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HSI1! trade ideas

HANG SENG Strong sell opportunity on recurring fractal.Hang Seng (HSI1!) closed below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday for the first time in a month and confirmed the rejection of August 30. That was a Lower High within the established Channel Down pattern that started on the May 20 High. This Channel Down is so far following a similar structure with the one that covered the entirety of 2023. The August 30 rejection was in fact also done on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level after a -17.30% decline. If this sequence of events continue to follow the April 17 2023 rejection, we should be expecting the new Lower Low to be formed on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is exactly on that level at 15700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by TradingShot
2
Hang Seng Index - are we out of the woods yet ?From the weekly chart, we can see we are still in a downtrend channel though the price has reached the upper channel. Will it breaks out and rally higher or ripe for another shorting opportunity ? The property market continues to register a downtrend despite numerous measures that the government has introduced. China is now the highest savings rate in the world and the government is doing what it can to boost spending - short of issuing vouchers ! Retail sales is not encouraging from the recent figures and the negative performance from Commerce giant like Alibaba. Will September be a game changer when US starts to cut interest rates ? Is it possible for smart money to move some of their funds to Asia, especially China ?
HKEX:HSI1!
by dchua1969
HANG SENG Sell Signal on the 1D MA200.Hang Seng (HSI1!) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern and since the start of this week, it's sideways around the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) remains intact, we continue to be bearish within this pattern, targeting 16000 next (Support 1), expecting this to be the start of the new Bearish Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by TradingShot
Hang Seng bulls eye retest of 18kWe'll admit that the Hang Seng does not have the most bullish of structures among APAC indices, but it continues to defy bears with a break of key support. And if sentiment for global indices picks up as we suspect, it could pave the way for another cheeky long for Hang Seng bulls. The index has seen three failed attempts to break beneath 17500 since late June. Sure, we saw one daily close below it, but the move was mostly reversed on Monday. A bullish divergence is also forming on the daily RSI (2), hence the bias for another crack at 18k minimum - a break above which brings the June and July highs around 18,400 into focus. Yet as the 4-hour chart shows prices paused at the weekly pivot point with RSI (2) overbought, we'd prefer to wait to see if prices retrace within Monday's range before seeking longs. This could help improve the reward to risk ratio for bulls whilst prices hold above last week's low, with 18,000 and 18,400 in focus for upside targets.
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by CityIndex
Where are we now in the Hong Kong Stock market ?Now, it is always clearer when we have a longer time frame to plot the chart and it seems more common sense why we should buy later and not earlier. Bear in mind that the chart is constantly plotting its price movements and in December 2022, that was the picture shown and one has to rely on this to make a decision. Of course, if you are trading, then you would have a stop loss, probably at 16968 level. But if you are like me who see the longer term potential of the China market, then a paper loss of 20% is pretty common. And you would average down at 17193 recently when it presents another better buying opportunity. 19116 is an important support level and the price action has went down below it. The next support is at 17193 level and if this breaches, then it is possible that it may returns back to the bearish trend again. I doubt so when the National Team in China are seriously propping up the stock market with different measures. If we take 14903 as the bottom price point, then the index has risen more than 32% , thus a 8-10% retracement is very common. It should be a buying opportunity for those who continues to believe in the cheap valuation of the Hong Kong stock market. The only sectors that remains hazy is the property sectors which may take some years to stabilise(2025-2026). Banks are pretty stable not forgetting they are state owned so the government will ensure its viability. Tech stocks are what drives the China market in the coming years - robotics, AI, E-commerce, EV, semiconductors, etc which the Government continues to pour investments into it. I remain bullish on the HK/China stock market and will continue to accumulate on weakness. Please DYODD
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by dchua1969
4
HANG SENG Strong buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.Hang Seng (HSI1!) has been consolidating on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 straight days. Technically it is an attempt to form a bottom, which includes also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the April 19 Higher Low. The last time a trend both the 1D MA50 and 0.5 Fib was on December 28 2023 and 2 days later. As you can see that was a downtrend of 2 phases and after the 0.5 Fib/ 1D MA50 test, the price got rejected, starting the 2nd phase that extended up until the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, where the market bottomed. As a result, it is highly likely to see a symmetrical mirror pattern. This time the 1.5 Fib ext is at 21600 and that is our medium-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by TradingShot
Buying Tech companies in ChinaIf buying individual tech company proves to be a hassle, costly and too much research work, going into a basket of them like this ETF may be the solution. We are now in a resistance phase so wait patiently for it to break out with a bullish sign and then you can add some to your portfolio. Avoid the mentality of always wanting to catch the bottom like buying at 6.50. Buying at this price make sense ONLY if it breaks above the resistance level else it can still goes into a consolidation phase for God knows how long time frame. Thus, there is always 2 sides of the coin. Imagine waiting for months or years for it to break out , if it does break out , you would have incur the opportunity cost of not able to park the money into other places to make better returns. In retrospect, nobody knows the future and trying to time the market is nothing but a game of speculation.
HKEX:HSI1!
by dchua1969
Hang Seng Index: Home Stretch 🏁The HSI has risen slightly since Friday, which we interpret as part of the internal substructure of the turquoise wave 4. We therefore expect further sell-offs. However, it is not far to our turquoise Target Zone between 18,341 and 17,899 points. Within this range, the index should place the low and turn upwards. Subsequently, a determined rise above the resistance at 19,772 points is on the agenda, which completes the magenta-colored wave (1). Accordingly, long positions could be opened within the Zone, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. Should the price fall significantly below the lower edge, this will set in motion our 38% probable alternative scenario, which implies further setbacks with the magenta wave alt.(ii).
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
HANG SENG This pull-back is the final buy opportunity.Hang Seng (HSI1!) has started a technical pull-back after getting rejected at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone. The minimum correction within this 4-month pattern has been -5.29%, so we are looking to buy after such a dip, potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (19700). This is the standard target on Inverse Head and Shoulders patterns. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HKEX:HSI1!
by TradingShot
Hang Seng: Is a Turnaround Coming?The Hang Seng Index, with everything measured in Hong Kong Dollars rather than US Dollars, offers a distinct perspective within our analysis portfolio, focusing on the Hang Seng Index Futures contract. Starting with a weekly chart overview, we've identified that the initial cycle likely concluded in 2008, followed by a flat correction. Notably, the correction for Wave B exceeded 100%, suggesting that the drop towards Wave (A) level, or slightly lower, is plausible. However, there's an alternative perspective that at Wave (A) already concluded Wave II, although the rapid temporal progression for such a wave suggests this is less likely. We anticipate further declines, yet it's critical to acknowledge a potential Wave (1) and Wave (2) formation at the 78.6% level. A drop below this point should lead us towards the HK$10,500 mark, aligning with our initial entry point around HK$11,300. Despite this, it's premature to issue a limit order given the ample time to observe developments. Daily chart observations further indicate an expectation of a 5-wave structure from (B) to (C), which has been forming quite elegantly despite Wave ((iv)) intruding into Wave ((i)) territory. This necessitates our acceptance of the current count unless we opt for an interpretation that sees a completed Wave (2) at the point marked as Wave ((iii)). Delving into the 4-hour details reveals a persistent downtrend from the onset of what's identified as Wave ((iv)). To reverse this trend, surpassing the invalidation zone would be crucial, suggesting a reconsideration for long positions. Until such a shift occurs, the bear flag's presence likely continues to restrain any significant upward movements in the market.
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by stromm
1
HANG SENG Bearish for the next 2 months.Hang Seng (HSI1!) is trading within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The dominant pattern is a Channel Down and as long as the 1D MA200 holds as a Resistance, we will continue selling every Lower High. The structure of the pattern is similar to the 2021/22 Channel Down. Once the 1D MA50 breaks again, we will have a confirmed sell signal, targeting the bottom of the Channel Down at 14500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by TradingShot
Hang Seng Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand >> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post << -------------------- 2-25-2024 Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established for a while and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
HKEX:HSI1!
by SnowflakeTrader
Bears Still Dominate the Hang SengMany investors currently firmly believe that the Chinese Hang Seng Index will soon rise. The economy in the Middle Kingdom is performing well in global comparison - so it can't be that the local stock market is so weak, right? Well, as you know, stock prices don't always have something to do with the actual state of the economy. That's why we remain pessimistic about the Hang Seng. We're opening a short position and targeting the range around 12,000 points. This may seem low, but quite achievable. We're setting a comparatively tight stop loss to optimize our risk-reward ratio.
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by Ochlokrat
1
HSI: Already finished? 👀The HSI has risen sharply since Monday. Nevertheless, we continue to believe that the index is still working on a magenta-colored downward structure and is therefore not yet finished with its correction. Only after this five-part wave, and thus the turquoise-colored wave 3, has come to an end should things pick up a good bit - even if there is still further downside on a Long-term level. However, there is also a 33% probable alternative, which envisages a sustained rise and considers the past low to be the low of the green wave alt.(2). This scenario comes into effect if the resistance at 18 846 points is exceeded.
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by MarketIntel
Will 2024 be a prosperous year for China?Will 2024 be a prosperous year for China? After a period of strong gains and a close of the year near all-time highs, markets now seem to be facing a more tense climate with profit-taking on the world's major stock exchanges. Volatility has again become a major factor, with investors becoming more cautious and uncertain about possible interest rate cuts. For our weekly appointment, we will focus on the most interesting stocks and futures contracts of the moment, as well as examine the general macroeconomic situation in the markets. The stock of Moderna Inc (MRNA) has been performing excellently in the stock market. During the last session, Oppenheimer increased his recommendation from "market performance" to "outperformance." According to the analyst responsible for the stock, there will be numerous catalysts in the next two years that will drive the lab's growth. Moderna is expected to have as many as five products on the market by 2026. It was a difficult week for shares of Mobileye Global Inc MBLY Group. The stock fell 25 percent on a sales warning and a rating cut by Wolfe Research from "Outperform" to "Peer Perform." The company, known for its autonomous driving technologies, issued a sales alert due to excess inventory at its major customers. Mobileye expects first-quarter revenues to decline 50 percent from a year earlier and has revised downward its forecast for the fourth quarter 2023. In the energy market, oil prices posted a modest 1 percent growth on the back of rising tensions in the Middle East. Despite this, crude oil prices remain under pressure after a difficult 2023 in which they fell 10 percent. According to the latest monthly report from the U.S. Energy Agency, oil inventories declined by 5.5 million barrels but refined product inventories rose sharply due to weak U.S. consumption. The industrial metals market, including copper, begins the year in decline in 2024. Copper prices in London fell below $8,400 per metric ton due to the strengthening dollar. Nickel also declined, influenced by increased production in Indonesia. Meanwhile, gold fell due to rising bond yields and fairly strong U.S. employment data. I recently wrote an article analyzing the forecast for the gold market, expecting a decline in the coming months. The year 2023 was a year of recovery for stock markets, after a difficult period in 2022. Technology stocks rebounded strongly, while most financial markets in the West and Asia experienced a sustained recovery. The only exception was China, which struggled to rebound. In particular, the Hong Kong stock market recorded its fourth consecutive year of decline and was even outperformed by the Indian market in terms of capitalization. In 2024, we expect the Chinese revival to be a major theme to monitor, along with the start of the central banks' monetary easing cycle and the U.S. presidential election scheduled for November. My focus is currently on the future Chinese Hang Seng Gen 2024 index, where I am applying my accumulation buying strategy. I am following the same strategy on the FISKER INC FSR stock.
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by Antonio_Ferlito
Mini HSI Futures: Position for tactical rally on monetary easingOur View We hold a favorable view of the Mini HSI Index Futures contract in the short-term on likely policy stimulus; but we prefer to wait out any short-term corrections before positioning for a near-term tactical rally. Due to medium-term structural concerns and still-weak confidence among businesses and consumers, it will be a while before the market trades on economic and corporate fundamentals. Key market drivers for 2024 include China’s growth trajectory (influenced by government stimulus, property sector woes, deflation risks), US interest rate trajectory, and geopolitics. From a valuation perspective, the Hang Seng is trading at a Last 12 Mths P/E ratio of 8.7x, well below its 5Yr average of 11.3x. This is in contrast to a P/E ratio of 22.5x for the S&P 500. Investors from mainland China have been a net buyer of HK stocks for the past 4 sessions, with data showing investors bought a net HKD 2.15bn of HK shares thru the stock connect program on 4th January. We expect to see the PBOC delivering RRR and/or interest rate cuts in 2024. The PBOC recently weakened its yuan fixing by the most in over 6 months, signalling that policymakers may be shifting their focus from stabilizing the yuan to more monetary easing in a bid to revive growth. Expressing Our View We favour the hypothetical trade setup below in order to express our view. Long Mini Hang Seng Index Futures: The contract saw a bearish reversal from around the 17,050 level (orange line), which was a vital support level that was broken in early December, but now serves as a key support-turned-resistance level. With a Fibonacci Retracement drawn from the December low on the 4-hourly chart, we prefer waiting out any short-term correction and taking entry near the 0.618 retracement level at 16,465. We set our target level at 17,050, and stop loss at the 0.786 retracement level around 16,250. This setup delivers a reward: risk ratio of 2.76x. • Entry Level: 16,465 • Target Level: 17,050 • Stop Loss Level: 16, 250 • Profit at Target: 585 ticks x HKD 10 • Loss at Stop: 215 ticks x HKD 10 • Reward: Risk Ratio: 2.76x
HKEX:MHI1!Long
by phillip_nova
1