SENSEX trade ideas
SENSEX Index Another Topping Formation DevelopingSENSEX INDEX India
This is another index that looks like it's topping out for the summer.
The great bull campaign from the 2009 low at 8075 to a high at
36370 over 9 years is in its final stages. Echoes of the Dax here.
A break below 34291 will trigger a short opportunity here back to
32516 where it should attempt to bounce - but it won't get far
when it does. And once it breaks below here it should start to
fall away in stages to 31096 then 29169 where it should
bounce harder.
If at any point over the summer 29169 gives way to bears it
should fall harder still 25772 and when that breaks to 22577.
A series of potential short opportunities here all summer long. Be lucky.
SENSEX INDEX PRICED IN TERMS OF GOLDThe chart of Sensex index in terms of gold.
It don't give a long history, only 11 years.
I ran this chart to answer a specific question;
Will a nuclear war happen?
At least, will India participate in such thing?
A country with booming market reflect a very positive social mood will not engage in a war.
I don't have long enough historic data to get the big picture (at least 20 years of data.)
As the chart show:
1) We have a double bottom and a support line, and
2) A triangle on the right side of the chart.
These tow things suggest that Sensex index and the Indian market as a hall will boom (in terms of gold) in the coming years, hence India will not go to war.
BSE India 44K possibleLook at the peaks - Jan 2000, then Jan 2004, then Jan 2008. The next one came an year early in 4Q10 but the one after that again in 4 years - Jan 2015. The next peak at Jan2019 looks feasible. The chart has just crossed the 1.61 fibonacci extension with a strong green candle . Whenever it crosses a fibonacci level with a strong green candle - it is poised to go higher. Talk of overvaluation has already been going on but the bullish crossover of 1.61 extension level makes me feel we may have another 10 months of rally left if there is no deep correction by Feb end
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Creating Jobs
Modi is also counting on the project to spur a manufacturing and employment boom. His government says it will create 20,000 construction jobs, apart from 4,000 direct and 20,000 indirect jobs for operations. Local companies such as Larsen & Toubro Ltd., Gammon India Ltd. and GMR Infrastructure Ltd. are also looking to win some of the contracts.
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