$BYDDY WILL GO UPI called this out previously. I just want to update to hopefully get more traction on my posts here on trading view. I Believe in Elliott wave and I think we are headed higher especially with the estimated growth in Chinas economy. Byd is not allowed to sell in the US so tariffs do not directly affect them.
1211 trade ideas
BYD - What next post-earnings and the BoC's stimulus?HKEX:1211 has had a strong year in growth prospects, reporting solid earnings growth thanks to its robust EV sales and expanding footprint in international markets. The recent earnings beat highlighted an impressive increase in revenue, driven by the demand for both their electric and hybrid vehicles. But what we can notice is that the stock has only reflected this as a c.16% rise in price YTD. However, the question now is: where does BYD go from here?
- More recently, the BoC's latest stimulus measures, including rate cuts and support for the real estate sector, could indirectly benefit BYD. With increased liquidity and consumer confidence, domestic demand for EV's could rise, especially if coupled with additional green energy incentives.
- As for the earnings release, the markets reacted well, and with this new-found optimism in the markets, with both the SEE Composite Index SSE:000001 and the Hang Seng Index TVC:HSI up 5.78% and 9.28% in the past 5 days, is this the turn-around for China as a whole?
$BYDDY This Year BYD will go UPBYD, a leading Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, is poised for significant growth this year, with several factors contributing to this optimistic outlook:
Accelerating Delivery Growth: Analysts anticipate a substantial increase in BYD's vehicle deliveries. Citi's Jeff Chung projects a 10% month-over-month growth in wholesale volume for August, reaching approximately 375,000 vehicles, and expects monthly deliveries to hit 400,000 by October. This momentum could lead to a total of 5 million vehicles delivered in 2024, marking a 65% year-over-year increase.
Strong Market Position: Despite a general slowdown in EV stock growth, BYD has outperformed peers like Tesla, Li Auto, NIO, and XPeng. This resilience underscores BYD's robust market position and its ability to navigate industry challenges effectively.
Analyst Confidence: Reflecting confidence in BYD's prospects, Chung has set a price target of $123.50 for BYD's American depositary receipts (BYDDY), which were trading at $55.14 as of August 2024. This suggests a potential doubling of the stock's value, indicating strong investor confidence in BYD's future performance.
In summary, BYD's anticipated delivery growth, strong market position, and positive analyst outlook suggest that BYDDY stock is well-positioned for an upward trajectory this year.
BYDDF falling wedgeHi traders,
Based on BYDDF chart, the price is forming a falling wedge pattern and is recommended to entry for a long position once the breakout occurs.
We are waiting for the possibility that the price could target 41.36, the break of resistance would be beneficial in the short term.
BYD Co. (BYDDY) AnalysisCompany Overview: BYD Co. (Build Your Dreams), a leader in electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, has firmly established itself as a global powerhouse in the EV market. Known for its vertically integrated model and diverse vehicle lineup, BYD continues to expand its dominance across key regions, solidifying its position as a top competitor in the EV and clean energy sectors.
Key Developments:
Market Leadership: OTC:BYDDY has surpassed Tesla as the world's largest EV seller, delivering 822,094 vehicles in Q3 2023 compared to Tesla's 435,059 deliveries. This achievement highlights BYD's growing global market share and its ability to meet surging demand, even in a highly competitive industry.
Diverse Product Lineup: BYD’s expansive vehicle range—from affordable compact cars to luxury models—appeals to a broad consumer base, reducing its dependence on a single market segment. This diversification strengthens its resilience and positions the company to capture additional market share across income brackets.
International Expansion: BYD is aggressively entering new markets, including Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, tapping into regions with rising EV adoption rates. This international growth strategy provides BYD with new revenue streams, insulating it from potential regional economic fluctuations.
Rising EV Demand: With global EV adoption continuing to accelerate, BYD benefits from a tailwind of policy support for renewable energy and consumer demand for eco-friendly transportation options.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on BYDDY above the $62.00-$63.00 range, driven by its market leadership, product diversification, and robust international growth strategy.
Upside Potential: Our price target is set at $123.00-$125.00, reflecting the company’s potential to capitalize on its global expansion and strengthen its position as the top EV maker worldwide.
🚗 BYD—Driving the Future of EVs Globally! #ElectricVehicles #BYD #CleanEnergyRevolution
Statistical arbitrage, Short Tesla high valuation, buy BYDThe prevailing pessimism surrounding China and Tesla's high valuation create an opportunity for a statistical arbitrage strategy. In this setup, you could short Tesla or buy puts, while hedging the risk of a potential uptick in EV sales by going long on BYD stock or purchasing call options. The goal is to achieve a 'market-neutral' trade by balancing the downside risk in Tesla with the potential upside in BYD. The following chart simulates potential returns if you shorted one Tesla share for each BYD share.
The blue arrow is were i enter my trade for testing just with one short share of tesla at 260 and 9 shares of 1211 (BYD) at 237. let see how it plays out.
Have I missed anything?
NASDAQ:TSLA
HKEX:1211
Thanks the atencion let me know if i missed something, thanks.(open for discussion)
@Marcos_Camacho4
BYD Short: End of Double combinationThis call is based on what I observed to be the completion of 2 corrective A-B-Cs (in green) with the 2nd C wave as an ending diagonal.
Take note that there is a minor trendline (in green) that is also broken.
The stop for this idea is around 250HKD and the first TP is at 203HKD.
75: BYD to Open Major Electric Vehicle Factory in TurkeyExciting times for BYD as the company announces a significant $1 billion investment to establish a major electric vehicle factory in Turkey. This strategic move is set to help BYD circumvent the recent EU tariffs on Chinese electric cars, creating 5,000 jobs and enhancing their production capabilities to 150,000 vehicles annually. This development not only strengthens BYD's foothold in the European market but also showcases their adaptability and long-term growth strategy.
The chart is currently indicating an uptrend, which began after the price successfully reclaimed the $54.80 level. This reclamation has set a strong foundation for the current upward momentum.
The price has also sustained above the high of $58.01, further solidifying this bullish trend. Holding above this level is crucial for the next phase of the uptrend.
The immediate target for BYD’s stock is the $64.91 price level. Reaching this level will confirm the strength of the current trend and open up possibilities for further gains.
Once the stock achieves the $64.91 mark, we can set our sights on the next significant target at $76.75. Breaking through this level could lead to even higher valuations, reflecting continued investor confidence and market strength. On the flip side, if the stock loses its grip on the $58.01 level, it could signal a reversal, with the next major support found around $43.48. Monitoring these levels is essential for adjusting trading strategies accordingly.
BY6 - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
1211 - 5 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
BYD: Engine Breakdown 🚘We consider the recent setback merely as part of the substructure of the magenta wave (1). This wave should lead to a sustained rise above the resistance line at HK$280.60. However, our 30% probable alternative scenario should also be noted. This would attest to the corrective nature of the upward movement that has been underway since February. Although the price should continue above HK$280.60 in this case, a significant sell-off should then set in, which would take the price to complete the green wave alt. below the support at HK$161.70.
BYD's Earnings Rollercoaster: Price Wars and Global DemandsIn a recent filing with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, BYD Co. ( NYSE:BYD ) announced a robust surge in its 2023 net income, projecting an increase of 75% to 86.5% compared to the previous year. Despite this impressive growth, the company fell short of analyst expectations, sparking a 5.44% drop in NYSE:BYD shares and extending losses to roughly 37% over the past year. The complex dynamics of a price war in China, fluctuating global demand, and geopolitical tensions have shaped NYSE:BYD 's financial landscape, offering investors a unique narrative to decipher.
I. Electric Vehicle Sales Triumph:
NYSE:BYD 's ascent to become the top electric vehicle (EV) maker by sales in the final quarter of 2023, outpacing industry giant Tesla, marked a significant milestone for the Chinese automaker. Bolstered by soaring sales in China, NYSE:BYD delivered 526,409 fully electric cars, surpassing Tesla for the first time. The impressive feat was attributed to BYD's extensive lineup of more affordable EV models, highlighting the company's strategic positioning in the world's largest auto market.
II. Price War Woes:
Despite the stellar sales performance, NYSE:BYD faced the challenges of a price war in China's fiercely competitive EV landscape. In a bid to achieve annual delivery targets, the Shenzhen-based company implemented aggressive discounts, slashing prices on popular models like Qin, Han, and Tang by as much as 10,000 yuan. The impact of this pricing strategy has been reflected in NYSE:BYD 's earnings report, where net income fell short of the average analyst estimate.
III. Geopolitical Scrutiny:
NYSE:BYD 's success has not shielded it from geopolitical tensions, as the company finds itself under the European Commission's anti-subsidy investigation. Alongside two other carmakers, NYSE:BYD faces scrutiny to determine if state support from the Chinese government has provided an unfair advantage. Navigating this investigation adds a layer of uncertainty to NYSE:BYD 's future, as regulatory challenges could potentially impact the company's global operations.
IV. Slower Growth Pace and Profitability:
While NYSE:BYD 's net profit is expected to show a remarkable increase, the growth rate in 2023 is notably slower than the exceptional 446% surge witnessed in 2022. Despite fierce industry competition, NYSE:BYD emphasizes significant improvement in profitability and resilience, attributing its success to factors such as rapid growth in overseas sales, a scale advantage, and efficient cost control within the supply chain.
V. Future Outlook:
NYSE:BYD 's foray into the Southeast Asian market with the unveiling of three battery EV models in Indonesia signals the company's ambitious expansion plans. As NYSE:BYD aims to secure the top market position in Southeast Asia's largest economy, the global EV landscape remains dynamic and unpredictable. Investors will closely watch how NYSE:BYD navigates the evolving industry landscape, responds to geopolitical challenges, and sustains its momentum in the face of intense competition.
Conclusion:
NYSE:BYD 's journey in 2023 has been characterized by triumphs in sales, challenges in pricing strategies, and the looming shadow of geopolitical scrutiny. The company's ability to navigate these complexities will shape its trajectory in the rapidly evolving electric vehicle market. As investors assess the risks and rewards associated with NYSE:BYD , the story unfolds as a compelling narrative of a company grappling with the highs and lows of a transformative industry.
BYDBYD’s (1211) EMA10-EMA20 and MACD suggest prices could continue its downward trajectory. Prices are also below the HKD200 psychological level. Hence BYD could retest either the HKD176 or HKD165 support. However, a daily close above HKD220, which was also the EMA20, could propel prices towards the 31 August 2022’s gap down of HKD245.
BYD.....Correction not yet finished!Hello Traders,
BYD is on path with my forecast. The stock has declined to new lows, and this down-sequence isn't done yet!
On Friday, wave ((3)) has finished @ HK$ 224.60, and wave ((4)) should start.
A target area for this scenario is at or around the HK$ 250 levels.
If Friday's low was not the end of waves((3)), (may a wave 3 of one lower degree has ended), the stock will stay right on his path for lower price in the coming week.
But keep in mind! As steeper the correcting moves, the less the probability for the count is given!
BYD has to charge his battery for a new impulse!
Have a great Sunday.....
Ruebennase
Feel free to ask or comment!
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
BYD.....Correction within a wave c!Hello Traders,
since my latter analysis, BYD has made no progress.
Instead, it was declining to 260 area, where the bullish count would be negated for the moment.
I have revised the count.
As a result, I count BYD correcting within a waves c of (y) of ((ii))!
Today, waves (3) (Micro degree) could have end!?
If so, the next move will be to the upside, developing as an a-b-c, finishing waves ((4)). After a decline below today's low is in the cards; finishing waves ((5)) of c of (y) of ((ii))!
At the bigger picture, this move, if so to come, will end a large correction, and BYD will start a new impulse within a wave's 3! Targets for this scenario are well above seen levels.
Have a great week....
Ruebennase
Feel free to ask or comment!
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
The editor is invested!
BYD.....Charging the battery!Hello Traders,
BYD bounced off the level @ 261 HK$, as I mentioned per my later analysis! In consequence, it ran to 302.-! This could be waves (i) or a wave a of (b) of ((ii))!
In the corrective case, at 325.80, waves c=a of (b), and the next move should be down to 245.80 HK$! This would complete waves (c) of ((ii))!
If the weakness to 261 HKD was all of the correction, the waves should extend to 333.- HKD from these levels or slightly lower areas!
A break of 261.- would negate the bullish view for a moment!
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennase
Feel free to ask or comment!
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
BYD....Don`t panic! The situation is under control!Hello Traders,
yesterday, BYD dropped nearly 10 % at Exchange in Hong Kong.
It was a bit misty what was the cause. So, 225 Million stocks of BYD were listed at the clearing book in Hong Kong. This number is exactly the size, of which Buffet bought in 2008!
So, the rumors ran around, that he is likely to sell BYD stocks!
But, what reason Buffet should have to sell his stocks in BYD? In fact, the reason was, that Hong Kong exchange switched from physical stocks to electronic stocks! That's it!
Today, the stock rebound 5%!
But what does it suggest for my wave count?
One possible idea could be, that waves ((i)) and ((ii)) are done or close to be, and the next move is a rally in waves ((iii))! A break of 333 HKD opens the door to this idea.
A decline to 245.8 HKD is possible, would only retrace to the most possible level for a waves ((ii))!
So the next day's should be fascinating for BYD.
Have a great Friday.....
Ruebennase
Feel free to ask or comment!
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!