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Gold Price Analysis May 2D1 frame confirms closing below the disputed zone showing the downtrend continues to extend in the following days The recovery in the Asian and European sessions can be a stepping stone for a decrease in the US session. Sellers are waiting for high price zones and old breakout zones to sell their goods. The 3271-3273 zone plays an important role in the bearish structure as long as this zone is held by the sellers, the possibility of a price increase is relatively low. The barrier in the Asian session around 3257 will be where we consider the trading strategy. If the European session breaks this zone, we can buy at the target of 3271-3273. If the US session does not break this zone, SELL breaks it, the downtrend structure is broken and holds the BUY order until 3299. The daily resistance zone will be 3312. When 3371 is not broken, SELL and this is a good Swing signal to 3200. The possibility of a strong sell-off after Nonfarm is also understandable. Strategy: If it does not break 3257 but falls, wait for the reaction at the border of 3243. When this zone is broken, the trend is broken, then we only SELL. If it increases from 3243, then maintain the above strategy with a better entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold is expected to rebound to the 3270-3275 areaFundamentals: Focus on today's NFP market; Technical aspects: Gold stopped falling near 3200 and gradually rebounded, and has now rebounded to around 3240. As for this round of rebound, I have actually made it clear in my previous opinion that the bulls and bears are wrestling at the 3200 mark, and there will still be repeated in the short term, and after the downward trend slows down, some trapped bulls must have self-rescue behaviors, so it is not surprising that gold has rebounded. From the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so the gold rebound is only temporary, and gold will continue to fall after the rebound. From the perspective of frequent switching of intervals, since gold has broken through the area near 3235 during the rebound, the rebound may continue, and is expected to continue to the area near 3270-3275. After breaking through this area, it is even expected to continue to around 3290. This is the position area where we must focus on entering the short position. Trading strategy: 1. Consider buying gold in the 3235-3230 area, TP: 3245-3255; pay attention to setting protection. 2. Consider selling gold in batches after gold rebounds to the 3270-3275 area, TP: 3240-3230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Trading Performance Review🎯 April 4 – May 3 | Trading Performance Review Over the past 30 days, I executed 146 trades with a data-driven strategy focused on risk-adjusted returns and quantitative consistency. 🔍 Performance Metrics: Total Trades: 146 Win Rate: 70.55% Winning Trades: 103 Losing Trades: 43 Profitable Days: 22 / 30 No-Trade Days: 2 Winning vs Losing Trade Ratio: ✅ Winning Trades: 70.5% ❌ Losing Trades: 29.5% Daily Outcome Distribution: 🟢 Profitable Days: 73.3% 🔴 Loss Days: 20% ⚪ No Trade: 6.7% 📈 This outcome reflects a strategy rooted in structured risk management, discipline, and probability-based execution — not impulsive decisions. Each trade was placed with purpose, not emotion. With every data point, my trading edge sharpens. The goal remains the same: consistent performance through controlled risk and strategic action. Progress is not measured by the number of trades, but by the quality of each decision.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Trends and Analysis Before NFP Release📰 Analysis of Gold's News Background 👉 Join in During the US trading session on Thursday (May 1st), spot gold continued its downward trend, hovering around $3,216.55 per ounce, with a decline of approximately 0.4%. It had already fallen for two consecutive days before that. On Wednesday, it even reached $3,267.07, getting close to the key support level of $3,265, which was set last week. The market's bull-bear tug-of-war stems from the divergence in expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies: The weak US economic data has boosted the expectation of an interest rate cut, but the rebound of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields has suppressed the safe-haven nature of gold. ⚠️ Key Focuses for the Day 👉 Join in Pay attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, the data on job cuts by US enterprises in April, the final value of the manufacturing PMI, and the number of initial jobless claims. Also, keep an eye on geopolitical and trade dynamics! 📈 Quick Look at the Technical Analysis of Gold On the eve of the Nonfarm Payrolls report, how should we choose between going long and short on gold? 🔹 Daily Chart: Closed lower with a medium-sized bearish candlestick. In the early trading session, it broke below the key support level of $3,265, confirming the end of the Wave B rebound and the start of the Wave C decline. Continue with the strategy of "going short on rebounds". 🔹 4-Hour Chart: The downward space was broken open, and the bears are in control after the top-bottom conversion. 🔹 1-Hour Chart: The moving averages formed a bearish crossover, and the gold price broke below the previous low. When it rebounds to the densely traded area near $3,265, go short without hesitation! 💥 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3230 - 3220 🚀 TP 3210 - 3200 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
1
Gold Long | Bullish Breakout Expected | Buy on DipsGold is showing bullish strength with higher highs and higher lows forming on the chart. Price has respected key support around and is now aiming for resistance near . Entry idea: Buy between Stop Loss: Target: Trend: Bullish Timeframe: [1} Hr 📌 Reason for Long: Price above EMA Strong demand zone at Bullish price action (engulfing candle / breakout / etc.) 📊 Tags (Important for visibility): #GOLD #XAUUSD #LONG #BUY #Bullish #TradingView #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lena_Fx
1
4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)This is a 4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) showing a technical analysis setup: 1. Current Price: Sell: 3,238.70 Buy: 3,239.00 2. Marked Levels: There's a red shaded area labeled "ENTRY ZONE" between 3,272.81 and 3,273.79. This zone likely acts as a resistance or pullback area where a sell entry is being considered. 3. Market Structure: Price previously moved up strongly (bullish), but now it’s forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend. A projected path is drawn showing that price might go back up into the entry zone and then drop further — with a potential target near 3,009.75. 4. Bias: The overall bias shown in the chart is bearish. It suggests a sell opportunity in the entry zone, expecting price to fall after a short-term pullback. If you want, I can help you build a full trade plan (entry, stop loss, and take profit) based on this chart too. Just let me know!
FX:XAUUSD
by m_zeeshan3644
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) May 2025 Outlook: Dollar Dynamics and Directional Bias Optimism about potential tariff reductions and trade agreements has reduced safe-haven demand for gold, pressuring prices to two-week lows near $3,200-3204 A finalized deal could further strengthen the US Dollar (DXY), exacerbating gold’s decline. US Dollar Strength: The DXY has rallied on trade relief and mixed Fed rate expectations, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers. Interest Rate Differential: While futures price in Fed cuts starting June (four total in 2025), the dollar’s near-term resilience limits gold’s upside. Technical Breakdown: Gold broke below a multi-week symmetrical triangle, signaling a bearish wave which will be targeting $3,100–$3,000 Immediate resistance sits at $3,3287–$3,2780; a break above this zone is needed to invalidate the bearish structure.this level represent a broken demand floor and calls for retest. US Jobs Data (May 2): Weak Non-Farm Payrolls (<130K) could revive rate-cut bets, supporting gold. Strong data (>150K) may extend dollar gains. Fed Policy (May 7 Meeting): No rate changes expected, but hints of June cuts could trigger volatility. May Directional Bias Factor Impact on Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Deal Progress Bearish (dollar strength, risk-on sentiment) DXY Rally Bearish (inverse correlation reasserted) Weak US Data Bullish (safe-haven flows, rate-cut speculation) Geopolitical Shock Bullish (flight to safety) Gold faces downside pressure in May, targeting $3,100-3000 driven by dollar strength and fading safe-haven demand. A close below $3,200 would confirm the bearish trend. Upside Risks: Escalation in Middle East tensions or renewed US-China tariff threats. Disappointing US economic data (e.g., jobs, CPI) reviving aggressive Fed cut bets Conclusion The dollar’s strength and trade optimism dominate gold’s near-term trajectory, favoring a bearish bias in May. However, gold remains a critical hedge against unexpected geopolitical shocks or dovish Fed pivots. Traders should monitor the May 2 NFP report and Fed rhetoric for directional cues.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Eiffel Tower The GOLD GTFO is still in play. What saved Gold was the stopping for the market crash when Trumnpchenko manipulated the markets. Had the crash continued Gold would have crashed with it. As it is the last safe haven for money to pile into and people just give up and sell everything in sight. If you were an early buyer of gold and sold above $3,000 then you have a nice 50% gain. Take your money and RUN! All the way to the bank! Don't be a dick for a tick. If you are then you will ride it all the way back down. When will it top no one can know. But what pros do is take their money and RUN! So be a pro! ;) Click like follow subscribe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RealMacro
10
Gold plummeted as expected. Operation strategy?In my last analysis, Quaid predicted that gold was at risk of falling and breaking. Quaid promptly told everyone that they could short trade at 3310-3320. At present, the market situation is basically consistent with Quaid's expectations. As of now, gold has fallen to a low point near 3215. And it has been maintained for some time. Quaid speculates that gold will continue to maintain a bearish trend and continue to retreat. Quaid data analysis: From the hourly chart, gold is currently following a wave trend, and the highest point of 3352 is the starting point of wave A. The high point of wave b is at 3320. If the current 3220 is the beginning of the low point of wave C, then be careful of its continued decline. Trading strategy: In terms of the next operation, Quaid suggests waiting for short trading near 3225. If gold falls below 3210 again, then the bottom can directly look towards the 3190-3200 range. Quaid warned everyone not to think that the trading range is very large; because the trading markets in some Asian countries are closed, any terrible thing could happen. It is recommended that everyone take profits in time.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate! After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being. Trading Strategy: Sell@3260-3270 TP:3230-3240 If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
TVC:GOLDShort
by HilaryBloomer
GOLD/USD Short-Term Bullish Setup – Final Wave 5 ExpectedAs per the current 30-min chart, Gold appears to be completing its corrective structure and is now poised for a bullish reversal. Key observations: 🔹 Support Zone: Gold has respected the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (~3210), showing strong demand in this region. This marks the potential base of the upcoming 5th Elliott wave. 🔹 Trigger Level: Price needs to break and sustain above 3240 to confirm bullish momentum. This is the neckline of the current consolidation and serves as the breakout zone. 🔹 Wave Projection: We anticipate Gold to initiate Wave 5, the final impulsive move in the current sequence. A clear breakout above 3240 may trigger a rally towards 3300 / 3360 / 3420 in the short term. 🔹 Strategy: Wait for a bullish candle close above 3240 to confirm breakout. Aggressive traders may initiate early positions near 3210 with tight stop-losses. 📌 Key Levels: Support: 3210–3200 (78.6% Fib) Breakout: 3240 Targets: 3300 / 3360 / 3420 🔻 Invalidation: Break below 3200 would invalidate this bullish count and suggest deeper correction. 💬 Gold is gearing up for its final bullish thrust. Monitor 3240 zone for breakout confirmation. Keep risk managed! ❗ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Always do your own research and consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by shiva560060
5
Gold 15m – Zigzag in Progress or Start of a Larger Correction?This analysis presents a short-term Elliott Wave count on Gold (XAUUSD) in the 15-minute timeframe. The current structure suggests a standard Zigzag correction (5-3-5) unfolding from the recent high: Wave A formed a clean 5-wave impulsive decline Wave B developed as a contracting triangle (A-B-C-D-E) Wave C appears to be in progress, with projected targets between 3170–3090 🔴 Invalidation level: A break above 3248 invalidates this scenario and suggests that the correction is either complete or transforming into a different pattern. 🌀 Alternative Scenarios: If price fails to reverse within the key support zone (3170–3090) or extends much deeper: We may be witnessing Wave 3 of a higher-degree Zigzag Or, this drop may be Wave A of a larger Flat correction in development 🗨️ What’s your view? Do you agree with the Zigzag count? Or do you expect a deeper, more complex correction to unfold? Share your take in the comments below 👇
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by makhmikhd
PATIENCE WILL PAY OFF 〉LONG TERM BUY COMING SOON.As illustrated, I'm trying to visualize what the next couple of weeks could look like. Taking into consideration the fact that May + June are corrective months for gold historically (don't believe me; check the seasonality tool...) , Is likely for price to range up and down within quite a wide range anywhere between 3300 and 3100 before it enters a bullish continuation impulse by the end of June and into first week of July. ( I have illustrated 2 potential buying areas; one closer to price and another extended one lower ) That being said, one must adapt to such market conditions that will only offer certain structure offering a few intraday trades, but mostly short term trades or quick scalping moves all within a same trading session, simply because as each session comes in, they will target previous sessions highs or lows (ranging back and forth in an uncomfortable manner and without a clear direction). Asia would target Sydney's open, then London might target Asia's open, then NY might target any low or high in the opposite direction... and so on back and forth without truly holding a bullish or bearish structure longer than a few hours to a full calendar day before it turns around (sideways behavior). As price reaches "stronger psychological" price levels like 3150, 3100, 3050 and potentially 3000; then you might start seeing evident rejections within higher timeframes (4H and 1D); ideally seeing rejection wick/s followed by a nice push up showing true power and volume to the upside, potentially signaling the bottom of this correction phase. TIME should be aligned with this market behavior; that means that checking the seasonality tool. every year (on average 5, 10 and 15 years), gold makes a bottom during the first week of JULY ... So... market structure, price, and time must be aligned correctly and it will all make sense whenever that moment comes; hence, the title of this idea. I am personally not worried about any sort of economic event; news are only gas for the market to move and create liquidity and volatility. AT THIS POINT, THE ONLY THING THAT COULD TRIGGER A SIGNIFICANT MOVE IN GOLD, IS A GEOPOLITICAL EVENT THAT WOULD TRULLY TRIGGER UNCERTAINTY IN THE MARKETS... . -- GOOD LUCK! Persaxu
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold