XAUUSD Sharp Decline : - Gold experienced a significant drop , reaching a low point around 1st May , looks like it's working on a recovery phase after bottoming out , there is significant bullish momentum play on today's chart.
However the current price is approaching a KEY RESISTANCE @ $3265-68.
KEY ZONES
Go for BUY ORDERS if PRICE breaks $3268.60 and shows strong BULLISH MOMENTUM.
MACD Analysis - is showing strong a BULLISH CROSSOVER with increasing HISTOGRAM BARS, which suggests strong Upward Movement.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern seen indicating POSSIBLE REVERSAL .
A bullish triangle is as well idnetified from the chart indicating UPWARD MOMENTUM.
OVERALL we are BULLISH TODAY, but keep in mind that we still have the CONSOLIDATION PHASE in play.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
NF fluctuates in a downward trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China’s Ministry of Commerce announced Friday that the United States has recently initiated communication through official channels, expressing interest in reopening talks on tariffs. Beijing is currently evaluating the proposal, fueling optimism that a resolution to the prolonged tariff standoff between the world’s two largest economies may be on the horizon.
This renewed hope for a breakthrough in trade negotiations helped lift the US Dollar to a three-week high on Thursday, pressuring Gold prices down toward the $3,200 mark. However, bullish momentum for the USD remains tempered as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially with the closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls data looming.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
NF news volatility is certain, with the big accumulation from last week. Gold price has confirmed the trend after breaking 3267, will fluctuate in a downtrend below 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3312- 3310 SL 3317
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3175 - $3177 SL $3170
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price in Key Compression Zone: Awaiting BreakoutThe 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) shows a clear symmetrical triangle formation, where the price has been compressing between a descending resistance zone (red) and a horizontal support zone (green). Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Support Zone (~3040–3080 USD):
This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level.
Resistance Trendline (~3310–3320 USD):
The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far.
EMA Indicators:
50 EMA (black line): Currently acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (blue line): Price is hovering around it, indicating indecision.
Projected Breakout Scenarios:
Upside Breakout:
If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480–3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels.
Downside Breakout:
If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080–3040 USD.
Current Bias:
The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Quick update on our weekly chart idea, it's been playing out beautifully, helping us track the move down and catch the move back up.
After hitting our final channel top target at 3281, we mentioned we would look for support forming above the channel. That’s exactly what happened, with price finding support outside the channel and giving us the bounce we anticipated.
We also got a body close above 3281, which completed the gap up to 3387. From here, we'll be watching for continued support above the channel, a retest of 3387, and a close above it to confirm the continuation higher.
If we fail to retest and close above 3387, we’ll likely see a reset back to the channel top. Should that support fail, we would expect a break of the EMA5 back into the channel, resetting the play inside the channel with all previous levels back in play.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
"XAUUSD Double Setup After Massive Manipulation! 200+ Pips"🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Smart Money Play Unfolding!
Here's a clean breakdown of the current structure and why this could be a high probability setup:
🔥 First, notice the manipulation zone — classic Smart Money move where liquidity was grabbed aggressively before a shift in market structure. This sets the stage for a bigger play.
📉 Change of Character (ChoCh) confirmed after the sweep, showing clear intent for price to reverse. This is the first signal that buyers are losing control and sellers are stepping in.
📍 First Key Area: Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Price is now retracing into the FVG.
This is our 1st Entry Setup opportunity.
High R/R setup if rejection happens around this level.
📍 Second Key Area: Order Block (OB)
A stronger zone for deeper mitigation.
If price pushes through the FVG, this OB becomes a prime entry spot.
This is the 2nd Setup for another potential short entry.
🏹 Targets and Pip Count:
Immediate target zone offers around 211 pips from the first setup.
Deeper target from second setup offers up to 253 pips move.
🧠 Market Structure & Psychology:
After manipulation, Smart Money always seeks to rebalance inefficiencies (FVG) and mitigate institutional orders (OB).
Weak lows created will likely be swept to fuel the bigger move down.
Multiple liquidity pools above and below current price hint at another round of liquidity hunting.
⚡ Game Plan:
Monitor price action reaction around FVG for short triggers.
If broken, reposition entries at the OB zone.
🚀 Risk Management Reminder:
Always use calculated risk per trade.
Don't chase; let price come to your zone.
Protect capital first, then maximize profits.
✍️ In summary:
This setup shows classic Smart Money Concepts in action: manipulation, structure shift, FVG, OB mitigation — all aligning for a clean bearish move. If executed with patience, this could be one of the smoothest setups of the week!
➡️ Comment "GOLD READY" if you’re stalking this setup with me!
➡️ Tag your trading buddy who needs to see this!
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️locked inside range trading
▪️3275/3365 usd active range
▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over
▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over
▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD
▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Wait for a breakout
▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD DAILY UPDATE MAY 1ST 2025Chart Is very clear in numbers ,
Expected to continue correcting to the level of 3160 3170, from there must jump to a very high levels, but except real breaking 3160 with confirmation candles on 4 hours timeframe, will take us to more correction down to 3040 max. not really expected but nothing impossible in market.
good luck for all traders.
XAUUSDThis 4-hour chart of Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) presents a bearish outlook based on the following technical analysis:
Key Highlights:
EMA Indicators:
EMA(9) is shown in blue and EMA(21) in orange.
Price is trading below both EMAs, suggesting bearish momentum.
Trendline & Price Action:
A descending trendline is respected with multiple rejections.
Price failed to break above this trendline, signaling continued downward pressure.
Fibonacci Retracements:
Key fib levels from the previous swing high to low:
0.382 at ~$3,271.91
0.5 at ~$3,260.83
0.618 at ~$3,250.13
Price is hovering between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, which often act as reversal zones.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Daily Resistance: Around $3,290.20
Daily Support: Around $3,222.94
Multiple lower demand zones are marked:
$3,201.96 (minor)
$3,124.01 (1.618 fib extension)
$2,997.87 (2.618 fib extension)
$2,969.96 (major daily demand)
Projected Move:
The blue arrows suggest a break below $3,201.96 could lead to a drop toward:
$3,124.01 (1.618 extension), then
A potential pullback before resuming bearish trend
Ultimately targeting ~$2,997.87 and $2,969.96 (major demand)
Summary:
The chart suggests a short bias unless price breaks convincingly above $3,271–$3,290. The next bearish targets are $3,124 and $2,997, supported by the trendline, EMA resistance, and fib extensions.
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING)
remember this idea before, way early to short right?
Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or
lower.
See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart.
This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot.
Guys this idea is on my self only.
This is not a financial advice.
See you again next week.
The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works?
This is only my view.
sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades.
Follow for more.
A Clear Bearish Structure (READ CAPTION)1. Overall Trend: The chart shows a clear bearish structure for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Price is making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting strong downward momentum.
2. Key Zones:
• Support Area (Blue Zone around 2321): Price is reacting to this level with a potential bounce forming an ‘M’ structure (double bottom). This could indicate a short-term support or potential reversal area.
• Resistance Area (Pink Zone): Marked as a critical zone. The note “IF GOLD BREAKS THIS AREA WE CAN CLOSE OUR BEARISH TRADES” implies this is a key invalidation level for bearish bias.
• Target Point (Below 3190): Indicates a bearish target if price breaks the support and continues downward.
3. Trade Setup:
• It looks like a continuation short trade is being considered with the expectation that price will break the support zone.
• Good risk management is shown with a clear stop-loss area (above the pink zone) and target level.
4. Additional Thoughts:
• Watch how price reacts at the support zone. If it shows bullish momentum or fails to break strongly, the setup might become invalid.
• Confirmation with a bearish candlestick pattern at the support break could add confluence.
Gold Bullish Crab PatternThe potential surge in gold prices is being closely monitored, particularly as buyers exhibit a notable interest around the significant Fibonacci golden level at a price point of $3220.
This level serves as a crucial indicator for market participants, suggesting that a breakout could lead to substantial upward momentum.
May 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Intraday sentiment remains bearish. The main strategy is to short on resistance retests.
If you're planning to go long, only do so at clear key levels with favorable risk-reward setups.
Protect capital: use Stop Losses, respect your trade plan, and cut quickly if it invalidates.
Key Levels to Watch:
3260: Resistance
3250: Midpoint / psychological resistance
3245: Key intraday resistance
3233: Support
3210–3220: Volume cluster support
3200–3202: Intraday support zone
3187–3193: Final bullish defense zone
3175: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3232.
→ Watch 3230, then 3227, 3221, and 3214 as potential targets.
For Longs:
Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3235.
→ Watch 3240 first, then 3242, 3250, and 3260 for extension targets.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Market Outlook & Short Update
Regarding Gold.
I received multiple requests to provide the update after
the price bounced to a target level, as I predicted earlier on Sunday.
At the moment, we see a perfect example of a consolidation.
The price is trading within a horizontal parallel channel - range.
As always, the market will most likely continue staying within that till the release
of important high impact news.
The closest ones we can find in the economic calendar.
Tomorrow we are expecting US GDP and Personal Spending Data.
For now, probabilities will be high that a consolidation will continue.
Consider looking for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the range.
After a news release, a breakout of the range will provide a strong confirmation
and accurately indicate the future direction of the market.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU.usd watch the 22's: 3,322 then 3,222 likely targets for dip Gold may have topped, unless bulls can hold $3,322.95
Looking for minimum first Target zone $3258.64-3259.57
After a bounce we may see another leg down to $3222.15
It topped "for good" then we will quickly hit major support $3062.69-3082.58
.
Previous Analysis that caught the last Bounce at $2,964 EXACTLY:
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XAUUSD UPDATE : NFP hi everyone
I hope you were able to ride the market based on the previous trade idea.
Gold has broken below the daily support level, and the current upward movement is likely just a retracement. Therefore, both my Plan A and Plan B focus on short positions. For a stronger bullish move, the price needs to form a lower low—at least on the H1 timeframe.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support