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XAU/USD Pullback or Reversal? Key Support Zone in Focus!📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Feb 16, 2025 🔹 Current Price: $2,882.48 (-1.57%) 🔻 Recent High: $2,939.98 🔻 Recent Low: $2,877.03 🔴 200 EMA: $2,562.04 (Long-term support) 🧐 Key Observations: ✅ Strong Uptrend: Price has been in a bullish trend since late 2024. ✅ Support Zone: A key demand zone around $2,850 - $2,870 (highlighted in blue). ✅ Trendline Retest: The price is testing the trendline, which could act as support. 📉 Possible Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Case: If buyers step in at the support zone, we could see a bounce towards $2,950 - $3,000 🚀. 🔹 Bearish Case: A breakdown below $2,850 may trigger a deeper pullback to $2,800 - $2,750 ❄️. 🎯 Trading Plan: 📌 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., reversal candles) in the support zone before entering long. 📌 Sell Setup: If the price closes below $2,850, short positions could be considered with targets near $2,750. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Despite today’s pullback, gold remains bullish unless key support levels break. Watching price action around the blue zone will be crucial! 📢 Traders, what’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking down? Let’s discuss! 👇💬 #Gold #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Well, what can we say, it didn't quite go to plan but once the level broke and the red boxes came into play, wow did we complete some targets! We wanted this to come down ideally, then get that long trade for the bigger capture into that target level 2902 which we were expecting later in the week. Gold however had another plan! Anyhow, we still managed to get some decent trades so all is not lost. Now that the 2900 level is open, we could see some ranging towards the end of the session with the resistance level 2910 needing to break to go into the 2925 region, while the support level of 2890 is decent for a pullback, but must hold us up. 2890 to 2903 potential play. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2875 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2845 and below that 2835 Bullish on break of 2875 with targets above 2890✅, 2897✅, 2899✅ and above that 2902✅ RED BOXES: Break below 2850 for 2847, 2844, 2839, 2835 and 2826 in extension of the move Break above 2860 for 2865✅, 2872✅, 2874✅, 2890✅ and 2902✅ in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
18
GOLD The Week AheadThe GOLD (XAUUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. . The key trading level is at 2860 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the2860 level could target the upside resistance at 2907 followed by the 29350 and 2955 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2860support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2840 support level followed by 2800. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
GOLD STILL IN UPTREND ??? Hello Traders I hope this week was successful for all of you . From 8 of January the Gold keep strong uptrend . My weekly forecast for XAUUSD for this week , the price will bounce on 0,618 level of Fibonacci up to Resistance zone of uptrend canal . Then the price will correct to any specific level up to support . I truly believe the price will break the support once the value break first higher than 3000 . If this post was helpful for you , please leave your comments and like . Thank you very much and I wish you safe trades .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PD-financial-advisor
2
Scalp the 1s and swing to the Daily - LIVE Trading - GOLD +75RTaking advantage of the fractal nature of the markets by scalping my Momentum Theory mechanical setups on the 1 second chart and holding them to Daily levels. This is a New York session trade taken LIVE and shows my thought process every step of the way. I didn't take any losses on this one, but I usually would expect 2-3 losses before hitting the right entry. Because of this, whenever I'm scalping the seconds charts I risk very small (0.03% per position) and size in to the trade at specific intervals as it continues in my direction. In my opinion, it's really important to hold these types of trades for longer durations than traditional scalping. Traditional scalping advice is to aim for 1 - 2R, hold for a short duration, and aim for a high winrate. I pretty much recommend the exact opposite advice. Banking in 75R on this trade basically means I can lose the next 75 trades I take and still be at BE. If you follow my mechanical style of trading, you know there's a higher chance of me hitting another 75R trade than losing 75 in a row. When I string a few of these in a row, trading becomes completely emotion-free and a purely process-driven endeavor. On to the next!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nohypetrader
Overall Market Structure XAUUSD1. Overall Market Structure The market is currently in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. A retracement is occurring around the $2900 - $2927 zone, which could be a Liquidity Grab before the next move. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: $2927 - $2942 (Key Fibonacci 0.236 - 0.0 level), which has already triggered a reaction from sellers. Support Zones: $2870 - $2890 (Fibonacci 0.786) – A critical area where buyers may step in. $2779 (Support from the previous week) – If a deeper correction occurs, this could act as a liquidity area for long positions. 3. Liquidity & Key RTM Zones Liquidity was grabbed above $2942, indicating potential sell-side orders. A retracement towards $2890 - $2902 (important FLIP zone) could determine the next direction. Smart Money might manipulate price around these levels to trap retail traders before a strong move. 4. Possible Scenarios for Next Week Bullish Scenario: If price holds above $2890 - $2902, we could see a push towards $2942 - $2960. A breakout above $2942 could extend the bullish rally to $3000 and beyond. Bearish (Deeper Retracement) Scenario: If $2890 support fails, the price could drop to $2779 - $2760, where buyers might step in. 5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy 📌 If $2890 - $2902 holds as support, expect further upside momentum. 📌 If this support breaks, a deeper retracement to $2779 - $2760 is possible. 📌 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation signals before entering a trade. ❗ Recommendation: Monitor price reaction at $2890 before making trading decisions. If buyers defend this level, long positions could be favorable.
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by hesamdrgym
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
100% ProfitableAggressive: short at 11.5, short at 18-24, stop loss: 7 points for each, or 27. Target: 96-82, continue to reduce holdings if it breaks; ◆Long order◆ Aggressive: long at 78.5, long at 72-66, stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or unified stop loss at 62. Target: Continue to reduce the position after breaking through 92-98-06; Target: 92-98-06 breaks the position and continues to reduce the price; Gold still has not shown a good downward trend as we analyzed in the morning. Don’t chase short positions until they are in place; Intraday strategy ideas: Today is Monday, we will consume the weekend news, prevent extreme market conditions, and strictly control positions; most orders have been taken out of the market at present, and continue to short after the European session. The 05 short position should be guaranteed. After the principal is guaranteed, you can enter the short position between 06-08. After the position is broken, just enter the market according to the strategy. Set a stop loss and wait patiently;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Gold Teeters on the Edge: 2942 Retest Before the Big Leap!XAU/USD: Gold Eyes New Highs as Market Dynamics Align for Further Upside Gold (XAU/USD) is once again testing its all-time high (ATH), a critical technical level that historically increases the probability of continued upward momentum. With the psychological 3000 level gradually coming into focus, the market remains on edge, closely monitoring key economic data and geopolitical developments that could fuel the next leg higher. Current Market Conditions & Fundamental Drivers Gold’s latest consolidation phase follows an impressive rally, maintaining its long-term uptrend while digesting recent gains. The metal remains well-supported by a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors that continue to favor bullish sentiment: Trump’s Tariff Plans: Former U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his stance on imposing tariffs if re-elected, a policy move that historically strengthens gold as investors hedge against trade uncertainty and inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Shift: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to initiate rate cuts remain elevated. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at the necessity of monetary easing, he has refrained from providing a specific timeline. This uncertainty has kept the dollar under pressure, indirectly benefiting gold. Weakening Dollar & Falling Bond Yields: Recent Producer Price Index (PPI) data reinforced a dovish sentiment, signaling softening inflationary pressures. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields have reacted accordingly, weakening in response and creating a more favorable environment for non-yielding assets like gold. Markets have also digested the delay in tariff implementations and mixed messages from policymakers. While the rhetoric from Powell and Trump suggests a growing consensus on the need for lower interest rates, the lack of concrete action leaves room for speculation-driven volatility. Technical Landscape: Key Levels & Price Structure Gold is currently consolidating just below its ATH, with a delicate balance between profit-taking and renewed buying pressure. The key technical levels to watch include: Resistance Levels: $2942.6 – The immediate barrier gold needs to clear to confirm a breakout. $2950 – A psychological and technical level that, if breached, could accelerate bullish momentum toward the much-anticipated 3000 mark. Support Levels: $2929 – A critical short-term support zone that has previously acted as a springboard for renewed buying interest. $2922 – A deeper support level where buyers may step in to defend the uptrend. $2908 – A major pivot point; a break below this level could signal a temporary shift in momentum. Potential Scenarios & Market Outlook Direct ATH Retest & Breakout If gold manages to sustain its momentum and push past $2942-$2950, a test of ATH will be imminent. A decisive breakout above this level could open the doors for a rapid move toward $2975 and beyond, with $3000 becoming a realistic short-term target. Support Retest Before Further Upside Should gold fail to break above immediate resistance, a pullback toward $2929-$2922 remains a plausible scenario. This retracement would likely serve as a healthy correction, providing stronger support for the next leg higher. Deeper Correction Toward $2908 While less likely in the absence of a major catalyst, a sharper decline could see gold testing $2908. Such a move would challenge the uptrend in the short term but might present an attractive buying opportunity for long-term bulls. Market Catalysts Ahead: U.S. Retail Sales Data The upcoming U.S. retail sales report is poised to be a key market-moving event. Strong consumer spending data could momentarily boost the dollar, exerting short-term pressure on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected retail numbers would reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, adding fuel to gold’s bullish narrative. Final Thoughts: Bullish Momentum Intact, Eyes on ATH Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with macroeconomic factors and technical signals aligning in favor of further gains. While a support retest is possible before another rally, the overall trajectory remains bullish, with the 3000 milestone inching closer. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on resistance levels and upcoming economic data, as they could dictate the next major move in gold’s journey toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
GOLD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis. Steps to follow: Analyze yourself. Take the position with SL and Take Profits. Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :) Get the result. I will update the trade every day. Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger! Good trades, Traders! The golden bear
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by thegoldenbear
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart – High-Impact Professional AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart – High-Impact Professional Analysis 🚀 Top-Tier Trade Setup – Precision & Profitability 🚀 🔹 Market Structure & Key Levels: ✔ Current Price: 2,898.477 ✔ Major Resistance: 2,925 - 2,930 (Critical breakout zone) ✔ Strong Support: 2,875 (High-reliability demand zone) 🔹 Professional Trading Strategy: 🔸 Breakout Confirmation: A clean bullish close above resistance signals a strong uptrend. 🔸 Entry Trigger: Buy upon breakout confirmation above 2,930 with momentum. 🔸 Take Profit Target: 2,973 – A strategic level based on market dynamics. 🔸 Risk Management: Stop-loss placed below the breakout zone to ensure controlled risk. 🔥 Why This Chart Stands Out? 🔥 ✅ High-Quality Setup: Based on precision technical analysis. ✅ Smart Money Insights: Aligned with institutional trading logic. ✅ Trending Market Move: Perfect for traders looking for high-probability opportunities. 💥 Get Ready! If this breakout happens, GOLD could make a big move! 🚀 📢 Make sure to follow this analysis for updates and let’s dominate the charts! 📢
TVC:GOLDLong
by Martin_Schwartz