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Coffee C Futures

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KC1! trade ideas

Coffee arabica outlookfundamentals are important - Brazil gained +4% in new coffee producing land last year - they have 40% of global output => +1,6% world coffee production only from Brazil and good weather conditions (until now). their currency is to watch too! As long as Bolsonaro is president its really difficult, because they can easily convert rain forest to agricultural lands, witch is bad for coffee prices (and the world too). in the long term coffee needs to go to 1.50 - 1.70 September/October its more interesting - El Niño
ICEUS:KC1!
by foaraman
2
Coffee (KC) analysisAfter the strong bullish speculation on sugar finally ended, with the price is returning to more realistic values, my attention shifted to coffee. Coffee, which was also heavily speculated upwards, reaching an absurd price of $ 140, has returned to the $ 100 area and then rebounded. At the end of the bounce, as you can see from the chart below, a distribution phase has begun, what in the candlestick analysis is called "checkmate." Coffee, if there is no particularly positive news and data, will fall again in the coming weeks. Both because of the coronavirus effect, and because Brazilian production has grown a lot (also helped by the favourable climate), which will bring the price down. Also (confidential news), a well-known Italian coffee company is still waiting to fix the price of the next deliveries, as it is sure that the contango will drop, as well as the prices. Next short targets: $ 106.50/108.00 - $ 101.00 - $ 97.50/99.00 - $ 94.00.
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by TradingwDavid
2