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U.S. Dollar Currency Index

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DXY trade ideas

Potential bulllish reveresal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the Fibonacci confluence and could reverse to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.08 1st Support: 96.44 1st Resistance: 98.10 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXYThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major world currencies — mainly the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. What it tells you: • If DXY rises → The dollar is getting stronger overall. • If DXY falls → The dollar is weakening. Why DXY matters: • It reflects global demand for the U.S. dollar. • It reacts to U.S. interest rate decisions, inflation data, recession fears, geopolitical tensions, etc. • Traders and investors use it to gauge the dollar’s trend — helping in decisions like shorting EUR/USD, buying gold, or trading commodities.
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by HavalMamar
DXY 4Hr And Daily Bearish ( A minor & aslight bull trend)The DXY (US Dollar Index) could potentially rise to the 100.257 level to complete a bullish structure or flag pattern. However, it's also possible that it may face rejection around its current zone and resume its bearish trend, targeting support levels between 99.00 and 98.25. As always, our entries should be guided by what the market and its structure are showing us. For now, the broader trend for the DXY remains bearish until it potentially reaches the lower support zone around 96.00 – 94.00, or even below that range. This extended downside expectation is driven by several fundamental factors: anticipations of interest rate cuts in the coming months, potential tax policy changes under Trump, and persistent inflation concerns within the U.S. economy. In light of these uncertainties, the market demands extra caution at this stage. Good luck and trade safe!
TVC:DXYShort
by ProfissionalGoldHntryhunter
Dollar Bullish Correction To $103 - $105While we expected to see some Dollar upside in Q2, the economy was in such a bad state that the Dollar could not hold its value. Since the start of 2025 the Dollar is down 12% and this is only the beginning. I believe we will see more downside in the future. But for the coming quarter there is a chance for the Dollar to get some breathing space & recover in the short term. Overall, the trend of the Dollar remains bearish, so what we want to keep an eye on is small pumps (short term recovery) into price zones which will allow us to short the Dollar back down. I want to see a dip lower towards $96 - $94 before sellers lose bearish momentum. If this move takes place, then we can slowly see buyers step back into the market & start pushing back to the upside. Once price hits our ‘Supply Zone’ of $103 again, it’ll give us a more clear indication of what the Dollar will do next; whether that’s a longer term uptrend or a continuation to the downside.
TVC:DXYLong
by BA_Investments
Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA. --- Analysis Breakdown Key Technical Elements: 1. Downtrend Structure: The price remains within a descending channel. Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure. 2. Resistance Zone: Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200. Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply. 3. EMA 200 (98.490): Acts as dynamic resistance. Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias. 4. Projected Move: Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point). A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated. 5. RSI (14): RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark. This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside. --- Bearish Thesis: Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside. Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation. --- Trade Idea Concept: Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support. Target: 97.189 zone. Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup. Mr SMC Trading point Risks to Watch: A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal. Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times. plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
TVC:DXYShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Testing Long-Term Channel SupportBy MJTrading: Chart Overview: The US Dollar Index has now approached a major technical confluence zone that could define the next directional move. Price is pressing into the Danger Zone near the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel, with an Ultimate Oversell Target sitting just below. 🔹 Key Technical Highlights: Long-Term Down Channel (Daily & Weekly): The DXY has respected this structure for several years. Price is currently challenging the lower boundary, a zone where reactions often occur. Danger Zone (~95–96): A historically reactive area. Prior demand and channel floor converge here. Ultimate Oversell Target (~89–90): Marked as a deeper potential exhaustion area if the channel fails. Moving Averages: 15 EMA ~97.8 60 EMA ~99.3 Price remains below both EMAs, confirming persistent bearish momentum. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: Scenario A (Green Path): A bounce off current support could trigger a relief rally back toward 98–100, targeting the mid-channel and EMAs. Scenario B (Red Path): A breakdown below ~95 could accelerate selling pressure, aiming for the Ultimate Oversell Target (~89). 🔹 How I See It: This is a high-risk inflection zone. Any bullish setups here remain counter-trend and require confirmation via strong reversal signals. Conversely, a decisive breakdown could have significant implications for USD pairs and commodities. 💡 Notes: This chart includes the weekly inset view for broader context. Keep risk management tight in this volatile area. 🔹 Reminder: This idea is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. 💬 How are you positioning around the USD? Share your thoughts and charts below! #Hashtags: #MJTrading #DXY #USDollarIndex #Dollar #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #FX #USD #Majors #DollarWeakness #DollarStrength #SupportAndResistance #TrendAnalysis #MarketOutlook
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by MJElahifx
DXY Liquidity Sweep Into POI Before Bullish Expansion 🔍 Key Levels & Zones Extreme POI: Price is approaching a major demand zone (marked as EXTREME - POI), expecting reaction from this area. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price recently filled a small FVG at ~97.75 before pulling back. Target: Implied move towards 98.95 area after internal liquidity is swept. Scenario Price tapped into the FVG and showed reaction — but no shift yet. Anticipating liquidity sweep of recent lows into the Extreme POI (~97.11). If bullish reaction confirms from POI, expecting strong move to: Reclaim FVG Break above IMB Reach target zone at 98.95 🧠 Confluences 50 EMA resistance aligning with FVG — short-term sell pressure. Classic Wyckoff accumulation schematic potential in POI zone. Liquidity below marked lows for smart money grab. ⚠️ Invalidation If price breaks and holds below 97.00 with bearish structure, bullish scenario is invalid. Bias: Short-term bearish, then bullish continuation.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by RadinFinancial
Overlap resistance ahead?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 98.50 1st Support: 97.21 1st Resistance: 99.30 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
“The Dollar Job: Break-In Strategy for 99+ Profits”💸 “DXY Heist Blueprint: Thieves’ Bullish Breakout Play” 🏴‍☠️ 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Welcome, Money Makers & Silent Robbers 🕶️💼✨ This is our next big Thief Trading Heist Plan targeting the 💵 DXY Dollar Index Vault. Armed with both technical precision 🔍 and fundamental insight 📊, we're ready to strike smart — not just fast. 🎯 THE MASTER HEIST PLAN: 🟢 ENTRY POINT – “Heist Entry Protocol” 🎯 Wait for price to break above Resistance @ 99.000 and candle to close ✅ 💥 Plan A: Place Buy Stop Orders just above breakout 📥 Plan B: For Pullback Pros, use Buy Limit at recent swing low/high (15m–30m TF) 📌 Tip: Set alerts — don’t get caught napping while the vault opens! ⏰🔔 🛑 STOP LOSS – “Thief’s Escape Hatch” 🧠 Use 4H swing low at 98.100 as SL ⚖️ Adjust based on your lot size and number of open positions 🚨 Don't rush to set SL for Buy Stop entries before confirmation! Patience is part of the plan. 😎 🎯 TARGET – “Mission Objective” 💰 First Exit Target: 100.000 🏃‍♂️ Optional: Escape earlier near high-risk zones (Blue MA Line Trap Area) ⚔️ SCALPERS' CODE – Stay Sharp! Only scalp on the Long side. 🔐 Use Trailing SL to guard your loot! 💸 Big wallets? Jump early. 🧠 Smaller stack? Follow the swing crew for coordinated execution. 🌐 MARKET OUTLOOK: WHY THE VAULT’S OPENING 💡 Currently seeing bullish momentum in the DXY 📈 Driven by macroeconomics, sentiment shifts, and intermarket pressure 📰 Want the full debrief? Check our analysis across: COT Data Geopolitics & News Macro Trends & Sentiment Fundamental Forces 📎🔗 See full breakdown ⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT ALERT 🚫 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news 🔁 Always use Trailing Stops to lock in profits ❤️ Support The Heist – Boost the Plan! Every boost powers our underground crew 🐱‍👤. We rob the markets, not the people. 💼💰 Like & Boost to help grow the Thief Trading Gang 👊💥 Stay tuned, robbers – more heist plans dropping soon. 💸🚀📈🤑
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
Dollar Index Analysis: Wedge + Powell Outlook – June 25, 2025📉 Technical Outlook: Bearish Rising Wedge + Liquidity Sweep Setup TVC:DXY The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, typically a bearish structure. We're anticipating a fake breakdown, potential sweep of the key demand zone, followed by a reversal move targeting key highs. 🔍 Key Technical Zones 📥 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 🔵 97.50 – 97.20 = Institutional accumulation + unfilled orders 🚫 Invalidation Level (Stop-Loss) : ❌ 96.70 = Clean break below confirms full bearish continuation 🎯 Target Projections (Upside Levels) : TP1: 99.00 TP2: 100.00 TP3: 101.04 (HTF swing high liquidity cleanout) 🧠 Summary Setup : Downtrend Rising wedge formation Sweep of 97.20 possible Watch for fakeout & reversal play toward 101.04 🏛️ Fundamental Analysis – Powell’s Testimony Insights Fed Chair Powell highlighted the following during his recent testimony: 🔄 “We’re not there yet on inflation” — Core services remain sticky 🛑 No immediate rate cuts — Growth is slowing but not crashing 🕰 Rate cuts likely postponed to Q4 2025 🔐 “Real rates are restrictive enough” = No more hikes expected 💡 Implication for DXY : ✅ Short-term bullish bias as higher U.S. yields remain attractive if rate cuts are delayed. 🌍 Macro Context Snapshot (as of June 25, 2025) 🇺🇸 US Disinflation: CPI & PCE easing, but not collapsing 🇪🇺 ECB Cut in June: Euro may weaken further 🇯🇵 BOJ Policy Unclear: USD/JPY likely volatile 🌐 Global Risk Appetite High: Volatility may return with geopolitical events 🔥 Watch This: Trade Tariff Narrative Heating Up 🚨 New U.S. Tariff Signals on Chinese tech and EU autos are resurfacing. This could: Push inflation risk higher Delay Fed’s easing timeline Add support to USD short term as markets price in geopolitical tension and uncertainty 📌 Trading Strategy Recap : Monitor wedge support near 97.20 Look for fakeout/sweep and bullish reversal Target 99–101 zone on rebound Stay alert to Powell/Fed rhetoric + tariff news If you find this analysis helpful, Like, Comment, and Follow for more DXY, gold, and macro trades!
TVC:DXY
by DECRYPTERS
DOLLAR INDEXThe relationship between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the 10-year US Treasury yield is generally positive but has shown signs of weakening and occasional breakdowns recently. Key Points: Typical Positive Correlation: Historically, when the 10-year Treasury yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen, and when yields fall, the dollar weakens. This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar. Conversely, lower yields reduce dollar appeal. Mechanism: The 10-year yield reflects investor expectations about inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve policy. Higher yields often signal stronger growth or inflation, supporting a stronger dollar due to higher real returns on US assets. Recent Weakening of Correlation: Since early 2025, this positive correlation has weakened significantly. Despite rising 10-year yields (around 4.4% to 4.5%), the DXY has hovered near the 98–99 range and even declined over 10% year-to-date. This divergence is attributed to: Investors re-evaluating the dollar’s reserve currency status and shifting capital to other markets (e.g., European equities). Outflows from US assets amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Asynchronous monetary policy cycles globally, with some central banks hiking or cutting rates at different paces than the Fed. Market Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows: In times of stress, the dollar’s traditional role as a safe haven can be challenged, further complicating the yield-dollar relationship. Conclusion While the 10-year Treasury yield and the US dollar index usually move together, recent market dynamics have disrupted this pattern. Rising yields have not translated into a stronger dollar in 2025, reflecting broader shifts in investor sentiment, geopolitical risks, and global monetary policy divergence.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0. If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown. Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time. It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year. The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market. The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending). Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities. What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years. All the best, Tim April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
TVC:DXYShort
by timwest
5