CC1! trade ideas
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 2542
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2475
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up to retest the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 2542
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2475
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the resistance at 2542, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous high are.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back down to retest the support at 2475, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CC1!: Bearish Continuation
Hey traders,
Here is our forecast on CC1!.
CC1! is trading within a resistance cluster.
Based on our stand point the CC1! will dump to the next structure support.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 2500
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2275
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the pivot at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2500, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 2500
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2275
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the pivot at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2500, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 2577
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2500
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the resistance at 2577, where the previous high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back down and retest the support at 2500 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation
Type: Bearish Continuation
Resistance: 2454
Pivot: 2597
Support: 2355
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation
Type: Bearish Continuation
Resistance: 2454
Pivot: 2597
Support: 2355
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 2506
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2280
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing back above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Alternative scenario: Price head back down towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation
Type: Bearish Continuation
Resistance: 2454
Pivot: 2597
Support: 2355
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the support at 2355, where the previous swing low is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2454 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 2506
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2280
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Alternative scenario: Price head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 2506
Pivot: 2422
Support: 2280
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Alternative scenario: Price head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CC1! NeutralDepends of the price actions of the coming days:
Scenario 1 (bearish short term):
If the 10 day MA and the Fibo level 78.6% is not going to hold we will see a backtest at the Fibo level 50% which correlate with the bullish wedge trend line.
Scenario 2 (bullish short and middle term):
If the 10 day MA and the Fibo level 78.6% is going to hold we will see a try to break the upper bullish wedge for a new high at the price level 2700.
Cocoa Bull Market Is About To Begin Hello everyone!
Trading as a Business here!
Cocoa Bullmarket is about to begin, get ready!
Cocoa looking sweet for upside to $26.90Cocoa formed a W Formation (Simple).
Price broke up and out of the sideways range and now looks like it's going to $26.90
RSI also broke out of its down divergence showing bullish momentum.
Looks good.
CC1! LongMy CC1! long prediction for the next week! If the red line holds we can test the upper trend line again, where we can find the POC levels from the price rotation areas.
Short term analisis for cocoa #ccthe current pattern is considered a bearish pattern, volume becomes a key indicator. If volume breaks to the sell side, then there is a sell-off. I doubt such a move on a commodity, would not be surprised if it was a stock.
This morning Reuters published how the energy crisis is hurting heavy industries such as BASF and other german companies, this no doubt is a bad sign. The war still rages on and shows more dangerous levels of engagement such as going nuclear. For what seems to be most unbelievable, iodine pills are running out in Europe and in the US. Cocoa depends on the sale of chocolate, and in this context, the grinding of cocoa in the EU and US has been lower reflecting lower consumption of chocolate. I have friends in Europe literally buying wood for the coming winter, this is to show that even in the midst of inflation, and higher prices, people are giving priority to stocking up on other things such as wood logs (energy crisis). Not an easy mood at the moment for these northern countries that are the major chocolate consumers.
On the chart, we can now clearly see a bearish triangle forming since February 2022 and holding thin support above 2300 as it has already tested 2250 (STS2). Volume becomes crucial and these last weeks there's been more sell volume than buying volume. What are the odds that consumption goes chocolate crazy in the next coming weeks? Little. On the other hand, major commodity analysts are optimistic about cocoa saying smaller crops from Africa could positively impact price, or that US consumption is not as bad as thought. Bank analysts have a duty to sell and maybe they are being overly optimistic. The one support for optimism is speculators: in this arm of the trading range, it is attractive to go long as the downside can be seen as limited. I still think there can be more downside until we see better levels.
El grafico actual se considera un patrón bajista, el volumen se convierte en un indicador clave. Si el volumen se rompe hacia la baja, entonces hay una venta masiva. Dudo que tal movimiento en una materia prima, no me sorprendería si fuera una acción bursatil. Esta mañana Reuters publicaba como la crisis energética está afectando a industrias pesadas como BASF y otras empresas alemanas, esto sin duda es una mala señal. La guerra aún continúa y muestra niveles de compromiso más peligrosos, como volverse nuclear. Por lo que parece más increíble, las pastillas de yodo se están acabando en Europa y en los Estados Unidos. El cacao depende de la venta de chocolate, y en este contexto, la molienda de cacao en la UE y EE.UU. ha sido menor reflejando un menor consumo de chocolate. Tengo amigos en Europa que literalmente compran madera para el invierno, esto es para mostrar que incluso en medio de la inflación y precios más altos, la gente está dando prioridad a abastecerse de otras cosas, como troncos de madera (crisis energética). No es un estado de ánimo fácil en este momento para estos países del norte que son los principales consumidores de chocolate. En el gráfico, ahora podemos ver claramente un triángulo bajista formándose desde febrero de 2022 y manteniendo un soporte delgado por encima de 2300, ya que ya ha probado 2250 (STS2). El volumen se vuelve crucial y estas últimas semanas ha habido más volumen de ventas que volumen de compras. ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades de que el consumo de chocolate se vuelva loco en las próximas semanas? Poco. Por otro lado, los principales analistas de materias primas son optimistas sobre el cacao y dicen que las cosechas más pequeñas de África podrían tener un impacto positivo en el precio, o que el consumo de EE. UU. no es tan malo como se pensaba. Los analistas financieros tienen el deber de vender y quizás estén siendo demasiado optimistas. El único apoyo para el optimismo son los especuladores: en este brazo del rango, es atractivo ir 'en largo' ya que la riesgo puede verse como limitada. Sigo pensando que puede haber más baja hasta que veamos mejores niveles.
CC1! ShortMy CC1! short prediction for the next week! I think we can reach the last bullish gap and we need to fill it. The setup is very bearish, you can identify an evening star which started this movement!
Commodity Cacao idea (26/09/2022)cocoa
After the decline and breaking the bottom of 2313, the commodity became to decline in the coming period, and we expect the completion of the ((E)) leg at lower levels that may reach the level of 90% before the rebound and reversal and the decisive point 2092
Cocoa Starts to give some Signals for Traders cocoa was ranging since the beginning of 2017.
In June 2022 CC broke the 209 SMA with a high volume.
after that CC keeps testing the downline of the range.
a breakthrough that line would signal a substantial short opportunity.
it is taking into consideration the rsi that is under the 50% Line.
Let's see what Cocoa will do in the following weeks.
Commodity Cocoa idea (05/09/2022)cocoa
Expecting cocoa to continue rising in the coming period, and this rise depends on the continuation of trading above the support point 2315 and the end of wave ((ii)), and the beginning of the rise in wave ((iii)) targeting prices of 2741 and now we expect cocoa to rise and the end of the decline in wave (ii) at Prices 2356
Cocoa Cacao #CC1!#Cocoa can’t seem to take a clear heading, the august attempt failed. USD keeps consolidating (@109) harming commodities such as cocoa. On a technical view: cc tried for a run above 2400 on the 22nd of August, but this push was cut short by negative world news from higher inflation, more worries from China, Europe, and mostly the energy crisis that will seem to obliterate the european market if leaders don’t find a solution to their problems. The EU is facing an increase of up 500% over their utility bill and that will convert many businesses to bankruptcy. Chocolate will most probably be less consumed in this third and fourth quarter as Europe digs its way out of the energy crisis.
On the positive note, CC managed to hold above 2300, on its 12 months support. If it is tested again then I fear the next support is 2150. At 2150 it enters what I call the green zone where it becomes attractive to get back in.
Nevertheless CC is still very far from its 50 day MA, 140 points on the weekly graph. There are some signs of improvements on the MACD indicator holding a positive trend since 22/08. On the longer term graph, it is still far from showing a change from a downtrend.
As we approach the end of year, which usually denotes higher consumption for chocolates, I am hoping to see a reversal of trend by seasonality effect. Macro events will definitely take over any micro trends possibilities.
****
Cacao parece no tomar rumbo, el intento de inicios de agosto fracasó. USD sigue consolidándose (@ 109) perjudicando materias primas como el cacao. Desde un punto de vista técnico: #CC intentó romper por encima de 2400 el 22 de agosto, pero este impulso se vio interrumpido por noticias mundiales negativas de mayor inflación, más preocupaciones desde China, Europa y, sobre todo, la crisis energética q asombra europa si los líderes no encuentran solución a sus problemas. La UE se enfrenta a un aumento de hasta 500 % en su factura de electricidad y eso llevará muchas empresas a la quiebra. Lo más probable es que el chocolate se consuma menos en este tercer y cuarto trimestre a medida que Europa se abre camino para salir de la crisis energética.
En la nota positiva, CC logró mantenerse por encima de 2300, el soporte de los últimos 12 meses. Si prueba nuevamente, temo que el próximo soporte es 2150. En 2150 ingresa a lo que llamo la zona verde donde se vuelve atractivo ingresar para especuladores.
Sin embargo, CC aún está muy lejos de su Media Móvil de 50 días, 140 puntos del gráfico semanal. Hay algunas señales de mejora en el indicador MACD que mantiene una tendencia positiva desde el 22/08. En el gráfico a más largo plazo, todavía está lejos de mostrar un cambio de la tendencia bajista.
A medida que nos acercamos al final del año, que generalmente denota mayor consumo de chocolates y por ende una mejoría en el precio, esperare ver una reversión de la tendencia por el efecto de la estacionalidad. Los Macro eventos definitivamente tendrán mayor peso a las posibilidades de las micro tendencias.
