3455 trade ideas
SPY/QQQ NQ/ES 1 Mayo 2025Key Analysis – QQQ (May 1st, 2025)
📍 Current Price Context
Price is currently around 484.75 after a strong upward move.
Trading near a Call Wall at 482 and a potential Rejection Block Head at 484.72.
🔼 Upside Targets (Bullish Scenario)
📈 Level 🎯 Target Description NQ Equivalent
1 482 – Call Wall 19920
2 484.72 – RB Head 20040
3 489.3 – Target Resistance 20220
4 494 – Strong Sell Zone 20400
🟩 "Possible Sell Zone" is clearly marked between 489–494, indicating potential profit-taking or reversals.
🔽 Downside Targets (Bearish Scenario)
📉 Level 🔻 Target Description NQ Equivalent
1 479 – Call Wall 19780
2 476/475 – Gamma Cluster 19660/19620
3 472 – Put Wall —
4 470/471 – Strong Gamma Line 19420/19460
5 466.28 – Extreme Bear Target 19280
🟩 "Possible Buy Zone" around 470–474, reinforced by the Zero Gamma Line at 471, is where strong bounce reactions may occur.
🔄 Strategic Zones (For Entry/Exit)
🟨 Neutral Zones (Buy/Sell Opportunity):
479 (Decision level based on flow)
484 (retest or breakout area)
🟩 Strong Demand Zone:
Between 470 and 472 – Strong gamma support + Put Walls
🟥 Strong Supply Zone:
Between 489 and 494 – High concentration of call options and projected resistance
🔀 Expected Scenarios
Bullish Breakout: If price holds above 484.72 → potential path toward 489.3 → 494.
Rejection at 484–485: Pullback to 479 → watch reaction near 476–472 for potential bounce.
Bearish Breakdown: Below 472, potential retest of 470/466 area.
QQQ Rallying Into ResistanceQQQ Rallying Into Resistance — What’s Next After the Trump Roundtable?
I’ve been going through QQQ charts tonight and comparing the Daily and 1H timeframes side by side to map out what might come next — especially after the afternoon rally that aligned with headlines from Trump’s investor roundtable. It definitely caught attention.
Daily Chart Thoughts:
QQQ has been trending upward within a falling wedge since early April, and today’s candle closed just under the wedge resistance zone around 475–476. That level lines up with previous support-turned-resistance from March. The MACD is still pushing bullish momentum, and the Stoch RSI is cruising near overbought — signaling strength but caution at this zone. If we break above and hold, the next level I’m eyeing is the 493.50 zone. That would officially flip structure bullish.
1H + GEX Layer:
On the intraday side, today’s session really ramped after 2PM — notably when headlines about Trump’s meeting with tech and AI executives hit the wires. That sharp spike landed QQQ right into the GEX7 and GEX9 clusters, just under the 482.50 high. The Options GEX chart shows the 482 area also has 80%+ call resistance and clustering near key Gamma Walls.
Also worth noting: the options positioning is still heavy on puts (64.2%), which tells me this could be a squeeze if bulls defend the breakout above 473–475. If bulls can flip that gamma resistance at 482, we may start working toward 493 or even 500 this week — especially if the macro or political narrative continues to drive risk-on.
How I'm Thinking About the Trade:
I’m personally watching for a pullback retest of 475 or even 472. If we hold VWAP and start climbing back into the GEX zone, I’ll look to enter calls with tight stops. If this stalls under 482 and IV spikes, I’d consider selling premium or waiting for a deeper dip to reload.
Big Picture Forecast:
The Trump meeting gave bulls a jolt today, but whether that sticks will depend on follow-through volume tomorrow. If this is more than a headline pop, the Daily breakout could legitimize a broader tech rally — especially with Apple and NVDA also pushing.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal market notes and trade planning shared for educational purposes.
QQQ retests the 50 DMAQQQ is retesting its 50 day average will we go back to the 200 does the bullmarket continue will the fed bend the knee on rates will tariffs hurt ? find out next
See a pattern??With both highlighted spots we see massive panic and then a quick rebound, I think a simmlar thing could happen here, with the current one.
SPY/QQQ NQ/ES 29 de Abril 2025Market Outlook (QQQ / NQ Analysis)
📅 Date: April 29, 2025
🕰 Timeframe: 30-minute
📈 Asset: Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ) / NQ Futures
📊 Gamma Reference: SpotGamma levels with Zero Gamma & Put/Call Walls
🧠 Key Levels & Price Map
Level Type QQQ Price NQ Equivalent Comment
Call Wall (3) 478 19760 / 19800 🔼 Target 6 - Bullish Exhaustion
Target Long 477 19720 🔼 Target 5
Call Wall / RB Head 475 19620 🔼 Target 4 / High Confluence
Call Wall 472 19500 🔼 Target 3
RB Bottom 470.89 — Intermediate Resistance
Put Wall (1) 470 19420 🔼 Target 2 (bullish if broken)
Fib 0.5 468.78 — Reversal Zone
Put Wall (2) 467 19340 🔽 Target 1 - Short Bias Begins
Put Wall (3) 465 19220 🔽 Target 3 - Strong Bearish Zone
📉 Gamma & Sentiment Context
Zero Gamma: At 468 – market may be more volatile below this level.
Vol Trigger: At 467 – below this level, dealers may hedge by selling, increasing downside pressure.
Put Walls: Act as potential support or reversal zones (465, 467, 470).
Call Walls: Act as resistance or bullish break levels (472, 475, 478).
🧭 Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Path
If price breaks above 470, next long target is 472, then 475 (high confluence with RB Head and Call Wall).
Above 475, potential acceleration toward 478–479 (high call gamma zone).
📉 Bearish Path
Rejection at 470–472 could lead to a retest of 467, then 465.
Below 465, expect a push toward 19300–19220 NQ, aligning with the lower Put Walls.
QQQ Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Key levels for Long-term Holdings
Disclaimer:
The information provided on this TradingView account is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The content shared here reflects personal opinions and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Use the information at your own risk.
SPY/QQQ ES/NQ 28 Abril SPY (Top Left)
Possible Buy Zone:
➔ Between 545 and 547.39
➔ Confluence with Put Wall (545) and RB Bottom (547.39)
Major Resistance/Target:
➔ 550 - 553 area (Call Walls)
➔ If broken, eyes on 555+
Quick Game Plan:
Zone Action Notes
545-547 Possible Longs Strong support from options walls
550-553 Potential Profit Taking / Short Setup Call Walls overhead
Quote to remember:
"Price respects the walls — until it doesn’t. Trade the reactions, not the predictions."
📈 QQQ (Top Right)
Possible Buy Zone:
➔ 472-473 area
➔ Supported by Zero Gamma and a previous consolidation zone.
Resistance/Target Zone:
➔ 474.50 - 476 (Highlighted Sell Zone)
QQQ Bullish LongLooking for the predictions, We have multiple good news coming forward
Earnings Session
Tariff pause on china
Japan Trade deal
China Trade Deal
Rate cuts
Key Test of Resistance on QQQKey remount of the QQQ. We are over the 9ema and 20sma now and testing a huge supply zone that we need to eat thorugh. This ownt be easy as this 470 level is a huge supply but this can be the start of something. A couple days of chop here while we grind under the supply zone could set us up for higher prices. They key is to see how we react into this zone as the first test into that 470 we might get rejected in absence of news but we need the see the nature and structure of that pullback. We are by no way means out of the bear market this is a traders market but there are some green shoots. The market is shrugging off bad news and the trump team is trying to keep this market afloat by anymeans!
QQQ SHORT @ $448 TO $433Price also happens to be at the 60% fib level which is added confluence. Will most likely cut this trade around $435 just to secure profit and so I don't have to hold as long. If it decides to crash then of course ill hold. stop loss no higher than $450.7
Sit back , wait then StrikeGood afternoon as of 13:35 P.m. It is a bumpy low movement. Possibly in an accumulation phase good time for buy-hold over two week span. Tomorrow the market is closed. A spike might jump before 16:00 P.m. Average in during that phase, for optimum position
$QQQ - BOOM hit the bottom of the trading range here
That was awesome!! I had spreads here at the bottom 3 dollar wide 442/439 which filled end of day before swinging back in.
QQQ - Intraday Setup April 16 2025QQQ Intraday Setup
April 16 2025
Decision making - 15minutes time frame
Short trade scenario -1
Market Takes resistance = 455.95
Stop loss = 456
Short trade get initiated
1st Target = 449.0 (profit booking)
2nd target = 442.58
Trade setup explained:
Market made a high of 455.95 on April 11 2025.
High has sustained above 455.95 in next 2 trading sessions
Market has opened today below 455.95. Hence this support zone is now intraday resistance zone.
Long trade scenario-1
Market Takes Support = 442.58
Long trade gets initiated
Stop loss = 441.20
1st Target 450.85 (Profit booking)
2nd Target = 455.95
Trade setup explained:
Market made a high of 442.58 on April 7 2025.
Market has sustained above 455.95 in next 6 trading sessions until today and hence becomes intraday support.
Long trade scenario-2
Market opens gap down and sustains above = 450.85
Long trade gets initiated
Stop loss = 447.19
1st Target 452.64
2nd Target = 455.95 (Profit booking)
Trade setup explained:
Market has a downward trend on April 10th and creates an intraday swing high of 450.85. The swing high of a downward trending day becomes 1st stage of resistance when markets are close to this price.
Disclaimer: I am not a registered analyst. The above information is only for educational purpose based on my years of experience. Please consult a financial advisor before investing.
QQQ Breakdown Incoming? Gamma Pressure Exploding at 452 🔮 GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Overview
🔥 PUT Dominance at 452 – Market on the Edge
* QQQ is trading directly at the highest negative NET GEX level at 452.31, marking it as the PUT trigger zone.
* A breakdown below 452 opens the gates toward 450, where the 2nd PUT Wall (-13.23%) adds further downside acceleration.
* This is a high-risk gamma zone: dealers are short gamma and could fuel a liquidation flush if price stays under 452.
🧱 CALL Walls Stack from 456–463
* The nearest CALL resistance zone sits between 456–458, topped by 461–463, all stacked with hedging activity.
* Strongest net positive GEX (gamma ceiling) sits around 458–460, aligning with macro rejection zones.
📊 Options Sentiment Snapshot:
* IVR: 46.7 → Moderate volatility, but still supportive of fast swings.
* IVx avg: 34.8, down –11.25%, showing vol is compressing while risk increases — dangerous combo.
* PUTs 67.6% → Overwhelmingly PUT-heavy environment, a signal of dealer short gamma pressure — one move down can feed the next.
🎯 GEX Implications:
* Break below 452 → Expect momentum to ramp toward 450 → 448 → 440 range.
* Bounce off 452 → Needs strong reclaim of 456–458 to reverse gamma flow — very difficult without macro help.
🕰️ 1-Hour Technical Analysis
Structure:
* QQQ broke down from an ascending wedge and is now retesting prior support at 452.47.
* Price is below all EMAs and losing VWAP — confirms bearish control.
Indicators:
* MACD: Weak and diverging bearishly — no sign of reversal strength.
* RSI: Dipping under 40, near oversold, but no bullish divergence visible yet.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support: 452 → 450 → 448 → 440
* Resistance: 456 → 458 → 464.98
🧠 Final Thoughts:
QQQ is sitting on the edge of a gamma trap at 452. With PUTs dominant and technicals confirming weakness, there’s a real risk of continued slide toward 450–448 or lower if bulls can’t reclaim the 456 zone quickly.
GEX suggests heavy dealer hedging is active — so expect volatility, and prepare for a momentum spike if 452 fails.
This is not financial advice. Always trade with risk management, and let price action confirm your plan before executing.
This is a good spot to start buying the market.We’ve reached the lower boundary—whether this marks the start of a prolonged sell-off or a rebound point doesn’t matter right now. In the next couple of weeks, we’ll trade higher before the true extent of the damage becomes clear. This is a good spot to start buying the market.
$QQQ - Recap of April 14 2025Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and slightly above that. We closed the top of the gap (always a potential resistance and in the case here, paired with the 30min 200MA that was facing down we did get pulled back down to close the morning gap and the rest of the bear gap (combined it was an island gap)
Once we closed the bear gap first from above we came back and closed the bull gap, we took another swing at the 30min 200, still facing down and got rejected back down into close. It was an easy trading range today. Rather predicable, in my opinion, with the downward facing 30min 200MA, the bear gap and the 35EMA still trading underneath the 30min 200MA. These are all things I drill in daily in the videos and even though we closed great a lot of the bearishness of this chart today played out to contain the upside.
Also let's not forget that we had a green signal line today!! It looked weak but you can see the support, weak or not, it stayed green.
How did you guys do??
Bullish Setup for QQQ: Price Targets and Key Levels for Next Wee
- Key Insights: QQQ exhibits strong bullish momentum, supported by technical
setups, including cup-and-handle formations and golden crosses. Buyer
sentiment remains robust, driven by tariff pauses on tech and chip stocks
and a broader recovery in indices. Sustaining above key support at 444 will
be critical for maintaining upward momentum, while geopolitical volatility
should be monitored closely.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets: T1 = 465, T2 = 478
- Stop Levels: S1 = 436, S2 = 421
- Recent Performance: QQQ has rallied 7.5% in its latest bullish phase and is
currently trading at 446.18, outperforming major indices like SPY and ES.
Short-term activity reveals consistent gains above last week’s and
yesterday’s closing prices, underscoring the strength of buyer sentiment.
- Expert Analysis: Technical indicators such as stochastic oscillators, golden
crosses, and Fibonacci levels point toward sustained upside potential.
However, experts urge caution due to heightened geopolitical risks and
inflation concerns. Price action around the 444 support level will validate
the reliability of QQQ's bullish case.
- News Impact: Positive catalysts include a tariff pause on tech and
semiconductor stocks, which benefits QQQ’s key holdings in the technology
sector. Additionally, broad market recovery and renewed optimism have
amplified fund flows into the NASDAQ 100. However, potential downside risks
stem from trade tensions and inflationary pressures, making QQQ vulnerable
to sudden volatility despite its promising technical structure.
QQQ Coiling for a Breakout? Critical Zone Approaching📈 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
QQQ is riding within a clean ascending channel since the April 9th reversal. The recent candles are forming higher lows and testing upper resistance near 454.00, with bullish volume stepping in during Thursday’s session. RSI is steadily climbing toward the 60–65 zone but not overbought yet, leaving room for an upward breakout.
* Key Resistance: 468.31 (top of the channel + GEX wall)
* Support Zones: 435.00 (put wall), 420.00 (gamma gap zone)
Current consolidation around 454 suggests the market is deciding whether to push into the heavy call wall above or reject toward the lower channel boundary.
🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) + Options Sentiment
The options data offers a clear battleground:
* GEX Resistance: The highest positive NET GEX is at 460–469, aligning with the 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls. This creates a strong gamma magnet but also potential resistance.
* GEX Support: Strong PUT Support around 435, confirmed by -42.99% GEX Support Wall.
* Options Oscillator: Extreme PUT bias at 83%. This could be positioning for protection or fuel for a short squeeze if price breaks higher.
* IVR: 68.4 (Elevated) | IVx Avg: 46.8
This suggests high premium—buyers of options are paying up for volatility.
📊 Trade Outlooks
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 455–460):
* 📈 Entry: 455–456 breakout with confirmation
* 🎯 Target 1: 460
* 🎯 Target 2: 468
* ⛔️ Stop Loss: Below 448
* 💡 Suggested Option: 460C or 465C (0DTE or 4/17), tight spreads required due to elevated IVR
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at 455 and breakdown)
* 📉 Entry: Below 450 on strong red candle
* 🎯 Target 1: 445
* 🎯 Target 2: 435 (GEX support)
* ⛔️ Stop Loss: Over 456
* 💡 Suggested Option: 445P or 440P (with defined risk, preferably spreads)
📌 Conclusion
QQQ is sitting in a high-tension coil—either we break above 455–460 and see a gamma squeeze to 468, or options flows pull us back to the 445–435 support zone. With IV elevated and options heavily tilted toward PUTs, watch for a potential contrarian breakout if bulls step in.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Instructional for my brother. IThis is a bad swing trade, it is under the 180 day moving average. You wouldn't enter this using a swing trading system alone, its more advanced to identify. But you can see the yellow line I drew, that is strong resistance. That means the price don't want to go below that line.
I put what a trade would look like on it. You see how in this trade there is much more green than red? That is a good risk to reward ration.
Now here is CBOE. See how the green and red of this projected trade are nearly equal? Yeah, that is a bad risk to reward ration. At a 1:1 (that is for each dollar you can gain, you are risking) you are at a coin toss odds. Which is better than gambling but isn't trading.
You pretty much have the gist of Bravo simple trading, these are more advanced things. IF you are trading, you want to know where you will set your stop loss and where you will set your take profit BEFORE you buy anything. And then set those with the trade. That way you know beforehand what a worse case scenario looks like. If you do this, you will very likely succeed in the long run.
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Piercing LineWe have price hovering above the 200 EMA and a key level around the 391 to 396 price area. Also, we have a possible piercing line candlestick pattern. Oscillators are in oversold regions. Chris Moody MACD is in the red zone but possibly could shift green. If price fails the 200 EMA we might have price action towards 346.68. Be careful and if the markets are too intense you can always paper trade.
