Please be carefulFrom a purely technical point of view, the bulls are in control of the overall situation under the support of the big positive line on the weekly chart. The Asian session has maintained the rule of opening up for more than a month. On the market, the spot gold US session low point 3220-15 area long and short strength dividing line, strong above, weak below; Asian session retracement low 3185-90 long and short watershed, above the long, short or even plummet rapidly. From the upside, it is still a blind spot, pay attention to the 3245 area, then 3265-60 and 3300 mark.There are many news over the weekend, and the opening of next week is crucial. A high opening, a low opening, or a flat opening indicates different risk sentiments. In terms of operation, either watch more and do less, or don't be afraid to follow the market sentiment; however, while maintaining a bullish bullish position in the short term, beware of the sudden change in the tariffs of the country causing a rapid collapse and plunge in the gold market; after a rapid rise in the short term, the fall will be more fierce, and a collapse or rise is a matter of news!
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Markets revolve around US-China, GOLD seeks new peaksAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, US stocks and the US dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs.
Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and that it would be "better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering any adjustments to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariffs could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth.
OANDA:XAUUSD have risen nearly $700/ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024.
Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war raises concerns of a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest escalation in tensions between the world’s two largest economies has hurt sentiment in financial markets overall, sending investors fleeing to safe-haven assets like gold.
However, a profit-taking or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to find and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in both the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel will be set as the main trend with the main support from EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the raw price point of 3,300USD right after.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is entering the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible correction. Going forward, the trend and outlook for gold prices remain bullish, and declines should only be considered short-term corrections.
But this note will be important, in a market where assets (Gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As in the current context, we cannot know when the US-China war will cool down, and any positive move around this war will cause selling sentiment in the gold market, which is considered a traditional safe haven asset.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3396 - 3394⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3400
→Take Profit 1 3388
↨
→Take Profit 2 3382
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3305
→Take Profit 1 3317
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
Gold’s Quiet Ascent to a New Era?Gold has recently regained strong attention as the US dollar weakens, largely due to unstable trade policy in the United States. While the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, there are growing signs that gold is becoming a more reliable alternative in an increasingly uncertain global landscape.
A key catalyst is China’s decision to allow insurance companies to allocate more of their assets into gold. This move alone could generate hundreds of tons in additional demand each year — a significant force in a market where global supply remains limited.
Meanwhile, major banks like Citi, UBS, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America have all revised their gold forecasts upward for 2025–2026. Some targets now reach as high as $3,500/ounce, reflecting growing conviction that gold is entering a new bull cycle — not just short term, but across the medium and long term.
To me, this isn’t just a reaction to recent headlines — it signals a deeper shift in how institutions are revaluing gold’s role. The $100 surge last Wednesday marked a peak in market enthusiasm, and it’s likely just the beginning.
We might see minor pullbacks ahead, but the broader trend is intact. If gold truly breaks into a new price range in the coming quarters, this could be a crucial time to prepare, observe, and identify well-timed Buy entries.
Gold is crazy again
How can it not rise? This is my most real complaint at this moment.
Now don't think about the 3300 problem, because it doesn't matter, and it may even give you an illusion and cause you to chase the rise. . Look at it openly. If you can't do it after the callback, just take over and look for a short-term rebound. If you want to short, then wait for a rebound after a drop of 30 US dollars, then try to intervene. Otherwise, what else can you do? There are no other tricks. I'm really not a bad guy. How did I touch the top of 3160 before? It came like this. There is indeed a luck component, but this is the only way to enter the market.
A big rise will see a big fall, there is no doubt about it, so this article cannot give you a specific point reference. If I give it to you, it means that I am perfunctory. Do you understand? Who can't guess? A little rhetoric can make a lot of sense. Remember, when it pulls back to 30 US dollars, and it rebounds to near the previous high, go short. It doesn't matter if you don't know, I will do it.
There is no market chart today, because I have mentioned all the trading skills above. The price has gone up so much that there is no need to analyze the pressure, and no one can specifically know where the pressure is. Guessing is meaningless. Let us wait for the decline and then wait for the opportunity to move. Without further ado, watching the downward fluctuation of 30 to 50 US dollars is the goal.
Learn 3 Best Time Frames for Day Trading Forex & Gold
If you want to day trade Forex & Gold, but you don't know what time frames you should use for chart analysis and trade execution, don't worry.
In this article, I prepared for you the list of best time frames for intraday trading and proven combinations for multiple time frame analysis.
For day trading forex with multiple time frame analysis, I recommend using these 3 time frames: daily, 1 hour, 30 minutes.
Daily Time Frame Analysis
The main time frame for day trading Forex is the daily.
It will be applied for the identification of significant support and resistance levels and the market trend.
You should find at least 2 supports that are below current prices and 2 resistances above.
In a bullish trend, supports will be applied for trend-following trading, the resistances - for trading against the trend.
That's the example of a proper daily time frame analysis on GBPCHF for day trading.
The pair is in an uptrend and 4 significant historic structures are underlined.
In a downtrend, a short from resistance will be a daytrade with the trend while a long from support will be against.
Look at GBPAUD. The market is bearish, and a structure analysis is executed.
Identified supports and resistances will provide the zones to trade from. You should let the price reach one of these areas and start analyzing lower time frames then.
Remember that counter trend trading setups always have lower accuracy and a profit potential. Your ability to properly recognize the market direction and the point that you are planning to open a position from will help you to correctly assess the winning chances and risks.
1H/30M Time Frames Analysis
These 2 time frames will be used for confirmations and entries.
What exactly should you look for?
It strictly depends on the rules of your strategy and trading style.
After a test of a resistance, one should wait for a clear sign of strength of the sellers : it can be based on technical indicators, candlestick, chart pattern, or something else.
For my day trading strategy, I prefer a price action based confirmation.
I wait for a formation of a bearish price action pattern on a resistance.
Look at GBPJPY on a daily. Being in an uptrend, the price is approaching a key resistance. From that, one can look for a day trade .
In that case, a price action signal is a double top pattern on 1H t.f and a violation of its neckline. That provides a nice confirmation to open a counter trend short trade.
Look at this retracement that followed then.
In this situation, there was no need to open 30 minutes chart because a signal was spotted on 1H.
I will show you when one should apply this t.f in another setup.
Once the price is on a key daily support, start looking for a bullish signal.
For me, it will be a bullish price action pattern.
USDCAD is in a strong bullish trend. The price tests a key support.
It can be a nice area for a day trade.
Opening an hourly chart, we can see no bullish pattern.
If so, open even lower time frame, quite often it will reveal hidden confirmations.
A bullish formation appeared on 30 minutes chart - a cup & handle.
Violation of its neckline is a strong day trading long signal.
Look how rapidly the price started to grow then.
In order to profitably day trade Forex, a single time frame analysis is not enough . Incorporation of 3 time frames: one daily and two intraday will help you to identify trading opportunities from safe places with the maximum reward potential.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
continue to grow, conquer new ATH, XAU⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US economic data delivered mixed signals. Import prices stayed subdued, while the New York Fed Manufacturing Index outperformed expectations, with several internal components also showing strength. However, inflationary pressures resurfaced as prices paid climbed back into expansionary territory, and the six-month business outlook showed signs of weakening.
Looking ahead, gold traders will closely monitor March Retail Sales and remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, particularly Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday. Additional focus will be on upcoming housing figures and weekly Initial Jobless Claims to gauge the broader economic landscape.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After accumulating at the beginning of the week, gold price started to grow strongly reaching 3275 and will continue to move towards the new ATH zone.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3288- 3290 SL 3295
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3235
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3220
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📈 XAUUSD Daily Analysis – 12/04/2025
🔥 Strong bullish move after a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and liquidity grab below the Previous Daily Low.
📉 A significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains between 3,100,000 and 3,175,000 – a potential pullback zone.
📍 Price could revisit this FVG before continuing the bullish momentum towards 3,300,000+.
🔹 PDL = Previous Daily Low
🔴 BAG = Breakaway Gap
🧠 Patience is key – wait for price reaction in the zone of interest.
📌 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Like if you found this helpful!
Gold Trade Plan 11/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold, contrary to technical analysis, broke the previous high and is currently within the upper boundary of the ascending channel. I expect gold to start a decline from the 3245–3280 zone, and the correction will likely be deep in terms of time. The initial target is 3100, and the final target is 2900, which is the bottom of the ascending channel.
If the ascending channel is broken, a new analysis will be required.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish Now (READ CAPTION)Hello Dear Traders Eric Is Here !! Here Is My predictions About Gold Kindly Check And Share your ideas About it.
XAUUSD (Gold) Currently Running Near 3210-08 i Expect If Gold Breaks Resistance OF 3230-32 Price Will Move to 3270-68 , 3191 is Strong Support of The Week If Gold Breaks it we will Stop The Bullish .
Key Points Are Given:
Support Area 3191
Resistance Area 3230
Target Point 3268-70
Like & Comments with Your Feedback.
XAU/USD) Flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Analysis presents a bullish outlook for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
---
Key Analysis Points:
1. Order Block + Key Support Zone:
Price recently tapped into a bullish order block around the $3,166.74–$3,208.62 zone.
This area is also marked as a "key support level", suggesting a strong demand zone.
The confluence of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and order block gives this zone higher validity for potential reversal.
2. Bullish Market Structure:
The chart shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend.
Price action broke above a small consolidation, showing bullish momentum is resuming.
3. Projected Target:
The target point is set at $3,283.01, suggesting about a 55-point upside from the current price.
This target sits above a previous high, indicating anticipation of a liquidity grab or breakout.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 57.94, which is a neutral-to-bullish zone. It supports the idea that there's still room for price to move up before being overbought.
5. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average):
The price is well above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish bias in the higher timeframe.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Possible Strategy:
Long (Buy) Entry Zone: Between $3,166–$3,208 (ideal near the order block/FVG).
Target: $3,283
Stop Loss: Below the order block, ideally below $3,166 to avoid getting wicked out.
---
Final Thoughts:
This is a well-structured bullish setup based on institutional concepts like order blocks and FVGs. The price is aligned with the trend, and RSI supports more upside. However, watch for any major news catalysts (especially with those economic event icons shown).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD ( XAU/USD) likely to move up from here Take this with a grain of salt. I am no expert, and this is not financial advice.
Technical Analysis (TA):
As we look at the hourly (1hr) timeframe, we can see a strong upward movement followed by a temporary consolidation creating a bullish pennant pattern suggesting a trend continuation. A conservative target puts us at around $3,350 per troy ounce of gold, but we could go as high as $3,494.63 to be exact.
Fundamentals Analysis (FA):
Macroeconomic Uncertainty: I can go into great detail about what is happening, but I would be writing an essay the size of 10 pages, and I don't want to do that now, so here is a quick and simple overview:
Tarrif War between the United States of America and China (as well as other countries) could lead to economic slow downs as well as poor revenue's for companies.
Start-ups are dead. As of today, there has been an alarming rate of start-ups which has been failing and unable to secure funding, and yes I am aware start ups fail all the time and funding dries up, just at the current rate it is scary how many are actively failing where a year back they were alive and well with bright futures and investment potential, investors are running to safe havens such as GOLD to keep their funds safe.
Central banks are expected to pause or even cut rates, which is typically bullish for gold, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
Geopolitical Tensions: War War War :(
XAUUSD:Obtaining of Trading Signals for Next WeekThe outlook for gold remains bullish next week. Concerns about economic recession triggered by tariffs, rising inflation expectations, the weakening of the US dollar's credit, and geopolitical tensions are providing impetus for the increase in the gold price.
For next week's trading, go long with the uptrend. Key is grasping entry/exit points. Top-bottom support is around 3168. Strong bullishness makes big pullbacks unlikely; else it'll turn range-bound. Friday's decline has short-term supports at 3219 and 3210. On Monday, open long positions per pullback magnitude. Focus on 3245 resistance. If broken, keep riding the uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3210-3220
TP:3240-3260
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
XAUUSD update: Is 4th wave complete?On our previous analysis we were expecting price to start decline to form 4th wave of higher degree but price instead of creating na impulsive down we had a clean zigzag signaling we are not yet done with the 5th wave. Now we have a recount of this 5th wave and we can see we still bullish. If this current count is correct we should expect price to continue up and find resistance at the upper trendline. Lets monitor it for a possibility of taking advantage of the continuation higher.
XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔
Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory
Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state.
• The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over.
• A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup.
• On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge.
This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡
Summary of Key Takeaways
XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD - 15m Sell SetupXAUUSD - Daily Sell Setup 🔻
After a strong and extended rally, Gold (XAUUSD) has reached an overheated level and is now showing signs of short-term exhaustion.
We’re eyeing a $30 correction, which translates to nearly 300 pips of opportunity for short sellers.
📉 Current Price: ~$3,307
🎯 Target: ~$3,277
With momentum slowing and candles printing hesitation, this could be a great time to catch a quick pullback. Ideal for short-term traders who thrive in volatility.
💡 Manage your risk, don’t chase — wait for confirmation before entry.
💸 Ready for 300 pips? Follow us and ride the wave with precision! 🚀
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – April 18, 2025This 15-minute chart for Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) shows a bullish ascending trendline forming after a significant prior downtrend. The price is currently consolidating along this trendline, targeting the resistance zone around 3340. The chart suggests two possible movements: a breakout above 3340 resistance or a pullback to retest the trendline before potentially moving higher.
Explanation:
Trend: The chart shows a recent recovery after a sharp drop, marked by a strong ascending black trendline.
Resistance Zone: The grey-shaded area around 3340 acts as a significant resistance where price may face selling pressure.
Projection:
First possibility: A slight retracement to the trendline (support) followed by a bounce upward towards 3340.
Second possibility: If momentum is strong, a direct breakout above the 3340 level.
Indicators:
Red and green cloud-like bands indicate previous bullish and bearish trends (probably a Keltner Channel or Donchian Channel).
The lightning bolt icon hints that a strong move or breakout is expected soon.
This setup suggests traders might be looking for a buying opportunity on a pullback or a breakout above 3340 for continuation higher.
"Gold on Fire: Eyeing $3500 After RBR Zone Rebound! "1️⃣ Trend Overview
📈 Strong bullish rally from April 11 to the peak.
📉 Pullback after reaching the recent ATH (All-Time High) zone.
2️⃣ Key Zones
🔵 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally):
Marked support area between $3,271.41 and $3,307.04.
Acts as a buy zone / entry point.
🟣 ATH Zone:
Minor resistance from the recent high.
Price pulled back from here before potentially continuing up.
3️⃣ Entry & Target
✅ Entry Point: Around $3,307.04 (top of RBR zone).
🎯 Target Point: Clearly defined at $3,500.71.
Potential Gain: +188.59 points
ROI: +5.70%
4️⃣ Indicator
📊 EMA (7, close):
Currently at $3,329.09
Price is slightly below EMA = short-term correction or pause.
Strategy Summary
🟢 Buy Setup:
Wait for price to return to RBR zone
Enter long position ✅
Target $3,500 🚀
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
Place stop-loss below RBR zone for safety.
Gold consolidates ahead of the run Consolidation not because the market is exhausted, but consolidation before Wednesday - a rather rich news day.
A triangle is forming locally, but it doesn't mean anything, the more important figure is flat 3193.46 - 3245.40.
Most likely, in order to accumulate liquidity, gold will make a correction to the support in the Asian session and only then will consider the growth.
Scenario: Gold is in consolidation (boundaries are indicated on the chart). We have neither support nor resistance tested. I am waiting for a false breakdown of 3193 before rising. (or a false breakdown of 3167 (retest and confirmation of the strong zone) before the rise)