ICP → Time to Long at $9? A Buy Opportunity Is Waiting!Since my April 24th update, ICP has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance just shy of $21.00 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on ICP?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, ICP found resistance at the Resistance Zone of below $21.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $5.80. We now see the price strongly responding to this are and is now above the Support Zone with a strong bullish candle closing on it's high.
It's reasonable to enter a long here given that strong bullish candle close. It would not hurt to wait for a confirmation candle but since we've closed above support, you could take a slightly lower probability trade here and have a high probability of hitting the first take profit target of $11.225. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in DOGE.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 56.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $8.45
🟥 Stop Loss: $5.675
✅ Take Profit #1: $11.225
✅ Take Profit #2: $14.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up toward a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
3. Two-legged pullback to the Support Zone at $8.23
4. Long entry justified at current Signal Candle close above Support Zone
5. RSI at 56.00 and above the moving average. Supports a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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