ILSUSD trade ideas
USD/ILS 1H Chart: Wedge continues to restrict pairThe prevailing pattern for the USD/ILS exchange rate is a six-week falling wedge. The rate entered this pattern from the downside on April 24. It has since provided two confirmations on each side and is gradually moving towards a breakout.
The bottom boundary of this pattern is reinforced by SMAs on the 4H and 1D time-frames. Thus, it is likely that the Greenback is pressured higher this week. The nearest upside target is the upper wedge line at 3.59. The strength of this area could push the rate back lower until a southern breakout occurs.
In case the 3.59 area surrenders, the US Dollar is expected to target the monthly R1 and its one-year high at 3.64.
USD/ILS 1H Chart: Senior channel dominates The US Dollar has strengthened against the Israeli Shekel since mid-March. This upward movement has allowed the rate to move from the bottom boundary of a senior channel up to its upper line and the monthly R1 near 3.6360.
The pair changed its sentiment during the previous trading weeks, thus falling down to 3.5770 mid-Monday. It seems that the following trading session or two might mark a reversal to the upside.
This movement, however, should not be long-lived, as the 200– and 100-hour SMAs and the 55-period SMA (on 4H chart) are located at 3.60. It is expected that the pair fails to overcome this mark and resumes its decline down to the senior channel in the 3.50/52 area.
In case the 3.60 mark is breached, traders should see a further surge up to the medium-term channel and the nine-month high of 3.64.