GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Our original sell bias from $3,347 which I posted live for you all, is now running in deep profits! Market is now down & running 810 PIPS in profit in just 2 days.
We have broken structure to the downside, crossing below our previous 'Wave E' low, indicating & acting as stronger confluence that Gold will carry on down towards our $2,800 target. Huge profits en-route for us all in this free channel.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION) GOLD READY FOR BIG FLYINGHi Traders! Here is my G0ld Analysis for today (Bullish Analysis) Chart 27 June 2k25 please read it and send the comment in the comments section
Gold pivot point is 3287 and market continually working bearish parallel and bears hit all sell targets. now Gold market ready for the Retracement. If Gold market going more down side then its jump our support area. our Bullish 1st Target is 3300 and then its show us some sell Retracement then again it jumps on buy and Easily hit our next Target 3320. If Market going Further up side then its hit our Demand zone.
Pivot Point: (3287)
Bullish Analysis:
Bullish Targets Are:
Target 1: (3300)
Target 2: (3320)
Demand Zone: (3350)
Disclaimer: This is not a Financial advice. Trade at your own risk
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XAUUSD Holds to Decline as Weakness DollarXAUUSD GOLD Outlook – Gold Holds Firm Amid Dollar Weakness and Fed Uncertainty
Gold continues to trade steadily as the U.S. dollar weakens and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy intensifies. Market speculation is growing following hints that former U.S. President Donald Trump may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October.
This development could undermine current Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s influence, potentially shifting the monetary policy outlook. As a result, investor sentiment remains cautious, with many seeking refuge in gold amid the growing ambiguity in central bank direction.
A weaker dollar generally boosts demand for gold, and if speculation around Fed leadership continues, XAUUSD could remain supported or even rally further. Watch for upcoming Fed speeches and political announcements as key drivers.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance zone 3340 / 3345
Support Level 3315 / 3300
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,300$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
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GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3313.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3321.8
Safe Stop Loss - 3309.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 24th June 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on daily
- Looking for a break & retest on 4hr structure
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3370
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAU/USDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
XAUUSD; CONTINUATION HIGHERHello traders
XAUUSD has been very bullish recently and currently correcting to a strong resistance of @3315 which coincides with a 61.8 fib
we expect a bounce higher targeting previous highs of @3395
if the price drops lower than 3300 this idea will be irrelevant
GOOD LUCK
Excellent session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary:” My position: Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.“
I have firstly engaged many Scalping orders from #3,377.80 - #3,382.80 Scalp re-Buy zone towards #3,392.80 and closed all with Profit. Then late U.S. session delivered #3,352.80 benchmark test which I re-Bought in repetition and closed my Scalp orders on #3,358.80 - #62 belt. Also my Selling Swing projection was delivered (#3,327.80 test).
Technical analysis: Gold is taking strong Intra-day hits in form of Three Black Crows candlestick formation and most likely Selling sequence is not stopping here. The Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance cluster has rejected the Price-action twice already which gives a updated Targets with a potential extension towards #3,200.90 psychological benchmark if #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 Support zone gives away. Only if #3,352.80?mark breaks to the upside and market closes (especially Weekly (#1W) closing) above, I will contemplate Buying the market as at the moment / Hourly 1 chart’s reveals no clues nor configuration is not worth entering / only Sell orders both Scalp / Swing are suitable. I don't expect today’s session Fundamental reports to be relevant, as I await Support extension test (Selling on every local High’s) due ceasefire talks / deal.
My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a summary of your XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) trade setup on the 15-minute chart:
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📈 Trade Type: Buy
Entry: 3324
🎯 Take Profits (TP):
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3365
TP3: 3397
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
SL: 3293
---
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratios (Approximate):
Target Profit (Pips) Risk (Pips) RR Ratio
TP1 16 31 1:1.94
TP2 41 31 1:1.32
TP3 73 31 1:2.35
---
✅ Notes:
Trend Confirmation: Make sure there is bullish momentum (e.g., break of a recent high, bullish candlestick pattern, or moving average crossover).
News Risk: Check economic calendar (e.g., USD news, Fed meetings) to avoid volatility surprises.
Manage Position: Consider partial take-profit at each level and trail your stop loss accordingly.
Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Rate Cut Signal
I. How Did Bowman's Speech "Fuel" Gold's Rally?
Fed Governor Bowman dropped a key statement today: "If price growth stabilizes, I would support a July rate cut." This is like a gas station attendant telling a driver, "Prices will drop soon—fill up less for now." After fixating on inflation last year, her sudden pivot has markets convinced the Fed may finally "let off the gas."
Why is this bullish for gold? Think of it this way: When the Fed cuts rates, borrowing costs fall, and the dollar "goes on sale." Since gold is priced in dollars, a cheaper dollar makes gold more attractive. While markets aren’t fully convinced of a July cut (CME data shows only 8.3% probability), Bowman’s words as a Fed "insider" are like a supermarket’s pre-sale discount announcement—some will always stock up early.
II. Why Is Gold Acting Like It Hit the Brakes but Wants to Accelerate?
(1) Where Is the "Brake Pad" Support?
Gold prices have hit the brakes near $3,347 (June 20 low), and Bowman’s speech could trigger a rebound to $3,390—like hitting a speed bump then gradually accelerating. Technically, the $3,350-$3,370 range acts as "anti-skid lines" on the road—if this holds, gold may resume its upward drive.
(2) Where Is the "Speed Limit" Resistance?
The major roadblock ahead is $3,413 (June 16 high), like a highway speed limit sign. If Bowman’s remarks convince more investors of an impending rate cut, gold could break this limit to test $3,450 or higher. But beware: If Middle East tensions ease suddenly (e.g., Iran halts strait blockade threats), gold may "hit the brakes" and pull back.
(3) Is the Middle East "Gas Pedal" Still Depressed?
With Israel and Iran exchanging missile strikes (Iran launched a new round on June 19), it’s like a constant traffic accident on the road, driving investors into gold’s "safe haven." Current dynamics—potential Fed rate cuts (dollar discount) + Middle East conflict (hedge demand)—are jointly pressing gold’s "gas pedal," but market hesitation over whether the Fed will actually cut rates is causing volatility.
**Trading Strategy Recommendations:**
- **Long on Dips**: Buy near $3,350-$3,370 with stop-loss below $3,340, targeting $3,390 initially.
- **Breakout Play**: Add to positions above $3,413, with profit targets at $3,450 and $3,480.
- **Hedging Against False Moves**: Allocate 10% of position to inverse gold ETFs (e.g., GLL) if Middle East tensions suddenly defuse.
**Key Monitor Points**:
- Track real-time CME FedWatch Tool for rate cut probability shifts.
- Monitor Strait of Hormuz shipping updates via Bloomberg Maritime.
- Follow Fed Governor Bowman’s subsequent public remarks for policy clarity.
In this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and geopolitical risks, gold’s next move hinges on whether the "gas pedal" of rate cut expectations overrides the "brakes" of market skepticism. Maintain flexibility and align positions with confirmed breakouts rather than speculative narratives.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD buy@3360~3370
SL:3350
TP:3380~3390
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold Price Surges Then Pulls Back Amid Middle East Tensions
This morning, gold opened like it hit the "fast-forward" button. Tensions suddenly flared in the Middle East—after Iran threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the price surged above $3,990 at the opening. However, as Iran didn’t immediately enforce the blockade and Israel launched counterattacks, markets judged the conflict might not spiral out of control immediately. Gold prices then gradually retreated, now hovering around $3,360—about $30 below the morning’s peak.
From a price trend perspective, $3,350 is a critical support level, like a wall propping up the market. As long as the price doesn’t break below this "wall," it indicates strong buying support below, leaving gold poised for a rebound. Technically, the price action also shows signs of bottoming out, serving as a bullish signal for long positions.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD buy@3350~3360
SL:3340
TP:3370~3380
After the support at 3,340 for gold, a rebound may be expected.The gold price rebounded after falling from the all-time high of 3,500 to 3,120. It opened at 3,433 last week, dipped to the low of 3,340 before rebounding to close at 3,368. The weekly candlestick was bearish but held above the 5-week moving average. The daily chart shows a doji star with a bearish alignment, yet it maintained the support of the middle Bollinger Band. The 4-hour chart remains within the upward channel, with the support near 3,340 proving effective, indicating short-term signs of stabilizing. This morning, it gapped up to 3,398 and then slightly corrected. The market's safe-haven position replenishment demand supports the gold price. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on going long on pullbacks.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3350-3360
TP:3390-3395
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 23th June 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Notes:
- Geopolitical tension escalated
- Price gapped up on market open
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3430
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412
Market next move 🔍 Disrupting the Original Bullish Bias
The original analysis assumes a bullish reversal from the support zone aiming for a resistance target near $3,360. However, let’s challenge that with an alternate (bearish or neutral) perspective:
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⚠️ 1. Support May Not Hold
Price has tested the support zone multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
Repeated testing weakens support levels; a breakdown below $3,280 could trigger panic selling or stop-loss hunts, accelerating the drop.
---
📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Dominant
The overall trend is downward, with lower highs and lower lows.
The current bounce could be a dead cat bounce — a short-lived recovery before another drop.
---
📊 3. Volume Analysis
There's no significant bullish volume spike at the support, which weakens the bullish thesis.
This suggests lack of strong buying interest, a red flag for bullish continuation.
---
🔄 4. Resistance May Hold Strong
The resistance area around $3,360 has shown previous strong rejections.
Even if price rises, it could stall or reverse before reaching the target.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Pullback Setup Before Breakout? – JUNE 26, 2025🟡 GOLD PRICE OUTLOOK – June 26, 2025
Bias: Bullish | Looking for long entry on pullback
📊 Technical Overview :
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to build a bullish market structure, forming consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price is currently moving within a rising wedge, approaching a short-term resistance zone.
🔴 Sell Zone (Resistance) : 3359 – 3373
– Rising wedge top + upper trendline
– Fakeout trap possible near 3379.26
🟢 Buy Zone (Support) : 3294 – 3300
– Strong confluence zone
– Matches previous structure support + trendline
– Ideal for HL formation and long setup
🌍 Fundamentals & Macro Drivers :
💵 USD Weakness:
• DXY near 3.5-year low after Powell replacement rumors
• Boosting gold's upside momentum
☢ Geopolitical Risk:
• Iran–Israel ceasefire in place, but fragile
• Safe-haven demand still supportive
🏦 Central Bank Demand:
• 20% of global gold demand from central banks
• China 🇨🇳 & India 🇮🇳 are major buyers
📅 Upcoming Catalysts:
• US PCE Inflation & GDP due tomorrow
→ Weak data = Potential breakout above 3370+
📌 Trade Plan :
✔ Watch for rejection at 3359–3373
✔ Long setup if price retests 3294–3300
🎯 Target = 3370+
❌ Invalidation = Daily close below 3280
📈 Summary :
Gold remains structurally bullish, supported by weak USD, central bank demand, and macro risks.
Waiting for a healthy pullback into demand for long continuation setups.
USD under pressure ahead of PCE—gold holds $3,300The euro has reached its highest level since October 2021, driven in part by commitments from European leaders to increase NATO defence spending.
The swing factor for the euro dollar in the shorter term is the possibility of US rate cuts. Critical for this will be US inflation data, starting with tomorrow's PCE report. If tariffs fail to significantly lift inflation, the case for a July rate cut strengthens—adding further pressure on the dollar.
That weakness is also supporting gold. XAUUSD is above $3,300. Recent price action has formed a potential symmetrical triangle on the daily chart—a structure that can precede a breakout. A move above $3,400 could signal renewed bullish momentum.