Hang Seng Index Analysis on Weekly timeframeHSI has retraced roughly 75% from the top 33,516 (January 2019) since the uptrend started on 28 December 2018. In April, we have seen HSI spike up to the 30,200 level where price was rejected. Recently, price has formed a short term support near 28,075 level since mid-June.
Price has now printed a higher low and a lower high which therefore is not clear where the market is heading in the long run. This means we need to see a breakout of either higher low or lower high to see a clear direction.
In the short run, we would expect the market to hold up near 28,075 level and try to push through the upper bound (downward trendline). If price could break and close above the most recent LH 30,220, the market may retest previous 31,500 resistance zone.
On the other hand, if we see price push and close below 28,075 short term support level, we would look for a short term retest on lower timeframe of 28,075 for a potential short position down to 26,700 (most recent low),.
The reason we have two possibilities is due to the current market conditions. We need to see a break out one way or the other to make a directional judgement.
Gordon @GoreStreetTrading
