Possible SELLI will be looking to sell at this supply level and take it down to the previous low. I do also want the market to close the gap that it created on Monday
USTEC trade ideas
nas100 buy re-entrywe got kicked out 2 times
we use proper risk managment
so lets ride the bullish trend
US100We are at a weekly support that was broken and could become a potential resistance. H1 and h4 are in a rising wedge or bearish flag. Waiting on H1 to break recent support and turn bearish.
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound.
Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position.
Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
Came like a thief in the night: TRUMPCESSIONBearish continuation to my last post
Donny triggered it
that said im expecting price to drive lower from my red zone and to resist at the levels i think around the red price levels will it all be over
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Nas100 price form a demand around level of 19368.82 which means is likely to continue going up and trader should go for long with expect profit target of 19725.06 and 20133.34 . Use money management
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning,
Hope all is well. We saw some rejection at the 20,288 mark. Volume is still holding in a bearish partner. Trend is now signalling a bearish pattern. I will re-evaluate any accumulation until 19,100 to see if support holds.
Currently my portfolio is 75% SQQQ. I am holding No Crypto at the moment and have 25% in stocks and etfs.
Have a great day!
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level
Hello, traders.
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the NAS100 chart.
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(NAS100 1M chart)
I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues.
Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8).
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3.
Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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THE SKY IS THE LIMITI am a nine to fiver so at times I don't have time for the charts, but like I said on a video yesterday, this week I am looking for Buys Buys and BUYS. Stay Tuned. Happy trading
NASDAQ 100 IndexThe price has already dropped to the support line of the inner channel (in light blue), which is at one standard deviation.
If this support line is also broken, the next support level is the outer channel (in yellow), which is at two standard deviations.
(Logarithmic price axis, channel starting from 2008)
Bulls shouldnt fight this fallI have explained everything on the chart....can't be bullish for the time being, except for some rallies in a downfall....Whales will step where JPow said the famous words, Inflation is no longer transitory....Honestly the sooner we get here, the better....but it could take a few weeks or by the middle of this year.....if the market goes again back up for a double top, the fall will be even more painful.....but markets are all about creating maximum pain for bulls and bears....
NAS100 TRADE IDEALooking for buying opportunities on nas100 since on monday we gap and we came back to fill in that gap now im looking for buying pressure to take place
NAS100 (4H) Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
The market recently broke out of a downtrend, showing signs of a bullish reversal with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 20,600 – If broken, bullish momentum could continue.
📉 Support: 20,200 – Could act as a retest zone if price pulls back.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Higher highs & higher lows confirm an uptrend.
🚀 If 20,600 breaks, targets are 21,000 → 21,300.
⚠️ Rejection at 20,600 could lead to a pullback toward 20,200 or 19,880.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 20,600 with a target of 21,000+.
Bearish rejection at 20,600 could provide a short opportunity toward 20,200.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmations before entering trades. Set SL below recent structure lows.
Title: How to Spot Potential Price Reversals: Part 2A subject within technical analysis that many find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price.
Yesterday we posted part 1 of this 2 part educational series, where we used GBPUSD as an example of how you could identify and trade a Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern.
In today’s post we discuss a Double Top/Double Bottom, using a recent US 100 example.
Our intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies.
The Double Top Reversal:
The Double Top, is formed by 2 distinct price highs.
This pattern highlights the potential,
• reversal of a previous uptrend in price, into a phase of price weakness
• reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of price strength.
In this example, we are going to talk about a bearish reversal in price called a Double Top.
Points to Note: A Double Top
• An uptrend in price must be in place for the pattern to form.
• A Double Top pattern is made up of 2 clear highs and one low, forming a letter ‘M’ shape on a price chart.
• This pattern reflects an inability of buyers to push price activity above a previous peak in price, potentially highlighting a negative shift in sentiment and sellers gaining the upper hand. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price failure high and leaves 2 price peaks at, or very close to each other.
• A horizontal trendline is drawn at the low between the 2 peaks, which highlights the neckline of the pattern. If this is broken on a closing basis, the pattern is completed, reflecting a negative sentiment shift and the potential of further price weakness.
Point to Note: To understand a bullish reversal, known as a ‘Double Bottom’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above.
US 100 Example:
In the chart below, we look at the US 100 index and the formation of a Double Top pattern from earlier in 2025.
As with any bearish reversal in price, a clear uptrend and extended price advance must have been seen for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the advance from the August 5th 2024 low up into the December 16th price high.
The Double Top pattern is made up of 2 price highs close or at the same level as each other, with a low trade in the middle, which forms a letter ‘M’ on the chart (see below).
In this example above, the highs are marked by 22142, the December 16th and 22226, the February 18th highs, with the 20477 level posted on January 13th represents the low traded in the middle, which helps to form the ‘M’.
The Neckline of the pattern is drawn using a horizontal line at the 20477 January 13th low, with the Double Top pattern completed on closes below this level. Potential then turns towards a more extended phase of price weakness to reverse the previous uptrend, even opening the possibility a new downtrend in price being formed.
Does the Double Top Pattern Suggest a Potential Price Objective?
Yes, it does. This can be done by measuring the height of the 2nd peak in price down to the Neckline level at that time, this distance is projected lower from the point the neckline was broken, suggesting a possible minimum objective for any future price decline.
In the example above, the 2nd high was at 22226, posted on February 18th 2025, with the Neckline at 20477, meaning the height of the pattern was 1749 (points). On February 27th the Neckline of the pattern was broken on a closing basis.
This means… 20477 – 1749 = 18728 as a minimum potential price objective for the Double Top pattern.
Of course, as with any technical pattern, completion is not a guarantee of a significant phase of price movement, with much still dependent on future sentiment and price trends.
Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Double Top pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement.
This stop loss should initially be placed just above the level of the 2nd price high, as any break negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did.
Hopefully, as prices fall after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving your stop loss lower, keeping it just above lower resistance levels to protect your position and lock in potential gains.
While both the Head and Shoulders and Double Top/Bottom patterns can take a prolonged period to form and we must be patient to wait for completion, they reflect important signals indicating potential changes in price sentiment and direction.
By understanding how and why these patterns form can offer an important insight to potential price activity that can help to support day to day decision making when deciding on trading strategies.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
US100 - Testing Key Resistance: Will the 4H Trend Reverse?Market Structure & Trend Overview
The Nasdaq (US100) has been in a 4-hour uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and respecting an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. This structure suggests that buyers are stepping in, and momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. However, the index remains at a critical decision point that could determine whether we see a confirmed bullish reversal or a continuation of the larger downtrend.
Key Zone: 4H Imbalance & Resistance Area
Currently, price action is testing a 4-hour imbalance zone, which has already acted as a strong resistance level twice. The market is struggling to break through this supply zone, which is crucial in determining the next major move. If price tests this area again and successfully breaks above it, it could confirm that buyers have gained control, signaling a potential trend reversal back into a bullish phase.
However, if price gets rejected from this level again, it could indicate that sellers are still dominant, increasing the probability of a breakdown from the ascending channel and a resumption of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario: Break & Hold Above Imbalance Zone
For a confirmed bullish reversal, Nasdaq must break above the imbalance zone with strong volume and sustain price action above it. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, leading to a push towards higher resistance levels, possibly targeting the $20,000 - $20,300 range in the short term.
Signs to look for in a bullish breakout:
✅ A decisive close above the imbalance zone with strong bullish momentum.
✅ Retesting the broken level as support, confirming it as a new demand zone.
✅ A continuation of higher highs and higher lows after the breakout.
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown of the Ascending Channel
If price fails to break through the imbalance zone and instead rejects for the third time, this could indicate a weakening bullish structure. The key support to watch is the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A confirmed break below this channel could invalidate the short-term uptrend, signaling a return to bearish price action.
If this occurs, Nasdaq could drop towards the key support level at $19,146, a previous liquidity zone where buyers may step in again.
Signs to watch for a bearish breakdown:
❌ A clear rejection from the imbalance zone.
❌ A break and close below the ascending channel.
❌ Increased selling pressure and a shift in market sentiment.
Final Thoughts: A Critical Inflection Point
Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment where the next move will determine the broader trend direction. If bulls can push price above the imbalance zone, we could see a confirmed bullish reversal with upside potential. However, if sellers regain control and force a breakdown of the channel, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting the $19,146 level as a potential support zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action at the imbalance zone and the ascending channel boundaries, as these key areas will dictate the next major move. Whether we see a trend reversal or continuation, this setup presents significant trading opportunities in either direction.
Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Bullish Breakout Target: $19,900 - $20,000
📍 Bearish Breakdown Target: $19,146
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
NAS100/US100/NQ/NASDAQ Long-Bet Me, Others Sell=I BuyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure because I didn't get bullish confirmation but with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits atleast TP-1, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%.
However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20045
Stop Loss @ 19070
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900.
However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300.
We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
Not looking good for TradFi.First (38.2%) and second (61.8%) support level as shown.
Ichimoku cloud also turning bearish again.
Will the crypto market be pulled along, or will it finally decouple (less likely)?
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames!
- Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason!
- I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how!
- You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why!
- I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that!
- Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart!
- In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave!
- Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop!
- The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames!
- Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart!
- My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen!
- My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there!
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