GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold’s deleveraging pullback spurs fresh demandSpot gold's initial response to the steepest US trade barriers in more than 100 years was a move to a fresh record high of USD 3,167 per troy ounce on heightened inflation risks, before surging volatility in response to collapsing stock markets saw traders turn their attention to capital preservation and deleveraging—the dash-for-cash focus hurt all leveraged positions across the commodities sector, including those in silver, which experienced a brutal 16.5% top-to-bottom slump, but also bullion, which despite its safe haven label during times of turmoil fell by around 4% before finding solid support around USD 2,950.
As the dust begins to settle following one of the worst risk reduction periods in recent years, demand for silver and especially gold has re-emerged, with gold has reaching a fresh all-time-high above USD 3,200, while silver has managed to retrace half of what was lost during the first week of April, both strongly suggesting that underlying concerns remain.
A combination of heightened global economic tensions, the risk of stagflation – a combination of lower employment, growth and rising inflation - a weaker dollar, will, in our opinion, continue to support bullion, and to a certain extent also silver. Adding to this is a market that is now aggressively positioning for the Fed to deliver more cuts this year—at current count more than 75 basis points of easing by year-end, and not least continued demand from central banks and high net worth individuals looking to reduce or hedge their exposure to US government bonds and the dollar.
With all the mentioned developments in mind, we maintain our forecast for gold reaching a minimum of USD 3,300 this year, while silver, given its industrious exposure and recession worries, may struggle to materially outperform gold as we had previously forecast. Instead, based on the XAU/XAG ratio returning below 90 from above 100 currently, we see silver eventually making it higher towards USD 37.
XAUUSD 4H | Premium Zone Rejection + FVG PlayGold tapped into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $3,141–$3,157 zone—right at a premium level.
I’ve entered a short position at $3,141, anticipating a move down toward internal liquidity and sell-side targets.
Entry: $3,141
TP1: $3,094
TP2: $3,041
Final TP: $2,951
SL: $3,160
This setup is based on Smart Money Concepts:
• FVG reaction
• Premium pricing
• Liquidity engineering
• Bearish displacement
Let’s see if the algorithm delivers!
What’s your bias on gold this week?
Drop your thoughts and follow for more clean setups!
XAUUSD ScenariosHi, market kept rallying up. Right now 2325 is a temporary level acting as a resistance. Below it market could drop to 3207 and 3197 levels.
In order to go long you need to wait for the market to reach to demand levels specified in the chart and act accordingly.
Make sure to add your intuition and knowledge into this and don't take everything blindly.
Be honorable
Gold fell100 points for 3 consecutive days Market trend analysisStop loss is always right, even if it is wrong; holding on is always wrong, even if it is right. Stop loss is unconditional! Without trading principles and trading discipline, all technology is equal to zero!
Spot gold fell by $212 in three days, and the bears shined. A while ago, we warned of the risks, but many people scoffed at it, thinking it was alarmist and that gold would not fall. The money earned by the bull market will definitely be lost with the principal and interest under the belief of the bull market. The three-day plunge in gold is enough to make many people return to the time before opening an account in three days!
The market staged a "holiday conspiracy theory" market, because the heat has reached, and it is facing the implementation of equal tariffs. The previous surge in gold is to buy expectations and sell facts. The bullish atmosphere is unprecedentedly high, and the main force can harvest it.
How arrogant the bulls of gold were at the beginning, how embarrassed they are now; the bears are far stronger than the bulls, the bulls cut meat with a blunt knife, and the bears cut the Gordian knot with a quick knife! Gold plunged $112 from 3167 to 3055 last Thursday, $120 from 3136 to 3016 on Thursday, and $100 from 3056 to 2056 yesterday, Monday. Last year, there were five days with a plunge of nearly or more than $100, and three consecutive days recently. Because the price is high, there will be more single-day plunges of 100 or more this year.
Yesterday, all three major U.S. stock indexes stopped falling at the lifeline of bulls and ushered in an oversold rebound. The panic decline of crude oil and silver was also alleviated. Silver stopped falling at the key support of bulls at 28-28.5. It shows that risk sentiment has been alleviated to a certain extent. Market risk sentiment has been released, and gold shorts also need to rest. The main force of gold has cultivated too many bulls from January to April 2025, and cultivated the bull market thinking of retail investors. It will definitely kill the bulls with the help of this round of sharp decline, and gold can start to rise again! In the medium term, the rebound correction is for a better decline. 2956-50 will be broken, and then 2930-2880 will be broken, and the ultimate 2830 will be broken. Today is the fourth day of the decline. The decline stopped at 2956 in the early morning, which is the previous high point. At present, the first round of gold decline in the short term has been in place. Many people panicked after three days of sharp decline. Those who bought the bottom dared not buy the bottom, and those who did not short should chase the short. The main force will continue to wash the market! Today, the correction rebound is mainly seen. The upper resistance focuses on 3000, then 3030-25 and yesterday's high 3045-55 area.
The focus of the day is 2956-60, and the short-term support is 2970-75. In theory, if you want to wash the market, wash it harder. 3000 can't stop it. Pay attention to the 3020-35 range, and even rush to yesterday's high area and then fall. Gold fluctuates by more than ten or dozens of dollars in 5 minutes. The article can only give ideas and areas. More specific strategies need to be given offline in combination with real trading. Orders must be strictly carried out with losses to prevent being stuck in the wrong direction. In an emotional market, watch more and do less!
In today's market:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a small golden cross, but the strength and continuity of the golden cross are not shown; MACD double lines are downward, which is a bearish signal; the indicator is not a resonant bearish signal, so the 4-hour bias is corrected; in terms of form, it breaks the bottom and sets a new low, constantly pierces, and constantly rebounds. The support near the low of 2950 is effective here, and the back and forth piercing near 2970 is of little reference significance; the second decline is around 3050 and around 3020;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross, so the main high-altitude treatment is used; MACD double lines diverge, which is a bearish signal; the daily K is a resonant bearish signal, so the main idea of shorting at highs is used; the current central axis position is around 3010;
To sum up: the intraday short-term trend is around 2950 in 4 hours, and the decline rebounds; after the correction rebound, we continue to treat it as a high-altitude; several pressure positions 3 010-3020,
The second is around 3050, followed by around 3090; on the long side, the layout is in the range of 2955-2965; the large range is positioned in the range of 3050-2950
Strategy:
Short around 3015-17, defend 3024, target 3000-2990, the operation has been made and is not considered
Long around 2995-97, defend 299 0, the target 3000-3010-3030 has been entered and is no longer considered
Intraday short around 3030-40, defense 3045, target 3000--2980-2960-2930
Intraday secondary long around 2962-64, defense 2956, target 2975-2990
After falling below 2955, it will reach 2930 and 2880.
4.8 Gold Strategy4.8 Gold Strategy
4-hour level: Bollinger open state, while driving the moving average to turn downward. The rebound failed to continue, the high point gradually moved down, and the key resistance area (3015-3024) was under pressure, and the support below was 2950-2953.
Today's operation strategy
Short order: 3015-3024 area, stop loss 3030, target 2950-2953, break can be held below 2930.
Long order: around 2960, stop loss 2955, target 2980 fast in and out
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3006.4
Stop Loss - 2998.0
Take Profit - 3024.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD This 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) presents a detailed technical outlook showing a bullish breakout from a downtrend, followed by a strong rally, and a potential upcoming retracement.
Key highlights from the chart:
- The price previously broke out from a descending trendline, confirmed by the breakout above the 3,132.939 resistance level, followed by a continuation of the uptrend.
- The chart shows multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) and support/resistance zones, which have been respected throughout the price movement.
- After bottoming out around 2,974.936, Gold began a bullish rally, forming higher highs and breaking past the 3,067.613 and 3,139.363 levels.
- The recent high around 3,220 marks a resistance zone, where price has currently stalled and is showing …
The volume profile shows a strong increase during bullish movements, indicating strong buyer interest. Traders will be watching the 3,168–3,150 zone closely—if it holds as support, it may offer a fresh opportunity for long positions toward a retest of 3,220 or higher. However, a break below this zone could signal a deeper correction.
Summary:
- Trend: Bullish
- Current Action: Pullback from resistance
- Watch Support: 3,168.521
- Potential Setup: Buy on pullback if support holds, otherwise wait for confirmation before re-entry.
What Next For Gold?So I went back to the weekly after yesterday's success and ath (all time high) and had to re-draw my channel to get a little insight to where she's headed. To be honest, i see a move to 3300 happening (not a prediction). So I have this little vibe. watch the video to see my entry..
Gold bulls are rising higherGold's 1-hour moving average continues to spread upwards and bulls are spreading. Gold bulls are full of strength. Gold still has upward momentum. The pullback will continue to give opportunities to go long.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3175, stop loss 3165, target 3210
The above is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment advice. You need to be responsible for your own profits and losses.
Learn These Patterns And You'll Never Regret ItEVERYTHING ON THE TRIANGLE PATTERN
a triangle chart pattern involves price moving into a tighter and tighter range (like a consolidation phase which has a triangle-like shape) as time goes by and provides a visual display of a battle between bulls and bears.
The triangle pattern is generally categorised as a “continuation pattern”, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared.
note: the triangle pattern depends on the trend however don't hold on to that thought since fake-outs are possible. the point i am trying to make is that you should not be obsessed with which direction the price goes, but you should be ready for movement in either direction.
there are three triangle patterns:
a) the ascending (upward slope consisting of higher-lows and a consistent resistance),
b) descending (downward slope consisting of lower-highs and a consistent support)
c) symmetrical (equal slopes the market is forming lower-highs and higher-lows)..
the triangle is different from a wedge. however, a wedge can be in a triangle or better put the general formation of a wedge is a triangle-like shape (in some cases).
point to note:
• you need at least two points (bullish or bearish) to connect for a triangle to be considered, and a consistent support or resistance.
• the volatility of price of any instrument decreases when there's a triangle pattern and increases on breakout of the pattern.
• measuring the size of the triangle can serve as a good profit target (will explain in meeting)
• keep an open mind at all times.
📝..