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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 24, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently in a downtrend, indicating that the dominant trend in the short term (at least until early next week) is likely to remain bearish or sideways. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the oversold zone and is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This suggests that a corrective upward move may occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and is expected to need around two more H1 candles before entering the oversold zone, implying that one more leg down may occur before a recovery begins. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update: Yesterday’s expectation of a breakout above the resistance zone at 3453 to confirm the start of a new bullish trend did not materialize. Instead, price dropped to the 3374 region, opening up two primary scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: The correction is still unfolding • Wave (d) in blue appears to be complete. • The current leg is likely wave (e), the final leg in a contracting triangle correction. • In this case, the lower boundary of the triangle and overlapping support zones will serve as key levels to watch for the completion of wave (e). ✅ Scenario 2: Wave 1 of a new bullish trend has completed • The current decline is wave 2 in a new bullish impulsive sequence. • The objective here is to identify the bottom of wave 2 to prepare for a potential buy entry into wave 3, which is expected to be stronger and longer than wave 1. 📌 Key difference between the two scenarios: • Scenario 1 → Wave (e) completes, followed by wave 1 of wave 5. • Scenario 2 → Wave 2 completes, followed by a powerful wave 3 of wave 5. ________________________________________ 🧩 Current Wave Structure: • A five-wave bearish structure is currently unfolding on the chart. • According to Elliott Wave Theory, corrective patterns do not typically form five-wave structures. • Therefore, this is likely wave A in a zigzag (5-3-5) formation. • Possible targets for wave 5 within wave A: o Target 1: 3374 – current reaction zone. o Target 2: 3360 – next significant support level. ________________________________________ 📌 Combining Wave Structure with Momentum: The D1 momentum is firmly bearish, reinforcing the view that the market is undergoing a larger ABC correction. On the H4 timeframe, momentum is oversold and showing early signs of reversal, aligning with the potential formation of wave B — typically a weak, sideways upward move. The likely resistance zone for the end of wave B lies between 3401 and 3410. Meanwhile, H1 momentum is still falling and not yet in the oversold zone, suggesting there may be one more move down to complete wave 5. The ideal target for this final leg is around 3360. Summary: • D1 bearish → confirms ongoing major correction. • H4 oversold → supports a potential weak wave B. • H1 still declining → wave 5 may complete around 3360 before a recovery begins. ________________________________________ 💼 Suggested Trading Plan: For traders with limited experience or those not yet confident in reading live market signals, a Buy Limit strategy at clear support levels is recommended: • Buy Zone: 3362 – 3360 • Stop Loss: 3352 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3384 o TP2: 3400 🎯 For experienced traders, it is advised to observe price action at the target support zones and look for real-time reversal signals to optimize entry timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Will gold continue to fall on July 25? 1. Brief analysis of gold fundamentals The current gold price is fluctuating downward, and the core driving factors are: Risk aversion has cooled down: The United States and Japan reached an agreement on automobile tariffs and promoted an agreement with the European Union, easing previous global trade tensions; The overall risk appetite of the market has increased, and safe-haven funds have withdrawn from gold. The US dollar rebounded in stages: The US dollar index rebounded after the previous decline, which partially offset the safe-haven appeal of gold; Although there are expectations of interest rate cuts within the Federal Reserve, there are large differences, and the overall trend is still "wait-and-see", which has increased the volatility of the US dollar trend. 2. Technical analysis of gold Trend characteristics: Gold has fallen from the high of 3438 and has been under pressure for two consecutive days; It is currently testing the 0.618 retracement support (about 3360) of the 3310-3438 increase; The European session continued to fall. If there is a rebound before the US session, there may be a risk of "false breakthrough and real decline"; If the US session still does not rise in the early session, it is necessary to pay attention to the possible V-shaped reversal in the future. Technical indicators: The short-term MACD bottom divergence gradually emerges, and the probability of oversold rebound correction increases; Important support: 3350-3340 range (once lost, it may test the lower track of the 3337 daily triangle); Key pressure: 3393-3403 range (initial rebound resistance), stronger resistance is around 3416-3418. III. Short-term operation strategy suggestions ✅ Main idea: shorting on rebound is the main, and long on callback is the auxiliary Short order layout reference: If the 3393-3403 area encounters resistance, you can try to short with a light position; Stop loss is set above 3410, and the target is 3360-3350; If the market breaks through 3403 strongly and stabilizes, the short order strategy needs to be suspended. Long position layout reference: If it drops to 3350-3340 and stabilizes, you can try short-term long with a light position; Stop loss is set below 3335, and the target is 3375-3385; If the market quickly breaks below 3337, wait for the lower support to stabilize before intervening. IV. Trend warning points If the price does not rebound significantly before the early US market, it is necessary to guard against a sudden V-shaped pull after the US market; If it directly falls below 3340, the space below opens, it is recommended to stop loss in time and wait for new support points. ✅ Conclusion: In the short term, gold is still in the downward correction stage, but as the technical oversold signs appear, short-term sharp pull rebound should be guarded against. It is recommended to respond flexibly in operation, pay attention to the response of key support and resistance levels, and avoid chasing up and selling down.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Entry_Point
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead 🧭 Market Outlook Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move. Key context to watch: Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements. Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut. Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility. 📊 Technical View While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 📌 Short-Term Strategy: Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering. 📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy: Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering. 🔎 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Upper Resistance Zones: 3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428 🔻 Lower Support Zones: 3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330 🔽 Trade Setups ✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350 SL: 3345 TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416 SL: 3420 TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 ⚠️ Risk Reminder No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes. ✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly. ✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation. ✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above. 📣 Follow MMF on TradingView If this trading roadmap helps your strategy, 📌 Follow the MMF team on TradingView for daily actionable setups, real levels, and no-nonsense analysis based on real market conditions. 🎯 Real trades. Real zones. Real discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/24/2025Yesterday in lower TF, gold was testing the resistance line for a couple of times but failed to maintain it. It quickly dropped back into the line and closed the day under 3400. Daily, it still looks bullish but in lower TF, it is still bearish. Therefore, I will be cautious in placing buying orders today. As long as 3373 still holds, I am still bullish in gold. I will look for set up around this level and my 1st target will be around 3415. Final target for today is 3450.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Gold Trading Strategy Reference On Monday✅ Gold Market Weekly Summary Gold prices experienced significant volatility this week and ultimately closed lower on the weekly chart, failing to hold above the key $3400 level. Although the price briefly achieved a bullish breakout earlier in the week, the rally lacked follow-through, indicating weak bullish momentum and growing market indecision from a technical perspective. ✅ Detailed Review Gold surged by 2.4% in the first two trading days of the week, but gave back nearly 3% over the last three sessions. The reversal was primarily driven by renewed optimism surrounding trade negotiations led by former President Trump, which boosted risk appetite and dampened safe-haven demand for gold. ✅ Outlook for Next Week Investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for July 29–30. Market expectations suggest an extremely low probability of a rate cut during this meeting, with the likelihood of holding rates steady in September rising to approximately 40%, up sharply from around 10% a month ago. ✅ If Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlights progress in trade agreements as a reduction in economic uncertainty—thereby leaving the door open for a September rate cut—U.S. Treasury yields may fall sharply, potentially boosting gold prices. Conversely, if Powell cites rising inflation data and avoids signaling any easing at the next meeting, gold may come under renewed pressure. ✅ Technical Analysis Gold suffered a sharp decline on Friday, breaking below the key 4-hour trendline support at the $3335 level, which we previously identified. This triggered renewed bearish momentum, and the current price action reflects a clear downtrend. Unless a firm bottom is established, the bearish trend is likely to continue. ✅ Hourly Chart Structure Volatility between bulls and bears was apparent this week. The price followed an ascending channel during the first half of the week but reversed sharply in the latter half, erasing gains and forming a new descending channel. The $3350 level now acts as a critical pivot point and will serve as the key resistance level for bearish strategies next week. ✅ Conclusion Given that both the 4-hour and daily charts have broken major support levels, the outlook has shifted from a mildly bullish consolidation to a trend-following bearish stance. ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Entry: Consider initiating short positions around the $3350 level ⛔ Stop-Loss: Place stops above $3360 🔰 Targets: Initial target at $3325; if broken, look for further downside toward the $3310 area 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
Gold Correction Went Deeper, but the Bullish Structure Intact📌 Quick recap from yesterday: In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I was looking to buy dips around 3400, expecting a continuation move toward the ATH near 3500. That was the plan. But as the day unfolded, I removed my pending buy order — and explained exactly why in an educational post on how context can override entry levels. If you read that, you already understand: It’s not where price goes. It’s how it gets there. ________________________________________ 📉 So… where are we now? The big question is: Was this just a deeper correction, or is Gold preparing to shift direction entirely? In my opinion, we’re still in a healthy correction, not a reversal. Why? • Price remains above the horizontal support — the same level that acted as resistance last week • The market is still above the trendline from mid-May • No breakdown, no major structure violation — just deeper retracement after a sharp impulsive move ________________________________________ 📈 What’s the plan going forward? As long as these two supports hold, I believe the buy-the-dip narrative remains valid — even at better prices. In fact, I already entered a new long position about an hour ago, which is currently up around 90 pips at the time of writing. My bias stays bullish unless proven otherwise. ________________________________________ 📌 Conclusion: Yes, the correction went deeper than expected. Yes, I removed a pending order — because the reaction was not what I wanted to see. But structure still supports continuation, and I remain in the buy-the-dip camp as long as key support holds. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
XAUUSD Last hope for buyers Gold is currently still holding  rising channel last hope for buyers the bottom trendine . Below 3335 buyers will be liquidate What's possible scanarios we have? ▪️I'm gonna take buy trade from 3340-3338 area by following our rising Trend along with structural liquidity sweeps strategy, my target will be 3357 then 3368 in extension. ▪️if H4 candle closing below 3335 this Parallel moves will be invalid and don't look for buy till confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD (XAU/USD) MA Breakout – High-Probability Long Setup!💰🚨 GOLD HEIST ALERT! XAU/USD MASTER PLAN (Thief Trading Style) 🎯 🔥 Steal Pips Like a Pro – High-Probability Gold Breakout Strategy! 🔥 🎯 Thief Trading’s GOLD Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) �💸 👋 Hey there, Market Pirates & Profit Snatchers! 🌍✨ Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 analysis, we’re plotting a major heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). The plan? Buy the breakout, escape before the cops (resistance) arrive! 🚔💨 📈 ENTRY ZONE: The Heist Begins! 🚀 "Wait for the MA Breakout (3400) – Then Strike!" Bullish Confirmation: Enter on a 15M/30M pullback after MA breakout. Thief’s Trick: Use Buy Stop above MA or Buy Limit near swing lows for best risk-reward. DCA/Layering Strategy: Deploy multiple limit orders to maximize gains. 🔔 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout – thieves move fast! ⏳ 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot! 📍 Thief’s SL Placement: 3330.00 (4H Swing Low) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size. ⚠️ WARNING: If using Buy Stop, DO NOT set SL until after breakout – unless you love unnecessary losses! 🔥 🎯 TARGET: Escape with the Gold! 🏴‍☠️ Take Profit Zone: 3460.00 (or Exit Early if Bears Show Up!) Scalpers: Only trade LONG side – use trailing SL to lock in profits. Swing Traders: Ride the wave but watch for resistance traps! 📰 MARKET CONTEXT: Why This Heist? Neutral Trend (But Bullish Potential! 🐂) Key Factors: Geopolitics, COT Data, Macro Trends, Sentiment Shift 🚨 News Alert: Avoid new trades during high-impact news – trailing SL saves profits! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share for More Pips!) 💖 Hit the 👍 Boost Button to strengthen our Thief Trading Crew! 🚀 More Heist Plans Coming Soon – Stay Tuned! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER (Stay Safe, Thieves!) This is NOT financial advice. Do your own analysis & manage risk. Markets change fast! Adapt or get caught. 🎯 Happy Trading, Pirates! Let’s Steal Some Gold! 🏴‍☠️💛
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Demand Zone Ahead Gold is currently retracing from a key daily horizontal resistance. Here are important structures to watch. Horizontal Structures Support 1: 3350 - 3377 area Support 2: 3310 - 3324 area Support 3: 3282 - 3301 area Support 4: 3245 - 3374 area Resistance 1: 3431 - 3451 area Resistance 2: 3493 - 3500 area Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: rising trend line Vertical and Horizontal Supports 1 compose a contracting demand zone. Probabilities are high the price will pull back from that. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
13
Gold dips on profit-taking, long-term outlook still bullishGold prices continued to decline this morning as investors locked in profits following the precious metal’s recent rally above $3,400. In the short term, further downside is possible if profit-taking persists and capital flows shift toward equities, especially as U.S. stock markets hover near record highs. However, gold remains a favored safe-haven asset for the long run amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Markets are also turning their focus to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting on July 29–30. While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady this time, many investors still anticipate a potential rate cut in September. A low interest rate environment typically supports non-yielding assets like gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Gold at a Critical Reversal Zone – Waiting for Structural Break 📉 Gold Outlook – Corrective Dollar Strength & Potential Reversal Zones 🧭 Market Structure-Based Outlook with Multi-Timeframe Confluence Gold is currently experiencing a controlled decline, primarily driven by a short-term corrective appreciation in the U.S. dollar. This dollar strength is likely temporary and is expected to reverse toward the 3370–3354 zone — a technically significant area marked by previous liquidity sweeps and imbalance fills. 🔍 Technical Setup: Bias (HTF): Bullish Current Move (LTF): Corrective Key Observation: No shift in long-term market structure on higher timeframes; price action remains within a bullish regime. ✅ Strategic Trade Plan: We will not engage prematurely. The optimal entry will only be considered upon a confirmed bullish market structure shift on the 15-minute timeframe — ideally a BOS (Break of Structure) followed by mitigation. 🛒 Entry Zone: Around 3370 – 3354, contingent upon a clean bullish break in structure. ⛔ Invalidation Level (SL): Below 3308 (structure invalidation + liquidity trap zone) 🎯 Profit Targets (Scaled): TP1: 3400 TP2: 3430 TP3: 3500 – 3560 TP4 (Extended): 3600 – 3720 (Use partials & scale accordingly based on trade management plan) 🧠 Fundamental Confluence: The macro picture remains supportive of higher gold prices. Anticipated dovish shifts from the Federal Reserve, particularly in the form of rate cuts or forward guidance softening, may act as the macro catalyst for continuation toward new highs. 🛎 Conclusion: While the current correction appears sharp, it lacks HTF structural reversal characteristics. Patience and precision are essential — no entry should be considered without a 15m bullish break in structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by general_rami81
Gold Bounces Back After Testing Key Support📊 Market Drivers • Gold dropped to around $3,352, touching a key support zone, then quickly rebounded to $3,373, gaining over +20 points. • The rebound is supported by continued weakness in the US Dollar and slight easing in Treasury yields, keeping gold attractive as a safe haven. • Although some optimism around US-Japan trade negotiations slightly reduced risk aversion, it wasn’t enough to push gold below support. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: o $3,397 – $3,400: psychological resistance and near the next bullish breakout zone. o If breached, next target lies around $3,420–3,445. • Nearest Support: o $3,356 – $3,364: recently confirmed support zone that triggered the current rebound. o Deeper support at $3,326 – $3,320 if the rebound fails. • EMA (EMA50): o Price remains above the 50-period EMA, indicating bullish momentum in the short term. • Patterns & Momentum: o Market structure shows a "rising low" pattern — a bullish signal that buyers are stepping in at higher levels. o RSI was briefly in oversold territory and now supports a recovery bounce. o If $3,356 holds, the upside targets remain valid toward $3,397 → $3,439. 📌 Assessment • Gold has confirmed strong support at $3,356–3,364, with the rebound from $3,352 as proof. • Short-term uptrend remains intact, unless the USD strengthens sharply or unexpected macro news hits. • If gold breaks below $3,356, it may retrace toward $3,326–3,320, but the upside potential is currently favored. 💡 Suggested Trade Setups BUY XAU/USD: $3,356–3,364 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,346 SELL XAU/USD: $3,397–3,400 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,407
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals