Amazon is about seem summer growth shoots againWhy? Because my crystal TA balls say so.
Seriously though, here is my reasoning, given the indicator momentum
Price Action & Trend Analysis
• The stock is currently at $222.42, down -1.86%.
• The price recently broke down from a local high near $244 and is in a downtrend.
• Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) labels indicate trend shifts.
• A weak resistance zone around $244 suggests prior buying exhaustion.
• A demand/support zone appears near $218, with previous price reactions in this range.
Momentum Indicators (Lower Panel)
• The stochastic-based oscillator in the lower panel shows oversold conditions (~below 20 level).
• Previous rebounds occurred at similar oversold levels, suggesting a potential bounce.
• Multiple purple downward arrows (sell pressure) have recently printed, aligning with declining momentum.
Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days)
• Bullish Case: If support at $218-$220 holds, a relief bounce could push prices towards $226-$230 (~50% retracement of the drop).
• Bearish Case: A break below $218 could accelerate downside momentum towards $210-$212.
Now - let’s talk Probabilities:
• Bounce towards $226-$230: ~60% if support holds. This is the more prevailing wind in my view.
• Further drop to $210-$212: ~40% if selling is strong.
Summary & Trading Plan
• Short-term traders: Watch $218-$220 support for a bounce trade to $226-$230.
• Swing traders: A breakout above $230 strengthens a bullish case towards $240+.
• Risk Management: A clear break below $218 suggests a potential breakdown towards $210-$212.
