pips. Price is currently in wave Z of a WXYXZ correction. Invalidation level for this correction is 3345. Confirmation of downtrend continuation is a close below 3270. Currently holding the short position. Watching price action around 3270 for confirmation of further downside. A break below would strengthen the bearish outlook and pave the way towards the 3245 targets. Will monitor for any signs of bullish reversal but maintaining the stop loss at 3315 for now. Invalidation level at 3345 remains the key level to watch for a potential trend change.
CFI:XAUUSDShort
by Ibrahim1984
2
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
30 of May 2025 Trading plan Our trading plan first was buying but the price change its direction and i also change to the selling in NY times 1- PDA:-bearish H4-FVG(narrative) to the target of swing low of the bullish candle where the (Reclaimed OB-H2) 2- Rejection Block bearish on 15min associated with CISD-15m 3- bearish CISD or MSS 2 times on the 5m-TF 4- (1-2-3 ) pattern :-3 violate 2 that support the bearish trend 5-TURTLE SOUP in area of CISD 6-AMD IS evident
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Antwerp_winning_trader-Maitham
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum. Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout. This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330. Technical Highlights: Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders Neckline Breakout Confirmed Support Levels: 3303, 3330 Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+ Volume Confirmation: Present This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Gold to new Hight ?!!Gold is currently trading within a downward price channel, and as observed, it has bounced downwards from the upper boundary of the channel to settle around the demand zone at levels between 3265.00 and 3279.00. We can also notice the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, as illustrated on the chart. Therefore, I expect that if the price stabilizes above the mentioned demand zone, gold may rise again towards the supply zone between 3330.00 and 3345.00, at which point it would have broken out of the downward channel and also broken through the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. This could lead to potential targets at 3365.00, 3415.00, 3435.00, and 3500.00, and after that, we might even see a new peak for gold. Good Luck
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Ahmedragab
1
Gold Trade plan 02/06/2025Dear Traders. ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Momentum Building Toward New Highs The strong descending channel has been decisively broken, and the momentum generated from this breakout suggests a real potential to push beyond the all-time high. 📈 Strategy in Play: We’re looking to enter on corrective pullbacks, riding the momentum with buy setups — and plan to take profit near the upper boundary of the broader channel. This structure offers both technical confirmation and a clear risk/reward framework.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news: 1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation 2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports 3. May PMI data released 📈 Market analysis: As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3325-3335 TP 3310-3290 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 02 - Jun 06]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated in the range of 3,245 - 3,331 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,289 USD/oz. The reason for the sideways gold price was due to the lack of strong information. The US Court of International Trade's ruling on blocking the Trump administration's tariff policy was postponed, while the US PCE index in April increased by only 2.5%, down from the previous month, not enough to influence the FED's policy in the context of prolonged trade instability. If the Court continues to block the tariffs, President Trump can still use several laws to maintain the tariffs: 🔹Section 122 - Trade Act of 1974: Allows for a 15% across-the-board tariff for 150 days; then requires congressional approval to extend. 🔹Section 338 - Trade Act of 1930: Allows for tariffs of up to 50% on goods from countries deemed to discriminate against the United States. 🔹Section 232 - Trade Expansion Act of 1962: Allows for the expansion of tariffs from items such as aluminum, steel, and automobiles to other industries on national security grounds. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that US-China trade negotiations are still at a standstill due to many complicated issues, requiring direct intervention from the leaders of the two countries. Although the tariff war is still complicated, the most tense phase has passed. Therefore, in the short term, gold prices are unlikely to exceed the $3,500/oz mark and will likely continue to adjust and accumulate in the $3,100-$3,400/oz range. Although gold prices are currently stuck in a range, the US economic data released next week, especially the May non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, could cause a sharp move. The NFP is forecast to come in at 130,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. If true, this could reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates to support the labor market, thereby supporting gold prices. Conversely, if the NFP is stronger than expected, especially higher than last month, the Fed could keep interest rates unchanged, putting downward pressure on gold prices. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are almost moving sideways in a narrowing range, the resistance level is established around 3325 while the support level is around 3245. Next week, gold prices are likely to increase slightly if economic and geopolitical factors continue to support, corresponding to the H1 technical chart, gold prices will increase to 3365-3415 if the price breaks through the Downtrend line and breaks the resistance zone of 3325. In case the gold price falls below the support zone of 3245, the gold price will reverse and decrease. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,250 – 3,228USD Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3325⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3431 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400. Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105. Operation strategy: 1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240 2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pcesfj
1
GOLD/USD A point of reversal from an uptrend1. Price Action Zones Resistance Zone: A dark green horizontal box near the $3,460–$3,486 range. This is labeled with: HH (Higher High) — A point of reversal from an uptrend R (Resistance) — Confirming supply and prior rejection Support/FVG Zone (Fair Value Gap): Multiple green shaded areas suggest demand zones or price inefficiencies that could attract buy orders. One clearly marked as “FVG” (Fair Value Gap), typically used in institutional trading strategies. 2. Market Structure Labeled Points: HH (Higher High) – Indicates a previously established high LH (Lower High) – Suggests a shift or weakness in bullish momentum LL (Lower Low) and HL (Higher Low) – Mark a potential change in trend or a market reversal structure 3. Projected Move There’s a forecasted bullish move, visualized by an upward arrow: Entry Point: Around $3,226 Stop-Loss: Below a key support/FVG area (~$3,180) Take-Profit: Target zone above the resistance (~$3,460) --- 🧠 Strategic Implication This setup appears to be based on Smart Money Concepts, using institutional liquidity zones, market structure breaks, and fair value gaps to identify high-probability trade setups. Trade Bias: Bullish Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the take-profit zone is significantly larger than the stop-loss buffer. Confluences: Support from previous lows, FVG fill, and potential market structure shift (LL to HL) --- ✅ Summary This XAU/USD chart reflects a professional and methodical approach to trading gold using a combination of supply-demand zones, market structure analysis, and fair value gaps. The trader is expecting a bullish continuation toward a prior resistance zone with a well-defined risk-management strategy.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Johnson67
XAUUSD – Pressure becoming evident at higher price levelsAfter an impressive recovery streak, gold may soon have a chance to approach the 3,404 resistance zone – the top of the current ascending channel. This is not only the upper boundary of the technical structure but also an area where price has been rejected multiple times before, making it a likely profit-taking point or a trigger for renewed selling pressure. In addition, the newly released U.S. PMI data exceeded expectations, signaling that manufacturing activity is recovering well. This has prompted the market to reassess expectations for Fed policy easing – pushing up both bond yields and the USD, while gold – which yields no interest – is facing pressure. If buyers fail to produce a clear candle close above the 3,404 zone, a pullback scenario toward the 3,324 support area becomes highly plausible. This will be a “strength-testing” zone for both sides in the upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUAD UPDATE BUY ENTRY WEEK LAST DAYThe chart you’ve shared is for CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows: Key Observations: 1. Support and Resistance Zones: Support Zone: Around the 3,273.506 level, marked by the lower yellow box. Resistance Zone: Around the 3,313.665 level, marked by the upper yellow box. 2. Price Action: There was a significant dip followed by a bullish reversal from the support zone. A zigzag pattern (possibly an Elliott wave or price structure) indicates a bullish outlook. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Around 3,292.270 (current price). Take Profit (TP): Near 3,313.665 (resistance zone). Stop Loss (SL): Around 3,273.506 (support zone). 4. Risk-Reward: This setup offers a favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio, suggesting a long (buy) position with a defined stop and target. Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish trade idea based on price bouncing off the support and targeting the resistance. The highlighted zones provide clear invalidation and profit-taking levels. If you're considering entering, monitor for confirmation like strong bullish candlesticks or volume spikes near the support area. Let me know if you’d like a deeper analysis or want to explore alternative scenarios (e.g., bearish reversal or range continuation).
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Zakrii
XAU/USD (Gold) – Symmetrical Triangle Setup | Breakout Imminent🔶 Chart: 4H timeframe 🔶 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Gold is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows — a classic setup indicating a potential breakout is near. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Price has respected both trendlines multiple times, confirming the structure. ✅ The apex is approaching, suggesting volatility and a directional move are imminent. ✅ Volume is compressing, aligning with typical breakout behavior. 🧭 Bias: Neutral – Wait for Confirmation We’re at a decision point. Don’t front-run the move — wait for a clean 4H candle close outside the triangle with volume confirmation. Whichever side breaks, the follow-through could be sharp. Set alerts at Above and Below triangle to catch the move in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by wajahatarif