DXYWe are expecting DXY to give us slow push to the upside towards 101.5 level.
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DXY trade ideas
Dollar Index Tests Key Demand Zone: What's Next?The Dollar Index is currently testing a major demand zone between 99.50 and 101. This area has marked the end of downward moves and the beginning of dollar rallies five times since early 2023.
The recent downward pressure is largely driven by rising expectations of an economic slowdown and a strengthening euro.
At this point, several possible scenarios could unfold, depending on how the market reacts to this key support zone:
Repeat of the Past: Just like the previous five instances, the Dollar Index rebounds sharply from the zone and starts a strong upward move.
Trendline Test: The Dollar Index breaks below this zone and moves toward testing the long-term uptrend line that originated in 2011.
Fakeouts and Reversal: The Dollar Index briefly falls below the demand zone, approaches the long-term trendline, and then stages a false recovery above the zone. After trapping both bulls and bears and creating a fake breakout signal, it dips below the trendline before reversing and beginning a new medium-term uptrend that ultimately aligns above the long-term trend.
Given the high level of global economic uncertainty and recent sharp reversals in financial markets, the third scenario may carry slightly higher probability. A similar pattern played out in 2017, when both the 200-week moving average and the demand zone were broken. The key difference this time is that TVC:DXY is much closer to the long-term trendline.
DXYThe DXY is expected to become bearish and decline significantly, possibly reaching levels between 96.50 and 94.78. This is primarily due to the taxes imposed by Donald Trump, which led to an economic war. As a result, the dollar has weakened, and we are seeing a severe economic downturn, similar to the financial crisis during the COVID-19 pandemic or the 2008 global recession. Therefore, it is anticipated that the DXY will experience a sharp decline or a strong bearish trend.
DXY WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅DXY made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Of 103.400 and we are seeing
A bearish pullback already
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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XXXUSD Possible ContinuationWe'll keep a flexible mind as The market will continue react based on the stronger force in the the on-going Tariff war.
Wait for the prescribed Confirmation, before any form of trade execution.
Patience is the way! Ieios.
DeGRAM | DXY broke the triangle downwardDXY is in a descending channel under a triangle.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, resistance level and upper trendline, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart failed to form an ascending structure, but it formed a harmonic pattern and broke down the mirror support level, which now acts as resistance.
On the main timeframes, the relative strength index is below 50 points.
We expect the decline to continue.
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Navigating the Correction using SPX, Platinum, and DXYLikely levels that all sectors tend to bottom at using Fibonacci retracement, measuring likely degrees of magnitude on falling knife bounces, as well as determining the PM sector bottom via platinum price, and looking at ratios.
DXY – Bullish BAT Harmonic Pattern Formed
✅ Overview:
Pattern Identified: Bullish BAT
Current Trend: Bearish
Reversal Zone: Near 0.886 Fibonacci level (Potential PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone)
Bias: Short-term bearish ➝ Medium-term bullish
🧩 Pattern Structure:
X to A: Initial bullish leg
A to B: Retracement ~38.2%–50%
B to C: Extension to ~88.6%
C to D: Final bearish leg completing near 0.886 of XA
→ D point is the potential long entry zone
📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup (Once PRZ is Hit)
Entry:
Buy near the 0.886 level of XA leg (watch for reversal candles or structure break)
Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes (1H or 4H)
Stop Loss:
Below the X-point or slightly below 0.886 zone
Targets:
TP1: 0.382 retracement of AD
TP2: 0.618 retracement of AD
TP3 (Optional): Break and retest of structure above B point
R:R Goal: At least 1:2
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Short-term DXY is still bearish; wait for reaction at PRZ
Ideal to pair with bullish divergence or support zone confluence
Watch for fundamental catalysts (CPI, NFP, Fed speakers) impacting USD strength
DXY BEAR INCOMING"DXY just broke an important low! I want to believe the price will go down! Not to mention all the uncertainty in the market! This drop might be temporary either!"
The DXY Is Crumbling To Dust - Easy 2 Percent Short Entry NowThe dollar is crumbling to dust fast. The latest tariff news with China is going to spiral the already bearish market into a future spiral.
The earning moving average values (red 5, blue 10, yellow 50, white 100) are all below price action currently. On almost all of the time frames.
We are currently sitting at a very minor support zone as circled in yellow. Price should slip easily 100.60 possibly slightly less. The bottom orange box is the bottom support zone of the DXY low since 2023.
Place your stop loss slightly above 103.25 to prevent a liquidity grab. The bears are in control of this current market do not be foolish. TRADE THE TREND!!!
DXY Bearish Setup Ahead? (Rising Wedge + Liquidity Trap)📊 DXY is forming a potential Rising Wedge pattern, which is often a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Scenario Breakdown:
1️⃣ Price may fake out above the wedge to grab liquidity
2️⃣ Then sharply reverse into a bearish impulse move
3️⃣ Targeting the previous structure support near 103.100
🎯 Take Profit: Key zone below the wedge (~103.100)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above recent highs / wedge top
💡 Why this makes sense:
• Wedge patterns often lead to reversals or deep corrections
• Possibility of a liquidity trap above resistance
• Post-news reaction setups (e.g., FOMC) can trigger sudden reversals
• Dollar shows signs of weakening in broader context
⚙️ Technical Tools Used:
• Rising wedge pattern
• Liquidity zone analysis
• Market structure break
• Risk-to-reward approx. 1:3
Let’s see if DXY gives us the break + trap we’re looking for!
#DXY #Forex #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityTrap
The impact of tariffs on the DXYIn the long term, the imposition of tariffs will trigger countermeasures from trading partners 😡, leading to a shrinkage of the global trade scale 😔. The import costs of raw materials for American enterprises will rise, and their export markets will be restricted, which will curb the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will exert depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@103 - 100
🎯 TP 96 - 94
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
DXY HOTW Set - Bearish FrameworkDXY HOTW Set - Bearish Framework
The question is - will we see a retracement to align ourselves on EU or GU. I highly doubt it as there is not a lot of time left till the delivery driver aka CPI.
We will see.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (103.300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (101.700) Day / Scalping trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💸💵DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DeGRAM | DXY continues to growDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
During the momentum corrections, the chart successfully maintained the structure and held the 50% retracement level.
We expect the upward movement in the channel to continue.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
DXY for the WeekI think DXY will retrace now and considering we have US news on Friday.
Has accumulated liquidity throughout the week and will fill the gap
$DXY suffers worst day since Nov 10, 2022 – What does it mean?💵 The US Dollar Index just posted its biggest daily drop in nearly 2.5 years, crashing through the 100 level with strong volume. This breakdown signals weakness in the dollar that could have massive implications across all asset classes:
📉 Why it matters:
A weak dollar makes US exports more competitive globally, but also reflects investor fear or policy shifts.
Commodities like gold, oil, and crypto tend to rally when the dollar drops.
Could indicate a pivot in monetary policy, potential rate cuts, or macroeconomic concerns.
🧠 From a technical standpoint, this break of support could trigger further downside. The last time this happened, we saw a significant shift in risk appetite.
📊 What to watch:
Upcoming Fed statements
Inflation & jobs data
Reaction in equities and crypto
👇 Is this the start of a larger trend, or just an overreaction?
Let’s discuss!
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #Macro #MarketUpdate #Commodities #Gold #Crypto #TradingView
$DXY to 100 and heading lower, bullish for $EURUSDTVC:DXY the dollar index, was the primary driver of the equity bear market in 2022. With TVC:DXY hitting a 5 year high of 114 marked the bottom in AMEX:SPY and $QQQ. The recent strength in TVC:DXY was out of stock with TVC:DXY and Stock markets rising at the same time and dropping when the TVC:DXY is falling. Usually, the risk assets have an inverse correlation to the US Dollar index. These periods in history are unusual and are marked by some kind of macro events like recession etc. With tariffs discussion everywhere that might not be unrealistic to expect some kind of recession.
In that case where is the TVC:DXY headed? Currently the TVC:DXY is at a psychological level of 100. Once it breaks below 100 the next stop might be 95. If we see some kind of soft recession which is my worst-case scenario then we might see the lows of 90 in $DXY. If TVC:DXY goes down by 10% or lower than we can expect to the FX:EURUSD to go back to its recent high of 1.23.
Verdict: Short TVC:DXY ; Long FX:EURUSD , AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ
DXY/USD sell 1D chart analysisThis chart is for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the daily timeframe (1D) from FXOPEN. It shows a clear bearish trend structure with multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and Break of Structure (BoS) labels, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
Chart Analysis Summary:
The DXY is in a downtrend, showing successive lower highs and lower lows.
There's a strong supply zone marked in red around the 107.8–110.8 level.
Price has just broken below a previous structure, suggesting continuation downward.
Trade Setup (SELL):
Entry Point: Around 99.800 (current price zone or slightly after a minor pullback)
Stop Loss (SL): 101.00 (above the most recent high/supply zone and invalidation area)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 96.000 (first key support zone)
Final Target (TP2): 89.400 (major support zone as seen on the chart)
Text You Can Share with Your Client:
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DXY SELL SETUP – Daily Timeframe
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown multiple bearish CHoCH and BOS confirmations. Price has broken key structure and is currently retesting a premium area. We are anticipating continued bearish pressure based on trend structure and liquidity targets below.
Entry: 99.800
Stop Loss: 101.000
Take Profit 1: 96.000
Final Target: 89.400
This setup aligns with overall market structure and momentum. Stay updated for management and scaling instructions.
End of the US Dollar ****** end of INFLATED USD
Deflation is coming.
Food for thought.
Because THE CYCLES EXIST and THEY RHYME.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?📊 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - 4H Chart Analysis
🔵 Supply Zone (104.400 - 104.683)
🟦 Resistance area where sellers may step in 📉
🟡 Key Level (~104.200)
🟧 Decision point – price struggling to hold this level
📉 Trend Line (Broken) 🔻
❌ Previous uptrend is broken, signaling potential bearish momentum
🟢 Demand Zone (103.200 - 103.400)
🟩 Support area where buyers may get active 📈
🚀 Potential Market Movement:
1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Expected ⬇️
🔹 Price broke below trendline ➡️ selling pressure increasing
🔹 Possible pullback to key level (~104.200) before more downside
🔹 Targeting demand zone (~103.200-103.400) 🎯
2️⃣ Invalidation/Stop-Loss 🚫
🔺 If price moves back above 104.683, bearish setup is invalid
🔺 Stop-loss placed at 104.683 for risk management
🎯 Trading Strategy:
✅ Short Entry: After pullback near 104.200
🎯 Target: 103.200 demand zone
⚠️ Stop Loss: Above 104.683
