“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
AFR1! trade ideas
[COAL] This what happened last time when we had weekly EMA crossThis is weekly ICEEUR:NCF1! chart. The EMA is crossing & MACD is flirting with the base line, trying to enter bull zone. If simply looking at history, last time we had this setup was in 2021. Look at how similar the EMA & MACD setup back then & see what happens next.
Bullish for COAL & coal miners.
SGX: INDON 42OOKC FOB THERMAL COAL BULLISH SET UPThis contract displayed a 3 wave structure and current fourth panning out an irregular pattern should see upside for wave 5 should price not go below $48 (over lapping wave1).
If the $48 is breached, the current move would be seen as a B wave with potential support seen at 45.30 or lower 32.50. Wave c up would eventually follow.
What will it be ?? 🤔
Coal Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Neutral-Bullish AccumulationNewcastle Thermal Coal Futures breaking out of short-term downtrend + Neutral-Bullish Accumulation around 78.6% Fib Retracement.
Still within larger downtrend after steep sell-off through later half of 2022 into 2023.
(Coal) embers likely re-igniting due to recent China stimulus measures & other macro-economic influences, TBC.
Highlighted preliminary Trading Range 174.05-129.
On watch for further price action development &/or break out of range in either direction.
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers.
Futures: ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:NCF2!
ASX: ASX:WHC ASX:NHC ASX:YAL ASX:SMR ASX:TER
Did the thesis change from 2020 to today for coal?What happened to the "coal thesis" since 2020?
Lots of gains being wiped out for those that didn't sell into strength.
Noise reduced charts get you in AND out properly.
No need to track news events. Price chart aggregates all required information.
#coal #fintwit #stocks
Coal Futures NCF1!back into range 2 looking for accumulation in this range and a re-claim of the range high to get long on WHC.
Watching waiting and planning. patience is the key.
If it keeps dumping then let it dump see you in hell who cares.
BUT
if it accumulates and reclimas the range high., its time to pay attention.
Coal Forecast - Bullish till 21st June 2021The coal has a high chance to make all time high this time. My forecast it can reach US$ 131 or around it. But it will take months from now to make it happen. My focus now is for the next weeks till June 2021, coal apparently will go higher. Though, market will undergo a slight correction but not deep. The target for this upward coming is around 108.45. The bullish trend is very strong right now, and market does need only little time to go downward.
So, be a positive thinking and think to buy only now for coal.
Cheers,
COAL - Will it breakout? One commodity that I follow regularly is coal. For the reason, it influence a lot with mining stocks. The bearish trend of coal ended on Nov 2020 last year. Strong support that holds this market is 71.81-70.41. After breaking out that zone, price consolidating and forming box range corrective structure. For the last 14 weeks, price moving inside that box zone.
Now, the question is, with the recent upward movement, will it breakout the box range structure and continue the bullish trend?
To answer that, I count on the behavior of price towards the S/R. And I see price now breaks short term moving average and closed beautifully with strong body candlesticks (reflects strong buying power). This gives me a hint that maybe...just maybe, this time, the correction already get the bottom and this means, breakout can happen anytime now.
And where it will go after breakout?
112.14 (already marked on my chart)
Psst. Let me tell you a secret. Profits will be on mining business as long as coal price above US$70. And what is the price of coal now?
If profits released on this April 2021 for mining stocks, what will happen to the price?
Coal price rally higher, profits of mining business released and mining stocks ready to be traded.....