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Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bullish trend with price making higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Strong bullish momentum, MACD line above the signal line. • RSI (71.53): Overbought zone but no divergence, indicating strong bullish momentum. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Trend: Bullish with higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Positive but showing signs of slowing momentum. • RSI (64.04): Neutral to slightly overbought, room for further upside. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Trend: Recent pullback followed by a bullish continuation. • MACD: Slight bullish crossover. • RSI (76.04): Overbought, indicating potential for minor pullback but still bullish. Fundamental Analysis: • Gold drivers: • Market sentiment remains bullish on gold, possibly due to inflation concerns, safe-haven demand, or weakening USD. • Without major negative catalysts, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Trade Setup: Given the strong bullish trend on the daily and the bullish continuation on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability. • Position: Long (Buy) XAUUSD • Entry: 2935.00 (Wait for a slight pullback from current levels for better RRR) • Stop Loss (SL): 2920.00 (Below recent support on M15 and psychological level) • Take Profit (TP): 2965.00 (Recent psychological resistance and aligns with 2:1 RRR) • Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
XAUUSD H1: Wyckoff with chart!Update for you guys from Wyckoff's perspective in Elliott wave, the price has reached 2946 as updated for you guys yesterday. Currently TPO is still in an uptrend, but when reading through the Elliott wave structure, UTAD is predicted at 2946, because when this level is reached, the new ATH price is also 5 psychological waves formed, so the possibility of "TRAP" is very high or can be understood according to Wyckoff as a UT phase or Up Thust Action, in case of sustainable increase, it is necessary to observe the test point, otherwise today it is easy to reverse at 2946, and I only trade when there is a certain confirmation, so today I will take precautions to warn you guys to pay attention, if there is an entry signal, I will notify you!.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by xauusd_rr
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 2950.00 Sell Entry below 2870.00 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors. 🚩Fundamental Analysis Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets. Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold. Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence. 🚩Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence. Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials. 🚩COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 70% Open Interest: 250,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 20% Open Interest: 120,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 10% Open Interest: 25,000 contracts COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend) 🚩Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish. Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish. Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65. 🚩Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00. Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target) Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high) Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00) 🚩Overall Outlook The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) Market Update – Feb 18, 2025🔥 XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) Market Update – Feb 18, 2025 🔥 📌 Market Context – Review of Yesterday & Asia Session Movement 📍 Current Price: $2,913.82 📍 Session Overview: • Asia Session (Today): Price tested $2,915.56 but failed to break higher. • Yesterday’s Key Levels Still in Play: • Major Resistance: $2,906 - $2,915.56 (Liquidity Grab Zone – Smart Money Decision Area) • Major Support: $2,891 - $2,888 (Institutional Buy Zone – Needs to Hold for Bullish Continuation) • Volume Profile Analysis: • Declining Volume Across Timeframes (30m, 90m, 6H, 1D) → Market Waiting for Catalyst. • Spread Increasing (Asia) → Institutions Testing Liquidity. 📌 XAUMO Interpretation from Asia Session: ✅ Price failed to hold above $2,915.56 – Possible rejection setup. ✅ Volume lower than previous session – No strong institutional buying yet. ✅ Still above key support ($2,891 - $2,888) – Buyers need to defend for upside continuation. 📊 XAUMO Market Outlook – London, Pre-NYC & NYC Sessions 🔹 London Session (Upcoming): Consolidation or Rejection? • Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (If $2,891 Support Holds & Volume Increases) • Reclaiming $2,915.56 with Strong Volume → Target $2,920 - $2,926. • VWAP Pivot (London Session) Will Be Key – If Price Stays Above, Expect Bullish Move. • Scenario 2: Fake Breakout & Rejection (If $2,915.56 Remains a Liquidity Trap) • Failure at $2,915.56 → Price Will Test $2,900 & Possibly $2,891 Again. • London Open Liquidity Grab Possible – Watch for Stop Hunts. 📌 XAUMO London Strategy: ✅ First 30 minutes of London session will confirm direction. ✅ Look for Fakeout Above $2,915.56 OR a Hard Rejection Below $2,900. 🔹 Pre-NYC Session (Liquidity Building for the Main Move) • Scenario 1: If London Session Closes Above $2,915.56 → Expect Continuation Toward $2,926 - $2,930. • Scenario 2: If London Session Closes Below $2,900 → Expect Institutional Sell-Off Toward $2,891 - $2,888. • Watch for VWAP Rejections – If Price Stays Below VWAP, Expect Downside Move. 📌 XAUMO Pre-NYC Strategy: ✅ If price stabilizes above VWAP, we could see NY momentum push toward $2,920+. ✅ If VWAP flips bearish, Smart Money may flush price down before buying lower. 🔹 NYC Session (High Volatility Expected – Major Directional Move Likely) • Scenario 1: Bullish NYC Breakout (If Price Holds $2,900 & Reclaims $2,915.56) • Strong volume push → Target $2,926 - $2,932. • Needs Economic Data Confirmation. • Scenario 2: NYC Session Liquidity Grab & Reversal • Smart Money Fakes Bullish Move, Then Dumps Below $2,900 → Target $2,891 - $2,888. • This Would Set Up a Stop Hunt Before a Real Move. 📌 XAUMO NYC Strategy: ✅ Wait for First 30-60 Minutes of NYC to Confirm Direction. ✅ Watch Economic Data Releases – If Gold Spikes Fast, Expect a Trap Move. 📌 Key Economic News to Watch (Feb 18, 2025) ✅ UK CPI Data (London Session) – Inflation Impact on Risk Sentiment. ✅ US Retail Sales (Pre-NYC) – Will Impact USD Strength & Gold Reaction. ✅ US PPI & Fed Speakers (NYC Session) – High Impact Events for Gold. ========= 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) – Full Scenario Breakdown for Feb 18, 2025 🔥 📌 Market Context – Where We Stand Now 📍 Current Price: $2,913.82 📍 Key Resistance Zone: $2,915.56 - $2,926 (Institutional Sell Area, Smart Money Trap Zone) 📍 Key Support Zone: $2,900 - $2,888 (Liquidity Pool, Institutional Buy Zone) 📍 Major Volume Profile Observations: • Declining Volume → Market Waiting for Catalyst. • Wide Spread but No Follow-Through → Institutions Absorbing. 📊 XAUMO Full Scenario Breakdown – No Leftovers 1️⃣ Scenario: Bullish Breakout Above $2,915.56 → Continuation to $2,926 - $2,942 🚀 ✅ Trigger: If price holds above $2,915.56 with strong volume. ✅ Confirmation: High momentum with large institutional buy orders. ✅ Invalidation: If price breaks back below $2,910 after breakout. 🎯 Targets: $2,920 → $2,926 → $2,932 → $2,942. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Buy above $2,916, stop below $2,910, target $2,926+. • If price stalls at $2,926, expect a pullback before continuation. 2️⃣ Scenario: Fake Breakout Above $2,915.56 → Rejection Back Below $2,900 ⚠️ ✅ Trigger: If price spikes above $2,915.56 but fails to hold (wick rejection). ✅ Confirmation: Large volume spike but no sustained move. ✅ Invalidation: If price holds above $2,918 and doesn’t retrace. 🎯 Targets: $2,905 → $2,900 → $2,892 → $2,888. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Sell at $2,915 - $2,918 rejection, stop above $2,926, target $2,900 - $2,892. • If NYC session confirms weakness, hold for a deeper flush. 3️⃣ Scenario: Bullish Support Test at $2,900 → Bounce to $2,915.56 & Higher 📈 ✅ Trigger: If price tests $2,900 - $2,891 and holds with absorption. ✅ Confirmation: Higher lows form, volume increases, and price reclaims VWAP. ✅ Invalidation: If price breaks below $2,888 with strong selling pressure. 🎯 Targets: $2,910 → $2,915 → $2,926. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Buy above $2,900 - $2,892, stop below $2,888, target $2,915+. • If price stays above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens. 4️⃣ Scenario: Full Breakdown Below $2,900 → Sell-Off to $2,878 - $2,863 📉 ✅ Trigger: If price breaks below $2,900 with strong volume and fails to recover. ✅ Confirmation: Lower highs form, aggressive sell orders appear. ✅ Invalidation: If price quickly reclaims $2,905 - $2,910 after breaking down. 🎯 Targets: $2,891 → $2,888 → $2,878 → $2,863. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Sell on breakdown below $2,900, stop at $2,910, target $2,878 - $2,863. • If NYC session accelerates, extended downside possible. 5️⃣ Scenario: NYC Manipulation – Liquidity Grab Before Big Move 🏦 ✅ Trigger: If price violently sweeps $2,915 or $2,888 before reversing. ✅ Confirmation: Volume surge on stop-hunt followed by a strong reversal. ✅ Invalidation: If price trends steadily without major wicks. 🎯 Targets: Whichever direction institutions confirm post-sweep. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Stay out until Smart Money reveals true direction. • If NYC fakes a move, enter in the opposite direction after confirmation. ========= 📌 XAUMO Fundamental Interpretation: • Stronger-than-expected Retail Sales → USD Strengthens → Gold Drops. • Weak CPI or Fed Dovish Tone → USD Weakens → Gold Breaks $2,915 & Rallies Higher. 📢 XAUMO Final Execution Plan – How to Trade Today? 📈 Bullish Play (If $2,900 Holds & Price Breaks $2,915.56 with Volume) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,916 📍 Stop Loss: $2,906 (Below Institutional Liquidity Zone) 🎯 Take Profit: $2,926 → $2,932 → $2,942 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • London/NYC Momentum Could Push Gold Higher if USD Weakens. • Breakout Above $2,915.56 Triggers New Institutional Buys. 📉 Bearish Play (If Price Rejected at $2,915.56 & Breaks Below $2,900) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,900 📍 Stop Loss: $2,915.56 (Above Resistance – Bullish Invalidator.) 🎯 Take Profit: $2,892 → $2,888 → $2,878 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • If price can’t hold $2,900, we’ll see a liquidity flush toward $2,891 - $2,888. • Strong USD from Economic Data Could Send Gold Lower. =============== 🔥 XAUMO Final Execution Strategy – No Guessing, Just Liquidity Tracking ✅ London Session: Sets the bias – Watch $2,915.56 and $2,900 for early clues. ✅ Pre-NYC: Positioning phase – Expect choppy moves before big liquidity grab. ✅ NYC Open: The real move – Let price confirm before jumping in. 📌 Best Trades Today: 🔹 Buy Above $2,916 → Target $2,926 - $2,932. 🔹 Sell Below $2,900 → Target $2,888 - $2,878. 🔹 Wait for a Stop-Hunt → Enter Opposite Side After Confirmation. 📢 XAUMO Final Notes – Stay Smart, Don’t Chase! ✅ London Will Set the Tone – Watch VWAP & Resistance Reactions. ✅ NYC News Data Will Bring Volatility – Be Patient for Confirmation. ✅ Smart Money Will Trap Traders – Wait for Institutional Moves!
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE.This chart represents a gold (XAU/USD) price analysis on the 1-hour timeframe using Elliott Wave Theory. Here's what it suggests: Key Observations: 1. Elliott Wave Pattern The chart marks a five-wave impulse pattern (1-5) followed by corrections (A-B-C). Two strong upward impulsive waves are highlighted in blue channels. Red circles indicate previous wave 5 peaks, followed by strong reversals. 2. Resistance & Reversal Expectation The price is approaching a key resistance level at $2,955 (blue line). Historically, after touching similar zones, price reversed sharply. The black arrow suggests a potential rejection from resistance, leading to a drop below $2,900. Conclusion: If price reaches $2,955 and fails to break higher, a bearish move is expected. Traders may look for sell opportunities if confirmation signs (e.g., rejections, bearish candles) appear. Let me know if you want a more detailed breakdown!
TVC:GOLDShort
by DavidHills110
XAU/USD Weekly Roadmap: Key Levels & Trade Setups for Next Move!🔻 XAU/USD Bearish Setup – Double Top Rejection! 📉 🔹 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 2H Chart Analysis 📊 Current Price: $2,936 🎯 Target 1: $2,920 🎯 Target 2: $2,907 🛑 Stop Loss: Above $2,950 📌 Key Insights: ❌ Double Top Formation: Price has rejected a key resistance zone twice, indicating a strong bearish signal. A potential lower high has formed, reinforcing downside pressure. 📉 Bearish Momentum & Liquidity Zones: Price is targeting key liquidity pools below recent swing lows. The break of structure (BoS) confirms sellers are in control. 🚨 Risk Management: A breakout above $2,950 could invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a possible bullish continuation. If the pattern holds, Gold could drop to $2,920 - $2,907 in the coming sessions. 📢 Are you shorting XAU/USD? Let me know in the comments! 👇👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #DoubleTop 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
XAUUSD: short or buy? How do you choose!There is no major news that has impacted the market, and the three-party talks have not ended yet, so potential uncertainties still exist. This makes the current traders face a choice, whether to go long or short? After all, it is related to the growth and decrease of the balance. From the technical point of view, there are signs of retracement. From the SMA, the momentum is not strong and relatively weak. On the contrary, the price continues to run in the range of SMA20-SMA50, which shows that the bulls are still relatively strong compared to the bears. The short-term support conversion point 2930 needs to be paid attention to. As the watershed between buying and selling. Comprehensive trading plan: At present, the price is still trading sideways at a high level. The uncertainty of the news has added some mysterious power to the bulls. Jack believes that the short-term trend of XAUUSD will still rise again after testing the support at a low level, so going long is the first choice. 2928 is a stable buying position. Aggressive friends can choose to buy in advance at 2930-2933. Add a buy order again after XAUUSD falls back. The target position is set at 2945-2950. The increase range is about 12P-22P. The stop loss position is set at 2920. Remember to set a take profit and stop loss in the transaction. Trading is not a one-time transaction, but more like a long-term career in balanced development. So don't let yourself take greater risks. Be sure to pay attention to this issue. ⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠ Remember to like it after reading it. Everyone is welcome to leave your comments in the comment section. Do you support long or short positions?
TVC:GOLDLong
by JAKE_T0
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments. Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement. Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates. Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory. Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938 Support levels: 2905 and 2893 The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward. A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over. Conclusion Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0