DeGRAM | GOLD Held the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold is basing at $3 290; defending this demand band keeps $3 500 – 3 520 viable.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman raised its year-end target to $3 700 on robust demand.
✨ Summary
Fundamentals are in line with chart support, favoring a bounce towards $3 500 - $3 520 while maintaining $3 290.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Heading into pullback resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,275.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,350.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,168.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Easing market risks put pressure on GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD fell to a two-week low on Thursday (May 1), mainly due to signs of easing trade tensions and a long holiday in China, the world's largest gold consumer. Investors will be looking ahead to the US non-farm payrolls report due today (Friday), which is expected to cause major market movements.
Easing trade tensions between the US and other countries have kept investors optimistic throughout the week. In addition, easing US-China trade tensions have also added to the pressure on gold as there are no additional risks to stimulate safe-haven demand.
US President Donald Trump has decided to exempt some tariffs on the auto industry and made progress on deals with India, South Korea and Japan. On Wednesday local time, Trump said there was a great chance of reaching a trade deal with China and that there were "potential" trade deals with India, South Korea and Japan, and that he was working to reach agreements with the three countries.
The Trump administration hopes to reach preliminary trade agreements with several trading partners within weeks, U.S. Trade Representative Greer said Wednesday. U.S. Commerce Secretary Mattis Lutnick said at least one trade deal is close to being announced, several others are close to being finalized, and Trump may be waiting for an opportunity to announce them all at once.
Data released on Wednesday showed the US economy contracted in the first quarter and the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index was flat in March, turning investors' attention to the non-farm payrolls report due out today (Friday). The US non-farm payrolls report for April will be released on May 2 (8:30 a.m. ET). Expectations for the non-farm report are that traders and economists expect the report to show 133,000 new jobs in the US, average hourly earnings increased 0.3% month-on-month (up 3.9% year-on-year), and the U3 unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%.
Fed policymakers said they would keep interest rates on hold until there are clear signs that inflation is falling toward the 2% target or there is a possibility that the job market is deteriorating.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Technically, gold remains in the best position for bullish expectations with support from the EMA21 and the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also reacting to the 50 level, which is considered the closest support in terms of momentum.
In the short term, if gold returns to trade above $3,270, it will be considered the best condition for a bullish recovery to end the broad-based correction.
However, if gold is sold below $3,228 and maintains its price action below this level, it will likely continue to decline with a subsequent target of around $3,163 in the short term.
In the day, considering the current position, gold still has conditions for a bullish outlook technically and the notable price levels will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,228 – $3,163
Resistance: $3,267 – $3,270
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3270 - 3268⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3275
→Take Profit 1 3262
↨
→Take Profit 2 3256
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3174 - 3176⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3170
→Take Profit 1 3182
↨
→Take Profit 2 3188
XAU/USD Trade Plan 30/4/2025XAUUSD Trade Setup:
We are watching the 3260 resistance level closely. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for a buy opportunity, targeting the 3390 level.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of rejection, we will consider a sell setup, with a potential move down toward the next support at 3200.
Gold fell as expected. What will happen next week?Gold fell within the range expected by Quid. Although it rebounded slightly, the final result did not change. Will the direction of gold change next week?
Quid's analysis:
Gold's 1-hour moving average is downward, and there is a trend of continuous downward development; gold is currently under pressure from the 3270 line, so 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bears next week. Although gold has rebounded slightly, the magnitude of the decline is not large; if the upward resistance level of 3270 fails to break through next week, it may be in a sideways fluctuation.
The downward trend will not reverse for the time being, unless major news is released on the weekend, which directly affects the gold market.
Quid believes that the ups and downs of the market are normal. Gold has fallen by about $300 from its high point, and the overall trend in the near future is still downward; it continues to fall after a small rebound, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there.
Quide believes that it is always easy to follow its trend; violating its rules always makes oneself exhausted; the market is always right, and standing on the opposite side of the market will always be taught a lesson by the market. In the face of the overall trend, traders should not be lucky, and the market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3270, stop loss at 3280, take profit around 3220;
DeGRAM | GOLD Held Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s slide paused at $3 315; holding here keeps $3 500 – 3 520 in play.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• PBoC has been buying for 5 months in a row.
• WGC expects strong demand from central banks in 2025.
• Trade wars, tensions in the Middle East and South Asia are causing risks that are increasing demand for gold.
• IMF warns new tariffs could slow growth, boosting safe-haven bids.
• Western ETFs had bought ≈240 t by mid-April.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Strong central-bank buying, renewed ETF inflows, softer USD yields and rising geopolitical risk align with chart support, favouring a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520 while $3 315 holds.
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Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones — Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan – Liquidity Games Reloaded 🎮💥
Gold’s Not Done — Next Move is Loading… You In? ⚔️🧨
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision – GoldMindsFX Flow 🔥✨
🧠 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380–3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive — still trapped inside the larger structure.
Today’s USD Events (High Impact):
🗣️ Trump Speech
🟦 ADP Non-Farm Employment
🟧 Advance GDP q/q
🟨 Employment Cost Index
🟧 Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility — especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
🧭 Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230–3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts — structure still undecided.
📌 Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
🔺 Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372–3376 → Trap Sell OB (M15–H1)
→ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380–3390 → High-Volume Liquidity Pool
→ Major decision zone if price extends upside
🟩 Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284–3288 → Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
→ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233–3237 → Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
→ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
👀 Eyes On Today:
3317–3325 → Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350–3372.
3284 → First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233–3237.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
It’s a news-driven day. Your job isn’t to predict — it’s to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers don’t rush. We let liquidity come to us.
💬 Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage — but today might be the breakout tease. Don’t chase, don’t guess — just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. 🎯
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know — are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias 💬👇
📢 If this helped map your zones, hit that ❤️, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments — are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Let’s trade smart, not loud. 🚀💛
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280Gold market analysis:
Gold has started to fluctuate and hover in the short term. There are opportunities for buying and selling in short-term operations. Yesterday, we also arranged 3 buy orders at low levels. Today, we have to consider changing our thinking and sell it at a suppressed position. The reason is that the weekly line is a big tombstone, which means that the weekly line still has room to fall. This week is basically halfway through. The first half of the week is volatile, and the second half of the week will begin to follow the weekly line to decline. The direction of the daily line is currently vague, but the trend of the weekly line is relatively clear. It has risen and fallen sharply. The data did not support the technical decline of gold. Later, we need to pay attention to the impact of holidays on it. Today, friends who are short-term gold can still intercept in the range. If you want to make a big profit, sell at a high position and hold it. I estimate that it will waterfall. The horizontal time is too long, and the time to fall later will be longer.
Look for opportunities to go short near 3320 in the Asian session. The suppression position is 3329. The current support is near 3300. From the perspective of form, this position still has support in the Asian session, but it is not sure whether it can continue to support gold in the European session. The current idea is to predict that if it breaks 3329, it is necessary to adjust the thinking to be bullish. In addition, the daily moving average is also beginning to turn up and suppress, and selling is beginning to move.
Support 3300, pressure 3320 and 3329, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
Today, we will start to pay attention to the situation of ADP data, and there is also PCE data. Gold in the European and American sessions will definitely move greatly.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3307.3
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3292.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 3314.4
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias
1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows
The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram.
This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation.
2. Oversold Market Conditions
Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion.
A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187.
3. Failed Breakdown Possibility
Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap.
If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap.
4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context
This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading.
If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement.
5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet
None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles.
Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be:
3,293 (Resistance)
Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
Shorting Gold setupAgain, I got two setups done here. One may argue that why take only 1:2 profit target when you could have more. Of course, that is on hindsight. Plus, to do that you need to glue to the computer to close your position and while some like the thrill, I am OK with this strategy.
I won't advocate increasing your position size unless you are very confident but still, it is best to keep things conservative. What you want is CONSISTENCY !!!!
Notice that some of these positions were closed several days later which means you go to sleep knowing you have a tight SL and won't wake up with many zeros in red staring at you.
Looking at current price action, it looks like it could close 50% higher than the previous days which means tide may turn so will be observing the chart.
It is better to have frequent small profits of 2 vs risks of 1 over a period of time than to have volatile ins and out of your profits and losses. Again, different folks, different strokes. My strategy may not be to the liking of others who prefer to use leverage or go to smaller time frame like 5min or 1min to capture the quick moves. If that is your cup of tea, make sure you always use SL.
As usual, please DYODD
Remember - it is not about the losses you got hit but the ratios of your losses compared to your profits. You can still be in the green with just 4 positions of profits and 6 positions of losses. (4x2 = 8 minus 6x1 = 6 , your net position is still positive 2)
Gold tests resistance: Will the correction continue?Gold is currently retesting a former support level, which has now turned into a significant resistance zone.
I expect a continuation of the decline. It looks like the commodity market may face a broad-based pullback, partly due to the strengthening DXY.
I don’t see this correction as a trend reversal — rather, it’s a natural move after a strong rally.
So, if you're considering short positions, caution is advised.
I'm expecting the price to move toward the area of 3100-3125.
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3301
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3270
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3336
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3300 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3300 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 3345 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3370 – Equal highs
Gold is about to experience a pullback!XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,275.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,350.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,168.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.