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TSLA trade ideas

Tesla is overboughtTesla is overbought. This is a 5 year view on TSLA 1 week chart. TSLA stochastic indicator is overbought with a close today of 99.95 K line and 96.42 D line. I got the average trajectory channel using the regression trend drawing tool. Then I color coded the channel with red being major resistance and green being major support. Also, TSLA closed with it's all time high today at 425. I'm posting this as a short because there's a greater downside risk than an upside reward now. At some point in the next few weeks, gravity will overcome momentum. TSLA options data: 12/20/24 expiry Put Volume Total 168,582 Call Volume Total 314,428 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.54 Put Open Interest Total 591,885 Call Open Interest Total 550,113 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.08 1/17/25 expiry Put Volume Total 109,436 Call Volume Total 159,467 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.69 Put Open Interest Total 1,058,948 Call Open Interest Total 989,464 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.07 2/21/25 expiry Put Volume Total 13,715 Call Volume Total 34,291 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.40 Put Open Interest Total 149,526 Call Open Interest Total 233,165 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.64
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Options360
3
TESLA option play planFirst of all thanks to papa E and orange toasty for becoming besties, we getting the mad pump. Second of all it was a reasonably easy bet to take. Why take 2x on vanilla trump vs harris when you can slap on some out of the money option calls? its a full win/lose bet but the options get you 5-10x average for this one. Risk - Reward ratio is everything. If your taking the risk make sure the reward pays for it. Putting this one down so I can reference going forward. Yeh we might go flat for few months.. or dump because of tarrifs and xyz blah blah,, but This is just the strong bull option which is the scenario im aiming to hopefully play. Euphoria/blow off phases tend to have two main features 1. its velocity/momentum is faster than you think (its over before you know it; just when your getting really excited) 2. it tends to go higher than you thought PE ratios, valuations etc are hinting at top energy here. lets ride it and hopefully jump ship in time.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Crypto-Quantum-Fox
TSLA LONG So, Bill Gates is shorting Tesla now, huh? Well, I guess someone’s trying to rewrite the definition of "tech genius"—because betting against Elon Musk and Tesla right now is like trying to short a rocket ship while it’s halfway to Mars. Meanwhile, Tesla’s soaring to new all-time highs, and we’re about to hit $500+ per share, making Gates look like that guy who still uses Windows 95 and wonders why his email doesn’t work. Bill’s probably sitting in his giant mansion, trying to figure out how to update his "Short Tesla" spreadsheet—while Elon’s over here launching cars into space and making more money than the entire GDP of some small countries. It’s like betting against the Matrix while wearing sunglasses indoors. So, good luck, Bill. Keep an eye on that stock; you might want to upgrade to Windows 11... you know, to keep up with the times!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SPYDERMARKET
TSLA: PatternsREGULARITIES: Fractal Cyclicality Before offrange breakouts it completes 2 sub-cycles Distinctive cup on top 1st sub-cycle and inverted one at the start of 2nd sub-wave (separating the phases) Fib Mapping: Fractal I Fractal II Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
18
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - Potential Elliott Wave Setup🔍 Analysis Overview This chart showcases a potential Elliott Wave structure on Tesla's daily timeframe. Here's the detailed breakdown: Wave Progression: Wave (1), (2), and (3) completed, with wave (4) anticipated to retrace. Wave (4) Retracement Zone: - Targeting the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.382 (340.99) and 0.618 (280.16). - This zone aligns with a confluence of the trendline and previous support levels. Bullish Targets: - First target at 440.13. - Secondary targets at 470.80 (1.236) and 489.88 (1.382 extension). Risk Management: - Stop-loss positioned at 275.00 to manage downside risk. 📊 Indicators: - RSI and MFI reflect potential overbought conditions in the current wave (3), supporting the likelihood of a corrective wave (4). 🚨 Important Notes: This is a speculative wave count and assumes the continuation of the broader uptrend. Breaks below the stop-loss zone could invalidate the setup.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MrStockWhale
NEW TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ON TESLAKey Indicators and Tools for My Chart: Signals: Bullish: 50-day EMA crosses above the 200-day MA (Golden Cross). Bullish: 9-day EMA crosses above the 200-day MA (Death Cross). Bullish: 21 day EMA crosses above 200-day . Relative Strength Index (RSI) (Momentum) Purpose: Identify overbought or oversold conditions. Settings: Default (14 periods). Signals: Bullish: RSI rises above 50 and heads toward 70. Overbought (potential reversal): RSI > 70. Oversold (potential reversal): RSI < 30. Settings: Fast EMA = 12 Slow EMA = 26 Signal Line = 9 Signals: Bullish: MACD line crosses above the signal line. Bearish: MACD line crosses below the signal line. Confirm strength with the histogram (increasing bars = stronger momentum). Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Key Support/Resistance) Purpose: Identify key retracement levels where price may reverse or continue. How to Use: Draw from the most recent swing low to swing high (in an uptrend) or swing high to swing low (in a downtrend). Key Levels: 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. Signals: Bullish: Price finds support near a Fibonacci level and reverses higher. Bearish: Price faces resistance at a Fibonacci level and reverses lower. Volume (Trend Confirmation) Purpose: Confirm the strength of price movements. Signals: Bullish: Increasing volume on up days (price increases). Bearish: Increasing volume on down days (price decreases). Reversal: Price movements with declining volume often indicate weakening momentum.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ryfa2005
Sliding In December: Is Tesla (TSLA) Losing Its Spark? As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it: Losing all its spark? Nah. But, we see a correction for TSLA happening this December, starting within the next 1-2 days. Why? - It’s currently bumping into price levels we last saw in 2022, which served as a strong ceiling back then and might trigger profit-taking now. - It's well into a Wave 5 Elliott Wave, signaling exhaustion in 4h/8h/1D timeframes. - Overbought. Additionally, many are noting that Tesla’s valuation feels stretched compared to its earnings and growth prospects. Analysts point out that its current price may rely on overly optimistic assumptions about future market share, tech breakthroughs, and profitability. Some also highlight that competitors are catching up, which could eat into Tesla’s premium valuation. Meanwhile, skeptics argue that the stock’s recent run has simply gotten ahead of fundamentals, and a correction might be due as more realistic expectations set in. We see a 10% slide to the $360 range. Let's see what December brings. Be Alert. Trade Green.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by JC7USA
TSLA Technical Analysis: Gamma Exposure for Levels, Price Action1. Key Levels Identified: * Highest Positive NETGEX (Call Resistance): $400 * Represents a strong resistance level due to the accumulation of call options. If TSLA approaches this level, market maker hedging could slow upward momentum or cause consolidation. * Second Call Wall: $420 * Indicates additional resistance and a potential target for bullish momentum if $400 is breached. * HVL (Hedging Volatility Level): $347.50 * A critical support area where market makers adjust hedging to neutralize exposure. Price movements near this level could lead to temporary stabilization. * PUT Walls: * 3rd PUT Wall: $340 (-1.37% Gamma Exposure) * A moderate support level with notable hedging activity. * 2nd PUT Wall: $330 * Stronger support, likely to hold unless broader market sentiment turns bearish. 2. Price Action: * TSLA is trading around $403, testing the resistance at the $400 level. A break above $400 could push the price towards $420, while a rejection might result in a retracement towards $390 or lower. Technical Indicators Analysis: 1. MACD: * The MACD line is showing bullish momentum, with the histogram suggesting potential upside. However, watch for any divergence near resistance levels. 2. Stochastic RSI: * Currently overbought, signaling potential short-term exhaustion. A downward crossover could indicate a pullback. 3. Trendlines: * An ascending trendline supports the bullish structure, intersecting near $390. A breakdown below this trendline would invalidate the bullish momentum. Options Strategy Plan: 1. Bullish Scenario: * If TSLA sustains above $400: * Call Option Entry: Strike price at $410 or $420, expiration within 1-2 weeks. * Target: $420. * Stop-Loss: $395. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If TSLA rejects $400 and drops below $390: * Put Option Entry: Strike price at $380 or $370, expiration within 1-2 weeks. * Target: $370 (next major support zone). * Stop-Loss: $395. 3. Neutral Strategy: * If TSLA consolidates between $390 and $400: * Iron Condor Strategy: * Sell a call at $410 and a put at $380. * Buy a call at $420 and a put at $370 to limit risk. Recommendation for Expiration Date: * Short-Term Expiry (1-2 weeks): Best for directional trades based on breakouts or rejections from key gamma levels. * Longer Expiry (2-3 weeks): Ideal for capturing momentum plays or wider ranges. Summary of Gamma Insights: * The $400 level is pivotal for TSLA. A breakout above this level aligns with gamma positioning that supports upward momentum. * Support levels around $390 and $347.50 provide clear areas for stop-loss placement or potential reversals. * Traders can use gamma levels to anticipate volatility spikes and align their strategies accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before executing trades.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla’s Golden Zone Bounce: Are We Heading to $460?Tesla has shown remarkable price action after sweeping the sell-side liquidity on the monthly chart at $152.49. Price tapped into the Golden Zone (OTE) and closed strongly above the sell-side level. This confluence, combined with robust candle closures, signals potential upside momentum. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Target: Price is aiming for the $460 range, marking a full swing move. Retracement Zone: If a retracement occurs, look for a pullback into the High-Probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $300.61. This zone could act as a strong support for another leg upward. Conclusion: Short-term: Price targets $460. Medium-term: Watch for retracement into $300.61 before further upside potential. DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by INSIDER_INTEL
Tesla UpdateAs mentioned on the last couple posts, I am just waiting for Tesla to hit a top and begin a consolidation to the downside again. For this post, I thought I would zoom out to give a more holistic picture of where we're at, and where I believe we're headed. Looking at the chart there are a few things going on. At the top of the chart, you can see a time tool I have drawn to point out the duration of these larger moves. Our larger ((A)) wave lasted for about 428 days, while the larger ((B)) wave is going on 705 days. Then, looking at the yellow trend lines drawn, you can see we have slightly breached the upper trend. At the bottom I have drawn a line pointing out the ATH high MACD reading that we're approaching. RSI is in the way overbought territory too. You may be asking yourself; Why am I talking about all of these things? The reason I am pointing these different things out to you is to show how overextended this ticker is. To express that I believe it is just a matter of time until this stock comes back down. Looking at the structure/pattern that has been created, I find it highly likely that Tesla forms a flat ABC pattern ending around the red 1.0 @ $100.09. The red fibs could change slightly should Tesla make another high. It won't be a big difference, but could slightly change, nonetheless. The next major move lower should be primary wave ((C)) of Cycle wave II and will likely last 1-3 years...if not longer. We cannot know for certain how long, but unless the wave (3) of ((5)) started out as a LD, we're head lower soon. The only other option aside from a LD is a corrective pattern, which is how I am counting this. I hope this gives a clearer picture of where we've been, where we're at, and where we're headed. Please let me know if you have any questions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
6