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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA’s Failed Breakout: Reversal or Deeper Drop Ahead?Tesla (TSLA) Market Outlook & Long-Term Investment Report Tesla (TSLA) has positioned itself as more than just an electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer. With its advancements in robotics, artificial intelligence (AI), autonomous driving, and energy solutions, Tesla is becoming a major player in multiple high-growth industries. While recent price action has shown volatility, long-term investors see buying opportunities at key support levels. Technical Analysis & Key Levels 1. High-Timeframe Context (HTF) - HTF Resistance: $415.71 – Tesla attempted to break above this level but faced rejection, leading to a sharp pullback. - Major Support & Resistance Zone – A critical level where Tesla has previously consolidated and reacted strongly. - Liquidity Zones (LQZs): - Daily LQZ (~$238.18) – A key demand area where buyers could step in. - Weekly LQZ (~$182.44 - $108.01) – A deeper liquidity zone, potentially offering even better long-term buying opportunities if the downtrend continues. 2. Market Structure & Trend Analysis - **Failed Breakout:** Price action showed a breakout above resistance, but the failure to hold led to a sharp reversal, indicating a potential liquidity grab. - **Retest of Support:** The price is currently testing a significant support level, which will determine the next move. - **Momentum Shift:** The aggressive rejection at HTF resistance suggests sellers are in control in the short term, but this creates long-term entry opportunities. Long-Term Investment Thesis Tesla's expansion into AI, robotics, and autonomous technology presents significant long-term growth potential beyond its traditional automotive business. Here are the key areas driving Tesla's future: 1. Robotics & Artificial Intelligence - **Tesla Optimus Robot:** Tesla’s humanoid robot project is expected to revolutionize industrial automation. It could become a major revenue source as industries move toward AI-driven labor solutions. - **Neural Networks & AI Advancements:** Tesla’s AI systems, used for Full Self-Driving (FSD), are also being adapted for robotics, increasing its competitive edge. 2. Energy & Infrastructure Expansion - **Solar & Energy Storage:** Tesla’s **Megapack** and **Powerwall** businesses are growing as renewable energy adoption accelerates. - **Grid-Scale Energy Solutions:** Tesla’s energy division could play a crucial role in stabilizing power grids worldwide, providing another strong revenue stream. 3. Autonomous Vehicles & FSD - Tesla’s **Full Self-Driving (FSD)** software could create a high-margin subscription-based revenue model. - The potential for a **Tesla Robotaxi network** could disrupt the ride-sharing industry and unlock new business models. 4. Synergies with SpaceX & AI Computing - Tesla benefits indirectly from advancements in **SpaceX** technologies, such as materials science and AI computing. - The **Dojo supercomputer** is being developed to enhance AI training, which could accelerate Tesla’s robotics and self-driving ambitions. Investment Strategy & Accumulation Plan For long-term investors, Tesla's volatility provides attractive buying opportunities. A strategic approach would involve: 1. Key Accumulation Levels - **Daily LQZ (~$238)** – A strong support zone where Tesla could see renewed buying interest. - **Weekly LQZ (~$182-$108)** – A deeper level that may offer excellent long-term value if the price declines further. 2. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy - Instead of trying to time the absolute bottom, investors can **ladder buy-ins** at different liquidity zones to optimize their cost basis. - This reduces risk and takes advantage of market dips without excessive exposure. 3. Risk Management & Long-Term Horizon - Tesla is known for its volatility; maintaining **a long-term vision (5+ years)** is crucial for maximizing gains. - Investors should be prepared for short-term fluctuations while focusing on Tesla’s multi-industry expansion. Conclusion Tesla’s failed breakout and recent pullback present a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors. With its advancements in robotics, AI, energy, and autonomous technology, Tesla is well-positioned to be a key player in multiple trillion-dollar industries over the next decade. The current price action suggests that accumulation at liquidity zones could provide strong long-term returns. As the robotics industry grows, Tesla’s potential as a leading producer for industrial automation is increasingly clear. Investors with a bullish long-term outlook may find current and upcoming dips as prime entry points. Final Thought **Is Tesla’s current dip a gift for long-term believers?** With its expanding technological footprint, this may be an opportunity to accumulate before the next major growth cycle. 🚀
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Adlercon333
Two Dips I'm Watching After The CrashThe market took a beating over the last two weeks or so. Everything except for a few defensive sectors was hit hard. After all the selling, I am looking around and asking: where are some dip buys? I've come up with a list of a few names, but for this chart specifically, I have zoned in on two different companies of industry and size: TSLA and FIVN. I'll start with Tesla (TSLA): They are down just over 47% from their recent highs. This all transpired over the course of a few months, but it really accelerated over the last few days. I find this drop to be rather remarkable considering Tesla's latest products and upcoming releases. Nevertheless, this comes with challenges, including sales in a country like China and other fundamental factors. Tracking their cash flows and progress toward operational efficiencies is crucial. Tesla is down 45% in this correction—nearly half of its value gone. I have never owned NASDAQ:TSLA long-term. I have surely traded and covered it, especially when it first broke out during its epic short squeeze. Maybe, just maybe, I might have a chance to get in at decent levels. Now, let's talk about Five9 (FIVN). Five9 builds and deploys customer management platforms so companies of all sizes can manage their massive user bases. They can use tools across all industries and verticals, and most importantly, it can sync with CRM platforms and AI models to feed it contextual data to make faster decisions. Just recently, Five9 reported a fairly massive earnings beat, which lead to a spike. Sadly for them, the market crash started and the entire sector tanked. It's now dropped nearly 40% from its highs. At these levels, Five9 could be an interesting rebound candidate either for a swing trade to retrace part of the move. Quick note: this entire industry has my attention from companies like NICE and others as they are essential to an organization—almost like a staple similar to VZ or T—simply because they power core components of the communication process. You can't just turn off messaging for you and your clients. New-age communications currently fill up my watchlist. I'll make a list soon. Now, let's see if and when this sell-off ever ends. For now, I am making a list of possible dip buys.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by scheplick
TSLA - Support and ResitanceI believe NASDAQ:TSLA is entering a key support level here that will lead to a strong bounce back up. TSLA is down nearly 50% from all-time highs and is reaching a support level that had strong resistance for much of the last half of 2024. The RSI is also hanging out below 30 which could also indicate it as a strong candidate for an RSI play as well. I entered into a long position today and will accumulate more while it travels between the $260 and $230 levels. I will also add to this position when the RSI breaks above its 14 SMA. Targets for this trade are the $320 support level and 50 SMA line.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Notbadchad
$TSLA worst 4 years are ahead us under president Trump? - What biden couldn't done would be done under $TRUMP. - NASDAQ:TSLA has always traded at a premium devoid of any fundamentals. - NASDAQ:TSLA cars are ugly looking cars as compared to NYSE:BYD and $RIVN. It's technology is great but you are basically buying a cheap build quality cars. - Everyone thought that Trumpn <-> Elon parternship will be great for $TSLA. But my hunch is it will be bad for NASDAQ:TSLA shareholders. Elon's association with Trump will drag the NASDAQ:TSLA shares down and always in the limelight. - Most elite investors are often leftist and might want to distance with trump and elon. Fundamentally, Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 2.90 | 3.85 | 4.96. | 6.40 EPS growth% | 18.02% | 32.82% | 28.87% | 29.12% Fair forward p/e for a company growing EPS 20%+ with a moat is ~ 30 Fair stock value: Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price ( base case p/e = 30) | $87 | $115 | $148 | $192 | Stock price (bear case p/e = 20 ) | $58 | $77 | $99 | $128 | Stock Price ( bull case p/e = 50 ) | $150 | $192 | $248 | $320 | - Bulltard + Elon musk premium p/e if ELON divorces with Trump = 100 Stock price ( p/e = 100 ) | $290 | $385 | $496 | $640
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bigbull037
1
$TSLA Sales Slump but is Support Near?Is Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) facing a sales slump and an overpriced valuation? In this video, we dive into the latest Tesla stock analysis, starting with the declining sales numbers and why the current valuation might be raising red flags for investors. We then break down the weekly chart, spotlighting a potential breakdown retest as NASDAQ:TSLA price nears key support levels around the 243 weekly SMA. What was once resistance could now flip to support—find out how! Zooming into the daily chart, we explore the 280 price level where the 200 SMA is and outline a possible 5-wave pattern completing at 243, followed by a correction toward Goldman Sachs’ 320 target and Bank of America’s 380 forecast. But could a deeper drop to 200 be on the horizon? Get the full technical analysis, price targets, and insights to navigate NASDAQ:TSLA ’s next move in this must-watch stock market update!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Entrenched
2
TSLA Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels * Current Price: $278.53 * Support: $265, $250 * Resistance: $292.5, $300, $310 TSLA has recently rebounded from a demand zone around $265, showing early signs of a potential reversal. Multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts indicate a possible transition from a bearish to a bullish market structure. Reversal Zone Analysis TSLA has entered a potential reversal zone between $278 - $292.5. If price sustains above $278, upside momentum toward $300 and $310 could unfold. A failure to hold $278 could send it back to retest the $265 support level. Options & GEX Analysis * IVR: 84.1 * IVx Avg: 80.3 * GEX: Green (bullish positioning) * Put Walls: $265, $250 * Call Walls: $292.5, $300, $310 Options flow indicates bullish sentiment, with increasing call interest above $292.5 and strong put support at $265. Trading Plan & Strategy Bullish Scenario (Preferred) * Entry: Above $278 with strong volume confirmation * Target: $292.5, then $300 * Stop-Loss: Below $272 Bearish Scenario (Less Likely) * Entry: If price rejects the $292.5 - $300 zone * Target: $265 * Stop-Loss: Above $295 Options Trade Idea * Bull Call Spread: Buy $280 Calls, Sell $300 Calls (April Expiry) * Credit Put Spread: Sell $270 Puts, Buy $260 Puts Final Thoughts TSLA is showing early signs of a reversal, but needs to hold above $278 for confirmation. Watch for strength toward $292.5 and $300. If price struggles at resistance, a retest of $265 is possible. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights