DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support.
A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold.
✨ Summary
Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold is Powering Through the Termination ChannelGold is right now in a very strong extended 5th wave.
It has finished what I believe to be the third wave of that 5th wave, so now we are entering the 4th wave of the 5th wave.
I believe it will be a very shallow 4th wave, and considering the speed of things, it will not retrace further than around the 3,000 level. and here on after continue up with the 5th wave.
Normally we would anticipate retracement back to the 38.6% fib level, which is at the 2,766 level, but gold is storming and not looking back right now.
When Gold has retraced a little, I would not be surprised if it is heading for the 4,000 level.
XAU/USD SELL SETUP 45_min chart analysisbreakdown of trade setup on XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) from the visible 45-min timeframe:
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breakdown of trade setup on XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) from the visible 45-min timeframe:
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Trade Setup Summary:
1. Entry Point:
$3,220.175
This is where the short position begins, as shown on the chart.
2. Stop Loss (SL):
$3,228.659
The red zone above the entry, clearly marked.
3. Take Profit 1 (TP1):
$3,118.495
This is the first green target zone. Price aims to react to the demand zone here.
4. Final Target (TP Final):
$3,067.800 - $3,060.000
This lower green zone is your ultimate target, around the extended demand level.
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Support & Resistance Zones (as shown):
Resistance:
$3,228 - $3,225 zone (supply zone where SL is placed)
Immediate Support:
$3,218 - $3,210 (minor structure level)
$3,118 - $3,102 (main demand zone, TP1)
$3,068 - $3,060 (final support zone, final TP)
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Trade Type:
Short/Sell position
You're aiming for a bearish move from the current supply zone down to deeper demand leveal
Trade Setup Summary:
1. Entry Point:
$3,220.175
This is where the short position begins, as shown on the chart.
2. Stop Loss (SL):
$3,228.659
The red zone above the entry, clearly marked.
3. Take Profit 1 (TP1):
$3,118.495
This is the first green target zone. Price aims to react to the demand zone here.
4. Final Target (TP Final):
$3,067.800 - $3,060.000
This lower green zone is your ultimate target, around the extended demand level.
---Please hit the like button and
Leave a comment to support for My Post!
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
Thank you.
Support & Resistance Zones (as shown):
Resistance:
$3,228 - $3,225 zone (supply zone where SL is placed)
Immediate Support:
$3,218 - $3,210 (minor structure level)
$3,118 - $3,102 (main demand zone, TP1)
$3,068 - $3,060 (final support zone, final TP)
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Trade Type:
Short/Sell position
You're aiming for a bearish move from the current supply zone down to deeper demand leveal
What Goes Up Must Come Down – Gold on the Edge?After a parabolic run to new highs, gold is flashing signs of exhaustion.
📌 Price is hugging the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart.
📌 RSI is in overbought territory (currently around 68.2) — similar to previous local tops.
📌 We're forming a steep, almost unsustainable channel — historically, these tend to break hard when they do.
If we see a break below $3,086 and lose that trendline, eyes shift to:
🔻 $2,932 — key support
🔻 $2,787 — prior breakout retest
🔻 $2,532 — long-term trendline support
Still bullish long-term, but short-term? A pullback might be healthy.
🛑 Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management.
Gold Faces Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
Gold has recently seen a strong rally, reaching an all-time high of $3167 per ounce. However, it encountered significant resistance at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, leading to a sharp pullback after the release of strong U.S. employment data, which boosted the dollar and exerted selling pressure on gold.
Currently, gold is trading around $3050, with key support levels at $2956, $2860, and $2790, which could act as potential bounce points if the decline continues.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After reaching the all-time high, the price has corrected lower. As it approaches the support levels mentioned above, the market may see fresh buying opportunities if these levels hold strong.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3100: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend.
$3167: All-time high. A breakout above this level would open the door for further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$2956: First support. The price may bounce at this level if it holds.
$2860: Major support. A failure to hold above this level could lead to further declines.
$2790: Strong support. A drop below this level would signal a shift in the market's direction.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches key support levels, there could be reversal patterns forming, indicating a potential price bounce. It’s crucial to monitor the price action at these levels to spot potential entry opportunities.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold manages to hold above $2956 and bounce, the uptrend may resume toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to maintain the key support levels, the correction could continue, with further declines toward lower support levels.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently testing crucial support levels. Monitoring how price behaves at these levels will be key to determining the next direction. Traders should keep an eye on any economic developments that may affect market sentiment.
💬 What’s your outlook for Gold? Will it continue its uptrend or experience further corrections? Share your thoughts below.
I know, gold bulls don't want to read this right now...I know, gold bulls don't want to read this right now...
But even during bull markets, gold had these corrections:
Dec 1974 to Aug 1976, drop over 48%.
Mar 2008 to Oct 2008, drop over 33%.
Aug 2020 to Sep 2022, drop over 22%.
Same setup now with price historically stretched.
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics
What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions?
In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing.
Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size.
🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk.
With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders.
With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods.
🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks.
🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk.
With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome.
That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital.
🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk.
With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak.
Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken.
The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot.
Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential "triple top" pattern in the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. US Dollar) market on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown of what's going on:
Triple Top Pattern: The three red arrows mark three peaks near the same level, signaling strong resistance around the 3,245–3,250 area.
Support Line: The purple line below the peaks indicates the support level that price has been bouncing off.
Breakdown: Price has broken below the support line, confirming the pattern.
Target/Take Profit: The green line at the bottom (around 3,200) is the expected take profit zone, which often equals the height of the pattern measured downward.
This suggests a bearish outlook in the short term, with a potential move down to around 3,200 if momentum continues.
Are you considering trading this setup or just analyzing?
Will gold rise or fall today?At the hourly gold line level, there were some negative news over the weekend. Today's opening gapped down to 3209, which was also the starting point of last Friday. Since the previous period was a strong trend, it is easy to fill the gap if it opens low first. It can continue to test the key channel upper track in the chart. Finally, it is in line with the prediction that 3245 will be in place as expected. Here, it is suggested to suppress and then look for a decline. Pay attention to the support above 3200 for buying on dips. The channel counter-pressure point moves up to 3247-3250. If it still cannot be suppressed here, it will fall back on highs and treat it as a high-level consolidation. If 3200 cannot be maintained, pay attention to the stabilization of the support near the daily average line of 3180-3150.
Gold Intraday Buy Setup from Key Support Zone| Targeting 3333 48This 15-minute chart for XAUUSD shows price reacting from a support zone after a bearish structure break. The market formed a bullish candle at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Key levels:
- Key Point: 3333 – a crucial resistance to break for bullish continuation.
- 1st Target: 3333 – aligning with the key point, a breakout here would confirm buyer strength.
- 2nd Target: 3348 – next major resistance level.
- All Time High zone is above this level, signaling a potential longer-term bullish push if broken.
The current price action suggests buyers may step in from this support, aiming first for 3333 and then possibly extending to 3348.
Based on the chart setup and price structure:
🟢 Buy Setup (From Support Zone):
- Entry: Around 3318–3315 (current price area)
- Stop Loss (SL): 3305 (just below the support zone to allow some buffer)
- Take Profits (TPs):
- TP1: 3333 (near key point resistance — secure partials here)
- TP2: 3348 (major resistance zone — potential full target)
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🔐 Risk Management Suggestion:
- Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:1 for TP1, ~2:1 for TP2
- Once TP1 is hit, consider moving SL to entry to secure the trade.
Gold has two winning streaks, how to trade in the short term?The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn gradually, and the strength of gold bulls has begun to weaken. Gold may continue to adjust in the short term. The 1-hour short-term double top structure of gold. Gold subsequently rebounded but did not continue to set a new high. Today, the rebound was under pressure at 3232 and began to fall back.Gold still has the opportunity to adjust, and gold will continue to watch the adjustment market in the short term.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3230, stop loss 3240, target 3200
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3304.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3283.9
My Stop Loss - 3314.6
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold hits new heights again, price correction may occurThe current consolidation fluctuations are completely in line with my previous predictions.
The market has hit new all-time highs again and there is a possibility of moving towards higher levels. The price has now hit the resistance area around 3320, which may mean the possibility of a correction in this area, creating long opportunities. The price has formed a sideways trend around 3220 points, which may be looking for a buy trade signal. In addition to these, there is an ascending trend line below the range, which previously served as both support and resistance. In view of the interest rate cut information released by the European Central Bank today, Quaid expects market volatility to increase. The expected target is the resistance area around 3390 points.
The market may continue to rise. On the chart, the price formed a strong positive line, which indicates the continuation of the upward trend. Currently, its price is retracing after hitting a new high. Some consolidation areas can be seen now, which play a supporting role in the bullish market. In addition, there is an ascending trend line, which has been broken many times before. I think that the retracement area of the previous volatility range may be a benign area to expect the continuation of the rise.
Quaid recommended:
Aggressive trades can be made by going long in the current consolidation area.
Smooth trading allows for part-time observation.
I hope this analysis can help you.
I am Quiad. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold bullish trend after breakoutThe price of GOLD violated a intraday resistance level and closed above it.
After retesting this level, the price bounced back and broke above the neckline of an ascending triangle pattern.
This suggests that there is a strong likelihood of the bullish trend continuing.
GOLDMASTER1| GOT TARGET HITTED ---
GOLD 15M SETUP – Target Smashed!
Price respected the Bearish Order Block, tapped into Sell-Side Liquidity, and melted straight into our Bullish OB target.
Total R:R: 1:2.3 – Clean execution with smart money precision.
Stay patient. Follow the plan. Let price do the work.
GOLDMASTER1---
Buy limit order plan for Gold on 4HGold is performing in assenting parallel channel on daily time frame as will as on 4H time frame. However there is a bearish divergence that indicates the price will go down and will continue the up trend after the correction.
A buy limit order can be setup on 4H time frame.
Entry : 3072.166
Stop Loss : 2954.231
TP1 : 3190.101
TP2 : 3308.036
Bulls Score : 2
Bears Score : 1
The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices.
Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.