THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the high, fail and make the move downside. This worked well in the early part of the week giving traders a fantastic capture for the short trade into the red box target levels which were all complete. During the week we update trades with the plan to long, and although there was a break from the red box, our lower red box bounced price giving the long trade completing the move.
It was only towards the end of the week where we started ranging that we only managed to capture short scalps on the upside move before the suggesting we call it a day, thankfully before the small decline from the level.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have a key level here of 3310-6 which has been a previous pivot in this range and is holding price down at the moment. This now make a crucial support region forming at the 3280-5 level with extension of the move into 3275. If this level holds and the red box reacts, we can see price push up from here and attempt to target the 3400 level again, which is towards the top of the range.
It’s this lower red box that needs to be watched for the break, as a break here will target the 3250-55 region initially and then go for the potential swing low around the 3210-2- region which in this scenario maybe the ideal long trade.
As always, we’ll update traders through the week with our analysis and red box target levels but for now, let’s see if we gap on open. Please remember, the market gaps with intention, the intention is usually to get traders in chasing the gap as soon as they see immediate exhaustion, this hardly ever works on gold and BTC especially. We’ve back tested the stretch, so please play caution on chasing gaps.
More choppy and ranging price action expected!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3285 with targets above 3306, 3310, 3321 and 3335
Bearish below 3285 with targets below 3267, 3255 and 3240
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3297, 3306, 3310, 3320 and 3330 in extension of the move
Break below 3280 for 3277, 3270, 3267 and 3255 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
KEY LEVEL 3237!
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Will Gold drop to 3200 zone next week?🟡 1. What happened last week with Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold began last week by testing the 3350 resistance zone, hinting the end of the correction and the potential for an upside breakout.
However, in the following days, the market reversed aggressively, reaching as low as 3250 on Thursday — a drop of nearly 1000 pips from the local top and resistance zone.
After this sharp fall, Gold bounced back above 3300, retested the 3325–3330 area, but failed once again — closing the week below 3300.
❓ 2. Key question: Has the rebound ended or is it just a deeper trap?
The market has shown a fake-out followed by compression under resistance.
So the real question becomes: Will the 3280–3290 support finally give in, or will bulls defend it again?
________________________________________
🔻 3. Why I expect a continuation to the downside
Here’s what the chart structure tells us:
• Clear lower highs and lower lows — the trend remains bearish
• 3330 has turned into major confluence resistance
• Every bounce is sold, showing fading bullish momentum
• The support at 3280–3290 is being squeezed repeatedly
If 3280 breaks cleanly, price action will likely accelerate downward.
________________________________________
🧭 4. Trading Plan for Next Week
Focus remains on selling rallies, especially if price rises above 3300.
📉 Invalidation: any clean break and hold above 3330
🎯 Target Zones:
• 3250 = Soft target (first reaction zone)
• 3200 = Real target (bearish continuation zone if structure unfolds as expected)
Use structure, not emotion. Let the breakout confirm the plan.
________________________________________
🚀 5. Final thoughts
The price action around 3280 will likely set the tone for next week.
A breakdown here confirms the bearish structure and opens the door to 3250, then 3200.
Until then: sell rallies, manage risk, and wait for the chart to validate your edge.
Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing ChangedGOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing Changed
Based on our analysis, gold has reached the first target near 3,378.50 and has already made a small correction, establishing a base near 3,362.
From a fundamental perspective, no significant changes occurred yesterday, meaning there is no clear reason for gold to shift direction under normal conditions. The price may continue its slow ascent toward 3,390, 3,400, 3,425, and 3,450.
However, caution is advised, as these movements appear to be driven more by market manipulation rather than purely technical factors.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Previous analysis:
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support : Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for Gold for next week.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3238 - 3286 area
Support 2: 3122 - 3179 area
Support 3: 2957 - 2982 area
Resistance 1: 3353 - 3366 area
Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area
Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: falling trend line
Vertical Resistance 1: falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks.
Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry.
Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips.
It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold.
We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report.
Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart.
We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside.
RED BOX TARGETS
Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Why Gold and Not Forex Pairs?The truth behind XAUUSD’s sniper potential.
— by GoldFxMinds
Let’s get real. If you’ve ever asked:
“Why does everyone trade Gold? Why not EURUSD, GU, or NAS?”
Here’s the straight answer from a sniper’s perspective 👇
🔑 1. Structure Never Lies on Gold
Gold respects pure price action like no other pair.
Break of Structure, CHoCH, FVG, OB, liquidity sweeps — they hit perfectly. No fake noise, just clean technicals.
📌 Gold tells the truth. The question is: Can you read it?
🚀 2. Massive Intraday Range
XAUUSD can move 200–500 pips in a single session
EURUSD? You’re lucky with 80–100 pips.
More volatility = more sniper opportunities.
But only for those with discipline and a plan.
🌍 3. Gold Reacts to the Real World
Unlike other pairs that follow interest rates or risk sentiment, Gold responds directly to fear, war, and uncertainty.
War in the Middle East? Gold pumps.
Fed chaos? Gold spikes.
Unemployment shock? Gold shifts.
It’s a true macro indicator — a safe haven in times of global panic.
Master the macro + structure, and you’ll never be lost.
🔁 4. Repeating Liquidity Patterns
Gold runs on liquidity traps, sweep-and-reverse setups, and smart money moves.
Once you master its rhythm, it becomes a game of patience — not guessing.
🧠 5. Sniper Logic Wins, Not Indicators
Most pairs need heavy indicator confluence.
Gold?
Just structure, liquidity, OBs, and confirmation.
Clean. Precise. Tactical.
🔥 6. It’s a Mirror of Your Mindset
Gold punishes greed. Gold exposes hesitation.
It will show you exactly what you lack as a trader.
If you respect the chart and your rules — it will reward you.
If not, it humbles you instantly.
💛 So Why Gold?
Because it’s the only chart that gives you truth if you learn to read it.
Not noise. Not manipulation.
Just structure, liquidity, and opportunity.
Trade it right — and Gold will reward you with clarity.
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds if you’re tired of guessing
and ready to learn how to read price like a sniper.
💬 Drop a comment:
Why did you choose Gold?
Let’s build this community with logic, not hype.
— GoldFxMinds 🔥
What Will Be The Next Move Of Gold.XAUUSD Analysis
Timeframe: 4H/1W
Observation: XAUUSD is trading within an upward parallel channel, having previously rejected both the resistance and support trend lines. Currently positioned at the support line, we anticipate a potential false breakdown followed by an upward move.
Trading Opportunity:
- Buying Zone: 3250-3270
- Rationale: Liquidity is nearly depleted, and a 1W FVG gap is present.
- Strategy: Set Buy limits at 3250-3270
- Target: 3500
Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
💛 If you appreciate this sniper-grade breakdown:
👍 Smash that LIKE
💬 Comment your thoughts below
📍 And follow GoldFxMinds for real-time intraday updates and battle-tested plans.
Let’s trade like tacticians, not gamblers.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support level to $3420Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to triangle, where it rebounded from resistance line and dropped to support line.
Also, price broke $3345 with $3210 levels, after which it turned around and rose to $3210 level, broke it.
Then Gold made retest, and then continued to grow to $3345 level, and even rose to resistance line of triangle.
And then started to decline to support line of triangle, after which it turned around and made an impulse up.
Price exited from triangle and broke $3345 level, which coincided with resistance area, and now trades inside.
I think that Gold can correct to support level and then continue to grow to $3420 points.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD 2H CHART PATTERNGold is currently respecting an ascending trendline, with price action forming higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud provides dynamic support, and recent rejections from the trendline reinforce the buying interest. Price is testing a critical resistance zone after multiple failed breakout attempts, highlighted by the blue markers. A potential breakout above this zone may trigger strong upward continuation. Market structure favors bulls as long as price holds above the trendline and cloud. Volume and candlestick behavior near resistance will be crucial in confirming momentum. This setup aligns with breakout traders watching for continuation in the current trend.
Entry: 3350
Target 1: 3374
Target 2: 3405
Target 3: 3422
Is Gold Bullish ? or Bearish ? Are you going to buy Gold ? hold on then because the chart of 4-hour telling us a story of buy and sell. Market is in consolidation after a strong bullish move and trying to take below liquidity of major support 3040 – 3080 and i believe so this going to happen soon , further you can checkout the chart story and tell me what do you think ?
Is gold going up or down?Gold trend analysis:
Technically, gold seems to be fluctuating upward for the time being, and there is no room for a unilateral surge. However, through this week's slow rise, it can be seen that gold is still in an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it adjusts, the decline is an opportunity for bulls to enter the position. Gold will first remain in the range of 3332-3392 to see an increase. If it rises above 3400, the upper side will be 3440-3500. If it falls back and breaks through 3330, the lower side will be 3280.
Gold operation strategy:
It is recommended to go long near 3360, stop loss at 3350, and target 3380-3390;
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish ConfirmationGold reached a significant horizontal support last week, forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which led to a bounce that broke through a strong downward trend line.
This indicates buyer strength, suggesting the market may continue to rise, with the next target set at 3382.
Gold layout on the eve of non-agricultural
💡Message Strategy
Gold has experienced the baptism of war, the first round of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the stimulus of trade tariffs, and has reached a high of $3,500 in one fell swoop. What kind of support is needed for the next round to continue to rise? Obviously, on the first day, the US dollar must fall before gold can rise.
The only condition for the dollar to fall is that the Fed cuts interest rates and releases the dollar. At that time, the US stock market will continue to rise and remain strong, and commodities will continue to rise. Behind this, inflation will be re-stimulated, but the premise is that the inflation problem is controllable, which is exactly what the Fed needs to balance. On the contrary, Trump hopes for superficial prosperity, which is why Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates as soon as possible, but the Fed did not do anything.
📊Technical aspects
Today's main strategy non-agricultural layout ideas
ADP data is bullish for gold, and gold will rise in the short term. Once it goes sideways at a high level, even if tomorrow's non-agricultural data is positive or negative, the probability of gold changing is very high. The positive news at a high level will inevitably limit the upward momentum. In addition, near $3,400, it will inevitably trigger profit-taking. Therefore, it is unwise to chase the rise in the current situation.
If the non-agricultural data is negative, gold may fall sharply. At present, around $3,370, the idea of looking at a periodic correction remains unchanged. Around $3,370-3,390, the layout is still based on the high-altitude idea.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3355-3365,3375-3395
DeGRAM | GOLD forming the ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is coiling inside an ascending flag that is riding the new support line at 3 342; flag range compression after each pull-back signals energy for a thrust.
● The pattern sits above the old channel roof, turning the former resistance into a launch pad; measured move of the flag points to the next confluence at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US jobless claims ticked up while 10-yr yields slipped under 4.30 %; lower carry costs and renewed Chinese reserve buying reported by Reuters keep dip-buyers active in bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 330-3 350; flag break targets 3 435, stretch 3 500. Invalidate on a 4 h close < 3 245.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold: Bullish Flag Formation Suggests Further Upside Potential Hello guys, let's dive into Gold analysis!
Gold is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that typically follows a strong upward impulse (flagpole). After a sharp rally, the price consolidated within a downward channel, creating the classic flag structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Flagpole: The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.
Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.
Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Target: Around $3,445, which aligns with the measured move from the breakout point.
Second Target: Around $3,725, representing full flagpole projection from the breakout zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation: A strong 4H close above the flag’s upper boundary (~$3,260) with volume confirmation would validate the pattern.
_____________________________________
Invalidation: A rejection from the resistance and a fall below the channel may delay the bullish scenario, potentially retesting lower support around $3,090.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup favors bulls, but patience is key. Traders may consider waiting for a clear breakout and retest for safer long entries, aiming for the outlined targets.
As long as gold falls, keep buyingBelow gold, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more when it falls back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3354-62. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400 above. Keep the main tone of low-long participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss 3336, and target 3395-3400.
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range .
Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound.
We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider .
Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation
Thanks for your support