TSLA Ready to Break Out? Key Levels to Watch! Mar 17Hey traders! Quick check-in on TSLA based on the 4-hour chart.
📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
TSLA broke above a descending trendline signaling potential bullish momentum.
Watch closely for a confirmation above the current supply zone around $250-$255.
We had a clear Change of Character (CHoCh) indicating a possible reversal from the previous downtrend.
Important support sits at the recent demand zone around $215-$217, marked as a Break of Structure (BOS).
Next strong resistance to watch is around $320; breaking this can trigger a big move up.
📊 GEX & Options Insights:
Highest negative NET GEX at $217, strong PUT support here—keep this level marked clearly.
Call resistance is around $255; breaking above here could initiate a gamma squeeze pushing prices higher.
IV Rank is relatively high at 57.8%, signaling premium prices are rich—good for selling premium or credit spreads.
Call to Put ratio shows slight bearish sentiment (33.4% Calls), so keep your risk tight.
💡 Trade Recommendations:
Bullish Play: Wait for a clear close above $255 to enter calls, targeting around $300. Tight stop-loss just below $245.
Bearish Play: If TSLA rejects the $255 resistance strongly, consider puts targeting the demand zone around $217.
Neutral traders might consider Iron Condors or credit spreads between the clear ranges ($215–$255).
🛑 Risk Management:
Always use defined risk strategies, particularly with the higher IV environment we're in.
Let's see how it plays out. Good luck!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge NASDAQ:TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge – Is Tesla poised for a major move? In this video, I break down the breakout retest pattern on TSLA’s weekly chart, focusing on the critical near term levels. A validated breakout could hint at a higher time frame bullish scenario! I’ll cover:
Rules to validate or invalidate the pattern
Conservative and aggressive price targets
My personal targets based on years of trading experience
Don’t miss this Tesla stock analysis for 2025!
What to Watch For:
Breakout confirmation at $490
Stop-loss zones and risk management
Potential bullish surge targets
Tesla Estimate Fair ValuesAfter the hype move due to political backup, Tesla share price has fallen from top 400 values, and back to the ranges of 200 -ish.
The revenue report in Jan was not expected, and the estimate for next 29.04.2025 report is even lower than previous. This is why the Tesla price is in the correction move.
The interest Price for buy should be 160 to 180 before next earning release.
Good luck!
TslaWhen I dive in to charts I like to start at the monthly and zoom out years
Monthly view
Side ways and trend less . Price is trading between 120-400..
On sideways trends you usually see price return back Demand.
Throw on some cute trendlines and you can see the triangle that led to the explosive move.. Trendline support is Around 210.. below 210 cand TSLA is going Sub 200
Weekly chart
So when I'm describing and showing you my charts I like to keep things clean and simple so you can see what I see..
Here I only left the monthly trendline support and I added Bollingerbands..
As you can see Tesla was outside it's Weekly Bbands so the bounce was due but what annoyed me is they didn't close the Fawking gap at 213.57. before TSLA breaks back over 300 they WILL CLOSE THAT GAP..
When TSLA price shot up to 470 the weekly technicals were extremely overbought; MFI,RSI,MACD ,Stock etc..
In comparison we are not nearly as oversold here. TSLA price would have to drop near 160 for us to be as oversold as we were overbought at 470!.
Trendlines are like Ketchup, they go on everything.. here's the weekly RSI and and weekly chart, same trendline support
And this is why I say, the Do or die line for TSLA is 210.
Daily chart
Let's take a quick trip to see how we got here ..
First there was the double top that took us from 470 to 330
Then shit got real and they formed a H&S
That H&S target is 213 gap close
now.. focusing on a trade setup going into next week..
TSLA weekly candle finished with a hammer so I give it 75% chance we see a higher high. My weekly higher high target would be 263-267.. weekly 50ma + stiff price action will act as tough resistance here
To see how we would get there less go to the 1hour chart and you'll see Tesla is inside a tight pennant... The range inside that pennant will 243-250 going into next week
A break above 253.50 and I like longs to 263 gap close . LONG ONLY OVER 253.
pennants can go either way
If TSLA breaks below 240 then I like the short to 230 gap close and most likely 213 gap close is incoming
My max downside move on TSLA is 210, below 210 is death!
My upside move is 263, buy I could see a push to 280 if the spy goes for 585. It's just common sense that if the market moves 4% higher then TSLA will play apart unless some company specific bad news comes out..
TSLA - where to next? Upside and Downside options TSLA has made some incredibly interesting moves. in summary:
We have performed an EXACT 50% retrace from previous highs
That level is perfectly aligned with the lower trendline (Log chart)
That level is also perfectly aligned with the descending wedge top from previous ATH
Bounce off this level is almost guaranteed, the question is how far?
The last two times we have been overbought on the weekly RSI, we have seen between 60 and 40 days of down before we found a bottom. However, the July 23 top was weak on the RSI and may not be indicative of what we are experience now. So I'd say we're in for at least 40 days but likely more, before we find a bottom.
If we break the lower trendline it is likely that we revisit 2023 lows, which just so happens to be exactly at the 78.6 Fib retrace. We'd likely bounce off the 61.8 retrace and touch the bottom of the descending wedge trendline.
On the bull case, we continue to consolidate sideways until there is an upward break. Right now, the bear case feels more likely with the macro / political environment.
I've also made a guess at what RSI might do - you can see that at the bottom of the chart in green.
What do you think happens?
$TSLA triangle consolidation LONG...This is a weekly of TSLA which I have zoomed out purposefully to illustrate my long idea. Note the triangle consolidation, the breakout, and now the pullback close to the upper bound of the triangle. In my opinion, a high-probability area for a long. Stop loss would go beneath upper bound of triangle based on position size. Great trading, everyone!
-MrJosephTrades
TESLA (TSLA)What I’m Watching:
I’m focusing on the 245–250 neckline for a decisive reaction. If buyers defend this level, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend from the inverted pattern’s breakout. If sellers break below, the bullish bias could change, leading to a potential correction.
A strong bounce from the neckline would align with the prior uptrend, while a break below could shift the short-term bias to bearish.
Bullish Bounce:
If buyers hold the 245–250 neckline and push the price higher, expect to resume the bullish trend, targeting the recent high of 490, with potential to push toward 500–510 if momentum builds. A break above 300 would confirm buyer strength and support the inverted pattern’s bullish target.
Bearish Correction:
If sellers break below the 245 neckline and sustain the move, it could indicate a failure of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, leading to a correction. A break below this level might target the 215 - 210 zone (right shoulder support) or lower to 210–180 if selling pressure intensifies. External factors, such as negative Tesla news or a broader market downturn, could drive this decline.
TSLA Trade Outlook – Watching Key LevelsTSLA is currently trading around market price levels, with notable entry points at 222, 199, and 165. Given the recent volatility and broader market sentiment, these levels could serve as potential accumulation zones if momentum aligns.
On the upside, profit targets are eyed at 235, 275, and 295, contingent on sustained buying pressure and macroeconomic factors supporting growth stocks. However, given the unpredictable nature of the market, adjustments may be necessary.
For now, keeping an eye on volume trends and overall market sentiment will be key in confirming potential movements. Flexibility remains essential.
Trade cautiously. 🚀⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 💡
HOW-TO: Optimizing FADS for Traders with Investment MindsetIn this tutorial, we’ll explore how the Fractional Accumulation/Distribution Strategy (FADS) can help traders especially with an investment mindset manage risk and build positions systematically. While FADS doesn’t provide the fundamentals of a company which remain the trader’s responsibility, it offers a robust framework for dividing risk, managing emotions, and scaling into positions strategically.
Importance of Dividing Risk by Period and Fractional Allocation
Periodic Positioning
FADS places entries over time rather than committing the entire position at once. This staggered approach reduces the impact of short-term volatility and minimizes the risk of overexposing the capital.
Fractional Allocation
Fractional allocation ensures that capital is allocated dynamically during building a position. This allows traders to scale into positions as the trade develops while spreading out the risk.
Using a high volatility setting, such as a Weekly with period of 12 , optimizes trend capture by filtering out minor fluctuations.
Increasing Accumulation Factor to 1.5 results in avoiding entries at high price levels, improving overall risk.
Increasing the Accumulation Spread to a higher value, such as 1.5 , expands the distance between buy orders. This leads to fewer trades and a more conservative accumulation strategy. In highly volatile markets, a larger distance between entry positions can significantly improve the average cost of trades and contribute to better capital conservation.
To compensate for the reduced number of trades, increasing the Averaging Power intensifies the position sizing proportionate to price action. This balances the overall risk profile by optimizing the average position cost.
This approach mimics the behavior of successful institutional investors, who rarely enter the market with full exposure in a single move. Instead, they build positions over time to reduce emotional decision-making and enhance long-term consistency.
TESLA: Is there light at the end of the tunnel? Attention!As we've all seen in recent weeks, the markets have taken a huge hit due to Mr. Trump's tariff policy, but if we have to single out any company in particular, it's undoubtedly TESLA. TESLA has clearly suffered a BOYCOTT as punishment for the tariffs. The punishment is so severe that it has already come to light that ELON MUSK HAS PRESSURED TRUMP on the tariff issue because they are seriously affecting his companies, TESLA and SPACEX.
--> Will ELON MUSK be able to convince Trump that he's not on the right path?
I think so, because Trump himself isn't interested in watching the American market continue to fall while Europe continues to skyrocket. Therefore, it's VERY PROBABLE that we'll start to see positive messages for the American market coming directly from the White House.
--> And TESLA? What is the company's technical outlook?
To analyze the company, we will use the H1 chart and the SUMMARY TABLE above. I have also added the Daily chart to get a general overview of its situation. If we analyze the table, we see the following:
1) Weekly: BULLISH (losing strength), meaning its trend remains BULLISH despite its declines, but it is losing strength.
2) Daily: NEUTRAL. The trend is NOT DEFINED on the daily chart, and therefore, we must look at another timeframe to be able to predict whether it will turn bullish or bearish at some point.
3) H4: BEARISH (losing strength). Its trend is BEARISH, but it is LOSING STRENGTH, meaning it is beginning to gain bullish momentum.
4) H1: BEARISH (retracement). The trend on H1 is DOWNWARD, but it's in a RECOVERY PHASE; it's RISING, as can be seen on the chart that has marked the BULL signal.
Therefore, looking at the H1 chart, let's see what key areas we need to monitor to know when to go long or short at some point.
1) On the downside, 200 is a very important support that SHOULD NOT BE LOST, because if it does, the fall could be much greater.
2) And on the upside, we have the 262 and 303 zones. If it clearly breaks through this last zone, it would be the START of a TREND CHANGE on the H1 TIME FRAME and therefore could be a good entry point, considering it could reach the year's highs again.
In short, we are still in a bullish trend in the long term and a bearish trend in the short term, BUT the H1 chart is starting to gain BULLISH STRENGTH. We'll be on the lookout for a possible long entry when the H1 chart shows an uptrend again. And ALL with TRUMP's permission!!!
Best regards and good luck in the markets!!
Tesla Stock Analysis: Nearly 50% wiped offTesla Stock Analysis: Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels.
Tesla (TSLA) has experienced significant volatility, with its stock price retreating nearly 50% from its all-time high (ATH). The last major rally, which began on October 23, 2024, at approximately $211, propelled the stock to an ATH of $487 on December 18, 2024.
However, since reaching this peak, Tesla has been on a downward trajectory, breaching key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Recently, the stock fell below the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, reaching $250 before staging a minor bounce.
Despite this rebound, Tesla is currently struggling beneath a confluence of a descending trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance zone, creating a challenging environment for bullish momentum.
Key Technical Factors to Watch:
📉 Bearish Pressure Below Resistance
The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal resistance is currently capping Tesla’s recovery attempts.
A rejection at this level could reinforce selling pressure and push the stock toward retesting lower support zones.
TESLA finishing the correctionhi traders
TESLA is about to finish the correction.
RSI was very oversold on the 1D time frame so we got a temporary bounce.
However, I expect the price to drop a bit lower (200 UPCOM:ISH area) to create a bullish divergence to give a better edge for bulls.
Once the bullish divergence is developed, it will be a great buy.
360$ and 430$ are 2 targets for bulls.
TSLA when shareholders protest1. Key Observations from the Chart:
• Recent Selloff: TSLA has seen a significant decline from its recent high near $480 and is currently testing key support zones.
• Major Support & Resistance Levels Identified:
• Resistance Levels:
• $256.75 – Previously strong support, now acting as resistance.
• $290.07 – Another key resistance level (previous major pivot).
• $327.72 - $328.00 – Strong confluence zone, likely to reject price if tested.
• Support Levels:
• $240.68 – Testing this zone right now.
• $212.00 - Key Long-Term Support Zone (Highlighted on the chart, critical level).
• Below $212.00 could mean significant downside risk.
⸻
2. Trend Analysis & Chart Patterns
• Downtrend Confirmed: Price is clearly moving lower, with the 200-day EMA and trendlines confirming bearish pressure.
• Testing Key Support ($240.68) : If this breaks, the next major support is around $212.00.
• Descending Resistance Line (Green Line) Could Act as Rejection If Price Bounces.
⸻
3. Indicator Analysis
Stochastic RSI (Middle Panel - Momentum Indicator)
• Currently near neutral levels (~52.52)
• Not oversold yet, meaning TSLA could still see more downside before a true bounce.
MACD (Bottom Panel - Trend & Momentum)
• Bearish MACD Cross Confirmed:
• MACD histogram is deeply negative, signaling strong selling momentum.
• No clear signs of reversal yet.
$TSLA Triple Threat: Bounce or Bust?Yo, let’s dive into Tesla (TSLA) on this daily chart—things are heating up big time! The stock just smashed its “head and shoulders” reversal target, dropping to around $240.68 as of March 13, 2025, with a solid 2.99% dip for the day. And check this—it nailed that golden Fibonacci retracement level like a pro, while also filling a previous gap like it was no big deal. That’s three powerhouse signals right there: a textbook reversal pattern, a perfect Fib hit, and a gap fill—talk about a triple threat! This setup’s got some serious juice, and it’s screaming potential for a pause or bounce. But hold up—keep your eyes peeled and stay cautious, fam. With P/E running high and the market vibe feeling kinda low, those lofty valuations might not get the love they need to push higher just yet. Let’s watch this beast closely!
Tesla’s Next Big Rally: The Elliott Wave 2.0 PerspectiveTesla (TSLA) is at a critical inflection point, and according to Elliott Wave 2.0 analysis, the stock is primed for a powerful move higher. Currently trading around $250, TSLA appears to be completing its 4th corrective wave, setting the stage for a major 5th wave rally that could propel the stock toward $500 to $600 in the coming months.
Why Tesla’s Next Leg Higher is Unstoppable
1. Elliott Wave 2.0: The Perfect Bullish Setup
Under Elliott Wave 2.0 analysis, Tesla has been in a classic sharp corrective phase and is now positioned for a parabolic 5th wave breakout. This means that the previous pullback was merely a setup for the next impulsive move higher, which could surprise even the most conservative investors.
2. Full Self-Driving (FSD) – The Revenue Explosion
Tesla’s FSD technology is nearing widespread adoption. With each software update, Tesla’s AI-driven self-driving system becomes more refined. A successful rollout of FSD could open up a multi-billion-dollar recurring revenue stream, significantly enhancing Tesla’s margins and valuation.
3. Humanoid Robots – The Next Mega Catalyst
Beyond EVs, Tesla is revolutionizing robotics with Optimus, its humanoid robot. If successfully commercialized, Optimus could disrupt industries ranging from manufacturing to home assistance, potentially adding trillions to Tesla’s long-term valuation.
Tesla’s Road to $600: A Rare Opportunity
The confluence of a bullish Elliott Wave setup, major technological breakthroughs, and growing institutional demand makes TSLA one of the most compelling investments of this decade. Investors who recognize this pattern early could see substantial gains as the 5th wave rally takes off.
🚀 Are you positioned for Tesla’s next explosive move?