DXY Bullish SetupAfter the market completed a series of five bullish motive waves, it experienced a sharp decline characterized by an ABC corrective pattern. The price retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, subsequently forming a leading diagonal pattern in wave 1. Additionally, an inverted head and shoulders pattern emerged after sweeping a key daily swing low (SSL) liquidity level. These developments suggest a potential upward movement in a five-wave motive structure.
Market Minds Team (MMT)
DXY trade ideas
DxyDXY Index
DXY is gaining some potential towards upward trend after a massive fall to complete its " 4th " Impulsive Waves. It might retrace till Fibonacci Level - 50.00% touching the Upward Trend Line of Bearish Channel to complete its Order Block
Note :
This is only a Technical Analysis for DXY next move, Its not a proper Signal
DOLLAR INDEX Weekly Bias March 17 2025DOLLAR INDEX BIAS
Weekly Chart
Bias: Bearish
Last week's weekly candle closed through below previous candle low. Possible target below are weekly FVG and Weekly Sell Side Liquidity
Daily Chart
Bias: Bearish
Order flow is bearish. We are currently testing a daily fvg and if market breaks daily sell side liquidity we might eventually test the weekly fair value gap.
Weekly FOREX Forecast March 17-21: Wait to Sell USD, Buy Majors!This is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The structure on the majors is simple and obvious. USD looks to move higher in the short term, into a bearish FVG, and then continue its bearish ways. The EUR, GBP will take advantage and move higher. The AUD and NZD are in consolidation, so waiting for a breakout is the best course of action. The CHF should outperform thee USD.
Be mindful there is a lot of red folder news items coming up for the week ahead, to include FOMC on Wednesday.
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DOLLAR TREND REVERSAL?
📉 The DXY has reached a key demand zone—is this the perfect buying opportunity? Liquidity grab & reversal incoming? 📊🔄
🔍 Market Insights:
✅ Support Zone: 102.28 - 102.96 🟡
✅ Bullish Bounce Expected 📈—Targeting 105.42 - 106.13 🎯
✅ Smart Money Accumulation? Watch for a liquidity sweep & strong upside! 🚀
💬 What’s your take? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let’s trade smart together! 🔥📊
#Forex #DXY #USDollar #Trading #MarketAnalysis #GreenFireForex
DOLLAR DOMINANCE or DIVE?
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🚀 📉💰
🔥 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is at a CRUCIAL turning point! After completing a 5-wave Elliott structure, is the biggest correction about to begin? 📊📉
🔍 Key Levels & Insights:
⚡ Major Resistance at Wave 5 – Rejection confirmed! ❌
⚡ 12% Drop Incoming? The corrective A-B-C wave could shake the markets! 🌊
⚡ Smart Money Watchlist – Will the Dollar Bulls hold, or are the Bears ready to take control? 🐂 vs. 🐻
📢 What’s your take? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let's decode the market together! 🔥🔍
#Forex #DXY #ElliottWave #USD #MarketAnalysis #Dollar
Gold Tracks Purchasing Power (updated)YES, gold does track your purchasing power over LONG PERIODS of time.
It tracks the inflation ADJUSTED US Dollar more accurately than it does either the US Dollar OR Inflation.
It is a better way to understand macro tides which move the price of gold.
While there are periods of lower/diminishing correlation... you should really keep your eye on what has been happening now!
Gold has been in a period of INCREASING, statistically significative correlation with Purchasing Power.
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Well, when gold sniffs out the end of the current rally for US Dollar versus Inflation, then it will tell us on its price chart.
You might want to reshare this post and maybe pin it.
I will.
========
Below is why I did this post.
What makes gold move?
I see soo many focus too much on either inflation or the US Dollar.
They are often wrong for 2 reasons:
1- Gold tracks neither per say, but inflation adjusted US Dollar (purchasing power).
2- Gold has a tendency to move 3 to 6 months ahead of the next move in purchasing power.
Use charts for unbiased, objective evidence gathering.
Forget headline news, stories, and narratives.
DXY March 16 Analysis DXY
March 16 Analysis
Price parent bias is bear
Price is Discount M/W/D
Previous session premium and discount on the daily range
March 15 delivery
Price delivering in a premium, taking buy stops hitting the .618 before turning around passing through the 50 to seek lower prices taking sell stops from the previous session
March 17 delivery
I suspect that Price could come up to the buy side target at the .618 and turn around? Wait for more tomorrow after Sundays dealers range and evaluate before Asia session.
Note Price broke structure and bounced off the .70
My Model Factors
Bias for Asia to London bull
Price will have to do the following for me to trade
*session liquidity taken
*macro time only
*first presented FVG
*4 candle pattern
*hour analysis down to 1 min every 15 minutes
*every hour mark out what price has done
Stay open to build narrative once Asia opens.
Stay open to reading price deliver
DXY Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 103.733.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 104.118 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY Potential Reversal: Eyeing a Break Above 104.20Market Structure & Trendline Break
The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out of its descending trendline on the 15-minute chart. This signals a potential shift from the prior downtrend into a short-term bullish phase.
After bouncing from the key support around 103.40–103.50, price is now hovering near 104.00.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
103.40–103.50: Recent swing low and demand area. If price falls below this zone, it would weaken the bullish case and could lead to a retest of the 103.00 area.
102.80–103.00: Major support if the 103.40 zone fails.
Resistance Zones:
104.20–104.30: Minor resistance just above the current market price.
104.60–104.80: Next hurdle if DXY gains momentum.
A clear break above 104.80 could open the path toward 105.00 and beyond.
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Consider longs on a confirmed break or retest of 104.00–104.20.
Targets:
First target around 104.60
Second target around 105.00
Stop Loss: Below 103.40, to invalidate the bullish structure.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to break 104.20 and moves back under 103.40, watch for a retest from below to consider short positions.
Downside targets could be 103.00 or even 102.80 if the selling accelerates.
Overall Bias
The short-term momentum has shifted bullish with the trendline break and higher lows forming.
Keep an eye on major resistance levels around 104.20 and 104.60 to see if DXY can sustain its upward move.
A failure to hold above 103.40 would negate the bullish setup.
Always remember to manage your risk appropriately. Use stop losses, size your trades responsibly, and adjust targets based on market conditions.
DXY Potential Scenario - 15 March Technical
- 1ST Scenario : Price will sweep Previous Week Low. inside weekly BPR
-2ND Scenario : Price moving from the same level too filling this massive liquidity voids
Fundamental
-Investors still do not trust Trump’s policies due to the numerous irrational decisions imposed by the U.S. on other countries regarding tariffs.
-The U.S. is still trying to stop the wars between Russia and Ukraine, as well as Israel and Palestine.
-At the same time, the U.S. is clearly waging economic wars against other countries.
-Let’s see, despite the positive inflation data, whether interest rates will remain stable or decrease
DXY in monthly chart (An idea for decades) Hello
What I want to discuss might be a little confusing for some you or unrealistic for other ones but I myself believe in it. I do not talk about Fundamental or any logics stand behind this chart but it's just an analysis in the aspect of EW.
Dollar started its rally from 2008 and what has made is definitely a motive wave that can be wave 1 or in bigger scale wave A. If we consider it as wave 1/A which has taken 5300 days to finish so we can expect a reasonable correction for its wave 2/B even it becomes a Zigzag. It means that I expect more complex pattern for wave 2/B.
Next point is the structure of wave 1/A which makes me anxious because if it was wave A what would happen after its wave C. To be simpler, if it is wave A, so we are in a bearish ABC for DXY and after this correction completes it must continue its bearish trend to ZERO that is impossible. Some say that it happens when Dollar is replaced with something else but I am not sure about it. The Second scenario is that it is wave 1 bullish and after this correction (in where we are now) the biggest rally starts for Dollar.
It may take a few years to be disclosed.
Thanks
Thanks
$DXY IdeaFor the DXY, on the monthly chart, we remain in a consolidation bias, as the price is trapped within a range formed by two FVGs. However, when analyzing the yearly candles, we notice a macro bearish bias, since the 2025 candle has swept the 2024 high and is now targeting the annual lows.
Since we trade intraday, it is essential to analyze other timeframes to confirm a trading bias. On the weekly chart, we observe that last week's candle swept the previous week's low and closed within the range, indicating a potential correction. This makes sense, as the DXY has extended significantly in recent weeks and is currently discounted, which may lead the price to a premium zone before resuming its downtrend, in line with our macro bias.
Additionally, based on the economic calendar, there is a possibility that the weekly low will be formed on Monday, which could create an opportunity for a counter-trend trade at the beginning of the week. However, this type of trade carries high risk, requiring caution and confirmation before entry.
For this week, we are looking for bullish opportunities up to equilibrium or until the price shows resistance to continue rising. However, this initial outlook will only be confirmed as price action develops throughout the week.
It is also important to note that this will be a challenging week, due to a lack of significant news events and a Federal Reserve speech on interest rates, which could significantly impact the market and increase volatility.
DXY Analysis – Key Market Structure Levels📌 D1 Timeframe:
- The price is currently in a discount zone and has reacted to a Balanced Price Range (BPR) on the monthly timeframe .
- If bullish momentum builds from this level, potential targets include:
- D1 premium zone
- Order block within the balanced price range
- 4H order blocks as key areas of interest
📌 Monthly Timeframe Confluence:
- The Balanced Price Range (BPR) aligns with ICT Stup , Fibonacci 0.705 - 0.79 retracement levels , and key liquidity areas.
- If price holds above discount levels , we may see a move towards the 110.157 target zone .
🔍 Market Outlook:
Short-term bullish bias as long as discount levels hold. Price action confirmation is needed before considering entries.
⚠ Risk Warning: Trading involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Reversal is Coming?!
Dollar Index is stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
Analyzing the intraday time frames, I spotted an inverted head & shoulders
pattern on a 4H.
Its neckline breakout will be an important event that will signify a bullish reversal.
The index will continue recovering then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the underlined blue support
will push the prices lower.
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