GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Trade Plan 07/04/2025Dear Traders,
The market opened with a negative gap and then surged from around 2970 to 3060. I think it was a pullback to the internal trendline, and I'm expecting a drop to the 2950–2930 range.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold Technicals & FundamentalsCurrent Price: $3,043
Resistance Zone: ~$3,041–$3,045 (major historical level)
Indicators: Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 2)
🔍 Key Observations:
1. Major Resistance Hit
Price has aggressively rallied to test major resistance (previous support-turned-resistance).
There's a sharp rejection or hesitation zone marked by a large red arrow — suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation.
2. Bollinger Band Squeeze/Breakout
Price is hugging the upper Bollinger Band, showing high momentum.
However, when price rides the upper band for too long without volume continuation, it may snap back to the mean (20-SMA), which lies around $3,002.
3. Potential Scenarios:
📉 Scenario 1: Rejection
If price fails to break and hold above $3,045:
Expect a pullback to $3,020–$3,010 and possibly to $3,002.
Bearish confirmation would be a strong red candle with volume near resistance.
📈 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout
If the price consolidates above $3,045, especially with a breakout candle:
We could see a rally to $3,065 and then $3,080+.
Look for volume confirmation and retest of resistance as support.
📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch (April 9, 2025):
🔴 High-Impact Events Today:
US CPI Inflation Data – Scheduled Today
🔥 Biggest mover for gold, forex, and indices.
If inflation is hotter than expected: 🡆 Hawkish Fed 🡆 Dollar up 🡆 Gold down
If inflation cools: 🡆 Dovish Fed 🡆 Dollar down 🡆 Gold up
FOMC Member Speeches / Fed Outlook
Hawkish tone = bearish for gold.
Dovish tone = bullish for gold.
Bond Yields & DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold has a strong inverse correlation with both.
Rising yields or a stronger dollar will likely pressure gold downward.
⚠️ Trading Sentiment Summary:
"Gold is either going to knock down that resistance door or bounce off it like a kid running into a screen door in summer. Today’s CPI data will decide if it’s flying high or face-planting back to $3,000."
XAUUSD/GOLD Possible Move 09.04.2025📊 Market Context
After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode.
Market currently hovers around $3,010 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest.
📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones
Price may pull back and give a buy-the-dip opportunity.
✅ Buy Zone 1 – $2,993–2,997
Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support, Fibonacci .5% area.
Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence.
Target: $3,010 (first), $3,020+ (extended).
🔁 Retest Logic
Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close.
⚠️ Important Notes
Avoid entering mid-range trades at $3,010–$3,015 without pullback confirmation.
Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum breakouts of $3,020 only if volume supports.
Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones.
Follow, comment, like and join for more like analysis.
Gold: Economic Risks May Drive Prices UpGold Surges Amid Global Uncertainty, Testing Key Resistance
Gold has continued its impressive rebound, climbing steadily from its recent trough at $2,957 to reclaim territory above the psychological $3,000 mark. This upward momentum is being driven by a confluence of macroeconomic factors, including a softening US dollar and a pause in the previously relentless climb of US Treasury yields. With markets recalibrating their expectations around interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, investor appetite for safe-haven assets like gold has gained renewed strength.
At the heart of the current rally lies mounting geopolitical tension, particularly the intensifying trade standoff between the United States and China. Washington's proposal to impose 50% tariffs on a broad array of Chinese goods has rattled global markets. In response, Beijing is signaling potential retaliatory measures, further stoking fears of a prolonged economic conflict between the world's two largest economies. These developments are injecting volatility into risk assets and increasing demand for traditional hedges such as gold.
From a technical standpoint, the precious metal is currently grappling with a significant resistance level near $3,013. If the price manages to consolidate above this threshold following the current retracement, it could pave the way for a continued upward drive toward the next resistance zones at $3,033 and $3,057. These levels represent key pivot points that could dictate the short- to medium-term trajectory of gold.
On the downside, immediate support lies at $2,996, with stronger backing at $2,981. These levels may provide a cushion for any near-term pullbacks, especially as traders look for opportunities to re-enter the market during dips.
The broader narrative remains highly fluid, shaped by the ever-changing dynamics of global trade policy and monetary strategy. As the tug-of-war between Washington and Beijing intensifies, markets are left navigating a highly politicized and uncertain environment. With neither side showing signs of capitulation—China maintaining its firm stance, and the US administration likely to resist backing down—the potential for further escalation remains high.
In this context, gold’s appeal as a strategic asset grows stronger. The current setup suggests that the metal may gain additional bullish traction if it finds support around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level or holds above $3,013. Investors are keenly watching these technical and fundamental cues, weighing the growing economic risks that could propel gold into a sustained rally.
Go long gold, target: 3030-3040Gold tested the support of 2985-2975 again during the correction process, but did not fall below this area during the test. Combined with the structural lows of gold yesterday, they were 2970 and 2956. Today, gold did not fall below 2970, so it is very likely that gold will form a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the technical level, which will help gold to continue its rebound momentum with this strong technical support!
So I think the short-term decline of gold is not a risk for us, but the best gift for us. So I advocate going long on gold from now on. After gold repeatedly tests the support, it will rise to the 3030-3040 area without hesitation.
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GOLDKey Elements & Interpretation
1. Entry Zone
Entry Price: 3,027.00 USD
The trade seems to expect a reversal from this price level.
Price has recently tapped into this zone after a bullish move, showing potential for a sell-off from premium to discount levels.
2. Stop-Loss (S/L)
Level: 3,040.00 USD
Positioned above the recent highs and liquidity zones (denoted by "$$$"), protecting against false breakouts.
3. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 3,000.00 USD – first major support / psychological level
TP2: 2,972.00 USD – near previous day low (PDL), a common target for liquidity
TP3: 2,957.00 USD – deeper retracement into FVG / imbalance
TP4: 2,936.00 USD – near the "Discount" zone, likely final target near weak low/liquidity pocket
SMC/Order Flow Insights
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Highlighted zones where imbalance was created — price may revisit for mitigation.
Volume Profile: Shows heavy volume around the 3,020–3,030 level, indicating institutional activity and resistance.
Trendlines: The orange descending trendline is broken, signaling potential shift or trap before reversal.
Liquidity Zone ($$$): Indicates an area where stop hunts or liquidity grabs might happen. Price action touched and respected this zone.
Trade Bias: Bearish
This is a sell setup based on:
Rejection at premium pricing
Liquidity grab above PDH
Confirmation via FVG and trendline break-retest
Volume profile showing resistance
Risk/Reward
Risk is tightly managed with SL just above liquidity
Multiple reward levels offer flexibility to scale out profits
#xauusd #Gold (April8)Levels where price reactions are most likely to occur during the day. Naturally, at each level, you can have buy and sell positions and you can freely use the levels for a new order or for TP of your postions. The levels are updated daily!
The results of price reaction to these levels will be shown in the upcoming videos.
You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
XAU/USD.... Selling chart pattren...It looks like Me analyzing gold's price movement within an ascending channel and predicting a potential breakdown. Based on your analysis:
Strong Resistance: 3052
Target Points: 3000, 2942, 2882
Key Observation: Strong breakdown in the ascending channel
If gold breaks below the support of the ascending channel, it could potentially test these target levels. A move below 3052, the resistance level, could confirm the bearish outlook, with further downward movement expected toward the target points you’ve mentioned.
Would you like to discuss this in more detail or perhaps review some charts to better understand the price action?
Buy gold, expect a rebound to 3000Gold just fell to 2958, but quickly rebounded to above 2965. The short-term support of 2965-2960 was not effectively broken. Gold quickly recovered above the short-term support, proving that bulls still have room to fight back. I expect gold to at least rebound and test the 3000 position again, so in short-term trading, we should not be too bearish on gold.
I actually reminded everyone in the last article update that we can buy gold when gold falls. In this extremely fierce market, with a cautious trading mentality, I actually do not expect too much about the rebound space of the bulls. Once gold touches around 3000, I will leave the market safely and lock in profits!
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Gold: Buy, Target 3004-3028On the 1H chart, the MACD is showing a bullish divergence, signaling a potential bottom. If gold can build a base around 2960-2980, bulls will have the upper hand from a technical standpoint.
While today's major macro news will hit during the U.S. session, technical analysis dominates the Asian and European sessions — which favors a buy-on-dip strategy.
The 3030 resistance, which wasn’t tested yesterday, may be reached today.
If the price drops unexpectedly, watch the 2946-2928-2916 zone for new buying opportunities — especially 2928-2916, which is a strong support zone.
Buy:2960 - 2980
TP:3004 - 3028
XAUUSD - Shark Harmonic Bullish (1H)During the 7 Apr 2025 Session, the Swing Highs and Lows of the day (XA,AB,BC) formed Points A,B and C which satisfy the Harmonic Ratios. Hence, consequently Point D is likely to follow after.
A liquidity sweep can potentially occur at Point X, which adds extra confluence to this Trading Setup. Hence, waiting for this to occur is more ideal, and provides us with better Risk:Reward.
Due to time symmetries, Point D should be printed before 5pm 5 Apr 2025 (UTC+1)
XAUUSD will it break through 3200?At present, the price of gold is just one step away from its all-time high. Will it break through to a new high?
3,168 is a strong resistance point. Once this level is broken through, gold may have a chance to surpass the 3,200 mark.
Leave your opinions in the comments, and let's discuss them together.
xauusd analysisGold prices experienced a sharp decline today, dropping to a three-and-a-half-week low. The move was driven by a combination of global macroeconomic concerns, investor behavior, and technical market dynamics.
🔍 Key Reasons Behind the Drop:
Global Trade Tensions Intensify
A major escalation in the U.S.-China trade war rattled markets. The U.S. announced new tariffs, and China retaliated with export restrictions on rare earth elements. This sparked broad risk-off sentiment across global markets.
Panic-Led Liquidation
Despite being a traditional safe haven, gold was sold off as investors rushed to cover losses in other risk assets. This often happens during periods of extreme volatility when liquidity becomes a priority.
Hawkish Fed Comments
Fed Chair Jerome Powell made comments suggesting the central bank might delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainties. This caused the U.S. dollar to strengthen, which typically puts pressure on gold prices.
📈 Technical Analysis:
Current Price: Around $2,962
Support Levels:
First support around $2,950
Stronger support near $2,930
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at $2,970 (Target 1 in your chart)
Further resistance near $3,000 (Target 2)
Trend & Indicators:
RSI is approaching oversold, indicating a potential bounce.
The short-term trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Volume spiked during the sell-off, showing strong momentum behind the move.
🧠 What to Watch Going Forward:
Any new trade developments between major economies.
Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates.
Gold’s behavior around key support zones – bounce or breakdown?
Gold's safe-haven demand surgesThis week, concerns over a global economic slowdown have swept across Wall Street, becoming the dominant market sentiment. In this context, U.S. President Trump's erratic messaging on tariff policies has triggered a panic sell-off in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, highlighting gold's position as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices have surged sharply, breaking through all previous resistance levels and maintaining an upward trend. Given the ongoing risk-off sentiment, the bullish momentum in gold remains strong, and the market may continue to trend higher in the near term.
In this market environment, it is recommended that investors take long positions near $3220 and consider taking profits around $3230 to fully capitalize on the current uptrend in gold. For additional trading signals, Please stay tuned.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.”
Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence.
📌 Macro Context
🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble.
💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish.
🔍 Technical Environment:
H1/H4 break of bullish structure
D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle
EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now)
“The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.”
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000
🔻 SELL SETUPS
🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper
📍 Entry: 2995–3000
🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 2915
🛑 SL: 3008
💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF.
🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation.
🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected.
🟩 BUY SETUPS
🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift.
🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows.
🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5).
⚔️ Key Levels Recap:
🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone
🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base
🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones
🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias
🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries.
Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing.
Don’t chase — sniper setups only.
💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t."
🗣️ Let’s grow together!
🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬
Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals.
Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛
📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
4.8 Gold continues to run at a low point!Gold stabilized and rebounded on Tuesday (April 8), with an intraday increase of nearly 1%, successfully recovering the losses of the previous trading day. The rebound ended the three-day correction trend, and the gold price rebounded significantly from the key support level of $2,955. The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly.
Fundamentals: The struggle between risk aversion and interest rate expectations
The rebound of gold at the beginning of this week was mainly driven by two factors:
1. The escalation of geopolitical trade risks
US President Trump's recent remarks on tariffs have triggered market concerns about the renewed tension in the global trade system.
2. The Fed's interest rate expectations fluctuated sharply
The interest rate futures market has undergone dramatic changes this week: On Monday, the market once bet that the Fed would cut interest rates five times in 2025, a significant shift from the expectation of "one or no interest rate cut" a week ago.
3. The coordination of the US dollar and capital flows
The US dollar index weakened slightly on Tuesday, reducing the cost of holding gold for non-US investors.
Technical aspect: Attack and defense of key support level
From the perspective of the market structure, the trend of gold this week showed typical "sharp drop and slow rise" characteristics:
Support confirmation: On Monday, the gold price accurately tested the support of $2955 and then rebounded. This position corresponds to the neckline of the platform that broke through in mid-March, and formed a double defense line with the 55-day moving average (US$2930). The intraday lows were densely bought, indicating that medium- and long-term investors viewed the correction as an opportunity to build positions.
Resistance distribution: The first resistance above is at US$3040 (daily line R1), and after breaking through, it may test US$3057 (March 20 pivot point) and US$3097 (R2). The historical high of US$3167 is still a psychological barrier, but it is difficult to challenge it directly in the short term.
In the short term, the trend of gold will depend on two major catalysts: 1. The minutes of the Fed's March meeting on Wednesday: If the minutes suggest an open attitude towards rate cuts, it may push gold prices to test the $3,050-3,070 range; conversely, if the emphasis is on inflation stickiness, it may trigger long profit-taking. 2. Progress in trade negotiations: Any substantive implementation or easing of tariff policies may trigger fluctuations of more than 5% in gold prices. In the medium term, the upward trend of gold has not been broken. Institutional research reports show that the current global central bank's demand for gold purchases is still at a historical high, and in the downward cycle of interest rates, the relative attractiveness of interest-free assets will continue to stand out. If the technical side breaks through $3,057, it will open up space for the impact of the previous high; the defense strength of the $2,950-2,930 area needs to be closely monitored below.
Gold’s rebound correction falls into shock?The market has been volatile recently, which is consistent with the properties of gold. When all assets are sold, the safe-haven property of the currency is highlighted. The sharp drop is accompanied by a fierce rebound, and the amplitude is not small. This was the case last Thursday, Friday and today. The current market is defined as a volatile market, which means operating at a certain position. The short-term resistance is 3025/3030 for shorts, and the support for pullback is 2980/2977 for longs. The limit is 2970, and trading is maintained at these positions. I think it is mainly a wash. The long-term price of gold has not changed, and what is more concerned on that day is the current long-short conversion. Today, the resistance of gold focuses on the pressure area of 3025-30. Remember, this adjustment is over after the break of $3055.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, rebounds should be shorts, and the top short-term focus should be on the first-line resistance of 3025-3030.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3025-3030, stop loss 6 points, target around 3000-2990, and look at the 2980 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2978-2980, stop loss 6 points, target around 3005-3015, and look at the 3025 line if it breaks;