MIGHTY DOLLAR - Is on the bearish side no signs of reversals From Weekly all the way to the 4 hour time frames we are seeing nothing but bearish structure. We have hit a major support area. I will be looking for price to continue its bullish trend.
DXY trade ideas
US dollar to 112-113 on a completed gartley. Looks like the dollar is set to head back higher for a run at 112-113. Let’s see if we can catch a bid here.
DXYThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) measures the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It is widely used to assess the dollar’s strength in global markets.
DXY at the Crossroads: How the 108–110 could reshape the market
Key Highlights
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently near an important resistance level of 108–110.
A potential reversal of the dollar at this level could lead to further growth in stock markets and strengthen cryptocurrencies, while a break above 110+ would continue to put pressure on risk assets.
If CAPITALCOM:DXY surpasses 110 and holds above it, there is a possibility of reaching as high as the 120 mark. A rejection from the 108–110 zone would indicate a downward trend developing, possibly pushing the index toward the 98 area or lower.
Future outcomes will depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy, global demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets, as well as overall economic stability.
What about crypto?
There are serious risks for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
A long-term perspective on ICEUS:DXY suggests that “alt seasons” tend to occur during periods of dollar weakness. Currently, the 108–110 zone and the MA50-W are pivotal. A potential DXY reversal here may act as a catalyst for another major altcoin rally in the coming months, while continued dollar strength could postpone any such “alt season.”
Shaka
US DOLLAR INDEX(DXY): Intraday Bearish ConfirmationThe Dollar Index is likely to continue its downward trend following a significant bearish rally.
This is supported by the breakout of a support line of a bearish flag pattern after testing a critical resistance level.
It is anticipated that the price will soon reach a level around 106.63.
DXY Week of 23 Feb 25: BullishFollowing the previous post, 24 Feb 25 may be the start of the bullish rally for DXY.
Possible Wyckoff Re-accumulation pattern
Falling Wedge hints bullish reversal
Liquidity Zone established
Plan to Long DXY and target for recent high, and stop loss at recent low. About 2.45 Reward:Risk Ratio
Dollar index expecting to be short for next weekas we can see in ichi indicator we have broke the green cloud in daily chart
and as ICT trader , expecting to go for FVG and go for next Sell Side Liquidity
correctionThe upward and fluctuating trend is expected to continue until the specified resistance levels, then a trend change will occur and we will witness the beginning of the downward trend.
The downward trend is expected to continue until the red support area.
DXY More downside? DXY still looks strongly bearish. Expect it to return to 107.000 and continue downside movement.
Target next low at 105.420.
_______________________________TIMEFRAME : H4
ath_trades
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Analysis1. Long-Term Uptrend & Ascending Channel
The DXY has been respecting a well-established ascending channel for over two decades, with price action bouncing between the upper and lower trendlines. This suggests a macro bullish structure, despite periodic corrections.
2. Wave Structure for Clarity
The green waves highlight significant price swings within the trend.
These waves illustrate market cycles of expansion and correction, showing how DXY has moved through phases of strength and retracement.
The current movement suggests a similar pattern is playing out, with a likely correction before the next potential leg higher.
3. Key Price Levels
Resistance at ~113.07: A major historical level where the index has faced selling pressure.
Support Zone (~100-102): The blue area represents a critical support region that has acted as a demand zone in previous corrections.
Lower Trendline (~98): If selling pressure continues, the lower boundary of the channel (~98) could act as the final line of support before a potential reversal.
4. Potential Market Scenario
The price has recently rejected the upper region and is heading toward support.
If the 102-100 range holds, a bounce toward the upper trendline (~113) is likely.
If broken, the next target would be the lower channel support (~98) before a possible long-term recovery.
$DXY, $BTC, $XRP, Theory The TVC:DXY is in a spiralling downtrend which will cause CRYPTOCAP:BTC to pass its current ATH eventually topping again which will correlate with the TVC:DXY finding strong support between 103.6 and 104. The TVC:DXY will probably set a local range before eventually continuing on a bullish trajectory back toward 110+ ( *this will mark the end of the first half of the bull market * from Now - May)
Some event in May will cause the TVC:DXY rebound to 110+ during which time we will see a major market crash lasting from (May to July). However: From 110+ i suspect the TVC:DXY will see another major correction downward which will mark the final phase of the bullrun begining about June/July until only God knows when, but historical indicators point to around October/Nov for the top.
Unless CRYPTOCAP:BTC completely crashes on one of its famous bloody corrections and go to ZERO then, it MUST go above $200,000 This cycle.
Remember CRYPTOCAP:BTC floats all boats , so just imagine what price CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the broader digital currency market will be... gimmi your best guess!
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – NEXT WEEK’S TRADE PERSPECTIVEDOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – NEXT WEEK’S TRADE PERSPECTIVE
Heading into next week, keep an eye on the upper zone around 108 and the 106 area. The DXY could make a short-term bounce toward 108, then continue its primary downtrend, aiming for 106.
Looking further down, starting around March, DXY is likely to trade below the 103 handle, indicating extended downside pressure.
Dollar Index - Important BreakdownHello Traders !
The Dollar Index failed to create a new higher high !
Currently, The higher low is broken (Change o character).
So, I expect a bearish move📉
________________
TARGET: 105.820🎯
DXY May Continue to Rise from the Support Zone.When the DXY daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. It is evaluated that the DXY price may exceed the 110.46 level and target the 118.87 level in price movements above the 106.70 level as long as the 104.65 level is not broken down.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Move From Key Level
Dollar Index looks bearish after a test of a significant resistance cluster.
I see a tiny double top pattern on an hourly, indicating a highly probable
local bearish movement.
Goals: 106.92 / 106.87
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you.
Based on the chart, if DXY breaks below 106.879 in the 15-minute timeframe, I expect it to drop further toward 106.517.
However, if this level holds and does not break, I anticipate DXY to push back up toward the range high, as we are currently at the range low in the monthly timeframe. Additionally, a price imbalance has formed, which I’ve highlighted in the chart. If 106.879 remains intact, I expect DXY to climb toward the range high around 110.160.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A break below 106.879 could lead to a drop toward 106.517.
Bullish Scenario: If 106.879 holds, DXY may rise toward 110.160 (range high).
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 110.160
Support: 106.879, 106.517
💬 What’s your outlook on DXY? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
DXY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 106.963.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 106.002 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short swing trade set up developingI can see a good short trade opportunity developing.
1)The price sharply dropped below the major support/resistance zone around 107 area and retraced up gently within the ascending parallel channel to fill the fair value gap.
2)The current 4H candle is moving below the bottom parallel channel. (developing)
3) MACD is in the bear zone and it looks like it is about to cross to the downside (but not confirmed).
4) RSI is also in the bear zone and it is starting to cross to the downside.
SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 107.61SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 107.614
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
DXY is ready to fall again, trade accordingly The chart I analyse the most is DXY.
Why you may ask?
Because it encompasses all pairs, get the direction right and you're already right on almost other currency pairs too. There are exceptions tho, but that is for another day
DXY is forming a textbook rising wedge pattern on a downtrend and the bias is sell. (Rising wedge breaks downwards). Keep it simple
I'm posting it for you to find buy entries on cross pairs.
I've already shown you one on EUR.
I want to post on USDCHF and USDCAD but I will take it you get the gist.
Buy XXXUSD and sell USDXXX, you can wait for volatility in the morning.
Fun fact, I've never hit sl on DXY this year
Profit and Learn: Is the U.S. Dollar Still Money?In this episode of Profit and Learn, we dive into the future of the U.S. dollar. Is it still the undisputed king of global finance, or is its dominance fading? With rising competition from alternative assets, central bank policies, and global de-dollarization efforts, we explore whether the dollar remains the ultimate store of value, medium of exchange, and unit of account.
Join us as we break down market sentiment, policy threats, and the role of crypto and commodities in shaping the dollar’s future. Is the dollar “too strong” for its own good, or are we seeing the early signs of its decline?
💰 Is the dollar still money? Tune in to find out!
DEMAND SET UP .. dxy.. the inverse of eurusd. gbpusd. etc..we Bullish NOW, WE NEED PRICE BACK TO THis demand area on h1.. then we buy ..
when dxy is back up, eurusd returns bearish
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
