eurusd to 1.1265, dxy confluence eurusd mirrors the dollar and from my analysis i anticipate the dxy to gravitate towards the daily volume imbalance 100.80 zone this will cause the euro to plummet to lower prices so i spotted smooth lows of 1.1265 for first target and daily bullish fvg high for final target at 1.12 zone
DXY trade ideas
Do Not Be Fooled TVC:DXY is not truly weak. Over the past 2 months the only thing mainstream Fin Media has been talking about is how Dollar value is plummeting and while I do not debate the merits o that I do take contention with the idea that this means the DXY Will KEEP going down significantly from here. From a pure TA perspective DXY is simply in a consolidation phase with a high level volatility which did not begin with the recent drop in March. I began watching DXy like a HAWK in November 2024 and for anyone who has not, the extreme volatility began then with DXY going on a rally from Nov 24 to feb 25. The move from Mach until now has been simply another leg of vol extension. This is important to realize because the volatility now points to higher levels of it eventually returning and when that happens I predict it will take the form of an explosive impulse to the upside based on the long term inverse head and shoulders pattern coupled with the near textbook bull flag pattern
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.51
1st Support: 97.85
1st Resistance: 101.83
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DXY Expected to Decline TomorrowDXY is expected to decline tomorrow, with potential for a maximum rise to the 101 resistance area accompanied by upper shadow formation.
A rising wedge pattern has formed, with stochastic in the overbought region, and there's a possibility of rejection at the dynamic resistance level.
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 100.036.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 100.899 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
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US INDEX (DXY) TIME TO BUY !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this chart created a harmonic pattren and it crystal clear showing the levels till it hold above our design Stop Loss Trade War Talks and NFP results with slowing down the inflation shows us that $ will recover from this zone if not break SL make a proper research befor taking any trade we appriciate your cooments and support us Stay Tuned for more updates ...
My Thoughts #004My thoughts are that the pair will buy...
The daily trend is very much bearish and with trend once it have made a new low(LL)
We need to see it printing a new High(LH)
Confirmation??
I see a Choch and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the new High(LH)
The pair might just sell
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
STRAP IN FOR A TURBULENT WEEK DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies.
✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅ Break an d close below July 2023 key 100.00 levels.
✅ Foresee a pull back to, weekly imbalance, daily order block, daily 50ema, weekly order block and or weekly 50 ema.
✅ Awaiting to identify a significant break of structure bullish to use the DXY as confluence for our trading week 18 of Q2 toward key points of interest mentioned above.
✅ Forecasting continued bearish pressure long term.
✅Initially bullish outlook however upon price turn around. DXY to break 100.000 level again.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
Pairs to look out for -
EURUSD
USDCHF
USDJPY
USDCAD
GBPUSD
Simply an opinion -
We always trade what we see and not what were think BUT, with that said it just feels... Unnatural to place too many bets against the USD. For that reason, our points of interest are not based on order black from too far in the distant weeks and month. We have identified more conservative targets for the DXY for the week 21 in Q2.
We foresee that with the deals that have been brokered alongside the steadiness of USD market sentiment, THE DXY MAY RISE AGAIN.
We forecast continued bearish sentiment of the DXY to the key points of interest area 98.000, weekly lows/daily lows BEFORE creating a monthly higher high inline with USD strength and Trumps seeks to sure up US ambitions.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
DOLLARDollar (DXY) Outlook: Bearish Near-Term, Consolidation with Mild Depreciation
Current Trends: The U.S. dollar has weakened 8.4% year-to-date, pressured by:
Economic Contraction: Q1 2025 GDP shrank by 0.3%, driven by pre-tariff import surges and softening domestic demand.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: Mixed signals on inflation control and delayed rate cuts erode confidence.
Trade Tensions: Escalating U.S. tariffs disrupt global markets, favoring alternatives like the euro as a safe haven.
Technical Momentum: Bearish chart patterns suggest further downside, with key support levels at risk.
Reserve Currency Status: Despite concerns, the USD retains 57.8% of global reserves, providing a floor against rapid declines.
Treasury Yields and Recession Signals
Yield Levels
10-year: 4.439%
2-year: 3.976%
30-year: 4.900%
Inverted Yield Curve: The 10-2 spread remains negative, a historically reliable recession indicator. Past inversions preceded downturns by 18–92 weeks, signaling heightened recession risks.
Implications for USD:
Inverted curves typically weaken the dollar as markets price in future Fed rate cuts.
Rising long-term yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.439%) paradoxically coincide with dollar weakness, reflecting investor skepticism about U.S. economic resilience.
Key Drivers and Cross-Currency Impacts
Factor Impact on USD Impact on Yields
Fed Policy Uncertainty ↓ (Delayed cuts weigh) ↑ (Volatility in rate expectations)
Trade Tariffs ↓ (Safe-haven flows to EUR) ↑ (Risk premium in long-term yields)
Inverted Yield Curve ↓ (Recession fears) – (Historically precedes recessions)
Eurozone Growth (0.4% Q1) ↓ (EUR strength pressures USD) –
Conclusion
The U.S. dollar faces a bearish near-term bias, driven by economic softness, tariff headwinds, and technical breakdowns. Treasury yields, particularly the inverted curve, reinforce recession risks and further USD downside. However, the dollar’s reserve status and higher relative rates (vs. peers like the euro and yen) may limit severe declines, favoring consolidation with mild depreciation.
Watch for:
Fed communication on rate cuts and inflation.
Eurozone PMI data (May 22) to gauge EUR resilience.
10-2 yield spread dynamics for recession timing clues.
In summary, the dollar’s trajectory hinges on balancing recession risks against its yield advantage, with bears currently in control.
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9
Hence, it shouldn't fall below.
After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9
The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148.
New reality after May 2025?
US Dollar Index 1WCurrent strengthening of DXY will not last for long. Optimal level for start of reversal is 103.122
After the reversal the downtrend will resume and go for final stage (discharge) which may look like a flash crash on the last week of June 2025 down to 96.362
Starting from July 2025 DXY will print a reversal pattern moving sideways and slightly up all the way until September 2025. In the mid-end of September we will see a major retest which will mark a start big bullish cycle and global domination of US Dollar.
DXY ? Gold?
Speculation of
weaker $
www.tradingview.com
If this happens _ First signal I'm looking for is 1st cutting interest rates
Gold will be stronger
( But haven't break down trendline)
Crypto world be stronger
etc etc.
I'm just preparing mind & shift of trend
All setup will eventually reverse when DXY goes below 99.9999
All the best
Not a guru