NASDAQ Bulls Defend Pivot – Can 23,000 Break Next?USNAS100
The Nasdaq 100 is currently holding above the pivotal 22,720 level, supported by market optimism amid recent tariff-related developments from the White House.
Bullish Scenario:
Sustained price action above 22,720 keeps bullish momentum intact. A break and 1H close above 22,815 would confirm strength, opening the path toward the psychological milestone and potential all-time high at 23,000.
Bearish Breakdown:
A 1H or 4H close below 22,720 would invalidate the bullish bias and strengthen downside pressure, with initial support seen at 22,615 and deeper correction likely toward 22,420.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 22,815 · 23,000
• Support: 22,615 · 22,420
USTEC trade ideas
NAS100 High-Risk Momentum Play with Potential H&S SetupNAS100 is hovering near all-time highs. While a retest of the weekly trendline remains likely, this idea aims to ride the current bullish momentum. The plan anticipates a short-term pullback to recent lows to potentially form a head and shoulders pattern before a move lower toward the weekly trendline. This is a high-risk setup I’d typically avoid, but the strong bullish weekly close adds some weight. Two entries provided - one with a tighter TP for a quicker reaction.
#NDQ - Monthly Targets: 23721.73 or 21387.86?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22554.80 Support: 22276.15 Resistance: 22835.11
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 23028.36
Target 2: 23221.62
Target 3: 23471.67
Target 4: 23721.73
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22082.06
Target 2: 21887.98
Target 3: 21637.92
Target 4: 21387.86
USNAS100 Key Level: 22,740 – Will the Trend Continue or Reverse?USNAS100 Update – Bullish Momentum Holds Above 22,740
USNAS100 has continued to push higher, following through as expected from yesterday’s analysis.
The index maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above the key pivot at 22,740.
However, a 1H close below 22,730 could trigger a bearish correction toward 22,615.
A sustained break below that level may shift the trend to bearish.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 22,870 / 23,000
• Support: 22,615 / 22,410
NAS100 CAUTION - Realistic Perspective!!Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
This rising channel represents severe overbought greed territory.
A very big correction might be around the corner or in the near future.
Daily and Weekly RSI Divergence could be forced to re-balance at any time.
Keynote:
This is not a contradiction of my previous NASDAQ post.
Short-Term strong bullish price action can still prevail.
But please keep this big picture in mind from here on end.
Feel free to ask questions if anything is unclear.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Technical Analysis – NAS100 (15min)Chart Overview Date: July 7, 2025
Market: NAS100 (US Tech 100 Index)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Chart Context: Clean with Price Action Focus
🧠 Market Structure
Overall uptrend structure since June 21st – higher highs and higher lows.
Key resistance zone: 22,900 – price was rejected here multiple times.
Support area: 22,500 – formed after bullish impulsive move and retest.
🎯 Entry Scenario
Currently in a sideways consolidation between 22,700 – 22,900.
A break above 22,900 with strong volume can lead to a bullish continuation.
Alternatively, a rejection near 22,900 with bearish engulfing candle may offer a short scalp back toward 22,700.
📈 Bias & Confirmation
Trend Bias: Bullish
Wait for:
Breakout and close above resistance for long.
Rejection and bearish signal at resistance for short.
📌 Plan
Type Trigger SL TP Target 1 TP Target 2
Long Break & close >22,900 <22,800 23,050 23,150
Short Rejection @22,900 >22,950 22,720 22,600
"📊 Clean and structured technical analysis on NAS100 – Currently consolidating after a strong uptrend. Watching key levels around 22,900 for breakout or rejection scenario.
Trade safe. 📈 #ALIPFX #TechnicalAnalysis #NAS100"
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
________________________________________
Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
________________________________________
My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
________________________________________
Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
________________________________________
Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
________________________________________
Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
NAS100 UPDATE - Potential Targets Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Key Support / Pivot @ 22665.00
If key support holds, bullish rally can potentially remain intact
A strong breach below 22605.00, can potentially force
price back to original demand.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
NASDAQ | - Structure Refined | Bullish Intent Into Next WeekPair: NAS100
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 2H, LTFs
• 4H broke structure to the upside with a new HH — clear sign of bullish intent stepping in.
• 2H gives clarity on the move — beginning of the week was messy, but price cleaned up nicely and gave us refined structure to work with.
• Now we wait for mitigation into the OB zone to see if price respects and gives us the setup.
🔹 Entry: After price mitigates OB and confirms with CHoCH on LTFs
🔹 Entry Zone: Marked OB zone — wait for confirmation
🔹 Target: Near structure highs — continuation if bulls step in
Mindset: Messy beginnings don’t mean bad outcomes. Structure eventually reveals the truth — just stay patient and ready.
Bless Trading!
Pullback before next leg up
NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June.
The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution.
That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though.
But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move.
If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking.
My key downside levels:
TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect.
TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area.
TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken.
TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level.
SL @ 21850 on my second entry short
Short term: pullback likely.
Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
NASDAQ Key Levels July 7 2025If NY fails to reclaim 22,755–780 early in the week, expect a grind back toward 22,644 → 22,600, with 22,520 in play only if volume confirms. Reclaiming and holding above 22,800+ would invalidate this bearish setup.
Watch for trap volume, delta reversals, and volume imbalances at all key zones before entering.
22,880 – 🔻 Weekly wick top
➤ Major rejection zone with a stop cluster sitting above.
22,800–820 – Possible NY trap zone
➤ Trap absorption detected here on footprint — watch New York for rejection or breakout.
22,755–22,780 – Retest zone
➤ Multiple trap wicks with low delta on 1H/15M. Likely to bait breakout traders before fading.
22,700 – Structural demand / pivot point
➤ A clean break + hold below = bearish market shift.
22,644 – ✅ Session low / Take Profit 1
➤ If 22,700 breaks, this is the first clean downside target.
22,600 – Daily value zone
➤ High-probability liquidity target if selling extends below 22,644.
22,520 – Final sweep target
➤ Only likely if New York session sells off hard mid-to-late week.
NASDAQ Key Levels July 7 2025If NY fails to reclaim 22,755–780 early in the week, expect a grind back toward 22,644 → 22,600, with 22,520 in play only if volume confirms. Reclaiming and holding above 22,800+ would invalidate this bearish setup.
Watch for trap volume, delta reversals, and volume imbalances at all key zones before entering.
22,880 – 🔻 Weekly wick top
➤ Major rejection zone with a stop cluster sitting above.
22,800–820 – 🧱 Possible NY trap zone
➤ Trap absorption detected here on footprint — watch New York for rejection or breakout.
22,755–22,780 – 🔁 Retest zone
➤ Multiple trap wicks with low delta on 1H/15M. Likely to bait breakout traders before fading.
22,700 – ⚠️ Structural demand / pivot point
➤ A clean break + hold below = bearish market shift.
22,644 – ✅ Session low / Take Profit 1
➤ If 22,700 breaks, this is the first clean downside target.
22,600 – 🎯 Daily value zone
➤ High-probability liquidity target if selling extends below 22,644.
22,520 – 🧨 Final sweep target
➤ Only likely if New York session sells off hard mid-to-late week.
NAS100 4H – Bullish Breakout Continuation BUY SetupUS100 (NAS100) is showing clear bullish strength after reclaiming 22,500.0, now trading around 22,718.0. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming cleanly.
Buyers are still in control — looking for continuation to the upside.
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BUY Trade Plan:
🔵 Buy Limit: 22,650.0 – 22,680.0
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600.0
🎯 Take Profit 1: 22,800.0
🎯 Take Profit 2: 22,950.0
---
Why Buy?
✅ Strong bullish market structure.
✅ Recent pullback held above previous support levels.
✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation after minor retracement.
Smart Money likely to drive price higher after liquidity grab around 22,650 zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to pull back into 22,650 – 22,680, enter long on confirmation.
Risk Management: Respect SL and TP levels — no emotions.
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💬 Are you buying NAS100 too? Drop your thoughts below!
#NAS100 #US100 #Indices #TradingView #SmartMoney #BuySetup #FrankFx14
USNAS10 Faces Key Test at 22,615 Ahead of NFP VolatilityUSNAS100 – Key Levels Ahead of Major News
Today’s economic data releases (NFP, Unemployment Rate, etc.) are expected to drive volatility in the market. Traders should watch key levels closely.
Technical Outlook (USNAS10):
• Price is attempting to test 22,615.
• If it holds above 22,615, the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
• However, if price stabilizes below 22,615 on the 1H chart, further downside toward 22,420 is expected before a potential bullish reversal begins.
A breakout above 22,740 could trigger further upside toward 23,000
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 23,000 / 23,100
• Support: 22,420 / 22,280
NASDAQ: Almost overbought but with no stop on this uptrend.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.420, MACD = 402.410, ADX = 22.800) but the current bullish wave shows no signs of stopping yet. The Channel Up since the April bottom indicates that a +9.50% rise is very likely before the next technical pullback, especially as long as the 1D MA50 is holding. Stay long, TP = 23,400.
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USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy)📊 USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy)
Trade Type: Countertrend Breakout -> Continuation
Symbol: USTEC (NASDAQ 100 Index)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Entry Zone: Around 22,500
Resistance Zone: 22,587.90
Target: 22,865.84
Stop Loss: 22,458.87
Risk–Reward: 1:3 (approx)
Structure: Falling wedge breakout into bullish channel
Setup Confidence Score: 95%
📝 Analyst Notes
Price is breaking out from a well-defined falling wedge within a rising channel. Entry around 22,500 is based on breakout momentum, with SL tucked under structure. A retest entry would offer added confluence. Resistance at 22,587.90 is critical—a break and hold above confirms bullish strength toward the 22,865 target.
🎯 Execution Plan
Option 1: Aggressive entry near 22,500–22,540 (early breakout)
Option 2: Wait for clean retest of wedge breakout or 22,500 zone
Target: 22,865 (upper channel boundary)
SL: 22,458 or below the recent structure low
R:R: ~1:3 — very favorable
🟢 Verdict
This is a high-quality TCB setup, especially if we get a retest confirmation. The bounce off channel support + wedge breakout = excellent confluence.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,264.68 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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