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U.S. Dollar Currency Index

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DXY trade ideas

DXY (US Dollar Index) Ideas on Daily Time FrameHere's my analysis of the DXY on the daily timeframe: After a significant decline in the US Dollar Index over the past few weeks, it has recently formed a bullish impulse pattern, suggesting a potential reversal upwards. The price has broken through a key resistance level, indicating a strong bullish momentum. I anticipate the market to undergo a minor correction before continuing its upward trend. What do you think? Comment your thoughts.
TVC:DXYLong
by jonathanethan911
DXY analysis based on ICT concepts and candle scienceHello, greatest community Since this is my first post, I sincerely hope you find it useful. I am going to start with a top-down analysis. First, based on the monthly chart. Currently, we are in the monthly SIBI, a reversal area. What are we supposed to look for next? A drop in momentum to the annual bisi target during the following months Weekly Chart It's Friday, the last day of the week. What can I see in this area right now? 1. It looks like we are about to create a weekly fair value gap, which we will trade from the following week in order to reach the next weekly SIBI shown on the chart. 2. On the other hand, we might make a BAG and search for the entry on the daily chart. NB: I will post more information this weekend if I find someone who is interested.
TVC:DXYLong
by bojmarley88_bm
1
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 103.03 1st Support: 102.36 1st Resistance: 103.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
1
Hotter-than-Expected CPI Prints: A Potential Catalyst for DXY an Introduction The release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is a highly anticipated event in financial markets, often influencing investor sentiment, currency valuations, and risk appetite. A hotter-than-expected CPI print, indicating higher-than-anticipated inflation, has significant implications for monetary policy decisions, particularly interest rate cuts. This article explores how such a scenario could strengthen calls to halt or even reverse rate cuts, potentially bolstering the US Dollar Index (DXY) and leading to increased risk aversion. Understanding CPI and Its Impact on Monetary Policy CPI is a measure of the average change over time in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households. It is a key indicator of inflation, which central banks closely monitor to assess the overall health of an economy. When CPI rises above the target inflation rate, it suggests that prices are increasing at a faster pace than desired, potentially eroding purchasing power and destabilizing the economy. Central banks often use interest rates as a tool to manage inflation. By raising interest rates, they make borrowing more expensive, which can slow down economic activity and reduce demand for goods and services, ultimately putting downward pressure on prices. Conversely, lowering interest rates can stimulate economic growth but may also lead to higher inflation if demand outpaces supply. The Implications of a Hotter-than-Expected CPI Print If a CPI report comes in hotter than expected, it suggests that inflation is running higher than anticipated. This could lead to increased concerns among central bankers and investors about the potential for inflation to spiral out of control. In response, central banks may feel compelled to pause or even reverse their monetary easing policies. The prospect of higher interest rates can have a significant impact on financial markets. When central banks raise interest rates, it often leads to a stronger domestic currency relative to other currencies. This is because higher interest rates make the domestic currency more attractive to investors seeking higher returns on their investments. In the case of the US Dollar, a stronger DXY can have implications for global financial markets. A stronger dollar can make imports cheaper for US consumers but can also make exports more expensive for US businesses, potentially hurting economic growth. Additionally, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on commodity prices, which can impact the profitability of commodity-producing countries and industries. The Potential Impact on Risk Aversion A hotter-than-expected CPI print and the subsequent tightening of monetary policy can also lead to increased risk aversion among investors. When investors become more cautious about the outlook for the economy, they may be less willing to take on riskier investments, such as stocks and emerging market bonds. This can lead to a sell-off in these asset classes, as investors seek to shift their portfolios to safer, more liquid assets like US Treasury bonds. Conclusion A hotter-than-expected CPI print can have significant implications for financial markets, particularly if it leads to a change in monetary policy. By strengthening calls to halt or reverse rate cuts, such a scenario could bolster the US Dollar Index and increase risk aversion. Investors should closely monitor CPI releases and their potential impact on central bank decisions and market sentiment.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Dollar Index (DXY) levels to watch ahead of CPIShortly, US CPI will be released at 8:30am EDT or 13:30 BST. Headline CPI is expected to print +0.1% m/m and +2.3% y/y (vs. 2.5% last) Core CPI is seen at +0.2% or +3.2% y/y (unchanged from prev reading). The inflation data will need to be some distance away from expectations to change the course of the dollar, which has been on the rise in the last week and a half. Following last week’s formation of big bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart, the dollar index has remined on the front foot so far this week, amid continued buying of the dollar thanks to that big beat on the NFP data. At the time of writing, the DXY was holding comfortably above the broken bearish trend and support in the 101.90-102.15 region. It was also above short-term support around 102.65-70 area, which is now the first line of defense for the bulls. They will need to defend this level to keep the bullish momentum alive. The next big area of resistance is still quite far around 103.65 to 104.00 (where the 200-day average meets a former pivotal zone), meaning there is further room for the dollar rally before it potentially fades. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
DXY Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 102.931. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 101.163 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
3
DXY Set for a Retracement Towards Sell-Side Liquidity - OTE FVGDXY is showing clear signs of a retracement to the daily sell-side liquidity level around 100.215. Price wicked into a higher timeframe (HTF) daily order block near 102.860, and then closed below, signaling bearish momentum. Keep in mind, upcoming high-impact news could affect price action. If price doesn’t respect the order block, it may react to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the optimal trade entry (OTE) zone. DYOR
TVC:DXYShort
by INSIDER_INTEL
DXY H1 - Short before longDXY H1 Very good morning all, here is our update on the dollar index, last week we saw bulls storm the markets following various different data points. The bull run has sustained and Mondays trading session saw indecisive price movement in the form of consolidation. We are looking like we want to break to the downside. Slowly, but hopefully surely we start to see price pull down towards our anticipated buy zone of around 101.850 price, this is where we would find support amongst a few timeframes, aligning with our confluence zone. Same bias as yesterday, until we see a break of this area of consolidation.
TVC:DXY
by Trade_Simple_FX
Dollar begins to rebound after NFP data The Fed's possibility of making another jumbo cut quickly faded following September's NFP report, which renewed confidence in the US job market. According to CME FedWatch, the likelihood of a 50bp cut at the November FOMC has dropped from 36.8% to 0%, while the probability of a 25bp cut has surged to 88.8%. It's worth noting that the likelihood of a rate freeze has risen from 0% to 11.2%. Due to this, the dollar bounced back swiftly as expectations grew that the Fed's dovish stance would not persist. DXY quickly breached the trendline and climbed above the 102.50 level. The price holds above both EMAs, sending out an apparent bullish signal. If DXY sustains support above both EMAs, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 103.30 resistance. Conversely, if DXY breaks the 101.60 support, where EMA21 coincides, the price may fall further to 101.10.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
#DXY Dollar Index impact on #XAUUSD Gold #DXY Dollar Index 💵📉 My analysis ties directly to the movement of the dollar. The dollar found solid support at 100.20 and has since made an impressive recovery in the form of a retracement. The current levels of 102.60-103 represent a strong rejection zone, and I’m anticipating a significant rejection from this area. If the dollar faces resistance here, we could see a new low below 100, which would likely propel gold prices to new highs. 📈✨ However, if the dollar manages to break through this zone, the next key level is around 104. Should this happen, gold could experience a steep decline, potentially dropping to the 2550-2530 range. Remember, gold and the dollar have an inverse relationship — when one rises, the other tends to fall. ⚖️ #DollarIndex #GoldPrice #ForexAnalysis #DXY #MarketForecast #GoldVsDollar #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy
TVC:DXY
by MrKTechnicalLevels
Dollar Index - Finally, A Take-Off!If you have watched my previous analysis on the Dollar Index, you will know that the area of 101.994 was a target for weeks but we kept on seeing relative equal highs created. This incentivised smart money to hold proce below in a discount in order to pile in more sell stops as classic retail minded traders would think that because LL and LH's are being formed, their stop will be safe at the next recent highs as the 'trend is your friend' I capitalise of this mantra What we saw was a low resistance liquidity run above daily buy stops, trading back into a macro premium. The question is, will price hold in a premium above 101.994? Price bullish above 101.994 = risk off conditions which equals a higher probability for traders to capitalise on a short-term/medium-term/long-term bearish trend in FX, stock index, precious metals, crypto etc.. Price bearish below 101.994 = risk on scenarios which equals to a higher probability for traders to capitalise on a short-term/medium-term/long-term bullish trend FX, stock index, precious metals and crypto.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince