$MGC / $GC / Gold - Target acquired! Where are we going next.Hello fellow gamblers,
Price did not go all the way inside the target range, but it is close enough for me to be satisfied with the play and take profits. Now it is the time to be looking for where we are going next.
- I am already seeing some reversal signals in the 15min TF but no signals in the higher TFs.
- For now, we will continue going lower as long as the blue trendline is not broken, but it is possible for price to have a bounce before continuing lower. If price breaks above 3357, I am looking at that FVG gap as a possible target for the bounce.
- It is possible for price to touch that yellow trendline in the bounce, so I'll be paying attention to it.
- If we get a rejection of 3357, I can see price filling our W2 Target range and finding support at 3283. A break of that level could take us all the way down to 3222.8 - 3174.4 range shown in the chart.
- For bullish scenario, I'd want a break above 3418, but i do believe that it is still early to talk bullish scenarios, so I'll leave it for next time.
- Levels to watch: 3418 - 3357 - 3283 - 3207
GDU1! trade ideas
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside.
The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward.
Technicals:
• Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones
• 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response
• EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion
• First target: $3,352
• Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260
Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance.
Fundamentals
• Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from:
▫️ A strong USD
▫️ Higher cost of carry
▫️ Speculators taking profit
• Fed policy remains the core variable:
▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price
▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum
• Central bank demand remains supportive
• Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again.
Bearish headwinds:
• Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence
• Reduced rate cut expectations post-election
• Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way.
This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility.
Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Move\Manipulate/Grab/Consolidate/PushFIrst ever idea on trading view.
Bias: Bullish
I have deveoped a stratagey that uses the Trend indicator (2.3) by dviz
Wont say everything but if you get a candle whos body is completly in the "cloud" of the trend indicator.. this is a signal
candle body
1 must be smaller than the wick
2 wick has to be wick outside the cloud
green candle for reversal
red hold
70 tick stop
+50 tick tp1
+70 tick tp2
+120 tick tp1
when trade hits tp1 = risk free trade
Have we made a Low for the Week yet on Gold???Im looking for price to sweep Monday's low before deciding what it wants to do. I want to see everything line up inside of the killzone to take advantage. Just have to be patient. We still have a lil time so sitting on my hands until it all looks clear to proceed with the move.
Gold Slides as Markets Downplay the Fallout of ME EscalationGold prices are trending lower today after a slight positive open, struggling to hold near $3,365 per ounce, hovering just above the lowest level in over ten days.
This weak performance comes as markets continue to downplay the consequences of the unprecedented U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Previously, experts had viewed a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites as the line between a limited bilateral conflict with Israel and a full-blown regional war with global economic costs. Fears centered around a potential Iranian—or proxy—attack on the region’s vital oil and gas infrastructure, which supplies over a fifth of global energy needs.
However, those fears have yet to materialize, offering markets some reassurance that the escalation will not trigger a major shock that could reignite concerns over global economic stability. This narrative of containment has stripped gold of the geopolitical risk premium it previously enjoyed.
According to the New York Times , some experts believe Iran is unlikely to disrupt energy flows in the region as long as its own export facilities remain intact. In another word, any Iranian attempt to destabilize energy markets may invite retaliatory strikes on its own vital oil infrastructure—further damaging its already fragile economy. Axios quoted Brookings Institution foreign policy director Suzanne Maloney describing Iran’s parliamentary call to shut the Strait of Hormuz as symbolic, arguing that the Islamic Republic is unlikely to risk its economy or the rapprochements with Gulf neighbors.
That said, the Middle East’s unpredictable trajectory, with near-daily escalations, continues to unsettle markets and sustain elevated risk appetite, which could ultimately benefit gold.
In a New York Times opinion piece , Nicholas Kristof outlined three key risks that could stem from the U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities: the nature of Iran’s response, whether the strike set back or accelerated Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and whether this is a step toward a broader war.
Iran’s response could range from symbolic gestures to reckless escalation, potentially dragging the U.S. deeper into direct involvement.
According to the Wall Street Journal , Tehran may choose to strike at evacuated U.S. bases in the region, as it did in response to the 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani, when Iran targeted the Ain al-Asad base in Iraq in what was described as a calculated, non-escalatory response. Alternatively, Iran could intensify missile strikes on Israel—viewed by some as Washington’s largest forward base—thus keeping the conflict somewhat localized for now.
Still, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may ultimately reject a ceasefire, unlike what his predecessor Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did in the late 1980s to preserve the Islamic Republic. This keeps the door open to new and unpredictable rounds of conflict, according to The Times .
On the nuclear front, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius warned in an opinion piece that Iran could pursue a crude radioactive “dirty bomb” using highly enriched near weapons-grade enriched uranium. Such a scenario would also be dangerously uncertain. In my opinion, it is unlikely that the U.S. or Israel would simply stand down after such a development, possibly setting the stage for the most extreme and dangerous escalation yet.
This could align with the protracted duration of the war and reports that Israel’s defensive missile stockpiles are running low, which raising the stakes. Israel may feel compelled to force Iran into surrender, as the U.S. did with Japan, though unlike Japan, Iran could be a nuclear state. Given Prime Minister Netanyahu’s political stance, a settlement that leaves Iran’s nuclear or ballistic program intact is unlikely to be accepted. Iran, for its part, firmly rejects dismantling its programs, adding to the likelihood of prolonged conflict and worst-case scenario.
Despite the market’s muted reaction to the U.S. strike, the surrounding risks remain significant and unresolved. As long as their realization remains uncertain, volatility in gold and oil prices may persist until the conflict is either resolved or definitively contained.
Samer Hasn
New Week! New Opportunities on GOLD! With the recent activity in the middle east expecting prices to continue bullish. I was looking for this move last week but it seems the holiday delayed the process. If we can get a full breakout above the previous daily High level that will be confidence that we are moving bullish for the rest of the week.
Gold Short Source, Trust me bro.
I mean well its in a downtrend and the price just keeps hitting lower, the 4h reacting very bearishly and the 1 day also didnt say much more than daily downtrend (recently).
So i think i have good confidence in this trade as i took the long pullback trade yesterday and the price showed that its respecting my analysis, so i would assume this will work out.
Gold LongsSolid daily structure for Gold heading into the holiday weekend. Bullish going into next week if price closes bullish on the week.
Daily discount SSL swept and closed back inside the range on Monday. Daily OB confirmed on Tuesday. FVG created and inversion fvg confirmed on Wednesday.
Anticipating Thursday to possibly pull back and offer a prime continuation to the upside. I'd like to see the inversion be respected. Price can wick into the BISI but I don't want to see price close below the BISI. That's a red flag.
Targeting Equal Highs.
Gold Market Update – Buy Signal (Swing Trading)A buy signal has been confirmed on the gold market for swing trading. if we want to scalp, it’s better to focus only on long opportunities — short positions could be too risky for now.
Big buyers are active, aggressive, and clearly pushing the price up.
As for targets, I prefer not to give fixed levels. I always monitor the market in real time to see how big buyers and sellers are reacting.
Gold Holds Ground as Bulls Eye $3,410 Volume ZoneGold built support at $3,337.2 in today's trading session. However, the uptrend is capped, and the price remained below the Bearish Fair Value Gap.
From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD outlook remains bullish above $3,337.2. In this scenario, the target is likely to be the next high volume area, which stands tall at $3,410.0.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if Gold closes and stabilizes below the $3,337.2 support.
GOLD LONG IDEA MARKET STRUCTURE CHANGEgold futures were on a full sell off due to ongoing global turbulence in the month of June macro news is there to show the bigger picture but price tells the full story
imbalance was filled and the week opened with a bearish candle closing above 3,250 COMEX:GC1! price range now it is time to see It play out to the buyside for the precious metal
$GC / $MGC / Gold - Weekend Update - 6/29Hello fellow gamblers,
The target for the ABC retracement has been hit and we are now looking for a reversal confirmation to enter any buying positions.
- The target for a possible Wave 1 of a new cycle will be above 3402.
- 3283 level needs to hold. A break of this level could take price lower towards 3208 to fill the VP gap.
- Levels to watch: 3208 - 3283 - 3357 - 3418
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold.
Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range.
Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected.
LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
Gold Market Under Pressure - Key Support Levels📉 Update – Gold
Since Friday the 13th, buyers have been squeezed and sellers have taken control of the market.
The trend is currently bearish, and large buyers are not present. The price could drop toward the 3320 – 3298 zone.
If this zone is broken, we could see a further decline toward 3255 – 3175.
Today, while watching the New York session using order flow, we saw large buy orders hit the market.