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Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 42,479.50 1st Support: 41,294.20 1st Resistance: 43,190.10 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
1
US30 Sell Setup before the BIG MOVE TO THE MOON" US30 has been moonwalking higher like it’s got a VIP pass—thanks to those cozy deals between the US and EU. The bulls are charging like they’ve had one too many energy drinks, and honestly, it’s getting a little too enthusiastic up here. So, I’m eyeing a sneaky short sale for a quick snack of profit before the long-term feast. But I won’t just dive in like a reckless lemming—oh no, I’ll wait for my trusty confirmations to wave their little green (or red?) flags first. As for the long game? Once my short-sell shenanigans hit those sweet support levels (and hopefully bounce like a trampoline), I’ll switch teams and ride the buy train. Because why pick a side when you can profit from both?" Hope that brings a smile while keeping your trading strategy sharp! 😆📈
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Katlegokk
1
DOW JONES History shows that we're now targeting 68000.Dow Jones (DJI) recovered its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), sending a clear technical message that the 'Trade War' correction is over and the long-term bullish trend has been resumed. The bottom of that correction was on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the absolute long-term Support trend-line for the index, having broken by a large extent only during the March 2020 COVID crash. That was also a bottom for Dow's Bullish Megaphone pattern. The last time that the index handed a 1W MA200 bottom while trading within a Bullish Megaphone was on February 08 2016. On both bottoms, the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold barrier. In 2016 that bottom rebound initiated a (blue) Channel Up that lasted for almost 2 years and peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level. If Dow continues to replicate that pattern, we are looking at a 68000 Target (Fib 3.0 ext) by mid-2027. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
DOW JONES: Breached the 1D MA200. Tariff War 2018 Recovery aheadDow Jones is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.103, MACD = 203.720, ADX = 34.693) and as it crossed today above the 1D MA200 for the first time since April 2nd, and practically validates the recovery from the Tariff War correction, it draws strong comparisons with the last U.S.-China Tariff War in 2018. Both rebounded after highly oversold 1D RSI levels, and the 2019 recovery almost hit the 0.9 Fibonacci level before turning into a less aggressive recovery. The trade is long, TP = 44,100. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 41,309.98 1st Support: 40,778.41 1st Resistance: 42,730.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Updat📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Update 🚨 Price action is consolidating just below 42,200, forming a tight bullish flag/pennant structure after a clean breakout run. The trend remains firmly bullish, with EMAs aligned and curling up 📈. 🔎 Quick Breakdown: 📍 Current Price: 42,185 ⏸ Consolidation Zone: 42,000–42,250 🧠 Market is resting after a strong move — textbook bullish continuation setup 🔥 What to Watch: Break and hold above 42,250 → 🚀 Expansion move possible toward 42,600–42,800 Failure + close below 42,000 → ⚠️ Minor retrace to 41,700 support (EMA catch zone) Volume is thinning out — breakout may come soon. Stay sharp. 👀 🧠 Mindset Tip: Markets move in impulse → correction → impulse. This pause is normal. ✅ Wait for confirmation ❌ Don’t chase inside chop
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
1
US30: Bullish Breakout on the Horizon – Next Target 44,000? US30: Bullish Breakout on the Horizon – Next Target 44,000? Since our last analysis, US30 has climbed +2.7%, rising from 39,300 to 40,400. The price is nearing a breakout from a large bullish triangle, which could trigger an even bigger upward move. After hitting a low of 36,500 on April 7, US30 has been steadily rising, forming a strong triangle pattern. A breakout could start a powerful wave toward 44,000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Previous analysis:
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update 🚨 Dow Jones just bounced cleanly off the 20 EMA and is now attempting to break through 42,400 resistance 📈 🔎 Technical Breakdown: 📍 Current Price: 42,338 🧭 Key Resistance: 42,400 ✅ Strong bounce from 41,800 zone 📊 EMAs sloped up, confirming bullish momentum This looks like a bullish retest and continuation setup 🔁. Price had a healthy pullback, tapped dynamic support, and now buyers are stepping back in. 🔥 Key Scenarios: Bullish case 🟢: Break + close above 42,400 = potential leg up toward 42,600–42,800 EMAs in bullish alignment = trend continuation likely Bearish case 🔴: Rejection + close back below 42,200 = retest of 41,800–41,600 support Would still be a buy-the-dip zone for now 🧠 Pro Tip: ➡️ Don’t short a trending market just because it “looks high” ➡️ Let structure guide you, not emotion ➡️ Tight consolidations near highs = strength 💪
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
1
DOW/US30 - PLEASE FOLLOW THE STRATEGY ACCORDINGLYTeam, two are set up on LONG position for DOW/US30. if you have seen my video, how I trade and how much I made, you would notice the difference. With strategy 1, you make 10-15% profit on your capital, depending on how much risk you take. Please add your entry slowly. Do not trade plan one aggressively. also, follow the target range accordingly, make sure trail stop loss to BE once the first target is reached and take 50% partial With strategy 2, if the market allows, this is where we would kill the market. But we need to be patient. As you can see, in the last 2-3 days, I did not trade the DOW/US30 because I prefer to enter at a certain level and price action. Please follow the plan accordingly; once it hits target 1, take 30% and bring stop loss to BE I hope you understand my strategy. Let's make millions together.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
DJI – Ready for the Final ActAfter the breakdown below the last support on March 11th, the price pulled back and formed P2. A frightening drop followed, reaching P3, then a sharp V-shaped recovery up to point (4)—just a few points shy of the Center Line. If P2 doesn’t get taken out, things could turn ugly again. Because in that case, my new target lies below the white Lower Median Line Parallel, at P5. Nothing is certain—never has been. But these days, *everything* feels off balance. The moves are insane. Governments trading ahead of the news, making hundreds of millions at the expense of ordinary people. It’s like reality has left the building. Tiny positions. Tight stops. Very high risk-reward ratios. And absolutely zero FOMO. That’s how these markets must be traded. Anything else, and we’re bound to get wrecked. \#backfromcontemplation
TVC:DJIShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment. 1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones. 1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations. Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth. 1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further. Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot. 1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears. 2. Technical Analysis The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025: Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000. Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78. Price Targets: Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78 Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones). 3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today. Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow. 4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast 4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025) PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off. Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7. Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns. 4.2. Dow Scenario Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025. 4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500 I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power. Idea: New Screenshot: 4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts: · Europe vs. Russia · India vs. Pakistan · Iran vs. Israel Brent (UKOIL): Natural Gas:
TVC:DJIShort
by SergioRichi
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 40,653.80 1st Support: 39,774.46 1st Resistance: 42,181.26 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
7
Dow Jones set for summer surge? Why a dip could spark a rallyThe Dow is stuck below key resistance. In this video, I explain why a short-term dip could trigger a powerful bullish pattern. We look at the inverse head and shoulders setup and explore how tax cuts and trade deals could fuel a breakout toward 49,000. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets
Is everyone missing the leading diagonal Ive seen conflicting Elliot Wave Counts with both Bullish counts suggesting a new ATH is at hand as the decline is only a 3 wave decline and not five and bearish counts suggesting this is only a bear market rally since the Trump Tariff Tantrums. However if we look at the decline as either a leading diagonal in a primary 4th Wave of an overall bull market or a leading diagonal which often occurs in reversal of trend from Bull to bear or vice versa. What is not commonly recognized is that the C wave in these structures is often pronounced and extended. If this count is correct the Dow has about 1000 points of upside before a very sharp decline in an E wave that will probably throw-over the lower trendline and find support in the 35000 area for a significant Wave 2 or B wave rally. The typical characteristics of the e wave are sharp and deep.
BLACKBULL:DJ30.FShort
by Goodfella58
1