NAS ROAD TO 25700Deeping to 20660. A wick to 20770, Then rise to 25700. just like that, kings ideas.
USTEC trade ideas
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100: Key Support Holds as Bulls The Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) is currently trading at 21,100, with a target price of 23,000, suggesting a bullish outlook and a potential rise of 1,900 points. The price is holding above a key trendline, which acts as a strong support level. This trendline's role is significant, as the recent bounce from this support confirms its reliability. The pattern indicates that the index may continue its upward trajectory if no major resistance levels hinder its movement. Such a setup suggests the market sentiment remains positive. A break above intermediate resistance levels could accelerate the rally. However, traders must remain cautious of external factors like earnings reports or Federal Reserve policy updates that might affect momentum. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
NAS100...Ever the Bullish Instrument Part 12Happy New Year everyone...
This will be an exciting years for the bulls as we see that the market has already finished it's Low point at the end of the first Friday of 2025.
This only means one thing...It will be up from here on.
My strategy is and will always continue to be...taking the largest HL's to the ATH (HH)
I have already made may 2025 target points for 2025 and it is just a matter of sticking to an already proven strategy and waiting for the TP levels to be hit.
No new trades have been entered as yet for the year as my last buy entry of 21213.4 from 2024 has just gotten into profit on Friday 01/03/2025.
Now that the structure has broken back starting with the H1/H2 timeframe, it will only be a buyers paradise for the remainder of the year...Welcome to the Bull party.
Just remember to practice your strategy until you have perfected it...
Nothing much to comment on except that I have already posted my TP levels for 2025 and you can hold me to that...Guaranteed.
Have a great trading week
A great trading month
A great trading year...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#zigzagtheory
#whywewait
#patience
US100 Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 21,549.6.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 22,260.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NAS100USD: Bullish Reversal on the Horizon?Greetings Traders, and welcome to the new year! I wish you all success and prosperity in the year ahead.
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that the market has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, influenced by high-impact economic releases such as Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate. Despite this bearish momentum, I am anticipating a potential bullish reversal due to several key factors.
Key Observations:
1. Rejection Block Signal:
A rejection block at the lows indicates that institutions have been entering buying positions. This resulted in a rejection of the previous low, signaling bearish weakness and suggesting the possibility of a reversal.
2. Bullish Break of Structure:
Price recently broke a high during its upward movement, signaling bullish strength. This shift suggests that institutions may now be favoring upward price delivery.
3. Mitigation Block as a Key Zone:
Price is currently reversing toward a key institutional area known as the mitigation block.
What is a Mitigation Block?
This zone represents an area where institutions previously entered sell orders during the bearish trend. As price has since moved upward, these sell orders are now in loss. Institutions retrace price to this area to mitigate their losses and reinstate new buy orders to align with the prevailing bullish narrative.
These zones are pivotal and form the basis of support and resistance concepts.
Trading Strategy:
After confirmation, I will be looking for buying opportunities at the mitigation block, targeting the liquidity pool above. This aligns with the narrative that institutions are scaling into bullish positions and preparing for upward price delivery.
Stay observant and strategic as we analyze this potential shift in market structure. Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below, and let’s capitalize on the opportunities ahead!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Under PressureThe NASDAQ remains weak. After the significant price losses on Tuesday, strong hidden bearish divergences are now establishing themselves in the OBV. In view of the political and economic uncertainties, pressure on the NASDAQ is likely to increase in the coming days. A possible catalyst could be strong labor market data, which makes further interest rate cuts less likely.
Nasdaq ShortsLooking for short this week from this level and the level of imbalance above current price. Correlates with stochastic RSI, channel, and resistance. Teach forecast is weaker for the coming quarters on earnings guidance. PE ratios are really expensive. I think we will see more of a correction before any bullish optimism in the market. I also believe the market will pullback and consolidate until Trump is inaugurated and starts to sign executive orders.
US100 shortUS100 has broken the market structure that was established since the August lows. We have retested it at 21700 yesterday and we have now prepared the down move, this down move coudl be setting up the Weekly HL which aligns with both the 24EMA on the weekly and the 0.618 retracement level.
The market participants seem to be very complacent and this was myself included, until yesterday where we had the retest and not the break of the trend line, and the cross below the 24EMA on the 4H we are setting up very strongly to Fall now with the target being 19500 ish.
I am reactive and not predictive so when and if we reach there I will send out what to do next
US Economy bleeding like everything elseNo surprises here—the US100 is tanking like everything else, dragged down by two active bearish structures. But could this be the calm before the storm as Trump takes the reins on the 21st? That’s the million-dollar question.
The two strong bounces from the green Overall Correction Level (OCL) tell me the market hasn’t fully thrown in the towel yet. That’s why I don’t believe we’ll hit the lower target levels. Instead, I’m anticipating a sharp reversal, ripping to the upside at the purple resistance line. This move would keep the overall bullish structure intact and deliver the kind of upside everyone’s praying Trump will bring to the table.
For now, patience is the play. Watch for the reversal—we’re setting up for something big.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, no interest in Santa Rally!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply zone will provide us with the conditions to sell it.
In the annual rebalancing of the Nasdaq Index, the shares of Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom saw a reduction in their weighting, while Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet gained more weight. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, this marks the second time in roughly a year that index regulators have adjusted the allocations for its largest members.
The rules governing the Nasdaq 100 are designed to prevent a small number of companies from exerting excessive influence on the index. These rules have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to the extraordinary growth in market value of major companies and advancements in artificial intelligence. Although the Nasdaq 100 is weighted by market capitalization, certain limits are enforced if a few companies grow disproportionately large.
This recent rebalancing may have been prompted by a rule that allows regulators to reduce the weighting of the top five companies to below 40%, with other adjustments made accordingly. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, remarked, “At times, the Nasdaq 100 has to take such measures because it becomes a victim of its own success; the largest stocks in the index have grown significantly faster than others.”
This year, the shares of major technology companies have risen sharply due to advancements in artificial intelligence. Broadcom, a key chip supplier for Apple and other tech giants, reached a market value of $1 trillion. Tesla also surged by around 75% following the U.S. presidential election.
In the Nasdaq 100, Apple’s weighting increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, while Nvidia rose from 7.9% to 8.4%. Microsoft and Amazon also gained weight, and Alphabet saw a slight increase. However, Broadcom’s weighting fell from 6.3% to 4.4%, Tesla’s dropped from 4.9% to 3.9%, and Meta’s decreased from 4.9% to 3.3%.
Currently, over 200 exchange-traded products, with combined assets totaling approximately $540 billion, track the Nasdaq 100 or its variations globally. Athanasios Psarofagis of Bloomberg Intelligence noted, “This highlights the increasing influence of index providers on market dynamics.”
Last year, thanks to the resilience of the economy, strong earnings reports, a 100-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, and the leadership of the Mag7, the S&P 500 recorded 57 new all-time highs (ATHs).
On Friday, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking at the Maryland Bankers Association, outlined the conditions needed for rate cuts and discussed the broader impacts of the new tariff plan proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Barkin downplayed the immediate and direct effects of the tariff program. Markets do not anticipate any rate changes in the upcoming Fed meeting.
The private and non-farm payrolls report (ADP) set to be released on Wednesday, along with Thursday’s weekly jobless claims data, could offer a clearer picture of the U.S. labor market ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI for December, scheduled for release on Monday, could provide further insights into the overall performance of the U.S. economy, as the services sector accounts for over 80% of GDP.
The minutes of the December Fed meeting will also be published on Wednesday, but they are unlikely to have a significant impact on markets as updated economic forecasts have already been released.
The November Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a sharp increase in job creation, with 227,000 new jobs added to the U.S. economy. This contrasted with just 12,000 jobs added in October, marking the weakest job growth since December 2020. If the December report also indicates that October’s weakness was temporary, some investors might conclude that even two rate cuts in 2025 would be excessive. This could contribute to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies.
The key question is whether the stock market, given expectations of fewer rate cuts, will continue its downward trend or recover with signs of robust economic performance.
NAS100...Ever the Bullish Instrument Part 13With the first full trading week completed, I still observe structure being maintained on the larger timeframes and as such the historic bullish trend still intact.
The strategy still remains the same guaranteed HL's to HH's.
Every single ATH that has been created by the market has been broken after a retracement to another HL....
Not so with the lows...the only ATH on the NAS100 was the lowest point that it has ever gone and since then the price has never gone back there...
What does that mean for this week?
1. Continue taking my largest HL to my largest High (if it comes to a LH then I TP and wait for another HL).
2. Keep doing this until the consolidation on the upper levels is broken to produce the next ATH.
3. Continue trading the trend as you will never go wrong with the trend (HL's to HH's)
So with that being said my first buy entry of the week will be below 20,725.2...It's a game of patience and you just have to continue taking your profits on the consolidation points until the trend resumes to the next ATH.
Have another great week guys and always remember to practice constantly, journal your trades, analyze and review...that is the only way to improve (not by signal chasing).
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
Nasdaq price is consoladating may be attemting to break support.Nasdaq price is consoladating may be attemting to break support.
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating indecision in the market. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, with the potential for a breakout in either direction.
Forecast:
A breakout on either side of the triangle will determine the next directional move. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance or below the support of the triangle.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed beyond the opposite side of the breakout to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target measured moves based on the height of the triangle, projected from the breakout point.
Market Sentiment:
The symmetrical triangle suggests neutral sentiment, with the potential for significant movement depending on the breakout direction.
POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY ON NAS100Price showing signs of strong momentum. We look for the pullback to take the trade.
IPDA price action last weeks high to be raided and then a potential sell-off during new-york open, if not the market may just keep going
when it does short from the PWH, the HTF bias is still bullish , a bearish imbalance inversion after NY open is key to find the long entry .... wait for time ( @ 10:00 NY/ 17:00 RSA)
NASDAQ1001. Identified Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: The chart highlights a resistance area between approximately 15,700 and 15,900. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling, preventing upward price movement.
Support Levels: Support is noted around 15,200 and 14,800, serving as floors where buying interest has historically emerged.
2. Trend Analysis:
Current Trend: The NAS100 appears to be in a consolidation phase, oscillating between the identified support and resistance levels.
Potential Breakout: A decisive move above the 15,900 resistance could signal the continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below 14,800 might indicate a bearish reversal.
3. Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that the upward momentum may be weakening.
Moving Averages: The chart shows the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with the 50-day MA trending above the 200-day MA, indicating a bullish alignment.
4. Chart Patterns:
Ascending Triangle Formation: The price action appears to be forming an ascending triangle, characterized by rising lows converging toward a horizontal resistance line. This pattern typically suggests a potential bullish breakout.
Conclusion: The NAS100 is currently trading within a well-defined range, with key resistance around 15,900 and support near 14,800. The ascending triangle pattern, combined with the bullish moving average alignment, indicates a potential upward breakout. However, the approaching overbought RSI warns of possible short-term consolidation or a minor pullback before any significant move.
Recommendations:
For Long Positions: Consider entering after a confirmed breakout above 15,900, with increased volume as confirmation.
For Short Positions: A break below the 14,800 support could provide an opportunity, especially if accompanied by a bearish crossover of moving averages.
Risk Management: Implement stop-loss orders just below support levels for long positions and above resistance for short positions to mitigate potential losses.
NAS100 - TIME FOR ENTER THE TRADE LOOKING FOR RECOVERYTeam,
Again, I hope you have a fantastic new year and lets kill the BEAST (market) together
I found a good entry for NAS 100 at 21185-92
STOP LOSS at 21050 or 21105
Target 1 at 21236-57
Target 2 at 21315-45
Target 3 at 21385-21425
NOTE: Please ensure you take your partial once it hits the first target range of 21236-57. Please bring STOP LOSS to BE to secure the trade
NASDAQ M45 Idea Potential for a bullish pullback on the NASDAQ M45 which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 21.500
NASDAQ Double Bottom starting the new bullish waveNasdaq / US100 is trading inside a 5 month Channel Up.
The price made a Double Bottom on January 2nd and rebounded today back to hit the 4hour MA50.
If it crosses above the Falling Resistance, we will have a technical confirmation of the new bullish wave, similar to September 12th 2024.
That bullish wave hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 22400 (Fib 1.236).
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ: Key Support at 21,500 Poised to Propel a Rally Toward 22Looking at the chart, the 21,500 level is a strong support zone as it aligns with previous bullish positions and significant volume activity. This support could act as a solid base for a potential upward move toward the 22,000 resistance level.
Key Observations:
21,500 Support Zone:
Historical bullish activity suggests buyers are actively defending this area.
The price has bounced from this level, reinforcing its strength.
Volume Profile:
Heavy volume concentration near the support indicates strong interest in this region.
Limited resistance zones between 21,500 and 22,000 support the case for a move upward.
Target Resistance:
22,000 is a psychological and technical resistance level.
Reaching this level would require sustaining bullish momentum above 21,500.
If the price remains above 21,500, it could fuel a bullish rally toward 22,000, assuming no external bearish factors interfere. Monitoring price action near these levels is crucial for trade planning.
My analysis for upcoming trading days... Let me know yours :)My analysis is based on the latest pull back that i think will not continue. I feel like that this pullback is caused be overheated technological sector because of nvdia hype and overall market hype.
Fundamentals are on my side of view. interest rates are lower, cpi did not change and uneplyoment rose.
I wil be looking to take trades from that 4 hour fvg or on the way to that fvg based on oportunities markets will gve me.
Lastly i want to apologize for my inactivity. I've been dealing with a lot of family issues and I'm also in my senior year of high school, so it's been a lot. I'm here now and I'll post as much as I can.
