GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,346.66
Target Level: 3,283.88
Stop Loss: 3,388.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,320.51.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,298.54 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3311.9
Stop Loss - 3305.4
Take Profit - 3324.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART PATTERN(XAU/USD 1H timeframe), there are two target points clearly marked on the screen:
1. First Target Point:
~3,380,000 (as shown on the chart).
2. Second Target Point:
~3,420,000 (higher target marked at the top).
The chart shows a breakout above a descending trendline, with price retesting the breakout zone (light blue area). The arrows suggest an expected bullish continuation towards these targets.
Suggest stop loss zones.
Analyze further timeframes.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Bullish Pattern
Gold perfectly respected a rising trend line on a daily and
bounce from that, as I predicted earlier.
I see a strong bullish pattern on that now.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern and closed
on Friday, testing its neckline.
The next bullish confirmation that you should look for is its breakout.
Daily candle close above 3367 level will provide a breakout validation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Break : 3386
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( bearish Entry Detected )
Tide turned in Sellers favorAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will keep Buying and Selling Gold only with my aggressive Scalp orders from my key entry and reversal points."
Firstly I have engaged multiple re-Buy orders on #3,320.890 towards #3,327.80 (Scalp of course) delivering decent Profit however when #3,322.80 got invalidated, personally I wasn't trusting the decline and re-Bought aggressively #3,312.80, #3,305.80 and #3,294.80. I did that successfully / in & out delivering excellent Profit however I would made much more if I Shorted Gold personally.
Technical analysis: The strong pullback shy of making a #3,282.80 local Low’s is a Natural Short-term correction. Yesterday's candle sequence can be identified as Three Black Crows formation but even then Daily chart remained Bullish currently as long as #3,277.80 - #3,288.80 Support zone is intact. Level mentioned represents key Support zone and it is no coincidence that the Price-action rebounded there. Hourly 4 chart is now Bearish again so I expect Bearish continuation on Gold (Sell every High's) unless Gold closes the session above #3,300.80 mark. Few Bearish important marks were hit earlier than I expected (had this for the end of the week personally) so now if / when #3,288.80 gets invalidated, I am expecting the final extension wave of this parabolic run towards #3,252.80 benchmark. I believe this will be a major Support, but shouldn't necessarily cause intense pull-back but a new Monthly accumulation period.
My position: I will Sell every High's on Gold, and pursue #3,252.80 benchmark with my both Scalp and Swing orders. I am well known Seller of Gold.
XAUUSD Fibonacci Retracement Buy Setup 15min Bullish Order FlowGold is currently trading within a bullish correction phase after a strong impulsive move. This analysis is a low time frame entry in anticipation of a bullish continuation.
This is a Fibonacci retracement-based buy setup on XAUUSD (Gold) using the 15-minute timeframe, backed by bullish market structure and potential reaction from the golden pocket zone.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
Bullish Internal Structure: Price broke above the previous short-term high, establishing a bullish leg with higher highs and higher lows.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The pullback from the high at 3346.068 down to the swing low is retracing toward:
38.2% - 3327.049 (Current area)
50.0% - 3321.174
61.8% - 3315.299 (Golden Pocket Zone, also aligned with a demand zone)
FVG Confluence:
There's a visible FVG sitting around the 61.8% - 71% retracement zone, which strengthens the case for bullish continuation.
GOLD continues to recover, tariff war changes unpredictablyInternational OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, boosted by a slight decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury yields. At the same time, investors are closely monitoring the developments in trade negotiations as US President Trump expands the tariff war.
As of the time of writing, spot OANDA:XAUUSD increased by 0.3% to 3,333 USD/oz. The general weakness of the US Dollar, the decline in US Treasury yields and renewed concerns about the escalation of the trade war have helped stabilize gold prices.
On Thursday evening (July 10) local time, US President Donald Trump once again increased pressure on trading partners. He announced that he would impose a 35% tariff on imported goods from Canada, and the USD/CAD exchange rate rose sharply in the short term.
Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social that a 35% tariff would be imposed on imported goods from Canada, effective from August 1, 2025.
It is still unclear whether the current exemptions for goods traded under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be extended or terminated.
Due to the impact of escalating trade tensions, spot gold prices also rose by more than 10 dollars in the short term at the beginning of the Asian trading session on Friday, and the current high price of gold has reached around 3,336 USD/ounce.
In an interview with NBC News on Thursday, Trump said he was also considering imposing a flat tariff of 15% to 20% on most of his trading partners, adding that the exact tariff rate was being worked out. The current flat tariff rate is 10%.
Trump sent letters to trading partners this week, announcing that the new tariffs would take effect on August 1 if they could not negotiate more favorable terms. He is expected to send letters to European Union member states soon.
Trump sent the first batch of tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, on July 7, with tariffs ranging from 25% to 40%. He also said he would send more similar letters this week.
Minutes from the Fed's June 17-18 meeting showed that only a "few" Fed officials thought a rate cut was possible as early as this month, while most preferred to hold off until later in the year due to inflation concerns caused by Trump's tariffs.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The next policy meeting is scheduled for July 29-30.
Markets will focus on progress in Trump's tariff negotiations, key US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials later in the day for fresh trading direction for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has had 2 sessions of recovery from the area around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, but the temporary upside momentum is still limited and does not qualify for a new bullish cycle.
In the short term, the EMA21 with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement will act as the nearest resistance, if gold takes the price action to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will qualify for a new bullish cycle with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, with the current neutral trend, once gold is sold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it will have conditions to decline, and the target then is around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The RSI index is hovering around 50, also showing that the market sentiment is still hesitant to have a specific direction.
During the day, the sideways trend of gold prices will be noticed by the following positions.
Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3388 - 3386⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3392
→Take Profit 1 3380
↨
→Take Profit 2 3372
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3296 - 3298⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3292
→Take Profit 1 3304
↨
→Take Profit 2 3310
Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis
We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside.
💡 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3326
Resistance Zone: 3342
The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement.
⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
Bullish reversal off major support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 76.4% Fibonacci projection and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 33,295.00
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 76.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 3,278.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 3,338.86
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Opportunity to short gold!Gold's hourly chart is clearly moving within a channel
There is a high probability of a rebound in the short term.
The key position is at the upper edge of the channel.
This happens to be the supply area【3324...3329】 of the hourly chart.
If there is a good reversal signal in the supply zone, you can try shorting.
short term Target:Approximately at the position where AB=CD is completed
technical analysis chart for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timefram technical analysis chart for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe using TradingView. Let's break it down and analyze the key insights:
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📉 Overall Trend
Currently bearish with lower highs and lower lows.
Price is struggling to break above the resistance around $3,340–$3,345.
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🔍 Key Observations
1. Sell Zone (Red Arrow Marks):
Multiple sell signals shown with red arrows where price rejected the upper resistance levels.
Most recent rejection happened just above $3,328, where price failed to break higher.
2. Support Levels:
Strong support identified around $3,298, tested multiple times.
Next support zone appears near $3,280, shown with a projected downward arrow.
3. Pattern Formation:
A Head and Shoulders pattern may be forming — a bearish reversal signal.
Alternatively, this also looks like a range or a bearish flag in a continuation of the prior downtrend.
4. Volume Analysis:
Noticeable increase in bearish volume on recent candles, supporting the downward movement.
Bullish volume appears weaker in comparison.
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🔮 Possible Scenario (Bearish Bias)
If the price fails to reclaim and close above $3,328–$3,330, a drop to $3,298 is likely.
If $3,298 breaks with strong volume, next target could be around $3,280 or even lower as marked by the blue arrows.
Measured move from the top to the neckline supports this downside projection.
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
Type Level
Resistance $3,328 – $3,345
Support $3,298.26
Target $3,280 – $3,264
Entry Signal Below $3,298 with volume
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✅ Strategy Suggestion
Short Bias: Wait for a breakdown below $3,298 with strong volume confirmation.
Invalidation: If price closes and holds above $3,345, bearish setup fails.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss above $3,345, target $3,280–$3,264.
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Would you like help setting up a trading plan, or converting this analysis into a Pine Script strategy?
Gold Expecting bullish Movement Price is currently showing strong momentum with visible rejections and key zone reactions. According to my analysis
First Resistance Zone: 3382.70
Second Resistance Zone: 3360.50
Support Zone: Around 3330.50
Yellow Arrow: Indicates possible early rejection and a move toward the support zone
Blue Arrow: Suggests price may bounce back from the 3330.50 support and retest upper zones
As long as price remains below the 3360.50 resistance zone, my bias remains bearish However, if price breaks above this level with strong volume, we may see bullish continuation
Gold Price Holds Within Channel - Watching for Channel BreakGold is currently moving within a downward sloping channel, reflecting a period of controlled price movement.
If the price continues to follow the channel, it may trend lower in the short term, with the next key support level seen around $3260.
Alternatively, a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel may signal a shift in momentum, opening the way for further upside.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Support: $3260
Resistance: Channel top (watch for breakout confirmation)
Outlook: Continuation within the channel suggests further downside, while a breakout could shift momentum in favor of buyers.
Gold continues downtrend today✏️#GOLD view
Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the decline in gold prices when the selling pressure returned below the liquidity candle wick. The extension of the downtrend will continue today.
Yesterday's strong support zone 3297 has become today's resistance zone, this is the SELL point today when there is confirmation from the selling side in this zone.
3310 The confluence resistance zone between the trendline and the US Session Resistance is noted in today's SELL strategy. The previous SELL Target 3352 orders pay attention to the reaction at 3377.
📈Key Level
SUPPORT 3277-3250
RESISTANCE 3297-3310-3328
SELL Trigger: Price cannot break 3297
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 3276
Target: 3250
BUY Trigger:PriceTrading above 3276
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold Market Rejects 3330 – Bullish Sweep Targets 3356Gold market forms a new stance as 3330's fail to hold significant supply. This rejection triggers a bullish sweep, with price now poised to target 3356 for the next leg of movement. Watch for continuation signals as momentum builds.follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold Holds Above $3,300 Amid Trade Policy UncertaintyMacro approach:
- Gold traded defensively this week, consolidating above the $3,300 level amid shifting risk sentiment and anticipation of significant trade policy developments. The yellow metal's performance was pressured by a firmer US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, as optimism around potential trade deals and tariff suspensions reduced safe-haven demand.
- Market drivers included resilient US economic data, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, and ongoing trade negotiations. The 9 Jul deadline for suspended US tariffs and President Trump's threats of new levies on BRICS countries kept investors on edge, while the release of FOMC minutes and strong NFP further dampened expectations for imminent Fed easing. Despite these headwinds, underlying concerns over US fiscal deficits and global policy uncertainty supported Gold's longer-term appeal.
- Gold may remain volatile as markets await clarity on US trade policy and the 15 July US CPI release. Both could influence Fed rate expectations and risk appetite. Any escalation in trade tensions or disappointing economic data could revive safe-haven flows into Gold.
Technical approach:
- XAUUSD consolidated within a tight range of 3285-3560, just lightly above the ascending channel's lower bound. The price is at EMA21, indicating that a bullish momentum is still intact. The market is waiting for an apparent breakout to determine the trend.
- If XAUUSD breaks above 3560, the price may retest the following resistance at 3430.
- On the contrary, closing below support at 3285 may allow Gold to retest the following support at 3165.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness