RUT 2K Fell 17.50% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeIf you haven`t bought the RUT 2K regional Double Bottom here:
On Tuesday, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred following last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to secure a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which put the nation at risk of its first default.
Following a similar credit downgrade in the past, the RUT 2K Russell 2000 experienced a sharp decline of 17.50% within a three-month period. S&P, one of the three major credit rating firms, downgraded U.S. debt on Aug. 5, 2011, after another significant debt ceiling battle.
Presently, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
Even though is not likely, a 17.50% decline will lead to a Price Target of $1630 for RUT 2K.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
US2000 trade ideas
RUT 2K Price Prediction for 2024If you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on RUT 2K:
Then you probably know that small caps haven`t participated in the 2023 market rally.
That`s why I believe investors will will for opportunities in the small cap stocks in 2024, and Russell 2000 index might offer a bigger return than the S&P this year.
My price prediction for RUT 2K is $2560 by the end of the year.
RUSSELL 2000 on a 20 month High! Is it sustainable?Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy entry on our last call (see chart below), as we achieved the most optimal buy near Support 2 and rallied all the way to our 2000 Target:
The Resistance Zone broke and this delivered a new 20-month High on the index, the effect of which is more accurately seen on the 1W time-frame. The question is, how sustainable can this rally be?
Well as the 1W RSI is only 3 points away from getting overbought (70.00) for the first time since March 2021, having also entered the 2 year Higher Highs Zone, it becomes less and less sustainable. In fact a less risky medium-term strategy would be to start selling and target the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That is where we will reverse to a buy and target Resistance 1 at 2140.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
$RSP & $RUT performing better at the moment, vs $SPXAMEX:RSP vs AMEX:SPY
Equal weight vs regular #SP500
We can see that equal weight has been performing better
Russell 2000
TVC:RUT is no longer stuck in a rut :)
It had a fake breakout in the daily charts in August but look at it now.
That weekly is looking Nicely!
We've stated a few times that we believed these 2 would be moving better than normal averages.
We also said TVC:DJI would keep leading, it has. Another new All time high.
Another call, NASDAQ:NDX should surpass, it's more aggressive.
Looking for 2100 as first stop to ATH on RUTLooks like we are building a base for the next move higher. it will not be an easy ride - but aiming to target 2100 on RUT followed by ATH. Taking it week by week - since i am a day-trader will not hold till then. piece by piece - grab your money and run. On a break of the Monthly FVG - a potential pullback to the optimal trade entry should be considered. A rotation from tech more into RUT could happen or all move in tandem. History will prove me wrong in the future.
Small Cap may break above major resistance since June 2022With 3 time rate cutting in 2024, it will benefit small cap due to loan/debt interest repayment.
This will help the small cap companies.
On daily time frame, RSI is at overbought level which you may want to be caution to chase the bullish trend. Waiting for pullback to long.
Break and close above 2010 = may see 2150 follow by 2300 in year 2024.
On weekly time frame, there is still room for RSI to go even higher.
Russell 2000 B Wave Flat Correction Near Complete. I was forced to relabel my interpretation of the Russell 2000 after the July 2023 high was broken. The structure is now labeled as a regular flat primary B wave correction that is either complete, or nearly complete. The next wave down should be rather fierce, as C waves tend to be. Wave C will decline in 5 waves to meet the depth guideline near the terminus of the previous 4th wave of lessor degree. Somewhere near $971.
Strong ResistanceWe have stopped at a former triple bottom which has been tested as a resistance twice now already.
So it may become a double top now. This the more that it was a top on May 23rd already.
The Moving Average is another resistance.
On November 14th we have opened window that may want to be closed.
Mind the trading range from mid March to 20th May which you can see easily in the weekly chart. It marks the top of today as well as the possible correction level.
We can say that the index has corrected the fall from end of July until 23rd October now and is back in its previous trading range.
This range may hold till the end of the year.
RUSSELL 2000: Short term pullback possible but buy for 1910.Russell 2000 crossed again today overo the 1D MA200 and it remains to be seen if it succeeds at closing above it. After the November 15th crossing but failure to close over it, a repeat may materialize a pullback of at least -4.50%, in similar fashion as the 1D MA200 rejections of May 23rd 2023 and November 1st 2022.
Technically that's possible as on the greater picture, the index is still neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.610, MACD = -19.910, ADX = 34.284) sitting almost halfway of the giant consolidation/ Rectangle pattern of the past year and a half.
Consequently, we will welcome any pullback as a buy opportunity, but we are already bullish, aiming at the R1 level (TP = 1,910).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Will Rusell2000 follow SP500 and NASDAQ100?
The Russell 2000 index consists of 2,000 small-cap companies, making up the smallest segment of the Russell 3000, which covers approximately 98% of publicly traded stocks in the U.S. Every June the index is rebalanced, adding new companies or removing existing ones.
Currently, the market is focusing on the positive aspects of the data and favoring the demand side. However, the medium-term structure remains trapped in a wide sideways trend, with resistance and support levels acting as key boundaries on the chart.
The Russell 2000 index is highly sensitive to GDP growth, which the Federal Reserve actively manages to control inflation. Consequently, the path of the Russell 2000 is influenced by the trajectory of U.S. economic growth - small caps typically have weaker balance sheets, higher levels of floating debt, lower profit margins, and longer durations, which add to its vulnerability.
The Price Line overlays are Nasdaq100 and SP500.
US Russell 2000 RTY ~ Ping Pong Perpetuity (Daily Chart)CAPITALCOM:RTY chart mapping/analysis.
Russell 2000 still stuck within trading range despite recent rallies across major US indices.
What's on the chart:
Ascending parallel channel (light blue) captures upward trend over multi-decade timeframe
Descending parallel channel (white) frames downward trend from upper to lower range (multi-decade) parallel channel
Horizontal lines (yellow dashed) locks in trading range (June 2022 to present)
Descending trend-line (light blue dotted) highlights pivot support points
Fibonnaci levels establishes key supply/demand zones
Short-medium term outlook:
Neutral-bearish
RTY remains in " Ping Pong Perpetuity " until breakout on either side of trading range
200DMA acting as dynamic resistance, exerting downward pressure
Bullish reversal = rally above 200DMA to switch trend & test upper trading range
Do not doubt the bull market!!_ RUSSELL 2000 about to join in!I have posted my views on various global indices as well as major US indices like Nasdaq and SP500 also SP500 realty and written about how i am convinced of the bull market and all the major global indices confirming to this view. Many are here to believe that what the world witnessed in 2020 is all going to dirt now and everything will collapse.
Well I on the contrary believe that what the world witnessed in 2020 was the start(look at Japan (nikkei225)coming out of 30 years range, Australia(XJO 200) standing at new 16year high, Italy(IT 40)moving out of past 10years range,EU50 at standing at a new 10 year high and the list goes on and on.)
Major moves(to upside) in many global indices will be seen in 2024-2025.
Speaking of the US market, my attention now goes to the RUSSELL 2000.The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap U.S. stock market index.
The RUSSELL 2000 I believe has started out now in its major 3rd wave which could more than double this particular index.
The index was seen a complex triple three correction for past two years and the structure of this complex triple three appears completed to me. I am therefore anticipating this index to rally hard going into 2024.
4000-4200 is the projected target zone for wave 3.
Note*- This chart and its explanation is based on personal views/opinions. Please try do do your own research/analysis before making any financial decisions.
Note*- the wave counts and marking were done using daily and 4hour charts for anyone interested in knowing.
$RUT $IWM Wyckoff Spring / TestLooking for a retest here and recovery of the range low. which would give confidence to our idea of the the spring phase here on the last sweep of the lows
We would expect to see strength coming off a successful retest, and price should move next to the last point of supply and toward the top of the range which would be your sign of strength.
Its still early here, but with the run on alt coins and other more risky speculative assets, i think that would itself be a sign of risk on and potential to see the same on smaller cap stocks.
Keeping an eye on this one. A return to riskier trading behavior would be indicative of confidence in the market as a whole and further validate our ideas of continuation on both SP:SPX & NASDAQ:IXIC