TSLA Testing Key Levels! Critical GEX Insights for Jan. 3, 2024
Current Trend:
TSLA is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour and daily charts. The price is trading below key EMAs, indicating bearish momentum. A descending trendline and lower lows formation further confirm the downtrend.
* Key Observations from Indicators:
* MACD (1-hour): Shows a potential bullish crossover as the histogram shifts upward, suggesting momentum could favor a short-term bounce.
* Stochastic RSI (1-hour): Oversold with a slight uptick, indicating the possibility of a short-term recovery.
* Volume: Recent sell-offs were accompanied by high volume, showing strong bearish sentiment, but lighter volume during the consolidation phase hints at declining selling pressure.
Key Support and Resistance Levels (Daily Chart):
* Support Levels:
* $383: Immediate support, with GEX data showing strong PUT activity at this level.
* $370: Next major support, aligning with a significant GEX PUT wall.
* Resistance Levels:
* $410: First resistance level, also a significant CALL wall with high GEX activity.
* $425: Secondary resistance, marked by historical rejection points and GEX CALL concentration.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Negative GEX Zones: Strong negative gamma below $390, indicating heightened volatility in the downside region.
* Key Gamma Walls:
* $383: The highest negative net GEX, aligning with support.
* $370: Critical PUT wall, where sellers could regain dominance if breached.
* Options Activity:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is at 61%, indicating moderate options pricing relative to its historical range.
* A high CALL/PUT ratio signals an imbalance, with a focus on bearish positions dominating near $383-$370.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $397.
* Target: $410 (initial), $425 (secondary).
* Stop-Loss: Below $383 to avoid downside risk.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $383.
* Target: $370 (initial), with potential extension to $355.
* Stop-Loss: Above $397 to limit upside risk.
Conclusion:
TSLA remains under significant selling pressure but shows signs of short-term stabilization near $383. Traders should monitor volume and momentum at critical levels ($383 and $410) for potential breakout or breakdown setups.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly.
