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Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model. DeepSeek. What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now? DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions). That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology. Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings. DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data. The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow. Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans? Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion. The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise? Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ? Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%. Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply. Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
15
THE BATTLE FOR AI SUPREMACY....WHO WILL WIN???Chinese artificial intelligence model called DeepSeek sparked a selloff in Al related shares, with megacap stocks including Nvidia which has been hit the most. The DeepSeek has launched a free assistant that uses cheaper chips and less data.This move seems to challenge the common belief in financial market that AI will boost demand for everything from chipmakers to data centres. As this startup threatens the dominance of US AI companies the market has sharply declined making a major sell off across other assets. L On the technical side, Nvidia has been trading in a rise channel which has broken further confirming a sell. COULD WE SEE IT SELL FURTHER DOWN PAST $70??? MHHH WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ? CAN US AI BEAT THE DeepSeeK?
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ForxTay
8
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17%Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17% The start of 2025 appeared favourable for Nvidia (NVDA) shares from a fundamental perspective: → On 6 January, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivered a keynote at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES). → On 22 January, the company's stock prices rose following President Trump's Stargate project announcement. However, news from China triggered a sharp decline, with Nvidia's stock price plunging approximately 17% yesterday, as shown on the Nvidia (NVDA) chart. According to Reuters, last week the Chinese startup DeepSeek launched a free AI assistant requiring minimal resources. By Monday, the assistant had surpassed its American rival, ChatGPT, in downloads from Apple’s App Store. CNN reports that the R1 model is both powerful and significantly cheaper than AI technologies from OpenAI, Google, or Meta. DeepSeek claimed to have spent just $5.6 million on its base model, compared to the hundreds of millions or billions invested by American companies in their AI technologies. This may have led market participants to conclude that the AI industry requires fewer Nvidia chips than previously thought, prompting a sell-off of Nvidia shares. This decline also impacted other companies in the sector, with sharp drops in Oracle (ORCL), Broadcom (AVGO), and others. As a result, Nvidia lost its title as "the world's most valuable company" to Apple, and its CEO saw his fortune decrease by 20%. Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that: → The upward channel (marked in blue), formed by price fluctuations throughout 2024, has been broken, as the price fell well below its lower boundary. → The psychological resistance level of $150, previously highlighted in our analyses (most recently on 6 January), held firm despite numerous challenges. → The sharp drop, accompanied by a bearish gap between $142 and $128, can be interpreted as a market structure shift (MSS). This development may lead to reduced investor interest in the AI sector, with NVDA stock likely to continue its decline within a downward channel. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
3
"Seriously Poof" A-I Balloon I had written here previously that Nvidia could ultimately bring down the US stock market. If you were watching Sunday evening football last night, you were potentially shocked when the US stock market opened this morning. News this weekend that Chinese start up Deep Seek has developed and produced A-I discounted chips, to glowing tech reviews this weekend sent NVDA down in a crash mode on Monday down 17 % and dropping losing billions of dollar valuation in a single trading day. What large institutional venture start up would now wish to pour billions of dollars into Nvidea's A-1 chips, when the same task result can be achieved at a fraction of the cost. The technical chart of Nvidia breakaway gap down today says it all. It is "thin air" down to 100.... " Seriously Poof" THE_ UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by The_Unwind
2
NVIDIA POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area. Based on Daily AND 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible SELLING OPPORTUNITY. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by WiLLProsperForex
5
NVDA's Historical Bounce Data - This Is The Way.Forget all the nonsense about deepseek and evidence surrounding the NVDA chinese financial psyop that crushed the market today (primarily before the market even opened). It's all smoke and mirrors. Putting your money in the middle when the odds are in your favor is how you come out on top. That being said, there's a 90% rebound rate for NVidia's 10 biggest drops over the last - hence the reason I'm sitting on 75 calls with a strike of 125 that expire this Friday. The average next day rebound is 4.4% with the median being 5.3%. NVDA closed at $118.58, meaning there's a 90% chance that tomorrow we will see the price settle in the following ranges: Bull Case: 60% probability: $124.50 - $126.90 Base Case: 30% probability: $120.95 - $123.30 Bear Case: 10% probability: $115 - $117 The DeepSeek Red Herring: Speculating on the DeepSeek nonsense, the release of DeepSeek's R1 seems like an attempt to make the narrative fit the story rather than anything based on actual news: *As someone that works w/ AI every day, DeepSeek v3 has been out for a long time, and R1 was released over a week ago. There isn't anything new about this story. *This likely points to a coordinated dump of NVDA by 'whales' during premarket hours to push price action, and China has enough sway in the US markets to perform such a sway after hours. More than 12% of the 16.9% drop occurred in a short period before the market opened - limiting the influence/access of retail investors and thereby maximizing their leverage/power over the market. *This could be a preemptive move by China in a financial cold war that has been developing. Trump recently touted investing $.5T in stargate (ai), and has proposed tariffs of 10% on all chinese goods starting in just 4 days (Feb 1st) *NVDA is the perfect target to send a message. Most of their production is in Taiwan, and we know how China feels about that. The fact that China can't purchase their super chips is a big slap in the face. It'd be like China growing a bunch of crops in Idaho, only to not sell any food to the US while the US is starving. *It's a known fact that bots place the majority of trades on the US market these days. China is a master at reverse engineering tech (if not outright stealing it). Knowing what triggers market bots would be easier than supplying a fake narrative. Nothing about DeepSeek being the reason for the drop passes the smell test if for no other reason than from a logical standpoint...a couple If/Then scenarios: 1) If Deepseek did develop a model for $6M (which would be both insane and extremely unlikely) using outdated tech - Then NVDA's response that they should have their export restrictions removed and the 2nd largest AI market open to them is legitimate. Sales would skyrocket. 2) If this is Chinese misinformation and they're lying about using the A100 chips or the development costs, then why would they do that? 3) If China can't develop their own model without the A100s, what would they do to gain access to them? Then I think they steal the model - either the o1 (openAI) or llama (meta) model and tinkered with it just enough to optimize it as it's performance results are almost identical to openAI's o1 model - DeepSeek's Founder admits "there are no secrets in AI". While models can run on outdated hardware, you can't develop new models in a timely fashion on anything other than the A100s because they're 20x more powerful than the previous chips. The question is was this China's attempt to trigger a black swan event in the US markets prior to the tariffs being enacted - a financial cold war if you will.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DontListenToThisClown
30
Nvidia Shares Plunge More Than 17% Nvidia’s stock has experienced a significant drop in price in recent hours due to growing concerns about new competition from China, represented by the startup DeepSeek. This Asian startup is positioning itself to offer services similar to those of current AI industry leaders but at a much lower cost. Additionally, its open-source model, unlike competitors such as OpenAI , has generated high expectations, marking a new competitive challenge from China to the U.S. in this sector. Nvidia has led the steep declines in the tech sector in the short term. Range Breakout: Recent selling pressure has caused a breakout from a consistent lateral range that had been in place since late October 2024. The movement has been so aggressive that the price has also broken below the 100-period moving average and is now struggling with the 200-period moving average. If the strong bearish pressure continues in the coming sessions, it could jeopardize the long-standing upward trend visible on the daily chart prior to this event. RSI: The RSI indicator line has quickly adopted a bearish slope, moving decisively away from the neutral level of 50. However, recent price action has brought the line closer to the oversold zone at 30 , suggesting that the momentum of the current decline is significantly imbalanced. This could pave the way for small upward corrections in the short term. Key Levels: $114: Current support level corresponding to neutral zones from August and September 2024. Bearish oscillations breaking below this level could strengthen selling pressure and establish a sustained bearish bias in the market. However, this zone could also trigger new upward corrections in the coming sessions. $131: The nearest resistance level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Oscillations near this level could restore market neutrality and potentially lead to a new lateral channel. $144 : Distant resistance level. Oscillations reaching this level again would bring the strong long-term bullish trend back into focus. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
NVDA LESSON Now We Hunt For A DISCOUNT Nvidia⚪️ NVDA Another example of traders getting trapped at the high. ⚪️ Also a prime example of traders entering pre 150 break. We don't need level 2 data to know how HUMANS WILL ACT. HUMAN BEHAVIOUR IS PREDICTABLE. ✅️That is an edge we can use too................ 🟢 Every trend starts with a breakout and yes if you take everyone you will never miss the NEXT BIG MOVE BUT..... 🟢 By doing so you will inevitabley give up a high win rate, and the fact is that most humans would rather be RIGHT than make MONEY. ⭐️THAT IS JUST SIMPLE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR.⭐️ IT'S STRANGE BUT TRUE⭐️ 🌎Most traders would rather sacrifice more profit for a HIGHER WIN RATE🌍 Some of the most PROFITABLE TRADERS & INVESTORS in the WORLD have a WIN RATE BELOW 50%.❕️ ❗️LET THAT SINK IT...❗️ ⚠️ 🟢SeekingPips🟢 SAYS SAVE THIS GOLD LESSON NOW YOU CAN THANK ME LATER⚠️
NASDAQ:NVDA
by seekingpips
NVDA closes below 200 Day SMANASDAQ:NVDA had a very bad day today with more than 550 billion $ Market Cap destroyed. This is one of the worst days for NVDA since March 2020. The 200 Da SMA price was 122 $. NVDA closed @ 118 $. This makes it a daily close below the 200 Day SMA. There might be some more downside and sideways movement before it starts a bullish upward trend before its earnings release on Feb 26. 6-12 Months down the line this might be one of the best buying opportunities. Long NVDA 110 $ - 120 $.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RabishankarBiswal
NVIDIA's Record Drop: Live with TradeStation (TradingView Show)Join us once again LIVE with David Russell, Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we dive into the stock market sell-off and what it means for your portfolio heading into February 2025. With heightened volatility, NVIDIA taking a hit, and AI-driven tools like DeepSeek offering new market analysis, it’s key to understand how to navigate the current turbulence. As January winds down, we’ll discuss strategies to stay ahead, leverage relative strength, and position for long-term success despite the ongoing downturn. Here’s a sneak peek of what we’ll cover: 1. NVIDIA’s recent drop is tied to DeepSeek’s shift in AI pricing, raising concerns about future profitability. Investors are still assessing how this will affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory. 2. While attention is on volatility, some stocks have quietly hit all-time highs, revealing hidden strength in overlooked sectors. These gains suggest opportunities many may be missing. 3. Emerging strength is especially evident in sectors like communications and certain industrials, with companies showing resilience and strong earnings. These sectors could offer solid value plays for those willing to look beyond the obvious. 4. Traders heading into 2025 should focus on managing risk and staying nimble, especially with potential rate hikes and geopolitical risks on the horizon. Flexibility and discipline will be essential. 5. As the Fed meeting and GDP report approach, the market is primed for volatility. These key releases could signal shifts in monetary policy or economic conditions, making it vital to stay informed and adjust your positions accordingly. Don’t miss this session for actionable insights on how to navigate this market turbulence and set yourself up for success in 2025. This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC. See below: www.tradestation.com www.tradestation.com
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
2
Why I Believe NVIDIA (NVDA) Is Oversold and Ready to BounceI’ve been following NVIDIA (NVDA) closely, and while I’m aware of the recent negative news, I believe the market’s reaction has been completely overblown. To me, this pullback has pushed NVDA into oversold territory—not because of technical indicators like RSI (which I’m not relying on), but because the price is now sitting at a strong demand level that historically has seen solid buying interest. In my opinion, the market has overpriced the impact of the news. NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain strong, and I don’t see anything here that fundamentally changes the long-term story of the company. This feels more like a short-term overreaction that’s created an opportunity to get in at a discount.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MrTiga
DeepSeek: Is the $2 trillion panic justified? A small Chinese AI startup, DeepSeek, is responsible for erasing $2 trillion from the US equity market, within 12 hours. Nvidia's stock is down ~17% at the time of writing, while shares of other US-based AI-related companies, including Oracle, Broadcom, and AMD, have fallen between 12% and 20%. Microsoft, a major investor in OpenAI, has also dropped more than 3%. However, Apple stock has gained, with the market seemingly dismissive of its Apple Intelligence product. DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large language model in December, reportedly developed in just two months for under $6 million. This news and its implications are only just filtering into mainstream market consciousness now following the release of DeepSeek's chatbot app. Investors are now questioning why US firms are spending hundreds of billions on Nvidia chips when a startup claims to achieve significant results at a fraction of the cost and raised concerns about the US losing its perceived dominance in the AI sector. However, industry figures, including Elon Musk and Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang, are scrambling to change the narrative though. Some suggest that DeepSeek likely has access to 50,000 NVIDIA Hopper GPUs—despite their claims of using just 10,000 A100 GPUs—due to U.S. export restrictions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BlackBull_Markets
1
NVIDIA Wave Analysis 27 January 2025 - NVIDIA broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 115.00 NVIDIA opened today with the sharp downward gap breaking the support zone located between the support level 126.65 (former monthly low from December) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave i, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from November. NVIDIA can be expected to fall further to the next support level 115.00 (former monthly low from October).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by FxProGlobal