AMZN Testing Key Support After Rally – Gamma Zone Ahead! 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Overview
Current Price Zone: ~$200.20
* AMZN made a Break of Structure (BOS) near $206 before rejecting from a key supply zone.
* Currently retracing into a rising channel support line and near previous CHoCH retest zone.
* The price is still inside a bullish structure — watching for reversal confirmation near $198–195.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram flattening — suggests weakening momentum to the downside.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curl up — possible bounce setup.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 195 → HVL + psychological round level + trendline support.
* 190 → Strong PUT support zone via GEX.
* 189.38 → Recent swing low – must hold for bulls to remain in control.
Resistance:
* 206–208 → Supply zone + previous BOS level.
* 210 → Gamma wall (Highest positive NetGEX)
* 220 → 3rd CALL Wall (far extension)
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 — Moderately Bullish
* IVR: 33.6
* IVx avg: 35.4 → Options are fairly priced, no volatility extremes
* CALL$%: 2.4% (weak call flow but dealers not aggressively hedging short)
* Key Gamma Wall: 210
* PUT Support: 190
* HVL Cluster: 195 (May expiry, pivotal)
📌 GEX suggests gamma compression between 195–206, with breakout potential above or breakdown if 190 fails.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 195 or Trendline
* If AMZN holds the rising channel and HVL zone around 195, reversal likely toward 206.
* Entry: Above 200 reclaim with volume
* Target 1: 204
* Target 2: 206
* Target 3: 210 (Gamma wall)
* Stop-Loss: Below 194.50
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $205 Calls
* OR Debit Call Spread: Buy $200 / Sell $210 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 195
* Break below channel support and HVL may trigger a flush to 190.
* Entry: Break of 194
* Target 1: 190
* Target 2: 185
* Stop-Loss: Above 197
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $190 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $195 / Sell $185
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 195 holds.
* Gamma and SMC zones align for a bounce setup.
* If price fails to hold trendline near 195, bearish momentum may escalate toward 190 PUT Wall.
🎯 Key Watch: Reaction near $195 is everything today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk.