Singapore Strait Times Index (STI) is still bearishSingapore Strait Times Index ( STI) is still bearish with failure to break/close above important high.
End of Sep concludes the end of 3rd quarter trading.
If STI is going to close below 3200, this shows that STI is closing low towards the quarter.
Targeting 2800 as a strong support.
STI trade ideas
Deep correction inbound for SGXThanks for viewing.
First of all, this isn't based on any fundamental factors to do with Singapore per-se, apart from Singapore standing between two huge but struggling economies; China and Europe. Singapore is a very nice place, with great people, who have overcome significant challenges to create what is a shining light in Asia. If my view eventuates, I am confident Singapore will bounce back stronger than ever afterwards.
Generally, we can see an equities index that has yet to reclaim 2008 highs, and hasn't shown anything approaching the bullish behaviour of the S&P 500 since March 2009. The rally has been far from convincing and seems to be showing a bearish set-up with medium term targets of -20%. There is a weekly MACD histogram tick on the downside and the MACD moving averages are crossing over negative. There is some moderate bearish RSI divergence between the March 2017 high and the January and April 2018 swing highs that preceded the 18% drop to the Oct 2018 swing low. I would be eyeing a break below first, 3104.03 as an entry point, followed by a break below 2955.68 targeting 2730 and below.
This is just for me to keep track of the market behaviour vs my targets - I am not trading this set-up. Although, I hope there aren't too many people in highly leveraged long positions.
Protect those funds.
A Glimpse of Hopes For AsiaBi-Weekly Review on Strait Times Index (March 2019 - April 2019)
- Singapore Stocks start the week higher on this monday (April 1) with advancing 19.18 points points, or 0.6 per cent
- Markets are bullish but the volatility is higher for the past 2 weeks
- Market Catalyst affect several area : Australia, Japan, South Korea, China and Hong Kong
- Most active stocks for today (April 2): Thomson Medical, Hi-P , and Sembcorp Marine
- There is a huge certain amount of uncertainty due to geopolitical and growth outlook
The Most Important Factors to be Considered
- There is not much on global macro for past two weeks
- Market Catalyst mostly caused by high level trade negotiations between U.S. and China
- Manufacturing growth rise unexpectedly for these week during this march-april after hit a bottom before march
- On the other hand factory activity in Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan continues to shrink, leading to bullish expectation on industrial index
- Most of emerging country still depends on China demand
- They also suffers from U.S.-China tariff war and Brexit uncertainty
- China should embrace financial risk in order to ameliorate asia supply chains
- Interest rates need to be more accomodative especially Indonesia and Thailand
- Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) expected to be continue to expand in this months
- Policymakers across Asia continue to look for a way together to stabilize growh (policy easing will be expected for several months ahead)
Weekly Market Update: KLCI & STIWeekly Market Update from TradeVSA Chief Trainer, Mr. Martin Wong.
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Disclaimer
This information only serves as reference information and does not constitute a buy or sell call. Conduct your own research and assessment before deciding to buy or sell any stock
Updated Straits Times Index Analysis (Global Rally Coming)Attached above is the Monthly Technicals of FTSE Singapore Straits Times Index (FTSE STI). If you had been learning from my teachings all along, you will know that Singapore FTSE STI is the number 1 indicator for global economic health and worldwide financial markets. The reasons had been explained in my previous FTSE STI teachings. STI is maintained in strong uptrend supported by the 2 black trend lines.
$STI $ES3 shortThe Straits Times Index has been in a rising channel for weeks on end now, the narrative is that when U.S. corrects = Fed RRR will decrease to the benefit of Asian markets. This is simply untrue as US economy is still on a good growth path expectation is that the STI will correct more violently in the near future.
All of these new facts have yet to be priced in since the earlier ASIAN bottom in October 2018, there is no reason to believe asian markets have established any kind of bottom.
Can STI break out of this triangle?Much of Asia exhibits this consolidation pattern. To me, Singapore looks like the most attractive market to hang out in and wait for a trade resolution. Their companies' accounting practices are arguably better than, say, China's; and their valuations seem to be incredibly reasonable, too. Sources report STI to have an ~11.5 to 13 PE. On the other hand, it has been trading in lockstep with the pure-play Shenzhen.
Straits Times Index (STI) [1-3 weeks view] ++Long with good conviction (++)
Buy on dips above 3020
Stop Loss: 2960
Take Profit: 3350
Weekly
Price reacted above 2960.
RSI also reacted above support where in the past price has bounced before.
RSI also surpassed descending channel resistance.
Daily
Price and RSI shows a weak bullish divergence
RSI also testing 50% level.
2960.00 is the key support level to hold. It has also been found as a fractal level multiple times.
If market were to break below, we would see a much deeper drop towards the 2522 region.
A drop towards the 2522 region is set to put Singapore's market in a recession.
Overall a good conviction trade due to indicator breakout and price reacting on key support level. Risk/reward ratio is beautiful too!
Cheers.
Straits times Index Long Term ViewLooking At Daily Times Fram e Chart What I Predict For TVC:STI is:
Breakout above Resistance 3120 Will Head It towards Its Next Big Hurdle 3180
Major Support Is 2955 (26 oct 2018 Low) and Psychological Support of 3000
For Next 2-3 Months Trading Range Can Be between 3200-2900
STI $ES3 shortGreen 6 on the hourly small break upwards, given that other markets hourly candles such as Nikkei and $SHCOMP are already beyond a green 9 on the hourly it signifies trend exhaustion and a red day is expected real soon. Macro view still remains very weak and as such might be a deadcat although a real bounce is not discounted.
Actionables:
1) Take profit & do not chase
2) Stay out and wait for a Green 2 above a Green 1
Stay safe.
Straits Times Index (Daily Chart) - Where is the Bottom?Since our last predictions on the Straits Times Index, the price has continued to fall from 3300 to 3000, and then below it.
At this rate of decline, is there any support or bottom in sight?
I generally do not like to do projections, because most projections are just guesses.
The best way to know is to observe the price as it moves, then you will know when it has likely bottomed.
And for now, it still looks like it can continue to fall.
So i will stay bearish and continue to monitor.
Straits Times Index (Daily Chart) - Very BearishSince my last call to short (on my blog and during my events), the STI has fallen about 5.5%, and has corrected 13.3% from the highs.
This is the reason why I am bearish on Singapore stocks and have liquidated my portfolio a long time ago to focus on the US markets.
I have a feeling price will continue falling until the 3000 support level. I will be watching to see once it reaches there.
Short-term Bounce Expected for FTSE STIIf current trading maintains and STI closes wit a Hammer pattern. STI is high a high probability of rebounding and testing its immediate resistance zone at 3,340-3,360. Currently STI is trading at a support-turned-resistance level of 3,270.
A break above 3,360, will see TVC:STI trades towards 3,400.