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HUNGARIAN FORINT / EURO

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EUR/HUF Monthly Forecast (July)First wave of the Elliot has reached an end on a key level, correction is expected. Fibonacci 0.382 level is overlap with an another key level. I expect the third wave (the end of the correction) there. The Fibonacci extension 61.8's line overlap with an another strong level.Likely we can estimate the third wave's strength. The Central Bank reduced the interest rate, and planning to cut another more 0.15% in July.This means,the fundamental backround is given, the HUF (Hungarian Forint) will weaken in the next few weeks/months.
Long
by peakbroker
EUR/HUF inverse head and shoulder?Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Wednesday that the possibility of the European Union members agreeing quickly on the new budget and the coronavirus recovery fund is "unlikely." Orban stressed that the EU cannot "tell other countries what they need to do" until it solves its "own problems," which include the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus, the migrant crisis, and the balance of power between the members that, after Brexit, remains mostly with Germany.
Long
by DejanDjekic
The interest rate cut from the Hungarian central bankThe expected interest rate cut from the Hungarian central bank this July is slowing down the Hungarian forint. In fact, it caused to weakened significantly against the euro in the trading sessions. The pair is widely projected to climb to its resistance and hit levels last seen in early April 2020 during the hype of the euro’s bullishness. Just last week, the National Bank of Hungary’s governor Barnabas Virag said in a radio interview that the bank may once again cut its key interest rates by 15 basis points next month. Virag added that it would be the lowest that the rates will go for the foreseeable future. The news helped bullish investors to floor their gas pedals against bears and propel the pair. The unexpected interest rate cut from the National Bank of Hungary just recently was the first cut in four years from the bank and was clarified as not the beginning of an easing cycle which was previously speculated.
Long
by Financebroker
The Hungarian forint forces the euro to steady this weekThe pair is seen inching down this Tuesday as the euro’s strength falters as the risk appetite continues to go down. However, the Hungarian forint is also weakened by disappointing data from the region, resulting in a stalemate-like run for the pair today. But ultimately, the tide is expected to turn in favor of bearish investors which will help force the 50-day moving average to go even lower in the trading sessions. Investors of the Hungarian forint hopes that the 50-day MA will crash or get nearer the 200-day moving average in the coming sessions. As of now, there aren’t any significant economic reports scheduled for the Hungarian forint, so it’s very much riding the flow of other Central European currencies. Last week, the euro saw an opening against the Hungarian forint when the country reported a massively alarming drop in its April monthly trade balance.
Short
by Financebroker
EUR/HUF will break down from a key support lineThe pair will break down from a key support line, sending the pair lower towards a major support line. The single currency will continue to decline in the coming sessions due to disappointing results from Germany and the European Union. The EU’s largest economy reported a sharp decline in its import, export, and trade balance. Imports shrink by 16.5% while exports declined by 24.0%. Trade balance, on the other hand, was only $3.2 billion $19 billion prior to the coronavirus pandemic. However, there are some outperformers in the European Union. Hungary has been one of the fastest-growing economies in the region in 2019. However, the coronavirus pandemic causes a global recession and the OECD group now expects Hungary to contract by 8.0% this 2020. Despite this, Hungary’s finance minister reassured investors that the country is on the right path towards recovery. Mihály Varga expects Hungary to grow by 4.8% in 2021.
Short
by Financebroker
EURHUF at the resets of the channel 🦐The market as we expected went to retest the dynamic trend line of the channel on the 4h timeframe. On the fundamental side we have a strong euro but the price seem to push further down to get back inside the channel. At the moment the market is ranging between the 2 resistance zone therefore there are 2 possible scenarios: - If the market will break above the upper structure we can look for a long position with a TP around the 350 level - If the market will break below the blue structure we can set a short order with a TP around the lower trend line of the channel. ––––– Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
by InkyGrip