DXYwhat is happening with dxy!!!!
1. selling of higher amount of us stock
2. people got more platform to invest in/
3. trump as a president
4. digital AI war
DXY trade ideas
DXY NEXT MOVEElliot waves analysis for DXY
according to elliot waves analysis, i see that DXY is still bullish and may test the previous 114 zone.
then we will have a long ABC correction.
DXY still strong for the moment.
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that the continuation of the upward trend will be formed up to the specified resistance levels. If the index crosses the support range, the continuation of the fluctuating trend will be formed.
DXY short term outlookStill Long on DXY
There may be opportunities for a short-term pullback. However, before considering intraday shorts, LTF alignment (signs of exhaustion in the upward move) is essential.
If this doesn't materialize and price holds, expect continuation to the upside.
DXYWe Looking For Buying Opportunities As The Market Has Broken Outside The Bearish Trend Which Is A Change Of Trend Resulting In Buys To The UpSide| 1HR TIMEFRAME
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY
Jan30 Back testing Analysis
Asia Price is in a Premium. At 1 macro drops to the 50 level taking out sell side liquidity.
London Price still running to the bottom of a FVG reacts and swings up to the MOG and CE of the higher FVG seeking a key level of buys side.
Price gravitates around the buy side building orders I suspect for the ND at 8:30.
NY delivering to a Premium. Price dropped to the MOG and the 50 level and rallies higher. Note Price just touches the event horizon.
At 10 macro-AKA silver bullet, Price smashes down seeking the previous days FVG to rebalance. Note the bodies of the candle respect the FVG.
12 macro Price aggressively retraces rebalancing efficiently delivered Price. Price seeks another equal high by 4pm.
Note the reactions on the 50 levels touches and goes higher. Price did come down to a discount however immediate reaction. Tipping its hand that the DXY parent bias is bullish?
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY
Jan30 Back testing Analysis
Asia Price in a discount.
London 2 and 3 macro are weaving in and out making higher equal highs and equal lows. Note the higher highs came to the 70 level.
4 macro spiked to the .618 note price is weaving in between the MOG. 4:15 price starts to step up and bursts to the 50 level, buy side target and by 6:45 kisses the FVG.
NY Price is in a Premium. 7 macro price retraces down to the 50 and inefficient price delivery in London. By 8:15 price hits the .79 just in time to get out before the news.
NY PM session sees Price retrace the ND manipulation to rebalance the damage from the ND.
Note-the back testing I am analyzing is the discount to premium to premium to discount. Identifying the model 2022 when key buy/sell side liquidity is taken is the trigger for the set up, inside a macro time.
Note that each session respects the 50 unless in the case study of Tuesday this week when it did not. By respect I am suggesting that Price moves from discount to premium all I have to is identify where price and enter after liquidity is taken.
Note that the ND sent the bodies of the candles to the CE of the FVG. COOL!
DXY Jan 29 Analysis-back testing logDXY
Jan 29 Analysis-back testing log
Price completes trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG. Price rallies to rebalance a Hourly FVG from Jan21.
Asia Price is delivering to a discount.
London 2022 model, Price comes down takes out recent key sell side liquidity rallies to MOG and launches to the 50.
2 macro starts the rally
an hour of heat
4 macro price seeks the FVG coming to the edge teasing me.
Small consolidation expected after a big rally and choppy.
NY-7;15 takes buy side liquidity and 8 macro pumps to the FVG setting up for retracement. 9 macro Price retraces the inefficient price from London and stops just shy of the .79
Note-previous day was high resistance pattern, where as this day was low resistance-THESES ARE THE DAYS TO TRADE.
Note-When Price has big gaps like this its tipping its hand that its going rip. Seen this pattern enough times to start to trust it.
DXY Jan 28 Analysis-back testing logDXY
Jan 28 Analysis-back testing log
Price trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG from Dec 18.
Very informative day to note, this is exactly the kind of candle stick formation of the whip saw and no key level of liquidity taken. Take the day off.
Candle sticks can be seen better on LTF.
DXY Jan 27 Analysis-back testing logDXY
Jan 27 Analysis-back testing log
Price trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG from Dec 18.
Asia Price is delivering to a Premium in a consolidation pattern takes recent buy side liquidity, creating higher level of equal highs.
Note Price does not take the higher buy side liquidity.
Note the range bound candle pattern, DO NOT TRADE IN THESE CONDITIONS.
London Price fake moves in 2 macro only to create equal highs. At 3 macro Price takes those highs, and aggressively lowers, for the 50 level slicing through recent taking sell side liquidity, landing right on NWOG. Weaves in and out of Friday's gap.
4:50 structure is broken as Price kisses the 70 level and declines again to the know sell side liquidity.
NY Price rallies at 9:15 toward the 50 level, rebalancing efficient delivered in London. By 2 Price comes back up to hit the 50 level.
check the trendIt is expected that a trend change will form within the current support range and we will witness the beginning of an upward trend.
If the index crosses the support range, a continuation of the downward trend will be possible.
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal
Jan31
I am very happy with yesterdays Price action. Price did gravitate to the 50% level where it rebalanced a 15M FVG. I also stated that The volume imbalance event horizon, along with MOGs could be a magnet, It sure was! Great analysis.
Price consolidated in Asia coming to the 50 and FVG in London. Price took equal lows, wicking into the volume imbalance from Monday, bouncing at the CE in NY with manipulated ND. Price created equal highs easy target to the buy side today.
Price is delivering to a Premium on the Daily and previous range.
Seems likely that Price will consolidate in Asia and potential reach for the equal highs before coming down to the 50 level, where there is a 15M FVG to rebalance.
There is Red folder at 830 in NY.
The dollar is in wave A of correction, then B, then C. I hope itThe dollar is in wave A of correction, then B, then C. I hope it
DXY technical analysis 1h time frame 108.500 is very imp levelDXY Forecast and technical analysis 1h time frame next move possible here ir very important supply zone on 108.500.
This is not financial advice trade and manage your own risk.
Dollar broke and retested the monthly support Dollar dropping to the monthly support. Donald is now in office, and he is focused cutting interest rates. On the weekly I see an inverted head and shoulders a big pattern sign of reversal to the downside. I am looking to see if price will continue to drop.
DXY SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERN Here on DXY price form a rising wedge and now try to move down as line 108.017 has broken so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 106.273 and 104.283 . Use money management
DXY LOOKS TO HEAD DOWN LOWER FOLLOWING FOMC ON WEDNESDAYDXY is retesting the previous fractal low zone from the (Buy Before The Sell). The weekly golden retracement is still not reached (0.382 Weekly Retracement). Following the FOMC anything can occur including spikes and market confusion. Trade all major dollar pairs with careful understanding.
DXY 2H 🌟 DXY 2H dollar index analysis
With the failure and pullback in this red area, we expect more fall
DXY 4H Timeframe AnalysisDXY 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is in a short-term downtrend. The price has been creating new lower highs and lower lows until it broke through the major key support at 107.400, a significant level due to at least five tops formed below it. After the breakout, sellers gained momentum, accumulating a large volume of sell orders.
However, sellers started losing strength as the price reversed, hunting stop-loss levels above the major key support. The price then rebounded above 107.400, forming a liquidity trap and signaling potential manipulation to accumulate more orders.
Price Action Expectation
Our objective is to wait for liquidity to form within the current liquidity zone. Once this occurs, we will look for the price to break below the major key level at 107.400 again. A confirmed close below this level on the 4-hour timeframe will indicate that sellers have regained control, signaling a continuation of the downtrend.
The next target is 105.500, where the next minor key support lies. This level is critical as it represents the next significant area where the price could find buying interest.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Sell Stop
Entry: 107.090 (after price breaks below 107.400, signaling trend continuation)
Stop Loss: 107.830 (above the liquidity zone, protecting against false breakouts)
Take Profit: 105.500 (targeting the next minor key support level)
This setup capitalizes on the expected continuation of the downtrend, leveraging the liquidity zone to confirm selling pressure. A proper risk-to-reward ratio enhances the trade's potential profitability.
Fundamental Outlook:
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) can indirectly affect the performance of companies like NVIDIA. A stronger U.S. dollar (when DXY is rising) can hurt U.S. exporters, including tech companies like NVIDIA, because their products become more expensive for foreign buyers. This can lead to a decline in revenue from international markets, especially since NVIDIA has a significant portion of its revenue coming from abroad.
In January 2025, NVIDIA's stock (NVDA) experienced significant volatility, culminating in a substantial decline on January 27. The stock closed at $118.42, marking a 16.9% drop from the previous close. This decline was primarily driven by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that introduced a cost-effective AI model, raising concerns about reduced demand for NVIDIA's products. The combination of a stronger U.S. dollar (higher DXY) and competition from AI startups like DeepSeek could have compounded the downward pressure on NVIDIA's stock price.
Both DXY movements and external competition are crucial factors to monitor for investors in stocks like NVIDIA, as they can significantly impact performance and valuation.
Risk Management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain at least 1:2 to optimize returns.
Position Sizing: Adjust lot size according to account equity and risk tolerance.
False Breakout Caution: Be mindful of potential false breakouts. Reassess stop-loss placement if the price fails to hold below 107.400.
Conclusion:
The DXY setup targets a continuation of the downtrend after liquidity is formed within the current zone. The breakout and retest of 107.400 confirm significant selling pressure. By waiting for further liquidity formation and a confirmed close below this level, the trade maximizes the likelihood of a profitable outcome. The liquidity zone suggests a high probability for sellers to regain control and drive the price toward the next minor key support at 105.500.
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risks. Always consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
DXY bearish forecastWeekly showing price at bullish fair value gap and bullish order block, but last week candle was a strong bearish candle.
Looking for bearish move for now, but if price starts to reverse. I will adapt
Possible internal range liquidity to external range liquidity move on 4h
ES1! 5 minute short saleS&P futures opened technically bearish with a 'GAP' down to start off earnings week ( 1/27 - 1/31). We took advantage of the price action on a shorter time-frame and played the market structure to its next subsequent down-side target.
100 K ANALYSIS.Due to the new president, we will witness a bullish dollar trend back to strong prices like the 2001"s. We're still in the retracement process, so lower prices are expected at least for February.
"Golden Era" - Donald Trumt.
