JASMY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN (at the breaking point)Let’s break down the technical analysis for JASMY/USDT (Blaž Fabjan)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
Resistance: The upper trendline of the wedge shows that price has consistently been making lower highs, but the slope is not steep.
Support: The lower trendline connects lower lows, but the declines are shallow, indicating sellers are losing strength.
A breakout from the wedge, especially on strong volume, often leads to a bullish trend reversal.
Volume:
The volume bar shows moderate activity, but for the breakout to be valid, you will need confirmation through an increase in trading volume.
Current volume is around 34.85M, which should increase significantly during a confirmed breakout.
Momentum Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences (Market Cipher Indicator):
Shows red dots indicating bearish divergence. However, this indicator could shift quickly depending on market movement.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Currently at 41.82, it is in the lower range of the neutral zone, indicating oversold conditions. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case.
Stochastic RSI:
At 13.47, this indicator is signaling extreme oversold conditions, which may imply that a rebound is likely.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
Displays slight bearish momentum (red), but this could reverse once a breakout happens from the wedge.
Price Levels to Watch!
Breakout Level:
If JASMY breaks the wedge's upper resistance (approximately 0.0193 - 0.0195 USDT), this would confirm the pattern. A sustained breakout with high volume could push the price higher.
Support Level:
Immediate support lies near 0.0188 USDT, based on the lower wedge trendline. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish reversal.
Resistance Level (Post Breakout):
After breaking the wedge, the next target is 0.0210 USDT, a key resistance level highlighted on the chart. A further target can be 0.0220 USDT.
TRADING PLAN
Entry:
Aggressive Approach: Enter at the current level or as soon as price reaches near the upper wedge resistance (0.0193 - 0.0195 USDT) with a tight stop loss.
Conservative Approach: Wait for a confirmed breakout above 0.0195 USDT with increased volume, followed by a retest of the breakout zone.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the lower trendline of the wedge, around 0.0185 USDT, to manage risk in case of a breakdown.
Take Profit Levels:
First Target: 0.0210 USDT (resistance from the previous highs).
Second Target: 0.0220 USDT (next significant resistance).
Long-Term Target: If the breakout is strong, higher levels like 0.0230 USDT could come into play.
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 2-3% of your trading capital on this setup.
Adjust the stop loss to breakeven once the price hits the first target.
Exit Strategy:
If the price fails to break the wedge within the next 1-2 candles or breaks below 0.0185 USDT, consider exiting the position to minimize losses.
Trailing stops can be used to lock in profits as the price moves toward 0.0210 USDT and beyond.
The falling wedge formation suggests that a bullish reversal could be imminent for JASMY. However, traders should watch for confirmation through a breakout above the resistance line with strong volume. Utilize proper risk management to protect against downside risk while positioning for potential gains.
