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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA looking for rejection around 200HMASo, I've been bearish on TSLA around that $400 mark and was waiting for more PA to evolve before calling the shots. It broke down. Quite rapidly actually. Currently looking to see what happens when price floats around that 200HMA in red. Also looking at weekly RSI that broke down the centre of the channel. If RSI on weekly cannot reclaim above centra at 50 and price has a hard time returning above 200HMA, I'll be looking for another leg down on HTF. I'm looking at weekly timeframe here so be mindful about that. I'm fluid. For me, price doesn't have to get a clean rejection for me to make up my mind. Although, that would make life easier, I'll also look at how price behaves around a certain price level. What I mean by that is: I don't care whether the price will go higher than that 200HMA in daily candles. I care about weekly closes and formations around that area.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Martechnic
Tesla stock has completed 5 downward waves.Tesla stock has completed 5 downward waves Currently, market sentiment is highly negative. A correction to the $296-$326 area, which corresponds to 38.20 and 50% Fibonacci levels, seems likely. They have also covered the gap from below. After Tesla stock's correction, I expect a global collapse of the SP500, the US stock market, and the cryptocurrency market. You can review ideas for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, SPY/SP500: ----- SP500/SPY: Today: ----- Bitcoin: ----- Ethereum: ----- Solana:
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SergioRichi
2
How far will $TSLA go?How far will NASDAQ:TSLA go? Elon is rolling into the Golden Age with robotaxi’s, A.I. and humanoid robotics. Some baseline technical analysis. Pitchfork projected from the 2019 impulse waves. Price has touched the median line twice and the bottom of Fibonacci fork thrice. Setting up a possible three drives waves pattern. Break $600 on this run up and we’ll see $1,000-$1,700 quickly to reach the top of the pitchfork completing the impulse waves. This puts Tesla at a marketcap of $5.47T
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Azzzz
MASSIVE $TESLA SHORT: 🚨 NASDAQ:TSLA - MASSIVE SHORT INCOMING? 🚨 Weekly Bearish Divergence Alert 🔻 Tesla is flashing major warning signs on the weekly chart. While price has pushed higher recently, momentum is doing the opposite — bearish divergence on the RSI/MACD is undeniable. 📉 Price Action: TSLA is struggling to reclaim key resistance near $200–$210. The recent rally looks exhausted, with buyers losing strength. 📊 Technical Breakdown: RSI Divergence: Price made a higher high, but RSI made a lower high = bearish divergence MACD Histogram Weakening: Bullish momentum is fading fast Volume: Declining on green days, heavier on red = distribution underway ⚠️ Macro Headwinds EV competition is surging Elon selling shares = supply pressure Market rotation into value, not growth 🎯 Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice): Entry: $195–$205 zone Stop: Close above $215 Targets: $180, $160, then $130 for the brave This is a textbook swing short opportunity with a favourable risk/reward ratio. Smart money could be unloading here — don’t get caught long at the top. 📅 Watch for confirmation on this week’s close. If the divergence plays out, this could be a multi-week dump. #TSLA #Short #BearishDivergence #SwingTrade #Options #TeslaCrash #TradeView
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by lukedotcom
2
Tesla (TSLA) – Daily Chart AnalysisTechnical Landscape Immediate Resistance: Gap / Low Volume Zone: $288.14 – $338.79 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at ~$338.79 Major Resistance Above: 50% Retracement: ~$356.15 0.618 Fibonacci: ~$418.66 Key Support Levels: $246.45 (recent structural low) $220.48 $196.51 $180.80 Momentum Indicators RSI Currently rising and reclaiming the 50.00 level, a significant threshold. Momentum profile closely mirrors the November 2024 recovery (highlighted with circle). Prior surges from similar RSI+ structures led to multi-week uptrends. Trend Bullish crossover confirmed with expanding green histogram. Momentum is accelerating out of a deeply oversold condition—similar to the late 2024 rally initiation. Signal line separation is clear, suggesting short-term strength remains intact. On Balance Volume Just printed its first strong upturn in over two months. The curve has transitioned from flat to rising, forming a mirror image of the reversal seen in November 2024. While early, the formation suggests underlying accumulation and rotation back into strength. Scenarios Based on Current Structure Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Through Gap Zone Trigger: Break and hold above ~$288.14 (gap entry) with increasing volume and confirmation from RSI+ and WaveTrend. Structure: Price accelerates into low-volume gap region, seeking fill up to ~$338.79. Target 1: $338.79 (0.236 Fib) Target 2: $356.15 (50% retracement) Target 3: $418.66 (0.618 retracement) Momentum Bias: All three indicators currently favor bullish continuation. Scenario 2: Short-Term Rejection at Gap Resistance Trigger: Price rejects within $288–$300 and fails to sustain above the low-volume node. Price Response: Retests structural support near $246.45 or deeper at $220.48. Setup: Look for RSI+ to lose the 50 level and WaveTrend to flatten or recross down. Bias: Short-term corrective move, but still within a broader base-building structure. Scenario 3: Breakdown Back Into Range Trigger: A sharp reversal with high-volume rejection from the current rally leg, especially without full gap fill. Confirmation: Indicators roll over—WaveTrend flips negative, Volume Buoyancy breaks down. Target: $220.48 initially, then $196.51 and potentially $180.80 if broader market weakens. Implication: Reclassifies price action as a failed relief rally, resuming prior downtrend. Summary Tesla is in the early stages of a potential trend reversal. The alignment of RSI+, WaveTrend 3D, and Volume Buoyancy with prior bottoming conditions suggests further upside is likely if the stock clears the low-volume region starting at ~$288. That said, this is a structurally thin area, and rejection within the gap could send price back to major support zones. Volume will be key in validating breakout attempts. Should momentum fade and structural levels fail, the broader downtrend may reassert itself.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TenderTown
TESLA Market Outlook: Strong Reversal Expected at $200 SupportNASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel , a structure that has guided price action since 2020. This channel reflects the broader bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows consistently forming over the years. The recent sharp decline from the upper boundary of the channel is best interpreted as a temporary retracement rather than a structural shift. Such pullbacks have presented strong buying opportunities before, particularly when price approaches key support levels within the channel. The key area to watch is the $200 demand zone. This level coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and has before drawn significant buying interest. Given the broader bullish structure, a reversal from this zone could reestablish the uptrend and lead to a retest of higher levels. If a bounce occurs at the $200 demand zone, the immediate target is $263, which aligns with a key resistance level where prior rejection occurred. This area represents a logical point to watch for, but a successful breakout above $263 could lead to further move toward the upper boundary of the channel. Fundamental Outlook: From a fundamental perspective, the recent decline could be due to Tesla facing a unique set of challenges stemming from Elon Musk’s increasing involvement in the U.S. government. His role in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under the Trump administration has triggered mixed reactions across the financial landscape. The DOGE program, aimed at cutting bureaucratic waste and enhancing operational efficiency, has led to concerns about Musk’s ability to maintain focus on Tesla. Some investors do worry that his attention, divided among a few ventures such as Tesla, SpaceX, and also the federal program, might slow the company’s innovation pipeline in addition to running efficiency. People are quite divided in their opinions. While some view Musk’s governmental involvement as a strategic advantage, believing his influence could drive favorable policy outcomes, others see it as a distraction that threatens Tesla’s future success. Additionally, if the DOGE program prompts budgetary austerity measures, there could be cuts to clean energy incentives, an outcome that would directly impact Tesla’s profits directly. Despite these concerns, the market’s long-term outlook for Tesla remains bullish. Many investors view any significant retracement as a buying opportunity, particularly near major technical support zones like $200. This area is widely recognized as a strong accumulation zone where institutional buyers are likely to step in. Furthermore, the electric vehicle market continues to expand globally, and Tesla’s brand strength and technological lead remain intact, reinforcing the long-term growth narrative. Market View & Predictions While short-term volatility is expected due to ongoing uncertainties surrounding Musk’s government involvement, the broader technical structure suggests that the uptrend is still intact. The recent pullback from the upper channel boundary appears to be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. If the price tests the $200 support zone, it could trigger a new wave of buying pressure, potentially driving the stock back toward the $263 resistance and beyond. As long as the price remains within the ascending channel, the bullish case for Tesla remains valid, with the potential for further upside as market confidence stabilizes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TrendDiva
124
SeekingPips sees TSLS Tesla GAIN $60 ! What's Next?It's hard for many traders to do. 🤔 ⭐️ I still see it today with traders and investors alike. Even with some who have been at it for many years... BUT some of the BEST ENTRIES & EXITS for me have been when the OPEN CANDLE IS COMPLETELY AGAINST ME. The LAST WEEKLY TESLA chart that I shared is another prime example of this. 🟢SeekingPips🟢 shared a BULLISH BIAS when the WEEKLY CHART was looking as BEARISH as hell. 🔥 ℹ️ Now it really is not a method that works for everyone. Trading against momentum always looks SCARY BUT the SECRET is MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS and also being able to... VISUALISE DIFFERENT OBSCURE TIMEFRAMES IN REAL-TIME USING THE CURRENT OPEN CHART. ⚠️I plan on going DEEPER INTO this rabbit hole with some information and examples in the TUTORIAL SECTIONS soon.⚠️ 🚥 In it's simplest terms an example would be beaing able to note where price is on a 20 or 10 min chart just only by having a 5 minute chart in front of you. By being able to do so in REAL-TIME KEY LEVELS POP OUT that you may not have noticed from the 5 minute chart perspective only.💡💡💡 Now 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has to wait for a TRIGGER for a NEW ENTRY & SO SHOULD YOU.👍👌👍
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by seekingpips
TSLA bounce baby tgt $264Well, that was quite a trip on TSLA, my lord! My target at $242 from the last idea (TSLA big short) was blown, & I forgot I had a lower zone given from a reading (I'm a dowser) I did on 2/20 this year. I drew the range back then & suddenly price came into this huge drawing I had forgot I put on my chart. Maybe I mentioned it in the last idea, actually, but I'd have to check. Regardless the way I get zones sometimes is I'm given a date. In this case the date was all the way back to 1/16/24. That day price was from $212-$223, so I just draw the zone & see what happens. When I asked at the time (2/20) the guidance is that TSLA would revisit those prices. This is a long winded explanation of how I get info sometimes, and also why I think we bounce from here... besides the fact it's "due", right?! My work in indexes was pretty super with a new breakthrough on predicting the time it will take to hit targets, which is amazing, and I'm not even going to be shy about it. We're in that time window with targets hit on indexes & dowsing repeating there's bullish energy. Target on TSLA is $264 by the 24th of this month. Coincidentally, I have long indexes to the 25th. This is super experimental work, so let's just see what happens because I've had really good calls & then next time is horrible. Keeps me humble LOL. Go TSLA!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JenRz
2
TSLA big short??? Tgt $242Alrighty, I've been creating a nice little track record with TSLA since just before earnings, and when I asked about it today, some different kind of energy or information came in. I get my information from dowsing with a pendulum. You really won't find technicals at all with my work, so if you'd like a new or different perspective from the esoteric "woowoo" realm, I'm it. If you know any others who do this kind of thing and post about it, please lmk who they are. So into tomorrow (Friday) should be pretty bullish on TSLA, however, my dowsing has pushed me about getting dates. When I did this, I noticed both dates (10/12/24 & 2/2/25) have large gaps down around that time frame. I also get that there's some kind of news - maybe this Saturday. Might Elon be too busy for TSLA??? Idk & didn't ask because I don't care. I only care what the stock is going to do & this took me a long time to do, so the fewer the questions, the better. The repeating "energy" is multi day downtrend and breakdown. When I asked about a target I have a couple things... one thing came as a date, 1/15/2024 & suggested it revisits the price. I have seen this work in the past, so maybe. It also would clean up many gaps. That price range was $212-223 & is right in a consolidation zone. My dowsing keeps giving me something with 42 though. This could be 42% from the next swing high, which if it makes it to $377 would take it to around $218. I let dowsing choose between the price 218 & 242 & it likes 242. Anyway, my lower targets are often blown (see last TSLA idea), but when you've already made so many points, is it a big deal?? It usually just indicates a warning zone for a reversal. When I ask how many weeks to hit, I get 10 weeks. When I ask what month, I get May. When I ask what's most important to tell you guys, it says "a big high is coming". We'll see. This'll be interesting!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by JenRz
6
Tesla Financials: Q1 2025The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the current bounce, this alone is insufficient to sustain a full recovery. As the price approaches higher levels, particularly near key supply zones, it will likely encounter significant resistance, resulting in reversal. Let's not forget the fact that figures in Tesla’s Q4 '24 financial report initiated bearish sentiment among institutional investors which resulted in market crash. Similarly, the upcoming Q1 earnings report presents a clear downside risk, as the significant events throughout this quarter will inevitably be reflected in the financial figures! Anticipated impact of significant developments on Tesla’s Q1 2025 Financial Statements 🛑 Revenue Decline • U.S. Market Weakness: Lower-than-anticipated vehicle sales in the U.S. directly reduce automotive revenue. • Severe European Slump: A significant 76% sales decline in Germany and weakness elsewhere in Europe will notably reduce international revenues. • Chinese Market Challenges: A substantial 49% sales drop in China will negatively affect one of Tesla’s crucial growth markets. • Cybertruck Weakness and Recalls: Reduced demand and multiple recalls of Cybertruck models further erode revenue growth. • Resale Value Decline and Trade-Ins: Increased vehicle trade-ins indicate lower demand, causing inventory buildup, discounting pressures, and further sales reductions. 🛑 Gross Margin Erosion • Price Reductions and Sales Incentives: Competitive pressures and lower demand likely forced Tesla to reduce vehicle prices and offer incentives, compressing gross margins. • Increased Competition from BYD: BYD’s advanced battery technology (providing 400 km of range in just 5 minutes of charging) pressures Tesla to increase R&D spending or cut prices further, negatively affecting margins. • Production Challenges (Supply Chain and Battery Issues): Ongoing global supply chain disruptions and difficulties scaling battery production significantly increase manufacturing costs, further squeezing gross margins. 🛑 Increased Operating Expenses • Recall Costs and Legal Expenses: Vehicle recalls, along with lawsuits related to product issues such as phantom braking, will significantly increase warranty provisions, legal fees, and related operating expenses. • Protests and Vandalism Costs: Public backlash and vandalism necessitate additional expenditures on security, facility repairs, and public relations initiatives. • Employee Turnover Costs: Departures of key personnel result in increased recruiting, training, onboarding, and severance expenses. 🛑 Net Income and EPS Impact • Analyst Earnings Downgrades: Already-reduced EPS projections by major analysts suggest Tesla will likely report earnings below expectations, reflecting revenue shortfalls and elevated expenses. • $1.4 Billion Financial Discrepancy: If confirmed or unresolved, this discrepancy could lead to substantial asset impairments, restatements, or write-downs, negatively impacting net income and earnings per share (EPS). 🛑 Cash Flow and Liquidity Pressures • Lower Operating Cash Flows: Reduced revenue coupled with rising operating costs (including recalls, lawsuits, security, and PR spending) severely diminish cash generated from business operations. • Increased Capital Expenditures: Additional CapEx is likely required to address battery production bottlenecks and delays in autonomous driving technology development, resulting in elevated investing cash outflows. • Investor Divestment and Stock Volatility: Negative investor sentiment could lead to costly equity financing conditions if Tesla needs to raise capital, adversely affecting financing cash flows and liquidity. 🛑 Balance Sheet Risks • Rising Inventory Levels: Weak sales combined with continued vehicle production may lead to increased inventory levels, reducing cash and potentially requiring markdowns or provisions. • Debt and Liquidity Challenges: Deteriorating credit metrics or covenant breaches could make refinancing existing debt more expensive or complicated, negatively impacting Tesla’s financial stability.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
7
Tesla on the Path to New Highs: Correction Before a Major high?hello guys. let's have a comprehensive analysis of Tesla __________________________ Technical Analysis Price Structure & Trend: The monthly chart indicates a long-term uptrend within a broad ascending channel. Tesla has recently faced resistance around $300 and is now in a corrective phase. The expected correction may bring the price down to around $220-$250, where it could find strong support before continuing its bullish move. or it is possible to start an upward movement and form an ATH! RSI & Divergence: The RSI indicator previously showed a fake bearish divergence, meaning the price action remains strong despite earlier weakness signals. Potential Higher Levels If Tesla successfully follows the projected movement, a break above $575 could open the door to $700-$750, based on the channel extension and historical breakout patterns. __________________________ Fundamental Analysis Earnings & Growth: Tesla's revenue growth remains strong despite market headwinds. New factory expansions (Giga Texas, Giga Berlin) and production efficiency improvements contribute to long-term profitability. The Cybertruck ramp-up and expansion in AI-driven automation could drive future stock value. EV Market Outlook: Tesla maintains a dominant position, but increasing competition from Chinese EV manufacturers and legacy automakers remains a challenge. Recent price cuts have impacted margins but helped sustain high sales volume. Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve could impact growth stocks like Tesla. If rates stabilize or decrease in 2025, Tesla could see renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to new highs. _________________________ Conclusion The mid-term bearish retracement toward $250 aligns with healthy correction levels. If Tesla holds above support and breaks $350, your $575 target is highly probable. A break above $575 could lead to $700+ in the longer term, assuming positive earnings growth and stable macroeconomic conditions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by melikatrader94
15
Tesla's 12% Rally Faces Major Test 🧭 After a brutal 55% sell-off, Tesla bounces sharply—but reputational damage, six-quarter earnings misses, and resistance at $284 may limit the upside. 📌 Tesla Bounces After 55% Decline, But Can It Last? Tesla shares have staged an impressive 17% rebound over the past two sessions, closing near $282 after briefly dipping below long-term support at $221—a level identified in previous technical analysis. The rally follows a brutal 55% drawdown over two months, driven by fundamental concerns and investor disillusionment with Tesla's leadership and financial trajectory. While the bounce has sparked hopes of a full recovery, many investors are asking: Is this rally sustainable, or simply a technical reaction to an oversold market? 🔍 What's Behind the Decline? Sales, Sentiment, and Musk Tesla Inc. was once the undisputed leader of the electric vehicle movement—praised for innovation, margins, and cult-like investor loyalty. However, that sentiment has deteriorated rapidly, driven by a combination of brand erosion, global consumer backlash, and CEO Elon Musk's growing political entanglements. Recent data shows Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union dropped for the second consecutive month in February, despite increased overall EV adoption among rival automakers. This suggests that brand damage is not just a PR issue—it's hitting demand directly. The drop coincides with widespread boycotts and protests against Tesla vehicles across regions like Germany, France, and the Netherlands, where public trust in Musk's leadership has sharply declined. Elon Musk's involvement in U.S. government affairs—ranging from infrastructure to national security—has further blurred the line between corporate leadership and personal politics. While his goals align with long-term technological influence, his increasingly controversial social presence and political commentary have invited scrutiny from both investors and customers alike. 📉 Fundamentals Still Struggling: Six Quarters of Mixed Results Adding to investor anxiety is Tesla's shaky earnings record. Over the past six quarters, the company has missed revenue expectations in five, with growing signs of delivery pressure and margin compression. QuarterReported RevenueEstimateSurprise (%) Sep 2023 $23.35B $24.19B –3.46% Dec 2023 $25.17B $25.60B –1.67% Mar 2024 $21.30B $22.22B –4.14% Jun 2024 $25.50B $24.52B +3.99% Sep 2024 $25.18B $25.47B –1.12% Dec 2024 $25.71B $27.26B –5.69% The most recent miss—a $1.55B revenue gap in Q4 2024—was the largest in over a year, reinforcing fears that Tesla's dominance in the EV market is eroding faster than expected. 📊 Technical Outlook: Bounce or Bull Trap? Tesla's rally is now facing a critical test. After bouncing from $221, the stock surged through a long-term resistance zone between $244–$263, flipping that region into support. The breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in trading volume, a bullish sign for short-term momentum. However, several key resistance levels lie directly ahead: $275.70 – Initial resistance zone; currently being tested $284.00 – Next level tied to a major supply area $306.00 and $325.00 – Historical congestion zones $356.00 and $387.00 – Longer-term recovery targets if momentum continues If Tesla fails to break and hold above $284, it could fall back into the previous range. The $263–$244 support zone will be critical in cushioning any pullback. A loss of this support could open the door to a retest of $221 or lower. ↺ Scenarios to Watch: Rebound or Reversal? 📉 Bearish Scenario: Price fails to hold above $275.70 Pullback toward $263, then $244 Breakdown below $244 could retest $221 and resume a broader downtrend 📈 Bullish Scenario: A clean break above $284 with volume Continuation toward $306 → $325 Sustained momentum opens the path to $356 and $387 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Brand Damage vs. Technical Rebound Tesla's rebound is undeniably impressive—but investors should remain cautious. While technicals suggest a short-term recovery is underway, the underlying fundamentals and sentiment remain damaged. Unless Tesla can stabilize earnings, rebuild global brand trust, and separate leadership from political theatrics, this bounce may prove to be temporary relief rather than a long-term trend reversal. The $284 resistance zone is now the key battleground. A failure to break above may confirm that Tesla's best days are still behind it—for now.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Rotuma