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TSLA trade ideas

Tesla Poised for a Major Rebound Before a Deeper Correction!Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that Tesla is gearing up for a strong rally to the $428 region by the first week of February. However, we anticipate a sharp correction thereafter, with the price dipping towards $310 by the last week of February before launching into a massive bullish wave, ultimately breaking the $500 resistance! This movement aligns with our wave structure, where we expect a short-term rally before a necessary correction sets the stage for a parabolic move upwards.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VitalDirection
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days. - Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs. - Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025. - Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins - Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft - Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026 I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ChessCrypto
TSLA to circa $500 Given the logical progression of infrastructure development, I anticipate an announcement from the current administration regarding the initiation of this project in the near future. The project's appeal lies in its incremental nature and relative ease of implementation. It can be initiated on a limited scale and expanded gradually, making it both cost-effective and manageable compared to other large-scale infrastructure endeavors. My analysis suggests that this infrastructure initiative has the potential to be the most GDP-generative project currently conceivable. Its economic impact, combined with Tesla's strong position in the EV and autonomous driving sectors, could serve as a powerful catalyst for the company's stock performance, potentially pushing it beyond the projected $499-$500 range. While stock predictions should always be approached with caution, the convergence of these factors - the observed double bottom pattern, the potential infrastructure project, and Tesla's market position - presents a compelling case for potential upward movement in Tesla's stock price. This assessment is based on current market conditions and available information, and is subject to change as new data emerges. Tesla Stock Analysis and Infrastructure Prediction Upon careful analysis of Tesla's stock performance, I have formulated a hypothesis regarding its future trajectory. Technical analysis indicates the formation of a double bottom pattern, with the bottoms observed at $387 and the peak between the two bottoms at $439. This pattern traditionally signals a potential price movement that could reach $499 to $500 or higher, representing a significant upward trend for Tesla's stock. A key catalyst I've identified that could substantially impact Tesla's valuation is the prospective implementation of Full Self-Driving (FSD) Lanes for logistics EV transports. While this is based on my own analysis rather than insider information, calculations suggest this infrastructure project could be the most economically viable and impactful initiative in the near term. The projected benefits of this infrastructure project include:Significant reduction in transport costs Mitigation of inflationary pressures Creation of substantial employment opportunities Generation of considerable tax revenue.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by imcnf5c4ff
1
TSLA GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * Key resistance is at $420, with additional resistance at $412.5. Breaking through these levels could trigger further bullish momentum. 2. Put Support: * The highest negative gamma support level lies at $365, which serves as a critical support. Below this, additional support is visible at $350. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $390 acts as a pivotal zone, balancing calls and puts. Holding above this level strengthens bullish sentiment, while breaking below could lead to bearish activity. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 44.4 indicates moderate implied volatility, suggesting a balanced risk-reward setup for option traders. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 62.7, coupled with a decrease of -9.58%, indicates a reduction in market uncertainty, favoring directional trades with lower premium costs. Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If TSLA sustains above $390: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $390 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $410 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Aims to capitalize on potential upside to resistance at $412.5. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If TSLA breaks below $390: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $390 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $370 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets downside movement toward $365 support. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For consolidation between $365 and $410: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $365 * Buy Put: $360 * Sell Call: $410 * Buy Call: $415 * Reasoning: Captures premium within the expected range while capping risk. Thoughts and Insights * Momentum Check: Holding $390 is crucial for bullish continuation. A breakdown below $365 may trigger accelerated bearish momentum. * Volatility Context: Moderate IVR and declining IVx support directional trades with manageable premium costs. * Key Levels to Monitor: * Support: $390, $365 * Resistance: $412.5, $420 Reminder: GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always monitor real-time data to adjust your trading plan accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and ensure proper risk management when trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TESLA is overvalued and here is why - waiting for 270Tesla is overvalued, especially when compared to traditional metrics like P/E ratio. We have P/E 190 atm. If we compare Tesla to other EV companies, Tesla’s valuation might appear inflated. For example, companies like Rivian, Lucid, and NIO have been hyped similarly, but most haven’t shown the same level of growth and revenue. Investors are betting on Tesla’s dominance in electric vehicles, energy, and other sectors, which drives the high valuation. Tesla's stock is also closely tied to Elon Musk’s reputation, decisions, and Twitter presence. Tesla has become more profitable in recent years, but many argue that it’s still a growth company where profits aren't the main focus. The question is whether the current market cap is justified based on actual cash flow and profitability - of course NO. Tesla was created as a startup and truly revolutionized the auto industry, but its stock is now worth several hundred times more than it is as a technology-driven car manufacturer. Future expectations have always driven the stock market, and this phenomenon will continue to accompany us. However, I believe that in terms of future expectations, Tesla, as an automaker, has long since exhausted its potential, and its competitors have long been replicating Tesla's "miracle," but in much more efficient ways. A vivid example of this is the recent story of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I am confident that sooner or later, Tesla will also become a "victim" of this. On the other hand, Elon Musk’s reputation, political involvement, and trade wars—all of these are potential bombs placed under Tesla.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by gorgevorgian
TSLA earnings up 7-9%I do dowsing & intuitive work on stocks. I haven't done earnings in awhile, so trying TSLA here. Energy is bullish. My intuition says up 7.4% (from price atm), and dowsing says to get a price, which coincidentally comes around the same price, $419-20. Of course, 420 must be hit as it was foretold in the prophecies. It may get up over or around 9%. I do have it as a good bet for higher, however, then bearish energy creeps in and there's mention of both selling rallies & the daily chart breaking down. That's all for now. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JenRz
Mr.Million | Two Possible Scenarios for TSLAScenario #1: TSLA completed Wave (5) (in white) rather quickly, followed by a price retracement to Wave (4) low. 📉 Scenario #2: TSLA is in an ending diagonal, with a bearish RSI divergence already formed. Both near-term and long-term outlooks are bearish. 📉 (See the image below) In both scenarios, TSLA appears to be bracing a downward move. If you’re holding shares of TSLA, consider scaling out in stages to lock in gains.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrMillion_official
TSLA Technical Analysis and GEX Option Insights - Jan. 3Price Action Analysis Tesla (TSLA) continues to demonstrate high volatility, trading within a range defined by critical support and resistance levels. The stock recently attempted to breach the $420 resistance but faced rejection, with current trading levels near $402. Downward momentum is building, indicated by increasing selling pressure and key technical signals. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Zones: $420: Key resistance and gamma wall; a break here may signal bullish continuation. $439.74: Strong resistance; clearing this level could open up room for higher targets. Support Zones: $390: Current pivot point; crucial to hold for near-term stability. $365: Strong gamma support; breach could lead to accelerated downside. Indicator Analysis MACD: Bearish crossover; signals momentum is shifting to the downside. Stochastic RSI: Bearish divergence; suggests overbought conditions cooling off. Volume: Consistent selling pressure with below-average buying strength. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights Call Walls: $420: 82.24% gamma resistance; significant seller activity expected here. $450: Major overhead resistance with high call concentration. Put Walls: $390: 30.32% support level. $365: Strong gamma support and capitulation level. Scenarios Bullish: Break above $420 with sustained volume. Target upside levels at $430 and $450. Bearish: Breach of $390 could trigger selling toward $365 and $350. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TESLA: Bullish reversal starting towards $480.Tesla is about to turn neutral again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.564, MACD = 2.800, ADX = 35.697) in an attempt to recover the 1D MA50 that it lost yesterday. The pattern since the ATH correction started looks a lot like July-September 2024, where a Channel Down made the necessary technical correction of the June rally and then a subsequent Channel Up recovered the losses all the way to almost the R1 level. With Tesla having corrected by almost -25%, it is worth going long now and aim for the R1 again (TP = 480.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by InvestingScope
$TESLA BUY OR SELL??Tesla has been in a tough spot lately, with earnings falling short of expectations. Many investors see this as a turning point, shifting their stance from a “Buy” to a “Sell”—and with good reason. However, despite its recent negative sentiment, I still believe Tesla is a buy, with only a temporary sell-off to it’s $345 levels, assuming it breaks below its current support level of $380, which it has been testing since early January. With further downside to be expected if it moves past $345. That being said, if $345 holds, Tesla remains structurally intact, having yet to break any major key levels. From a technical perspective, the stock is still in a bullish trend, forming a Bullish Pennant Flag—a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside. As long as Tesla maintains this structure, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers. However, while the technicals still lean bullish, I believe Tesla will need a catalytic event to reignite momentum and push the price higher. Whether that comes from a surprise earnings beat, positive industry news, or a broader market rally, a strong catalyst could be the key to Tesla’s next major move.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Torentino
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings ReportTesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings Report Following the close of the main trading session on 29 January, Tesla (TSLA) released an earnings report that fell short of analysts' expectations. The company reported: → Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66, below the expected $0.74. → Revenue of $25.7 billion, missing the forecasted $27.3 billion. Despite this, Tesla’s stock chart shows that the candle on 30 January closed around the key psychological level of $400, approximately 2% higher than the previous day’s close. Investor concerns over weak quarterly results may have been offset by Elon Musk’s optimistic outlook, as he suggested Tesla’s business would return to growth in 2025, driven by: → New, more affordable electric vehicle models. → Progress in autonomous driving technology. According to Business Insider, Musk stated that: → Tesla will begin testing a paid autonomous vehicle service in Austin, Texas, by June 2025. → The Full Self-Driving (FSD) software will undergo human-free testing in multiple states, including California, within a year. → Tesla is on track to become “the most valuable company” in the world, with strengthened production lines making 2026 an “epic” year. The technical analysis of Tesla (TSLA) stock shows that the bullish momentum (marked by the orange curve), which was supported by the market’s reaction to Trump’s victory, has already weakened as the price has broken below this trendline. Meanwhile: → The $433 level has acted as strong resistance, turning the price down three times (marked by black arrows), indicating bearish confidence that TSLA is overbought above this point. → The 2025 low around $385 serves as key support, preventing a deeper decline into the long-term rising channel (shown in blue). TSLA’s price may fluctuate within this range until a fundamental catalyst shifts market sentiment. Analysts, however, remain sceptical about TSLA’s outlook. According to TipRanks: → Only 12 out of 33 analysts recommend buying TSLA shares. → The 12-month price target averages $335, below current levels. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
TSLA at a Critical Level! Bullish Momentum or Resistance BreakouPrice Action Analysis * Current Price: $401.00 (Ask) * TSLA is trading within a consolidation zone near $400. Recent price action suggests indecision, as the stock tested resistance at $413 but failed to sustain momentum. * Key Support Levels: * $395: Immediate support, aligning with previous consolidation zones. * $378.85: A stronger level that could act as a potential demand zone if the price breaks lower. * Key Resistance Levels: * $413: Immediate resistance. A breakout above could signal a bullish continuation. * $420.73: The next critical level for bullish momentum. Indicators * MACD: Flattening near the signal line, indicating a lack of momentum but suggesting a potential bullish crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Neutral at 52.77, suggesting a balanced condition. A cross above 70 could confirm momentum. GEX Analysis and Option Sentiment * Gamma Exposure (GEX): 93.2% calls, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the options market. * High Positive NETGEX Level: $420 (Gamma Wall) serves as a strong resistance point. * Key GEX Levels: * $450: Strong CALL wall, potential upside target. * $365: PUT support, strong demand zone. Trading Plan Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout * Entry: Above $413 * Target 1: $420 * Target 2: $430 * Stop Loss: Below $395 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection * Entry: Below $395 * Target 1: $378 * Target 2: $365 * Stop Loss: Above $413 Option Strategy 1. Bullish: * Calls: Buy $420 Calls (expiration within 2 weeks). * Target premium growth if TSLA breaks $413 convincingly. 2. Bearish: * Puts: Buy $380 Puts (expiration within 2 weeks). * Target profits if price breaks $395. My Thoughts Tesla is poised for a significant move. The consolidation near $400 suggests that the next breakout or rejection will dictate the short-term direction. With GEX supporting a bullish case, $420 remains a critical target. However, a failure to hold $395 could bring a bearish wave. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions may vary at premarket open. Traders are advised to adjust strategies accordingly. For questions, please PM me!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Under 3-Minute Deep Dive Into Tesla (TSLA) – Big Move ComingTesla just pulled back to $320 on the weekly chart, and this is where things get interesting. If buyers step in, we could see a strong push to $370, and if that breaks, $397 and even $417 are in play. But here’s the flip side—if Tesla loses $320, things could unravel fast, and $250 might not be far off. I’m watching this level closely because the next move could be huge. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla 2025: Bull vs. Bear – Opportunities and Risks Bullish Thesis : Tesla is looking incredibly bullish for 2025! 🚀 Strong EV demand keeps growing, and Tesla remains the market leader. FSD & AI breakthroughs could unlock massive revenue through robotaxis. The energy business is expanding fast with solar and battery storage. A new affordable Tesla model is set to drive major market share growth. Cybertruck production is ramping up with strong demand. Manufacturing efficiency is improving at Giga Texas, Berlin, and Shanghai. Optimus, Tesla’s humanoid robot, could tap into a trillion-dollar market. Government incentives and energy credits continue to support Tesla’s growth. Advancements in 4680 battery tech improve efficiency and cut costs. Global expansion into markets like India is fueling further growth. The Supercharger network is opening to other automakers, creating new revenue streams. The Dojo supercomputer and Tesla AI innovations could redefine multiple industries. Stock buybacks may boost investor confidence, and Tesla’s strong balance sheet ensures continued innovation. With all this momentum, 2025 could be a huge year for Tesla! Bearish Thesis: EV competition is heating up, with legacy automakers and Chinese brands like BYD gaining market share. FSD and robotaxi ambitions face regulatory hurdles that could delay adoption. Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising production costs. The global economy and high interest rates could slow down EV demand. Tesla’s reliance on Elon Musk’s leadership is a risk, especially with his focus on multiple ventures. Cybertruck production challenges and potential delays could hurt expectations. Scaling 4680 battery cell production remains a hurdle. China, one of Tesla’s biggest markets, poses geopolitical risks and increasing competition. The energy business, while growing, still lags behind vehicle sales in profitability. Stock dilution from employee compensation plans or capital raises could impact share value. If Tesla fails to meet its aggressive AI, FSD, and Optimus robot timelines, investor sentiment could turn negative. With these risks in play, Tesla's 2025 outlook isn’t without challenges. ⚠️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by YoloVanCoin
$TSLA yieaahhhliterally a year ago on Feb 2024 I posted a beautiful chart that we nailed precisely. Coincidence we meet again one year later? I hope yieahhhh Strong confluences 1. 50% fib retracement 2. mid line on the parallel channel dating to stone age 3. RSI on weekly at 50 4. RSI on daily closed right at 30 Gamma exposure is heavy into the negative side - reason of the big selloffs vs other names that buy the dips - making this risky but I will stop right there, I only know how to draw lines. IMO if this support doesn't hold, we might see 246 uff. Yieaahhh
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by rubfigue
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or Further Downside?Market Structure & Price Action: * TSLA has been in a strong downtrend, breaking multiple support levels. * It has rejected the descending trendline, continuing lower. * Current price is hovering near $327, testing a key PUT support level. 🔍 Key Levels: * Support: * $327 – Strong PUT support (highest negative NETGEX). * $295 – 2nd major CALL wall support. * $250 – Long-term support if downside continues. * Resistance: * $360 – Heavy resistance from PUT wall. * $380 – 3rd CALL wall resistance. * $400 – Strong CALL resistance (37.69%). 📊 Indicator Analysis: 1️⃣ MACD: * MACD is deep in negative territory, showing strong bearish momentum. * A possible crossover could indicate a short-term relief bounce. 2️⃣ Stochastic RSI: * Oversold conditions, indicating potential for a relief bounce. * Needs confirmation with price action. 3️⃣ 9/21 EMA: * TSLA is trading below both EMAs, confirming strong bearish structure. * Needs to reclaim 9 EMA for any bullish reversal attempt. 🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment: * PUT Support at $327: This is a critical level; a break below can accelerate selling. * Call walls at $360 & $380: Resistance levels where buyers may struggle. * IVR 51 / IVx 66.6: Moderate implied volatility, suggesting steady options activity. 🛠️ Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario (Break Below $327): * If TSLA fails to hold $327, expect a drop towards $295. * Ideal PUT entry: Break below $327 with volume. * Stop Loss: Above $335. * Profit Target: $300-$295. 📈 Bullish Reversal (Above $327): * If TSLA reclaims 9 EMA & holds $327, expect a bounce towards $350-$360. * Ideal CALL entry: Reclaim of $335 with strong volume. * Stop Loss: Below $320. * Profit Target: $350-$360. 🎯 Final Thoughts: * TSLA is at a key decision point. * A break below $327 triggers more downside. * A bounce above $327 could offer a short-term relief rally. 🔔 Trade carefully & manage risk!
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights