COMPOSITE trade ideas
Undervalued index post Resessionthe Value Index are the least recovered since march 2020 crisis, and might be underpriced
Sei Kehati Index is the best performing index amongs othersSri Kehati Index is the best performing index amongs others, compared with LQ45, IDX30, and IHSG.
IDX Index Performance, Past 5 YearsThese is the top 5 index performance of Indonesia stock exchange.
Reversal enemy shows up slowly to push down IDX Composite First session update 13 Jul. If it breaks the fib fan, the short term bull trend will have a potential reversal that will down to 48XX. But the uptrend potential is still promising.
IDX:COMPOSITE
IDX Composite - Cup & Handle PatternA potential Cup & Handle pattern is setting up, soon after IDX Composite IDX:COMPOSITE pass through the Mercury Retrograde period on July 13th, 2020.
IHSG - Potensi breakout minggu depanHello, berjumpa lagi dengan saya Jee dari elitemeetvalue.com.
Kali ini saya akan membagi pandangan saya terkait pergerakan IHSG/JKSE di minggu depan, yaitu minggu ke dua di bulan Juli 2020 ini. Dan ini bulan dimana laporan keuangan kuartal 2 tahun 2020 ini akan dirilis sehingga kita akan mungkin melihat market bergerak cukup lincah di bulan ini.
Market JKSE, beberapa waktu ini terlihat menguat setelah para Institusi banyak yang sepakat untuk melakukan aksi pembelian saham-saham di BEI dari level market 4458. Dan meskipun, breakout yang terjadi saat itu kurang meyakinkan, karena serangan dari para Institusi seller, namun, tekanan beli terus bisa mendorong market bergerak naik, meski harus terhenti di level 4995. Dan setelah itu, market dibawa turun lagi oleh para Institusi seller, namun berhenti di 4458 lagi. Disini terlihat jelas, komitmen para Institusi buyer untuk mempertahankan posisi mereka di market. Seolah-olah sedang mengatakan kepada semua orang "Hei, kalian sudah cukup lama menurunkan market. Saat ini market sudah murah, dan kami lebih tertarik ingin beli. Kalau kalian mau jualan, silahkan. Kami akan serap semua order flow selling kalian."
Dan yang terjadi setelah itu, para Institusi buyer tersayang kita ini agresif melakukan eksekusi order flow buying dan mendorong market dengan momentum yang cukup kuat sehingga market bisa naik lagi ke 5108, jauh lebih tinggi dari kenaikan tahap pertama. Meski, kemudian para buyer ini didorong mundur lagi oleh tekanan jual dari para seller. Kondisi ini sudah memberikan kita informasi bahwa para seller sudah "mulai kehilangan kendalinya atas market".
Dan fakta bahwa para Institusi seller gagal menggiring market untuk turun lebih dalam membuktikan bahwa dominasi market sudah mulai berpindah tangan ke para Institusi buyer kesayangan kita ini.
So, saya melihat para buyer tersayang kita terus menerus melakukan akumulai pembelian dan breakout level 4995-5108 bisa terjadi sewaktu-waktu di minggu depan ini.
Oke, sekian dulu sekilas pandangan saya terkait IHSG.
Dan follow saya untuk bisa mendapatkan update market seperti ini secara gratis.
Termasuk sharing saya terkait saham-saham yang berpotensial naik di market.
Rekan-rekan juga bisa berinteraksi saya di Instagram di telegram.me/tradingnyantai.
-Jee
COMPOSITE INDEXComposite index akan membentur zona resisten yang cukup kuat,
Siap-siap untuk kencangkan sabuk pengaman untuk diskon besar yang mungkin akan terjadi di minggu ke 4 Juli ini, jika zona biru berhasil di tembus, sebaiknya bersiap di level yang berpotensi rebound mencari konfirmasi untuk peluang buy.
~~ Keep It Simple
Mercury Retrograde: IDX Composite - DJI - XAUUSDI made a comparison on IDX Composite, DJI & XAUUSD charts when Mercury Retrograde are taken place, started 2016 to Q1'20. The result is a domination of sideways trend during Mercury Retrograde period.
Apakah IHSG akan kembali Bullish?Tampaknya IHSG akan kembali menguji Resistance di level 5100.
Disclaimer ON
#Analisa COMPOSITE aka IHSG Turun#Analisa COMPOSITE aka IHSG Turun
Selengkapnya bisa dilihat pada chart
Jangan lupa untuk share ke rekan traders yang lain untuk saling berbagi analisa dan pandangan terhadap pasar.
Tradevelling
Trading jalan, kita jalan jalan
Disclaimer tanggung jawab di serahkan kepada masing masing individu
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IDX Composite (IHSG) Just try my first trial on Fibonacci, how surprise i am that there is such things and almost accurate to see when the trend line do reversal IDX:COMPOSITE
Proyeksi IHSGDISCLAIMER ON
Proyeksi IHSG bakal turun sampai mengisi Gap di 5000-4950(Support) dan mengalami koreksi sehat selama sektor finance tidak dinego habis-habisan dan properti mulai bergerak sideway.
Mungkin sektor Consumer akan menjadi penjaga IHSG (UNVR,HMSP), sektor Mining akan mengalami peningkatan yang cukup stagnan yang akan merujuk pada RUPS PTBA besok dan Sektor Infrastructure(GIAA,TOWR,ISAT,EXCL,TLKM) akan mengalami peningkatan karena rata-rata emitennya sudah jenuh oversold.
Kalau IHSG break support di 4950 maka IHSG berpotensi mengalami koreksi sampai menutup Gap di 4772-4752(Support)
Kalau Break lagi sih mending SOS full cash. Seharusnya BBCA mungkin sudah dikisaran 25rb dan BBRI 2600.
Walau FBUY besar tetap Asing punya harga bawah dan kalau mereka TP sekarang ya mereka sudah untung >20% terutama di sektor finance dan property.
Big Caps Movement : Movement Since Semi-Lockdown (PSBB)I monitor this chart to catch Big Banks movement once they start Bottoming and will Rally soon.
Big Caps Movement : Who Outperform and Underperform CompositeBig Banks show underperformance during JKSE crash. As expected, being Market Proxy, only BBCA (as one of Big Banks) relatively has similar performance with JKSE.
As Cyclical Stocks and during PSBB (Semi-Lockdown), understandably ASII underperform JKSE. No one is buying a car this time.
Staples Consumer Stocks such as UNVR and Cigarettes perform well during Semi Lockdown and during a difficult times.
Biggest Market Cap Stocks of Composite : View From 2020I try to predict Composite bottoming by looking at the 7 biggest market cap stocks.
In the chart, There are two categories of those 7 which are : Underperforming (BBRI, BMRI, and ASII) and Outperforming (BBCA, TLKM, UNVR, and HMSP).
Looking at the total Weight of Outperforming stocks (26.5%) and comparing to the Underperforming stocks (12.7%), we can say that the Outperforming stocks might have more influences on Composite that eventually fastening the Bottoming process.
IHSG CRITICAL MOMENT!! BREAKDOWN SUPPORT OR BOUNCE BACK ??Look at the Daily chart,
If the big support line breaks price around (4440-4470) IHSG probably gonna test 3900
And if it bounce back we're going to see sideways movement like seen past two weeks
ADA YANG NUNGGU KEPASTIAN TAPI BUKAN BUAT JADIAN! Overview #IHSG
Sebelum #IHSG break ke atas dan melebihi level resistennya, jangan terlalu banyak berharap deh bakalan ngelanjutin trend (secondary) nya bakalan naik lagi.
Kumpulin Cash dulu aja sementara, jangan gegabah, ntar diambil orang. Eh'
Yang mau belajar dan tau2 info Investasi, yuk mampir ke grup tele kami:
t.me/investmentgeekz
#investmentgeekz
Stocks To Monitor : Sector That Should Be BetterI believe sector Industrial Area, Property, Food (Poultry) and certain Industry will record good return once JKSE start to rise.
I still believe Investment will come soon after this Pandemic over whether Omnibus Law will be signed or not. So I think Industrial Area Stocks (BEST, DMAS and SSIA) are my choice.
Consumption is proven to be resilient and that is why I believe HOKI (rice) and Poultry (JPFA and MAIN) will be a top choice.
Young demography means the needs of housing will remain high so I think CTRA as a low property class player will be a top choice. Going to the mall is still a preferred vacation and leisure time for many people so PWON should recover their tenancy rate.
Lastly, to support next economy growth, Indonesia need supporting industry such as ESSA (gas and ammonia gas player). Also, I think furniture product demand will be high accordingly with the rise in property demand. That is why I prefer WOOD.
One Last Drop for JKSEThe current advance of JKSE might be a Technical Rebound or a temporary rise during Downtrend.
Since Downtrend is still intact, the future drop might be deeper than this advance.
I predict JKSE will fall below its lowest point (at 3,911) and could reach 3,750.
However, I believe this is one last drop before JKSE starts to form the Bottom or Bullish Reversal pattern to end Downtrend and start the beginning of Uptrend.
